Computation Estimation Computation estimation is: using some computation using easy mental strategies using number sense using a variety of strategies getting close to the exact answer It is not: just a guess doing hand calculations using a calculator exact When do we estimate? When there is no need to have an exact answer and an estimate is good enough: for example "Do I have enough money?" When there is not enough information to get an exact answer: for example, "About how many times will my heart beat in an hour?" To check if the answer from a calculation is reasonable. Estimation Vocabulary Front-end: take only the first number, cut-off (truncate) the other numbers Adjusting with front-end: compensate for the values that were truncated Compensation: adjust, amend, improve, revise, modify your estimate, make it bigger, make it smaller Rounding: round to the nearest to the desired place value Clustering: numbers “cluster” around a value Compatible numbers: numbers grouped together to make computation easy Guess vs. Estimate If a local building contractor presented you with a “guess” at how much it was going to cost you to build your new house, you'd still be in the dark on what the actual cost would be. If the builder guessed wrong, he/she would likely go broke through either accepting jobs for which the guess was far too low or lose jobs that the guess was too high. Contractors “bid” on jobs, so a close estimate is important. An actuary (a mathematician who looks at statistical information) guessing how much his company would pay in claims that year, then using that guess to set his company's insurance rates, could in the same (sinking) boat. Use a variety of strategies There is not really any such thing as a "wrong" estimate... some estimates are less useful than others... any estimate made using the original problem is a valid estimate. The goal is not to find the one correct "estimate" but to have the skill to reason about the numbers being used, to be able to come up with a range that is suitable for using to predict the answer, and to have a quick and easy-to-do method for checking to see what a reasonable answer would be. Questions You Should Ask "How did you get that answer?" "Why do you think it's a reasonable answer?" Estimation Strategies Front-End Estimation Front-End Estimation 8857 + 4758 8857 8000 4000 4758 7045 7000 7045 2110 + + 2110 2000 Draw the line after the first number In each addend. 8000 A. Between 11,000 and 15,000 4000 B. Between 16,000 and 20,000 7000 C. Between 20,000 and 25,000 +2000 D. Between 28,000 and 33,000 21,000 Front-end Estimation + 62,899 62899 60,000 10,236 10,000 10236 75,000 70,000 75000 37,596 + + 37596 30,000 Draw the line after the first number In each addend. 60,000 A. Between 150,000 and 159,000 70,000 B. Between 160,000 and 169,000 10,000 C. Between 170,000 and 179,000 + 30,000 170,000 D. Between 180,000 and 189,000 Use Front-end Estimation Estimate the sum: 500,000 357,289 + 238,499 = _________ A. 500,000 B. 580,000 C. 595,000 D. 600,000 Is the front-end estimation reasonable? No, it is low. What could you do to improve the front-end estimate? Estimate with compensation. What is the best estimate and why? 600,000 is a closer. Use compatible numbers since 60,000 + 40,000 would be about 100,000 more. What error is acceptable? The numbers: “59”, “54”, “55” are all “50” using front-end estimation. 1,999,999 + 1,999,999 = 2,000,000 What is a better estimate? 4,000,000 Is the error acceptable? No, 2,000,000 is too low. Learn multiple estimation strategies. Always ask the question: Is the answer reasonable? http://www.aaamath.com/grade3.html Rounding 8857 + 4758 8857 9000 5000 4758 7045 7000 7045 2110 + + 2110 2000 9000 A. Between 11,000 and 15,000 5000 B. Between 16,000 and 20,000 7000 + 2000 23,000 Exact: 22,770 C. Between 20,000 and 25,000 D. Between 28,000 and 33,000 + 247 247 200 6542 6500 6542 489 489 500 92 ++ 100 92 200 6500 500 + 100 7300 Exact: 7,370 A. A little less than 7,000 B. A little more than 7,000 C. A little less than 8,000 D. A little more than 8,000 5028 5028 5000 6732 6732 7000 1285 1285 1000 + 835 835 ++ 1000 Exact: 13,880 14,000 5028 5028 5000 6732 6732 6700 1285 1285 1300 + 835 ++ 800 835 Exact: 13,880 13,800 Identify the estimation strategy Front-End Rounding 3,876 4,000 3,000 5,814 6,000 5,000 3,176 3,000 3,000 + 7,895 20,761 + 8,000 21,000 + 7,000 18,000 Closer estimate 9,876 9,000 10,000 8,514 8,000 9,000 6,092 6,000 6,000 + 3,895 + 3,000 + 4,000 28,377 26,000 29,000 Closer estimate Estimate Front-End vs. Rounding 5000 A. Between 13,000 and 14,000 6700 B. Between 12,000 and 13,000 1200 C. Between 11,000 and 12,000 + 800 Exact:13700 D. Between 10,000 and 11,000 290 6840 481 + 94 Exact: 7705 A. Between 6,500 and 7,000 B. Between 7,000 and 7,500 C. Between 7,500 and 8,000 D. Between 8,000 and 8,500 Real World Problems Can I buy four for $100? Yes a) 4 x $25 = $100 and $23 is less than $25 b) $23 rounds to $20 and 4 x $20 = $80 c) $23 rounds to $25 and 4 x $25 = $100 (high estimate) Can I buy three for $100? $37 No a) 3 x $33 is $99, so 3 x $37 would be more than $100. b) 3 x $40 is $120 Can I buy five for $60? No a) 5 x $15 = $75 which is more than $60. b) 5 x $14 = $70 which is more than $60. c) $60 divided by 5 = $12, and $13.87 is more than $12.00. The soccer ball would have to cost ______ $12.00 or less for me to purchase five of them for $60. Can I buy three for $20? Yes a) 3 x $5 = $15 Would you have enough money? Estimate to find your answer. If you buy 3 items that cost $4.93 each, will $15.00 be enough to buy all 3 items? Explain. Yes, 3 x $5 = $15 (high estimate) If you buy 2 items for $6.29 and 1 item for $3.55 will $15.00 be enough? Explain. No, 2 x $6 + 1 x $4 = $16 If you buy items for $4.32, $6.90, and $7.86, will $18.00 be enough? Explain. No, $4 + $7 + $8 = $19 0.01 0.001 or or 100 1000 0.0001 or 0.1 or 10 10,000 1 digit 2 digits