Market Equilibrium and Market Demand: Perfect Competition Chapter 8 Discussion Topics Derivation of market supply curve Elasticity of supply and producer surplus Market equilibrium under perfect competition Total economic surplus Adjustments to market equilibrium 2 Remember the firm’s supply curve? P=MR=AR 3 Page 131 Profit maximizing firm will desire to produce where MC=MR P3=MR3=AR3 P2=MR2=AR2 P1=MR1=AR1 Firm’s supply curve starts at shut down output level Where MR < AVC 4 Economic losses occur where MC > MR Page 131 Building the Industry Supply Curve Market supply curve: The horizontal summation of the supply decisions of all firms in the market At a price of $1.50, Gary would supply 2 tons of broccoli 5 Page 132 Building the Industry Supply Curve Market supply curve: The horizontal summation of the supply decisions of all firms in the market At a price of $1.50, Ima would supply 1 ton of broccoli 6 Page 132 Building the Industry Supply Curve Market supply curve: The horizontal summation of the supply decisions of all firms in the market At a price of $1.50 market supply would be 3 tons 7 Page 132 Determining Market Equilibrium With the above we have identified the Market Supply Curve Previously we derived the Market Demand Curve Horizontal summation of individual demand curves We can combine these concepts to identify what is referred to as the Market Equilibrium 8 Determining Market Equilibrium Price D S PE Market clearing price QE 9 Market Supply Curve = Horizontal summation of individual firm supply curves Quantity Market Demand Curve = Horizontal summation of individual consumer demand curves Determining Market Equilibrium Price D S PE Chapters 3 - 5 QE 10 Quantity Determining Market Equilibrium Factors that change (shift) demand: Price D* D S PE* PE QE QE* 11 Prices of other goods Consumer income Tastes and preferences Real wealth effect Global events Quantity Determining Market Equilibrium Price D S Chapters 6 - 7 PE QE 12 Quantity Determining Market Equilibrium Factors that change S* Price D S PE* PE QE*QE 13 (shift) supply: Input costs Government policy Price expectations Weather & disease Global events Quantity Concept of Producer Surplus Producer Surplus (PS) is a term economists use for aggregate returns over total variable costs PS measured as the area above the supply curve and below market equilibrium price Remember the supply curve is determined by individual MC curves 14 Page 133 Concept of Producer Surplus Market Price of $4 Price Market Supply Total Revenue = 0ABD $4 A B Product Price Total Variable Cost = 0CBD C 0 15 D Output Page 133 Concept of Producer Surplus Market Price of $4 Price Market Supply $4 A B PS at $4 = area ABC C D 16 Product Price Output Page 133 Concept of Producer Surplus Suppose Price Increased to $6… Price F $6 E $4 A B PS at $6 = area EFC C D 17 Market Supply G Output Page 133 Concept of Producer Surplus Price The gain in PS if the price increases from $4 to $6 is equal to area AEFB F $6 E $4 Market Supply Producers are better off by increasing output from D to G A B C D 18 G Output Page 133 Assessing Economic Welfare We can use the concepts of market demand and supply to Assess the effects of events in the economy on the economic well being of consumers and producers For a particular market During a specific time period We do this using the concept of total economic surplus (TES) defined as: TES = CS + PS Total Surplus 19 Consumer Surplus Producer Surplus $ E Assessing Economic Welfare An Example of Economic Welfare Analysis S Assume we have a market B C PS = area BCE CS = area BCA TES = area BCA + area BCE = area AEC Then a drought occurs A How can we examine whether consumers or producers are impacted D 20 Q Page 136-137 $ Assessing Economic Welfare An Example of Economic Welfare Analysis E S* S I F B H A G C Assume the drought causes supply curve to shift up After the drought PS = area HFI Gain BFIC + Lose AHGC CS = area FEI Lose BFIG + Lose GIC TES = area HEI Lose AHGC + Lose GIC D 21 Q Page 136-137 $ Assessing Economic Welfare An Example of Economic Welfare Analysis E S* S Drought causes I F B H A 22 G C Consumers to be worse off as no gain area Producers are worse off if area BFIG (gain) is less than AHGC (loss) Area BFIG is transferred from consumers to producers Society is on net worse off as D no gain area (area AHIC) Q Page 136-137 Assessing Economic Welfare Measuring Surplus Levels $ $6 B C ABCD = ? FADE = ? Supply CS = (10 x (6-4))÷2 = $10 $4 A D Product price PS =(10 x (4-1))÷2 = $15 $1 Demand E F 10 Q →Total economic surplus = CS + PS = $10 + $15 = $25 23 Page 136-137 Modeling Commodity Prices 24 Modeling Commodity Prices Forecasting Future Commodity Price Trends D = α – βP + γYD + δX $ S $6 Own price Disposable income Other factors $4 Own price Other factors D $1 10 25 Input costs Q S = θ + πP – τC + χZ Page 136-137 $ Modeling Commodity Prices S P* QD = 10 – 6P + .3YD + 1.2X QD = QS= Q Q* =Q D S D Equilibrium Condition QS = 2 + 4P – .2C + 1.02Z Q Q* How can we determine the values of P* and Q*? 26 Page 221 $ Modeling Commodity Prices S QD = 10 – 6P + .3YD + 1.2X QD = QS= Q Q* =Q D S P* D Q* Equilibrium Condition QS = 2 + 4P – .2C + 1.02Z Q The above shows relationship between P and either QS and/or QD Lets undertake a ceteris paribus analysis and assume values for YD, X C and Z 27 Page 221 Modeling Commodity Prices $ S P* QD = 50 – 6P QD = QS= Q Q* =Q D S D Equilibrium Condition QS = 42 + 4P Q Q* How can we determine the value of Q* 28 (1) Substitute demand and supply equations into equilibrium condition (2) Solve for equilibrium price (P*) (3) Substitute this price into either supply or demand equation for Q* Page 221 Modeling Commodity Prices How can we determine the value of Q* and P* 1) Substitute demand and supply equations into equilibrium condition Q* =QD = QS→ (50 – 6P) = (42 + 4P) 2) Solve for equilibrium price (P*) 50 – 6P = 42 + 4P → 8 + 10P = 0 →P* = 8/10 = 0.80 3) Substitute this price into either supply or demand equation for Q* Demand Equation QD* = 50 – 6P* = 50 – 6(0.8) = 50 – 4.8 = 45.2 Supply Equation QS* = 42 + 4P* = 42 + 4(0.8) = 42 + 3.2 = 45.2 29 Page 221 Many Applications Policy decisions by Congress and the President Commodity modeling by brokers/traders Lender credit repayment capacity analysis Outlook presentations by extension eco. Farm planting decisions Livestock producers herd size and feedlot placement decisions Strategic planning for processors 30 Market Disequilibrium 31 Market Disequilibrium At PS→ Market Surplus exists as QS – QD > 0 Surplus S PS At price PS, consumers would demand QD At price PS, producers would supply QS P* PD D QD 32 Q* QS Page 138 Market Disequilibrium At PD→ Market Shortage exists as QS – QD < 0 S PS At price PD, producers would supply QD At price PD, consumers would demand QS P* PD D QD 33 Q* Shortage QS Page 138 Market Disequilibrium Markets converge to equilibrium over time unless other events in the economy occur One explanation for this adjustment which makes sense for agriculture is the Cobweb theory This names comes from the spider weblike trail the adjustment process makes 34 Market Disequilibrium Lets use the example of a grain producer Producers tend to use last year’s price (P1) as their expected price for this year (year 2) In contrast, consumer’s pay this years price (P2) determined by market equilibrium Q2 35 Market Disequilibrium Year Two Reactions 36 Page 140 Market Disequilibrium Year Three Reactions P3 P2 37 Page 140 Market Disequilibrium Year Four Reactions Producer decision based on Year 3 Price P3 P4 Consumer decision based on Year 4 Price Q4 38 Page 140 Market Disequilibrium From the above results we have the following: (P1 – P2) > (P3 – P2) > (P3 – P4) Price changes are getting smaller (Q2 – Q1) > (Q2 – Q3) > (Q4 – Q3) Quantity changes are getting smaller 39 Eventually wil converge to P*, Q* the Page 140 equilibrium price and quantity Market Disequilibrium Cobweb Pattern Over Time The market converges to an equilibrium price and quantity QD = QS at PE In some markets, adjustment period may months, weeks or years Depends on production time required Market equilibrium 40 Page 140 Market-to-Firm Linkages 41 Some Important Jargon As we noted before we distinguish between Movement along a particular demand or supply curve Referred to as a change in quantity demanded or supplied Shifts in the demand or supply curve Referred to as a change in demand or supply 42 Increase in demand increases price from Pe to Pe* Decrease in demand decreases price from Pe to Pe* Page 135 43 Increase in supply decreases price from Pe to Pe* Decrease in supply increases price from Pe to Pe* Page 135 44 Merging Demand and Supply Price D S Chapters 6-7 PE Chapters 3-5 QE 45 Quantity Firm is a Price Taker Under Perfect Competition Price The Firm The Market D S Price PE= MR = MC AVC MC PE QE QF Quantity 46 Impact of an Increase in Demand The Market Price D D1 S The Firm Price MC AVC PE QE Q* E 47 Quantity 10 11 Impact of a Decrease in Demand The Market Price D2 D The Firm S Price AVC MC PE Q* E Q E 9 10 Quantity 48 Firm is a Price Taker in the Input Market Wage Rate Labor Market SL DL Wage Rate The Firm MVP MIC PL QL LF Labor 49 Firm is a Price Taker in the Input Market Labor Market Wage Rate DL* SL DL Wage Rate The Firm MVP PL MIC QL 50 Labor L*F LF Effects of Increasing The Minimum Wage Wage Rate Labor Market D S Wage Rate The Firm MVP PMIN MIC LMAX QD QS Labor 51 Summary Market equilibrium price and quantity are given by the intersection of demand and supply Producer surplus captures the profit earned in the market by producers Total economic surplus is equal to producer surplus plus consumer surplus A market surplus exists when the quantity supplied exceeds the quantity demanded. A market shortage exists when the quantity demanded exceeds the quantity supplied. 52 Chapter 9 focuses on market equilibrium and product prices under conditions of imperfect competition…. 53