Energy supply and use
in Australia
Allison Ball
Manager, Energy Program
bree.gov.au
Outline
• Energy use in Australia
• Australia’s energy supply
• Electricity generation investment
bree.gov.au
Energy intensity in Australia
•
Growth in energy
consumption lower than
growth in GDP
•
Decreasing energy
intensity = increasing
energy productivity
GDP
Energy consumption
1964-65=100
Source: BREE 2014, Australian energy statistics.
Energy intensity
bree.gov.au
Australia's energy consumption, 2012-13
Source: BREE 2014, Australian energy statistics.
•
Oil is the largest energy
source in Australia:
38% of total primary
energy consumption
•
Coal share is 33%, but
role is declining
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Australia’s energy consumption, by fuel type
Source: BREE 2014, Australian Energy Statistics.
•
Primary energy consumption
fell 0.5% in 2012-13
•
Oil, gas & renewables
consumption increasing
•
Coal consumption falling, to
lowest share on record
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Australian energy consumption, by industry
Source: BREE 2014, Australian Energy Statistics.
•
Electricity generation,
transport & manufacturing
sectors account for 76% of
energy consumption
•
Decline in energy use in
electricity generation sector
•
Mining is fast growing sector:
9% increase in 2012-13
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End-use energy intensity
•
Will look at trends in energy
consumption in end use sectors
in more detail
•
Decompose change in energy
consumption into activity, structural
and energy efficiency changes
•
Due out 1st quarter 2014
Note: Chart results are illustrative only.
Example of decomposition of change in
energy use
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Australia’s energy production, by fuel type
Source: BREE 2014, Australian Energy Statistics
•
Primary energy production
in Australia is 19 318 PJ
in 2012–13
•
Recent energy production
growth supported by
increased output of black
coal, uranium and gas for
export
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Coal in Australia
Black coal balance
Source: BREE 2014, Australian Energy Statistics.
Coal-fired electricity generation
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Oil in Australia
Oil production
Source: BREE 2014, Australian Energy Statistics; Resources and Energy Quarterly.
Crude oil and ORF balance
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Refined products in Australia
Imports share of refinery feedstock
Source: BREE 2014, Australian Energy Statistics.
Refined products balance
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Gas in Australia
Gas balance
Source: BREE 2014, Australian Energy Statistics; Energy in Australia.
Gas use by sector, 2012-13
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Renewables in Australia
Production by type, 2012-13
Source: BREE 2014, Australian Energy Statistics.
Use by sector, 2012-13
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Electricity use in Australia
Consumption by sector, 2012-13
Source: BREE 2014, Australian energy statistics.
Consumption by market
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Household energy prices
Gas
Electricity
CPI
Source: ABS 2014, 6401.0 Consumer price index.
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Transmission & distribution capital investment, NEM
2012-13
A$b
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Energy efficiency in households
Electricity use in Melbourne on a hot (max temp 35°C) and a mild day (max temp 23°C)
Hot day
Mild day
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Electricity generation, by fuel type
•
Electricity generation fell
from 253 TWh in 2010-11
to 249 TWh in 2012-13
•
Decline in electricity
demand driven by energy
efficiency, weather,
reduced load, higher
prices
Sources: BREE 2014 Australian Energy Statistics.
bree.gov.au
Australia’s electricity generation fuel mix
Source: BREE 2014, Australian Energy Statistics, Table O.
•
Coal fired generation
continues to decline:
now 64% of total
•
Use of gas and
renewables increasing
bree.gov.au
Committed electricity generation projects:
Number and nominal value
•
Source: BREE 2014, Electricity generation major projects.
As at October 2014,
16 committed generation
projects with
$3.5 billion capital cost
bree.gov.au
Committed projects: Additional capacity
Source: BREE 2014, Electricity generation major projects.
•
As at October 2014,
additional planned
capacity of committed
projects is 1580 MW
•
Around 3% of existing
Australian generation
capacity
bree.gov.au
Committed projects: type of fuel
•
Source: BREE 2014, Electricity generation major projects.
As at October 2014,
all committed electricity
generation projects use
renewable energy
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Installed capacity and electricity use, NEM
Installed capacity
Source: BREE, ESAA, Global roam.
bree.gov.au
Solar PV installations
Source: BREE; Clean Energy Regulator.
•
Around 1.2 million
rooftop PV installations
•
15% of Australian
households now have
solar PV
•
Solar 1.5% electricity
generation in 2012-13
bree.gov.au
Thank you
allison.ball@bree.gov.au
bree.gov.au