CHAPTER 11 Corporate Valuation and Value-Based Management 1 Topics Corporate Valuation Value-Based Management Corporate Governance 2 Corporate Valuation: A company owns two types of assets. Assets-in-place Financial, or nonoperating, assets 3 CORPORATE VALUE Corporate Assets Operating Assets Assets in Place Tangible Growth Opps Non-Operating Assets Securities Investments Intangible 4 CORPORATE VALUE Corporate Assets Operating Assets Assets in Place Tangible Growth Opps Securities Investments Intangible Assets-in-place Non-Operating Assets Tangible: land, buildings Intangible: patents, reputation Growth Opportunities Opportunities to expand arising from firm’s current knowledge, experience and resources 5 Assets-in-Place Assets-in-place are tangible, such as buildings, machines, inventory Usually expected to grow Generate free cash flows The PV of their expected future free cash flows, discounted at the WACC, is the value of operations. 6 CORPORATE VALUE Corporate Assets Operating Assets Assets in Place Tangible Intangible Non-Operating Assets Growth Opps Securities Investments Marketable securities Ownership of non-controlling interest in another company Value Balance Sheet figures 7 Nonoperating Assets Marketable securities Ownership of non-controlling interest in another company Value of nonoperating assets usually is very close to figure that is reported on balance sheets. 8 Total Corporate Value VCORP = VOP + VNOA Total corporate value is sum of: VOP = Value of operations VNOA = Value of nonoperating assets 9 Claims on Corporate Value 1st claim: 2nd claim: Residual claim: Debt-holders Preferred stockholders Common Stockholders 10 Applying the Corporate Valuation Model Forecast the financial statements Shown in Chapter 9 Calculate projected free cash flows Model can be applied to a company that: Does not pay dividends Is privately held Is a division … since FCF can be calculated for each 11 Value of Operations: Constant FCF Growth at Rate of g ∞ Vop = Σ t=1 ∞ = Σ t=1 FCFt (1 + WACC)t FCF0(1+g)t (1 + WACC)t 12 Value of Operations VOP FCFt t t 1 ( 1 WACC ) 13 Constant Growth Formula Vop = = FCF1 (WACC - g) FCF0(1+g) (WACC - g) 14 Expansion Plan: Target #1 Input Values: FCF0 = $20 million WACC = 10% g = 5% Marketable securities = $100 million Debt = $200 million Preferred stock = $50 million Book value of equity = $210 million 15 Find Value of Operations Vop = FCF0 (1 + g) (WACC - g) 20(1+0.05) = 420 Vop = (0.10 – 0.05) 16 Value of Equity Sources of Corporate Value Value of operations = $420 Value of non-operating assets = $100 Claims on Corporate Value Value of Debt Value of Preferred Stock Value of Equity = $200 = $50 =? 17 Value of Equity Sources of Corporate Value VOP = $420 = Value of operations VNOA VCORP = $100 = $520 = Value of non-operating assets = VOP + VNOA Claims on Corporate Value VD VPF = $200 = $ 50 VE = $270 = Value of Debt = Value of Preferred Stock = Value of Equity = VCORP-VD-VPF 18 Topics Corporate Valuation Value-Based Management Corporate Governance 19 Market Value Added (MVA) MVA = Total corporate value of firm minus total book value of firm Total corporate value of firm $ Total book value of firm = Book value of equity $ + book value of debt + book value of preferred stock MVA 520 210 200 50 = $520 - ($210 + $200 + $50) = $60 million 20 Breakdown of Corporate Value MVA 600 500 Book equity 400 Equity (Market) 300 Preferred stock 200 Debt 100 0 Sources Claims Market of Value on Value vs. Book Marketable securities Value of operations 21 Expansion Plan: Target #2 Non-constant Growth Privately held company $40 million in new debt No other debt No preferred stock Pays no dividend No marketable securities 22 Expansion Plan: Target #2 Projected free cash flows (FCF): Year 1 FCF = -$5 million. Year 2 FCF = $10 million. Year 3 FCF = $20 million FCF after year 3 = 6% constant growth WACC = 10% 10 million shares of stock outstanding 23 Horizon Value Forecast horizon = three years Growth in FCF is not constant Can’t use the constant growth formula Growth is constant after the horizon Modify the constant growth formula to find the value of all free cash flows beyond the horizon, discounted back to the horizon. 24 Horizon Value Formula HV = Vop at time t FCFt(1+g) = (WACC - g) Horizon value is also called terminal value, or continuing value. 25 Value of operations is PV of FCF discounted by WACC 0 r =10% c 1 2 3 4 g = 6% FCF= -5.00 10.00 20.00 21.2 -4.545 8.264 15.026 Vop at 3 398.197 416.942 = Vop $21.2 $530. 0 .10 0.06 26 Common Stock Price per Share Value of equity = Value of operations - Value of debt = $416.94 - $40 = $376.94 million Price per share = $376.94 /10 = $37.69 27 Value-Based Management (VBM) The systematic application of the corporate valuation model to all corporate decisions and strategic initiatives. Objective =increase MVA 28 MVA and the Four Value Drivers g OP = Sales growth = Operating profitability (OP=NOPAT/Sales) CR = Capital requirements (CR=Operating capital / Sales) WACC = Weighted average cost of capital 29 MVA for a Constant Growth Firm Salest (1 g ) CR MVA t OP WACC WACC g (1 g ) 30 MVA for a Constant Growth Firm Salest (1 g ) CR MVA t OP WACC WACC g (1 g ) = MVA if: Operating profit margin is 100% Never any additional investments in operating capital 31 MVA for a Constant Growth Firm Salest (1 g ) CR MVA t OP WACC WACC g (1 g ) = MVA if: Operating profit margin is 100% Never any additional investments in operating capital % Operating profit the firm gets to keep, less the return that investors require Can be positive or negative If negative, then growth decreases MVA 32 MVA for a Constant Growth Firm Salest (1 g ) CR MVA t OP WACC WACC g (1 g ) MVA will improve if: • Operating profitability (OP) increases • WACC is reduced • The capital requirement (CR) decreases 33 Expected Return on Invested Capital (EROIC) The expected return on invested capital =the NOPAT expected next period divided by the amount of capital currently invested: NOPATt 1 EROICt Capitalt 34 MVA in Terms of Expected ROIC Capitalt EROICt WACC MVAt WACC g •If (EROICt - WACC) is positive, then: • MVA is positive • Growth makes MVA larger •The opposite is true if the spread is negative. 35 The Impact of Growth on MVA KFS’ Divisions KFS has two divisions: Both have current sales of $1,000 Current expected growth of 5% WACC of 10% Division A has high profitability (OP=6%) but high capital requirements (CR=78%). Division B has low profitability (OP=4%) but low capital requirements (CR=27%). 36 What is the impact on MVA if growth goes from 5% to 6%? Division A OP CR Growth MVA 6% 78% 5% Division B 6% 78% 6% 4% 27% 5% 4% 27% 6% (300.0) (360.0) 300.0 385.0 Salest (1 g ) CR MVA t OP WACC WACC g (1 g ) 37 Expected ROIC and MVA Division A Division B Capital0 $780 $780 $270 $270 Growth 5% 6% 5% 6% Sales1 $1,050 NOPAT1 $63 EROIC0 8.1% MVA $1,060 $1,050 $1,060 $63.6 $42 $42.4 8.2% 15.6% 15.7% (300.0) (360.0) 300.0 385.0 38 Analysis of Growth Strategies Division A Division B Capital0 $780 $780 $270 $270 Growth 5% 6% 5% 6% $1,050 $1,060 $1,050 $1,060 NOPAT1 $63 $63.6 $42 $42.4 EROIC0 8.1% 8.2% 15.6% 15.7% (300.0) (360.0) 300.0 385.0 Sales1 MVA EROIC(A) < WACC (10%) • Should postpone growth efforts until it improves EROIC • Reduce capital requirements (e.g., reducing inventory) • And/or improve profitability 39 Analysis of Growth Strategies Division A Division B Capital0 $780 $780 $270 $270 Growth 5% 6% 5% 6% $1,050 $1,060 $1,050 $1,060 NOPAT1 $63 $63.6 $42 $42.4 EROIC0 8.1% 8.2% 15.6% 15.7% (300.0) (360.0) 300.0 385.0 Sales1 MVA EROIC(B) > WACC (10%) Division should continue with its growth plans 40 Topics Corporate Valuation Value-Based Management Corporate Governance 41 CORPORATE GOVERNANCE “The set of rules and procedures that ensure that managers do indeed employ the principles of value-based management” 42 Two Primary Mechanisms of Corporate Governance “Stick” Provisions in the charter that affect takeovers Composition of the board of directors “Carrot” Compensation plans 43 Corporate Governance Provisions Under a Firm’s Control Board of directors Charter provisions affecting takeovers Compensation plans Capital structure choices Internal accounting control systems 44 Effective Boards of Directors Election mechanisms make it easier for minority shareholders to gain seats: Not a “classified” board (i.e., all board members elected each year, not just those with multi-year staggered terms) Board elections allow cumulative voting CEO ≠ Chairman of the Board Majority of outside directors 45 Effective Boards of Directors (Continued) Not an interlocking board Board members not unduly busy Compensation for board directors is appropriate Not so high that it encourages cronyism with CEO Not all compensation is fixed salary 46 Entrenched Management Occurs when there is little chance that poorly performing managers will be replaced Two causes: Anti-takeover provisions in the charter Weak board of directors 47 Two Effects of Entrenched Management Management consumes perks: Lavish offices and corporate jets Excessively large staffs Country club memberships Management accepts projects (or makes acquisitions) to make firm larger, even if MVA goes down 48 Harmful Managerial Behavior Expend too little time and effort Consume too many non-pecuniary benefits Avoid difficult decisions (e.g., close plant) out of loyalty to friends in company (More . .) 49 Harmful Managerial Behavior Reject risky positive NPV projects to avoid looking bad if project fails Avoid returning capital to investors Take on risky negative NPV projects to try for a home run. Make excess investments in marketable securities Pay too much for acquisitions Massage information releases or manage earnings to avoid revealing bad news. 50 Anti-Takeover Provisions “Greenmail” “Poison Pills” Targeted share repurchases Shareholder rights provisions Restricted voting rights plans 51 Stock Options as Compensation Gives option holder the right to buy a share of the company’s stock at a specified price Vesting period Expiration or maturity date 52 Problems with Stock Options Manager can underperform market or peer group, yet still reap rewards from options as long as the stock price increases to above the exercise cost. Options sometimes encourage managers to falsify financial statements or take excessive risks. 53 Block Ownership Outside investor owns large amount (i.e., block) of company’s shares Institutional investors, such as CalPERS or TIAA-CREF Blockholders often monitor managers and take active role, leading to better corporate governance 54 Regulatory Systems and Laws Companies in countries with strong protection for investors tend to have: Better access to financial markets A lower cost of equity Increased market liquidity Less noise in stock prices 55