Aid for education after 2015: Lessons from the past decade Pauline Rose Mokoro, Oxford 29 January 2014 Aid to education decreased for the first time in 2011 16 14.4 14.4 13.4 14 12.5 11.4 12 Constant 2011 US$ billions 12.3 5.6 10.2 10 8.9 Basic education 5.7 5.4 9.2 5.3 5.0 Post-secondary education 5.1 8 4.7 6.7 4.4 4.2 6 2.7 4 2 1.1 3.0 1.2 3.3 1.4 3.6 1.3 4.2 2.0 2.0 5.1 5.2 2.5 2.5 6.2 6.2 2.2 1.7 4.6 Secondary education 5.8 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Aid to basic education decreased for 19 low income countries in 2011 Bangladesh Afghanistan Mozambique Haiti Mali D. R. Congo. Tanzania Malawi Uganda Liberia Madagascar Somalia Sierra Leone Tajikistan Mauritania Chad Guinea-Bissau Comoros D. P. R. Korea. 0 25 50 75 100 125 150 175 Constant 2011 US$ millions 2010 2011 200 225 250 275 300 Denmark Norway Sweden AfDF Netherlands France IMF Japan AsDB Special Funds World Bank (IDA) EU Institutions Germany Canada United States United Kingdom Constant 2011 US$ millions Nine of the 15 largest donors reduced aid for basic education to LICs in 2011 350 300 2010 2011 250 200 150 100 50 0 Wide variations between donors channeling aid to education via governments Total United States Germany Spain Recipient government France Donor government Unspecified public sector Norway Multilateral Netherlands NGOs & Civil Society Australia Other Canada United Kingdom Japan 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% Share of how education aid is channelled 80% 90% 100% Earmarked bilateral aid channeled through multilaterals large for UNICEF 800 USD million (constant 2011 prices) 700 600 UNICEF 500 World Bank - IDA 400 EU Institutions Asian Development Bank 300 African Development Bank 200 100 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 8 2 11 7 8 Significant partnerships Non significant partnerships 8 7 7 9 5 6 4 6 5 3 5 D. P. R. Korea 7 10 C. A. R. 16 Comoros 10 Togo Guinea 9 10 Chad Eritrea 8 10 10 The Gambia 10 Kyrgyzstan 10 Burundi 12 Somalia 8 12 Guinea-Bissau 13 Liberia Sierra Leone 12 Tajikistan Yemen 9 13 Nigeria Niger Philippines 13 Cote d'Ivoire 14 Myanmar Benin 12 12 Malawi Madagascar 16 Zimbabwe 18 Mali Rwanda 13 14 Haiti Nepal 12 14 Cambodia 4 16 Burkina Faso Pakistan 20 Uganda 6 Bangladesh D. R. Congo 22 Afghanistan Ethiopia 8 Mozambique 24 Tanzania India Kenya Number of donors Donors to education are not evenly spread across countries 23 22 22 22 21 21 21 19 19 19 19 18 18 17 16 16 15 15 14 13 13 13 13 13 12 12 12 12 12 12 11 11 11 10 10 9 8 8 7 6 5 8 4 0 20 10 20 24 22 16 16 15 15 13 33 12 12 12 11 10 10 8 8 0 8 7 7 Tanzania D. R. Congo Myanmar India Chad Philippines Nigeria D. P. R. Korea 30 30 29 Niger Uganda 27 27 Madagascar Guinea 33 The Gambia Kenya Zimbabwe 44 Ethiopia Somalia Yemen 50 Guinea-Bissau Malawi Nepal Burundi Tajikistan Cambodia Bangladesh Sierra Leone Togo Pakistan C. A. R. 60 63 Mozambique Benin Burkina Faso Cote d'Ivoire Comoros 30 Mali Liberia 40 Haiti Eritrea Afghanistan Rwanda Kyrgyzstan US$ 2011 constant prices Aid per child for many LICs does not fill the minimum spending required 70 Ensuring primary education of adequate quality is estimated to cost $131 per child 39 39 36 32 35 34 21 20 19 19 10 7 6 5 4 3 2 0 As a proportion of total recipients who receive education aid from donor Number of significant aid relations in education for UNICEF low 100% 1 90% 12 7 80% 49 70% 62 60% 50% 11 40% 52 22 30% 57 20% 54 10% 0% AsDB AfDF/ AfDB EU Institutions UNICEF World Bank Significant partnerships Non significant partnerships Extending goals to lower secondary widens finance gap to $38 billion US $ billion Financing gap US $38 billion Donors: Meet 0.7% target 1.3 Donors: Reallocate student imputed costs 3.1 DAC Aid US $3 billion Government expenditure US $36 billion Remaining financing gap 7.6 Donors: Prioritise basic & lower secondary education 6.1 Government: Increase tax base 9.9 Government: Prioritise basic education 9.8 Targets for 2015 must be set so no one is left behind due to lack of resources After 2015, financing targets should be set for countries to allocate: at least 6% of GNP on education; only 41 had reached this level by 2011 at least 20% of their budget on education; only 25 had reached this level by 2011 Financing targets should also apply to aid donors so that all funders are held to account for their promises. www.efareport.unesco.org Blog: efareport.wordpress.com #Teachlearn / @efareport