Over-Exploitation 1957 Reed Noss UCF Early 1980s Trophy fish caught on Key West charter boats (McClenachan 2009 Conserv. Biol.) 2007 8.8 Density dependence stems from relationships between population density and per capita rates of birth and death 8.9 (A) Logistic population growth of a population up to a maximum population size, Nmax 8.9 (B) Sustainable yield, Y against population size for the logistic case shown in (A) 8.10 Equilibria and population stability under constant quota exploitation 8.11 Equilibria and population stability under proportional exploitation 8.12 Probability of overexploitation in relation to mean yield of marten in commercial trapping Fryxell et al. (2010, Science) “…in reality many management agencies have limited ability to control the number of resource users or harvest effort…As a result of the openaccess philosophy typically underlying wildlife harvest management (that is, employing few restrictions on participation in hunting, instead changing quotas on an annual basis), large-scale fluctuations in abundance are to be expected.” Predicted time series for dynamic harvest-effort-quota system (A) without environmental stochasticity, and (B) with SD in environmental stochasticity From: Fryxell et al. (2010), Science Predicted probability of population collapse (to 10% of equilibrium density) in a model system with constant effort (open circles) vs. weak compensatory changes in effort (solid circles). From: Fryxell et al. (2010), Science Over-Exploitation: Greatest Threat to Marine Biodiversity? • The sea is the largest source of animal protein • • used by humans, with most of it from wild stocks Unlike the land, most animals harvested are from higher trophic levels, which tends to destabilize ecosystems Many fisheries have collapsed worldwide, e.g., Atlantic cod, Atlantic bluefin tuna, swordfish, orange roughy, several salmon stocks, several shark species, and many more Worldwide depletion of predatory fish biomass – 80% within 15 years of exploitation (Myers and Worm 2003) Cascading Effects of Collapse of Cod on Scotian Shelf (Scheffer et al. 2005) Mean size and SE of: (a) trophy fish in 1956-60, 1965-79, 1980-85, and 2007, (b) Trophy fish excluding species whose capture is currently prohibited, and (c) sharks. From McClenachan (2009), Conserv. Biol. Marine Reserves – Most Important Tool for Marine Conservation • Documented to be critical population source • • • areas for many species Result in large, rapid, and long-lasting increases in population sizes, numbers of species, and reproductive output A network of reserves in St. Lucia increased adjacent catches 46-90%; reserve zones in Merritt Island NWR have supplied increasing numbers of world record-sized fishes since 1970 Reserves need not be huge, but no-take regulations must be rigorously enforced Case 8.3 Table B Case 8.3 Table B