Tools for Risk Management Centered Decision-Making Dee Singh-Knights (Ph.D.), Extension Specialist WVU Ext. Service Dosingh-knights@mail.wvu.edu, 304-23-7606 Cindy Martel, Marketing Specialist WV Dept. of Ag. Cmartel@wvda.us 304-541-9756 Daisy Bailey, Extension Agent WVU Ext. Service Daisy.Bailey@mail.wvu.edu 304-462-7061 Have a good and safe product that consumers want and are willing to pay for. Promote your product to the right set of customers. Sell the right amount to be profitable. Offer product/service at the right price. Being in the right location. All of the above Diversify the income stream Generate new income Improve cash flow Help community development Educating visitors Work at home Social rewards Rank of Critical Success Factors in Agritourism (WV Agritourism Internet Survey 2014, n=144) Proportion (%) 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Financial Feasibility Managing Farm/Food Safety Manage Visitor Location Experience (proximity to other attractions) Matching Core Marketing Strong Social Assets with (understanding Skills Customer cutomers' Expectations needs) Creativity and Passion Rank of Priority Area in Designing an Agritourism/Farm-Based Education Short Course Proportion (%) 100 (WV Agritourism Internet Survey 2014, n=144) 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Managing Financial Managing Managing Visitor Risks Farm/Food Safety Experience Risks Matching Assets Building Marketing with Market Collaborations and (Traditional and Demand Partnerships Online) Field Creative/Emerging Tour/Successful Opportunities Models What experience can I offer the public that will make my operation unique and profitable? Does my region have the necessary characteristics to draw people to the area? Does my farm have the necessary resources/characteristics to draw people to this enterprise? Do we have the necessary personal characteristics to make this enterprise successful? PART A: REGIONAL CHARACTERISTICS 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. Natural Beauty Cultural and Social characteristics Recreational Offerings in Your Region Shopping and Commercial Characteristics Public Infrastructure to Support Tourism Attitudes Towards Tourists Accessibility of your Region Existing Tourism Activity Gross Total Divide Gross Total by Standardizing Factor 1. 2. 3. 4. SCORE Max. Score 25 Max. Score 25 Max. Score 25 Max. Score 25 Max. Score 25 Max. Score 25 Max. Score 25 Max. Score 25 Max. Score 200 20 NET REGIONAL CHARACTERISTIC SCORE MAX 10 PART B: PROPERTY CHARACTERISTICS SCORE Natural or Farm Features Built Features and Cultural Artifacts Site Infrastructure and Safety Business Potential and Human Resource Features Gross Total Divide Gross Total by Standardizing Factor NET PROPERTY CHARACTERISTIC SCORE Max. Score 25 Max. Score 25 Max. Score 25 Max. Score 25 Max. Score 100 10 MAX 10 Adapted from the “Farm and Country Tourism on your Property: Assessment Tool” of the CRC for Sustainable Tourism Development, Queensland, Australia. This module provides questions for you to think about as you explore “who am I in business with”? Link offerings - The region is the destination. Make it easier for travelers to locate options Make a connection with already established trails, groups, packages, etc. Collaborate! Work to create the entire tourism experience or the tourism ―package!!. Similar businesses or nearby communities aren‘t competition, they are part of your tourism product! ◦ The more there is to do, the more appealing a place becomes. Understanding your Target Market (Customer) Authentic Farm or Ranch Experience Memorable Social, Recreational and/or Educational Experience Effective Customer Service Adequate Public Facilities Safe and Accessible Environment Meaningful Community Relations Source: Agricultural Marketing Resource Center, Iowa State University, http://www.agmrc.org Agritourism Agri-Entertainment Specialty Market (price premiums for valueadded, unique value) What is the economic feasibility of this enterprise? What are the potential returns relative to the costs from this investment? Are there considerable upfront costs to be incurred? Do I have the necessary financial resources to make this successful? When a farm business borrows money it has an obligation to repay debt. If you invest in this agritourism business: ◦ Can I afford the interest (cost of capital) ◦ Can I meet cash obligations when due ◦ Can I make a profit and grow equity ◦ What is my cost of production relative to my revenue - will my business pay for my inputs and give me enough to live on ◦ How many visitors/customers must I pursue to meet financial goals ◦ How much should I charge for my product ◦ What does it take to make a living with this business Goats Farm Tours Farm Sheep Petting and play area Gift Shop (clothing, cheese, milk, meat) Agritourism operation only – Petting zoo Sample Enterprise Budget – On Farm Festival/Activity Sample Enterprise Budget – Christmas Tree Farm Sample Enterprise Petting Zoo Start with Main Enterprise Budget (main profit center) ◦ Sweet Corn Enterprise Budget ◦ Maple Syrup Enterprise Budget ◦ Strawberries Enterprise Budget ◦ Meat Goats Enterprise Budget How will my main enterprise change if I add an agritourism enterprise – Partial Budget ◦ Changes in returns ◦ Changes in costs Increases in Net Income Increase in Income Entrance fees Gift shop sales Total Increase Decrease in Cost Eliminate need for one employee Total Decrease Increase in Net Income Decreases in Net Income Decrease in Income $10,000 $4,000 $14,000 Total Decrease $0 $0 $0 $3,000 Increase in Cost Adding seating, washrooms, signs $500 $0 $0 Play area for kids Construction and utilities for gift shop $500 $1,000 $0 $0 $3,000 Liability insurance Employ one part-time employee Total Increase $100 $6,160 $8,260 $17,000 Decrease in Net Income $8,260 Change in Net Income $8,740 What is the economic feasibility of this enterprise? Can I deliver this product at a reasonable cost? Can I attract enough people to my enterprise to make it profitable? Total Fixed Costs (TFC): $4,000 Insurance - $1,000 Parking Lot Improvements - $1,000 Farm Market Improvements - $1,500 Child play area - $500 Total Variable Costs (VC): $80 Wages/hour (5 workers @ $7/hr.) $35 Desired proprietor income - $40 Giveaways/Promotion - $5 Cost charged per tour (P): $120 Break-Even Point (BE) = TFC/(P - VC) BE = $4000/($120 - $40) BE = 50 farm tours to cover Wages and Promotion Break-Even Point (BE) = TFC/(P - VC) BE = $4000/($120 - $80) BE = 100 farm tours to cover all Variable Costs Changes in Cost per Tour: ◦ Cost per Tour $100 = need 200 tours ◦ Cost per Tour $120 = need 100 tours ◦ Cost per Tour $140 = need 67 tours Changes in Proprietor's Income: ◦ Proprietor's desired Income/Tour $20 = need 67 tours ◦ Proprietor's desired Income/Tour $40 = need 100 tours ◦ Proprietor's desired Income/Tour $60 = need 200 tours Will I be able to generate enough cash on a regular basis to pay daily operating expenses? Can I pay my bills when they come due Liquidity? ◦ Provides information on the farm’s ability to meet financial obligations when they come due ◦ Helps to identify the sources and uses of cash in the business ◦ Early warning system for cash flow shortages ◦ Does NOT provide an estimate of profitability ◦ Helps plan for cash fluctuations in the business Uncertainty due to legal actions. Civic responsibility – serious health issues, even fatal Required in some instances What regulations apply depends on: ◦ Type of product/service ◦ Level of interaction with hazards ‘Another petting zoo, another e-coli outbreak’ ◦ http://www.foodpoisonjournal.com/tags/e-coli-lawyer/ Developing an on-farm food safety plan ◦ Familyfarmed.org food safety plan Agritourism General Farm Safety Plan ◦ Agritourism General Farm Safety Assessment Checklist Agritourism Emergency Response & Legal Liability ◦ Agritourism Emergency Response & Legal Liability Assessment Checklist Understanding the market Who is the potential customer? What is the potential market size? Knowing your competition What is your unique marketing position/advantage? How you will reach your potential customer? Making the sale Remember, selling is just one part of marketing! ◦ Customer follow-up and retention ◦ Building a brand and creating community ◦ Continuously monitor and enhance your firm’s reputation and image Online marketing goals mirror those of traditional marketing. You are trying to: ◦ Reach the customer ◦ Give your product pitch ◦ Make the sale ◦ Provide customer follow-up and support ◦ Retain customers ◦ Establish and maintain your business image ◦ Build a brand Trying to do all of this PROFITABLY!!! This module provides questions for you to think about as you explore the question of ‘should I develop a business plan?” A business plan help you to: ◦ Identify an opportunity ◦ Understand how you can meet that need ◦ Determine if you can do it profitably ◦ Determine how you will let customers know you are in business and how your business can benefit them. Planning does not begin after production, but well before the first seed is planted. Identify Values–What’s important to you?. Where are you and what have you got? Where do you want to go? How can you get there? Which routes will you take? How will you monitor progress? This module provides a 3-day of successful agritourism operations in North Carolina Cindy Martel, Marketing Specialist WV Dept. of Agriculture Cmartel@ag.state.wv.us 304-541-9756 Daisy Bailey, Extension Agent WVU Ext. Service Daisy.Bailey@mail.wvu.edu 304-462-7061