Chapter Seventeen: How Economies Grow and Develop Development and Economic Growth Figure 17.1: Economic Growth in the AS/AD Model AS1 Inflation rate (π) AS0 AD1 AD0 Expanded maximum capacity Output (Y ) Table 17.1: Per Capita Annual Real GDP Growth in Select Latin American Countries, 1980-2010 (%) Bolivia Brazil Chile Colombia Ecuador Mexico Peru Venezuela Middle Income Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators Database, 2013 0.5% 1.0% 3.2% 1.6% 0.8% 0.7% 1.1% -0.2% 3.5% Country Growth Experiences Figure 17.2: World Economic Growth, 1971-2011 4.0 3.5 Gross World Product 3.0 Index (1970=1) Food Production 2.5 Energy Use 2.0 Population 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 1971 1976 1981 1986 Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators Database 2013 1991 1996 2001 2006 2011 Table 17.2: Income, Growth, and Population Comparisons, Selected Countries and Country Groups Country or Category High Income Hong Kong United States Japan France South Korea Middle Income Russia Turkey Brazil China India Low Income Bangladesh Nepal Haiti Ethiopia Congo, DR Percent Growth in GDP per Capita (PPP, GDP per Capita, 2011 Annual Average, 1990(PPP, 2005, US $s) 2011) 33,566 1.5% 44,640 3.0% 42,486 1.4% 30,660 0.7% 29,819 1.0% 27,541 4.3% 6,245 3.5% 14,821 0.8% 13,468 2.5% 10,279 1.7% 7,418 9.5% 3,203 4.7% 1,182 1.9% 1,569 3.6% 1,106 2.1% 1,034 -1.4% 979 2.8% 329 -3.0% Percent of World Population (2011) 16.3% 0.1% 4.5% 1.8% 0.9% 0.7% 72.0% 2.0% 0.8% 2.8% 19.3% 17.8% 11.7% 2.2% 0.3% 0.1% 1.2% 1.0% Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators Database, 2013. * Data for Haiti growth rate is for 1991–2011. Figure 17.3: GDP per Capita in 2011 (in constant 2005 PPP $ per person) Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators Database, 2012 Figure 17.4a: Per Capita GDP Expressed as a Percentage of per-Capita GDP in High-Income Countries 90% South Korea GDP per capita, PPP Percent of High-Income GDP 80% 70% 60% 50% Botswana 40% 30% China 20% India 10% 0% 1980 1985 1990 Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators Database, 2013 1995 2000 2005 2010 Figure 17.4b 45.0% GDP per capita, PPP Percent of High-Income GDP 40.0% 35.0% Brazil 30.0% 25.0% 20.0% Bolivia 15.0% 10.0% Nigeria 5.0% Congo, Dem. Rep. 0.0% 1980 1985 1990 Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators Database, 2013 1995 2000 2005 2010 Figure 17.5: Growth and Income Relationship with Area Proportional to Population 12.0% Growth of Real GDP per Capita, Average 1980-2011 (Percent per Year) 10.0% China 8.0% 6.0% India South Korea 4.0% United States 2.0% 0.0% (5,000) -2.0% 5,000 15,000 Cote d’Ivoire 25,000 35,000 Congo, DR -4.0% GDP per Capita, 2011 (Chained 2005 PPP Dollars) Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators Database, 2013 45,000 55,000 Table 17.3: Growth Rates and Changes in Poverty Rates, Select Countries Period Bangladesh 1984-2010 Brazil 1981-2009 China 1981-2009 Egypt 1991-2008 Ethiopia 1982-2011 India 1978-2010 Indonesia 1984-2010 Mexico 1984-2010 Nigeria 1986-2010 Philippines 1985-2009 South Africa Thailand 1993-2009 1981-2010 Annual Growth Rate in per Capita GDP, % 2.9 1.1 9.1 2.9 1.8 3.9 3.6 0.8 2.3 1.6 1.5 4.2 Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators Database, 2013. Note: The poverty rate is based on a poverty line of $1.25 per day. Poverty Rate at Poverty Rate at End of Beginning of Period, % Period, % 60.6 43.3 13.6 6.1 84.0 11.8 4.5 1.7 66.2 30.7 65.9 32.7 62.8 18.1 12.8 0.7 53.9 68.0 34.9 18.4 24.3 22.0 13.8 0.4 Inequality Figure 17.6: The Unequal Distribution of the World’s Income, 2007 Top 20%: 82.8% of world income Next 20%: 9.9% of world income Third 20%: 4.2% of world income Fourth 20%: 2.1% of world income Poorest 20%: 1.0% of world income Source: I. Ortiz and M. Cummings, “Global Inequality: Beyond the Bottom Billion,” UNICEF Social and Economic Policy Working Paper, April 2011. Figure 17.7: Shares of U.S. Income Going to Top 10 Percent and Top 1 percent, 1920-2012 60 50 Top 10 Percent Percent 40 30 20 Top 1 Percent 10 0 Source: Thomas Pickett and Emmanuel Saez U.S. incomes series, http://elsa.berkeley.edu/~saez/TabFig2012prel.xls Figure 17.8: The Relation Between Life Expectancy and Income, with Area Proportional to Population 90 Life Expectancy in 2011 (Years) Japan 85 Mexico 80 75 Western Europe United States 70 China 65 India 60 Nigeria 55 South Africa 50 45 40 - 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 45,000 50,000 55,000 GDP per Capita, 2011 (Chained 2005 PPP Dollars) Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators Database, 2013