RISK STRATIFICATION IN HEART FAILURE ROLE OF CARDIAC I-123- MIBG IMAGING : Prof. Denis Agostini Caen University Hospital France BARCELONA 2009 Most commonly used tracers for assessment of cardiac pre-synaptic processes Pre-synaptic Adapted from Carrio I. J Nucl Med 2001; 42:1062–1076 MIBG & HEART FAILURE MILESTONE (1992-2009) MIBG and pheo neuroblastoma 1992 Prognosis Merlet et al J Nucl Med Retro and prospective Studies in US and Europe 2002 Impact of therapy on neuronal Function (exercise, BB, ACI, Sartan) and CRT 2008 European Retrospective Study Agostini et al Verberne et al EJNMMI MIBG prospective studies results 2009 Meta-analysis Verberne et al Eur Heart J Arrhythmia Bax J Circ Cardiovasc Imaging 2008 JNM 1992 J Nucl Med 1992 100 100 Survival rate H/M>120% H/M>120% H/M<120% H/M<120% DCM, n=90 0 IDCM, n=112 25 Elapsed time in months 0 24 Elapsed time in months Cardiac Sympathetic Denervation is more EXTENSIVE than the Infarct Size 99mTc SPECT 123I-mIBG Infarct Size 15.2 %LV 59.3 %LV Matsunari et al. Circ 2000 Patients with heart failure: - Prognosis stratified by semi-quantitative 123I-MIBG myocardial - parameters (i.e. early H/M, late H/M and myocardial washout). Outcome measure: - Cardiac death - Cardiac event (combination of cardiac death, myocardial infarction, heart transplantation and hospital admission due to progression of heart failure). Conclusion of MIBG meta-analysis • Reduced late H/M or increased myocardial MIBG washout is associated with a poorer prognosis • In general poor quality of performed studies : – Single center studies (Europe-Japan) – Small samples of patients in each study – No standardization of imaging methodology (collimator, HM or WO ratios…) – No MIBG-SPECT studies – No MPI Eur J Nucl Med Mol Imaging 2008 – To demonstrate the feasibility of using a standardized methodology for analysis of cardiac 123I-mIBG scintigraphy performed at multiple centres – To demonstrate the utility of 123I-mIBG uptake as measured by the heart–to-mediastinum (HMR) ratio for identifying subjects with NYHA Class II-IV CHF who experience a Major Cardiac Events (MCE) during a 24month follow-up period Death Rate vs MIBG uptake NYHA II-III Subjects, LVEF ≤ 35% (n=182) 24 22 20 18 2-Yr Death 16 14 Rate (%) 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 n 38 78 43 23 * All Cardiac Deaths (n=21) MCE Deaths (n=14) NO MCE!! <1.4 1.4-1.79 1.8-2.19 H/M Ratio ≥ 2.2 *Including 6 deaths post-transplant and 1 post-CABG. p<0.05 Prognostic Significance of [123I]mIBG Myocardial Scintigraphy in Heart Failure Patients: Results from the Prospective Multicenter International ADMIRE-HF Trial Arnold F. Jacobson, MD, PhD Roxy Senior, MD, DM, FRCP, FESC, FACC Fred Weiland, MD Harish Chandna, MD Denis Agostini, MD, PhD for the ADMIRE-HF* investigators (ACC 2009) *ADMIRE-HF: AdreView Myocardial Imaging for Risk Evaluation in Heart Failure ADMIRE HF: a landmark study • Integration of two identical open-label Phase III trials (MBG311 and MBG312) • Multicenter study 96 centres (35 EU, 57 US, 4 Canada) • July 2005 to September 2008 • 985 heart failure patients – 110 age-matched control ADMIRE-HF: AdreView Myocardial Imaging for Risk Evaluation in Heart Failure Primary Objective of ADMIRE-HF: To demonstrate the prognostic usefulness of assessment of myocardial sympathetic innervation, as determined by the heart to mediastinum (H/M) ratio on planar AdreView imaging as either normal (≥1.6) or abnormal (<1.6), for identifying HF subjects at higher risk of experiencing an adverse cardiac event. METHODS – Primary eligibility criteria • NYHA II/III HF (ischemic or non-ischemic) • LVEF≤35% • Guidelines-based management including ACE inhibitors/ARBs and beta blockers • No previous defibrillation to treat a ventricular arrhythmic event METHODS – Composite Primary Endpoint First occurrence of any of the following 3 categories of adverse cardiac events 1. HF Progression: Progression of HF stage (NYHA II to III or IV; NYHA III to IV). 2. Arrhythmic Event: • Sustained ventricular tachyarrhythmia • Appropriate ICD discharge • Aborted cardiac arrest 3. Terminal Cardiac Event: Cardiac death Demographics and Clinical Characteristics 961 HF subjects were evaluable for efficacy Variable Data Range Mean Age (yr) 62.4 20-90 Gender (M/F) (%) 80/20 - 75/14/11 - NYHA II/III (%) 83/17 - HF Etiology (I/NI) (%) 66/34 - Mean LVEF (%) 27 5-35 Median Follow-up (mo) 17 0.1-27 ACE Inhibitor/ARB (%) 94 Beta Blocker (%) 92 Race (White/Black/Other) (%) I=Ischemic; NI=Non-ischemic 2-year mortality rate (%) 12.8 - Primary Endpoint Events 237 subjects (25%) had an adverse cardiac event. First Event HF Progression Arrhythmic Event Cardiac Death Total n=163 (68%) n=50 (21%) n=24 (10%) 237 Secondary Endpoint Events 52 subjects had a second event of a different category following a first event of HF progression or arrhythmia. All Events HF Progression Arrhythmic Event Cardiac Death Total n=176 (60%) n=64 (22%) n=53* (18%) 293 *23 SCD, 24 HF death, 5 MI, 1 cardiac surgery complication Composite Primary Endpoint Cumulative Rate (%) 40 p<0.0001 H/M<1.60 30 20 H/M≥1.60 10 0 H/M<1.60 760 H/M≥1.60 201 629 178 441 141 Months Follow-up 241 85 67 28 Heart Failure Progression Cumulative Rate (%) 30 H/M<1.60 p=0.001 20 H/M≥1.60 10 0 Months Follow-up All Arrhythmic Events Cumulative Rate (%) 30 p=0.002 20 H/M<1.60 10 H/M≥1.60 0 H/M<1.60 760 H/M ≥1.60 201 678 171 503 116 299 95 Months Follow-up 84 29 Cardiac Death Cumulative Rate (%) 30 p=0.001 20 H/M<1.60 10 H/M≥1.60 0 H/M<1.60 760 H/M≥1.60 201 701 176 536 121 Months Follow-up 328 99 94 32 Representative ADMIRE-HF Subjects Based upon the H/M ratios, 2-year cardiac mortality risk for patient 1 is 10 times that of patient 3. 1 65 y/o M NYHA 2 DCM LVEF=25% H/M=0.96 Died at 8 mo HF Progression 2 51 y/o M NYHA 2 ICM LVEF=33% H/M=1.38 Died at 8 mo, SCD (No ICD) 3 64 y/o M NYHA 2 ICM LVEF=30% H/M=1.67 No event Composite Primary Endpoint Cumulative Rate (%) 50 P=0.0004 LVEF<30%, H/M<1.60 40 30 20 LVEF<30%, H/M≥1.60 10 0 Months Follow-up Conclusions • • 1. ADMIRE-HF achieved its primary efficacy objective, demonstrating the prognostic value of the AdreView uptake (H/M ratio <1.60 vs ≥1.60 on sympathetic innervation imaging) for identifying higher vs lower risk for adverse cardiac events in HF patients with LVEF≤35%. 2. The prognostic value of AdreView imaging was demonstrated for each of the categories in the composite endpoint (HF progression, arrhythmic events, cardiac death). 3. Between the highest and lowest risk subpopulations (H/M<1.20 and H/M≥1.60), there was a tenfold difference in 2-year cardiac mortality rate. CONCLUSION STRENGTHS: • Address the crucial unmet need of risk-stratifying heart failure pts • Several clinical trials in Europe and US using MIBG (700 €) OPPORTUNITIES: • Increasing # heart failure patients • Prophylactic use of ICD (> 50 000€) • Payers pressure • New technology for dual perfusion and MIBG-SPECT (ALCYONE-CZT) Adreview Leiden Study, the impact on sudden death risk stratification and ICD implantation J Bax et al Sudden Cardiac Arrest Statistics • One of the most common causes of death in developed countries: Incidence Survival (cases/year) 3,000,0001 <1% U.S. 450,0002 5% W. Europe 400,0003 <5% Worldwide • High recurrence rate % Mortality Reduction w/ ICD Rx Primary Prevention Post-MI Trials: Reduction in Mortality with ICD Therapy 73% 75% 80 Overall Death Arrhythmic 61% Death 55% 54% 60 31% 40 20 1 2 3, 4 0 MADIT 27 Months MUSTT 39 Months MADIT-II 20 Months Annual ICD implants per million inhabitants Europe and USA 250 200 150 280 250 208 180 USA 154 132 105 100 84 38 31 56 44 03 20 02 20 20 01 Europe 00 20 99 27 19 98 19 97 19 96 19 95 22 18 14 10 19 19 19 92 19 91 19 90 8 6 2,5 4 0 19 31 93 24 44 37 94 50 63 54 Updated from S. Nisam, 2000 60 2008 AHA/ACC/HRS guidelines for ICD implantation in primary prevention • Heart failure – NYHA II / III • ACS, MI > 40 days • Revascularisation > 90 days • LVEF ≤35% Primary prevention Leiden registry N= 941, 80% male, age 63 ± 11 years all CAD, 83% previous MI LVEF 29±12% ICD therapy Treated with ICD Follow-up 31 ± 24 mth 66% 34% - + What is the pathophysiological substrate for SCD in chronic CAD? • Depressed LVEF (scar) • Previous MI (scar) • Ischemia (jeopardized) • Dysfunctional but viable tissue (jeopardized) Burger vd Borg Circ 2003 MIBG Leiden Study Prediction of ICD therapy by mIBG imaging: Could mIBG imaging be the gatekeeper for ICD implantation in primary prevention of sudden death? Study Population (n = 116) 116 consecutive patients referred for ICD implantation based on guidelines for primary prevention Study Protocol Before ICD implantation: 123-I MIBG scintigraphy Planar and SPECT Early and delayed imaging 99m-Tc Tetrofosmin perfusion imaging Stress-rest protocol (adenosine) MIBG Scintigraphy Planar imaging Early Heart /Mediastinum ratio Late Heart /Mediastinum ratio Cardiac washout rate MIBG Scintigraphy SPECT imaging Early summed defect score Late summed defect score Perfusion Imaging Resting 99m-Tc Tetrofosmin Summed rest score Stress 99m-Tc Tetrofosmin Summed stress score Summed difference score 123-I MIBG/perfusion mismatch score Endpoints Clinical Follow-up From ICD implantation to first documented: Appropriate ICD therapy (prim endpoint) ATP or ICD shock induced by ventricular tachyarrhythmia ICD therapy + Cardiac mortality (sec endpoint) Study Protocol Primary endpoint (n = 24) Appropriate ICD therapy Secundary endpoint (n = 32) Composite of appropriate ICD therapy or cardiac death Predictors for Appropriate ICD Therapy – clinical variables Predictors for ICD therapy (prim endpoint) - Imaging variables Predictors for ICD therapy or cardiac death (sec endpoint) – imaging variables Case example: 75-year old male patient ICD implantation, LVEF 28% received ICD therapy Rest Perfusion imaging Delayed MIBG imaging Cumulative event rate for ICD therapy (n = 24) Cumulative event rate 79% vs. 5% 4-year follow-up data Cumulative event rate for ICD therapy or cardiac death (n = 32) Cumulative event rate 83% vs. 10% 4-year follow-up data Conclusion • The extent of denervated myocardium is related to induction of ventricular arrhythmias • Late MIBG SPECT defect size is the main predictor for ventricular arrhythmias in patients with cardiomyopathy undergoing ICD implantation for primary prevention of sudden death • MIBG may be used as gatekeeper for ICD selection