Binary Preferences Zhaochen He Would You Rather? OR Have a nice teacher who is bad at teaching Have a mean teacher that is great at teaching. Would You Rather? OR Time travel 200 years into the past Time travel 200 years into the future The Big Picture • We will be spending the next few lectures discussing the most fundamental model in microeconomic theory: the theory of consumer choice. • Consumer choice theory is a mathematical description of how people might make purchasing decisions, but can be generalized to much broader situations. Meet Mark’s Dilemma ? The Big Picture • The mathematics of consumer choice theory can make a prediction about choice a person will make, but it needs two pieces of “given” information. – A description of the person’s preferences, usually in the form of a utility function – A description of the person’s financial situation (the money he has available, and how expensive his various options are); usually called a budget constraint. The Big Picture A description of a person’s preferences usually comes in the form of a utility function. By the end of this lecture, we’ll begin to talk about utility functions. But utility functions themselves are based off of a even more fundamental way to represent preferences. It all begins with binary preferences. • A binary preference is a preference between two distinct options. – This is in some sense the simplest form of preference we could consider. – When faced with a binary preference A vs B, an agent could prefer A to B, B to A, or be indifferent between the two. – From now on, we’ll write these possibilities as: • ApB • B pA • AiB • Of course, we often have more than two options when we make a choice. • However, we could reduce your preferences over multiple items to a series of binary comparisons. 1 2 3 vs • A good way to represent this set of binary preferences is with a table. vs i i i vs i i i This collection of all binary preferences over a group of items is called a preference relation over those items. vs i i i 1. Reflexivity – Any good is indifferent with itself vs i i i 2. Symmetry - The table is symmetric across the diagonal of indifference vs i i i 3. Transitivity: If A p B, and B p C, then A p C vs i i i 3. Transitivity: If A p B, and B p C, then A p C vs i i i 3. Transitivity: If A p B, and B p C, then A p C vs i i i 3. Transitivity: If A p B, and B p C, then A p C vs i i i 3. Transitivity: If A p B, and B p C, then A p C vs i i i A B C D A i A B C D A C D A i C B B A i C C C C i C D D B C I D D D C I B A C C C Alice i A C D i Bill C D A B C D A i B A A A C D i C C C C D i C D D D C I With transitive preferences, we can reduce all of the above to a simple list, or ranking. C B D 1.C 2.D 3.A 4.B A B C D E A i B C D E B B i B B E C C B i C E D D B C i E E E E E E i 1.E 2.B 3.C 4.D 5.A Option Utility E ? B ? C ? D ? A ? Utility Functions • A utility function simply assigns a numerical value to each option. The SIZE of these numerical value fully represent the consumer’s binary preferences over all choices. • For example, if he prefers A to B, then the utility of A will be higher than the utility of B. Utility Functions • IMPORTANT: The magnitudes given by a utility function are not unique – that is, many different utility functions could describe the same set of binary preferences. • Another way of saying this: A utility of 10 isn’t necessarily “twice as good” as a utility of 5. – Utility functions are ordinal, not cardinal. Towards Mark’s Dilemma • So far, we’ve looked at multiple goods, but with a quantity of one. • We could also look at only one good, but allow any quantity. • Or, we could look at multiple goods, and allow any quantity. One good, any quantity 1 2 3 4 5 1 i 2 3 1 1 2 2 i 3 4 5 3 3 3 i 4 5 4 4 4 4 i 5 5 5 5 5 5 i 1. 1 2. 2 3. 3 4. 4 5. 5 6. 5 7. Etc… One good, any quantity 1. 4 2. 3, 5 3. 2, 6 4. 1, 7 5. 0, 8 6. 9 7. 10 8. 11 9. Etc.