ECON 337: Agricultural Marketing Lee Schulz Assistant Professor lschulz@iastate.edu 515-294-3356 Econ 337, Spring 2013 Chad Hart Associate Professor chart@iastate.edu 515-294-9911 Options What are options? An option is the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell an item at a predetermined price within a specific time period. Options on futures are the right to buy or sell a specific futures contract. Option buyers pay a price (premium) for the rights contained in the option. Econ 337, Spring 2013 Option Types Two types of options: Puts and Calls A put option contains the right to sell a futures contract. A call option contains the right to buy a futures contract. Puts and calls are not opposite positions in the same market. They do not offset each other. They are different markets. Econ 337, Spring 2013 Put Option The Buyer pays the premium and has the right, but not the obligation, to sell a futures contract at the strike price. The Seller receives the premium and is obligated to buy a futures contract at the strike price if the Buyer uses their right. Econ 337, Spring 2013 Call Option The Buyer pays a premium and has the right, but not the obligation, to buy a futures contract at the strike price. The Seller receives the premium but is obligated to sell a futures contract at the strike price if the Buyer uses their right. Econ 337, Spring 2013 Options as Price Insurance The person wanting price protection (the buyer) pays the option premium. If damage occurs (price moves in the wrong direction), the buyer is reimbursed for damages. The seller keeps the premium, but must pay for damages. Econ 337, Spring 2013 Options as Price Insurance The option buyer has unlimited upside and limited downside risk. If prices moves in their favor, the option buyer can take full advantage. If prices moves against them, the option seller compensates them. The option seller has limited upside and unlimited downside risk. The seller gets the option premium. Econ 337, Spring 2013 Option Issues and Choices The option may or may not have value at the end The right to buy corn futures at $6.00 per bushel has no value if the market is below $6.00. The buyer can choose to offset, exercise, or let the option expire. The seller can only offset the option or wait for the buyer to choose. Econ 337, Spring 2013 Strike Prices The predetermined prices for the trade of the futures in the options They set the level of price insurance Range of strike prices determined by the futures exchange Econ 337, Spring 2013 Options Premiums Determined by trading in the marketplace Different premiums For puts and calls For each contract month For each strike price Depends on five variables Strike price Price of underlying futures contract Volatility of underlying futures Time to maturity Interest rate Econ 337, Spring 2013 Option References In-the-money If the option expired today, it would have value Put: futures price below strike price Call: futures price above strike price At-the-money Options with strike prices nearest the futures price Out-of-the-money If the option expired today, it would have no value Put: futures price above strike price Call: futures price below strike price Econ 337, Spring 2013 Options Premiums June 2013 Live Cattle Futures $128 per cwt. In-the-money Out-of-the-money Econ 337, Spring 2013 Source: CME, 2/5/13 Setting a Floor Price Short hedger Buy put option Floor Price = Strike Price + Basis – Premium – Commission At maturity If futures < strike, then Net Price = Floor Price If futures > strike, then Net Price = Cash – Premium – Commission Econ 337, Spring 2013 Put Option Graph 10 Put Option June 2013 Live Cattle @ $128 Net Return ($ per cwt) 8 6 4 Strike Price = $128 Put Option Return = Max(0, Strike Price – Futures Price) – Premium – Commission 2 0 Premium = $3.275 Commission = $0.01 -2 -4 115 117 119 121 123 125 127 129 131 Futures Price ($ per cwt) Cash Price Econ 337, Spring 2013 Put Option Return Net 133 135 Net Return ($ per cwt) 135 Put Option Graph Put Option June 2013 Live Cattle @ $128 Premium = $3.275 130 Net = Cash Price + Put Option Return 125 120 115 110 115 117 119 121 123 125 127 129 131 Futures Price ($ per cwt) Cash Price Econ 337, Spring 2013 Put Option Return Net 133 135 Short Hedge Graph 15 Sold June 2013 Live Cattle @ $128 Net Return ($ per cwt.) 12 9 6 3 0 -3 Net = Cash Price + Futures Return -6 -9 115 117 119 121 123 125 127 129 Futures Price ($ per cwt.) Econ 337, Spring 2013 131 133 135 Short Hedge Graph 135 Net Return ($ per cwt.) Sold June 2013 Live Cattle @ $128 130 125 120 Net = Cash Price + Futures Return 115 110 115 117 119 121 123 125 127 129 Futures Price ($ per cwt.) Cash Price Econ 337, Spring 2013 Futures Return 131 Net 133 135 Comparison Net Price ($ per bushel) 135 130 125 120 115 110 115 117 119 Cash Price Econ 337, Spring 2013 121 123 125 127 129 131 Futures Price ($ per bushel) Put Option Return Net 133 Hedge 135 Out-of-the-Money Put 10 Net Return ($ per cwt) 8 Put Option June 2013 Live Cattle @ $120 Premium = $0.80 6 4 2 0 -2 -4 115 117 119 121 123 125 127 129 131 Futures Price ($ per cwt) Cash Price Econ 337, Spring 2013 Put Option Return Net 133 135 Out-of-the-Money Put Net Return ($ per cwt) 135 130 Put Option June 2013 Live Cattle @ $120 Premium = $0.80 125 120 115 110 115 117 119 121 123 125 127 129 131 Futures Price ($ per cwt) Cash Price Econ 337, Spring 2013 Put Option Return Net 133 135 In-the-Money Put Net Return ($ per cwt) 12 Put Option June 2013 Live Cattle @ $132 Premium = $5.625 9 6 3 0 -3 -6 115 117 119 121 123 125 127 129 131 Futures Price ($ per cwt) Cash Price Econ 337, Spring 2013 Put Option Return Net 133 135 In-the-Money Put Net Return ($ per cwt) 135 Put Option June 2013 Live Cattle @ $132 Premium = $5.625 130 125 120 115 110 115 117 119 121 123 125 127 129 131 Futures Price ($ per cwt) Cash Price Econ 337, Spring 2013 Put Option Return Net 133 135 Comparison Net Return ($ per cwt) 135 130 125 120 115 5 13 3 13 1 13 9 12 7 12 5 12 3 12 1 12 9 11 7 11 11 5 110 Futures Price ($ per cwt) Cash Econ 337, Spring 2013 At the Money Out of the Money In the Money Setting a Ceiling Price Long hedger Buy call option Ceiling Price = Strike Price + Basis + Premium + Commission At maturity If futures < strike, then Net Price = Cash + Premium + Commission If futures > strike, then Net Price = Ceiling Price Econ 337, Spring 2013 Call Option Graph 2 Net Return ($ per bushel) Call Option Dec. 2013 Corn @ $6 1.5 1 0.5 Strike Price = $6 Call Option Return = Max(0, Futures Price – Strike Price) – Premium – Commission 0 Premium = $0.50 Commission = $0.01 -0.5 Futures Price ($ per bushel) Cash Price Econ 337, Spring 2013 Call Option Return Net 8. 00 7. 50 7. 00 6. 50 6. 00 5. 50 5. 00 4. 50 4. 00 3. 50 3. 00 -1 Call Option Graph Net Return ($ per bushel) 8 7 6 Call Option Dec. 2013 Corn @ $6 Premium = $0.50 5 4 3 2 1 Net = Cash Price – Call Option Return 0 Futures Price ($ per bushel) Cash Price Econ 337, Spring 2013 Call Option Return Net 8. 00 7. 50 7. 00 6. 50 6. 00 5. 50 5. 00 4. 50 4. 00 3. 50 3. 00 -1 Long Hedge Graph 8 Net Return ($ per bushel) Bought Dec. 2013 Corn @ $5.9375 6 4 2 Net = Cash Price – Futures Return 0 -2 Futures Price ($ per bushel) Cash Price Econ 337, Spring 2013 Futures Return Net 8. 00 7. 50 7. 00 6. 50 6. 00 5. 50 5. 00 4. 50 4. 00 3. 50 3. 00 -4 Comparison Net Return ($ per bushel) 8 6 4 2 0 Futures Price ($ per bushel) Cash Price Econ 337, Spring 2013 Call Option Return Net Hedge 0 8. 0 0 7. 5 0 7. 0 0 6. 5 0 6. 0 0 5. 5 0 5. 0 0 4. 5 0 4. 0 0 3. 5 3. 0 0 -2 Summary on Options Buyer Pays premium, has limited risk and unlimited potential Seller Receives premium, has limited potential and unlimited risk Buying puts Establish minimum prices Buying calls Establish maximum prices Econ 337, Spring 2013 Class web site: http://www.econ.iastate.edu/~chart/Classes/econ337/ Spring2013/ Lab in Heady 68. Econ 337, Spring 2013