Lecture 2 Innovation Management GM0401 Johan Brink Wednesday 8 sep This lecture The external context of innovation • Techno-economic paradigm • Increased R&D spending • Innovation system • Handout case 1 Techno-economic growth • GDP= F (Land, Capital, labor, TFP) Economy Share of national output GDP growth Share contributed by Germany 1960-90 0,4 US 1960-90 Capital Labor TFP 3,2 59 -8 49 0,41 3,1 45 42 13 Argentina 1940-80 0,54 3,6 43 26 31 Singapore 1966-90 0,37 7,3 42 28 30 Techno-economic growth • Total Factor Productivity – Advances in knowledge 20-50% – Catch-up effect (adoption of existing technologies) – Structural/improved allocation of resources 10-20% (from low productivity to high) – Economies of scale 20-40% – Foreign trade effect – Unexplained Techno-economic paradigm • Revolution & Improvement – Opportunities • Application & Prosperity – Saturation of markets • Stagnation, Recession & Depression – Low rates & Speculation Techno-economic paradigm • Kondratiev: Technoeconomic ~50 year • Kuznets: Infrastructural investment ~20 • Juglar: Fixed investment ~10 • Kitchin: Inventory ~3 - 5 Joseph Schumpeter proposed cluster of innovations as an explanation Increased R&D spending • In 1676, Isaac Newton wrote famously to Robert Hooke, “If I have seen further it is by standing on the shoulders of giants.” • (Forever) Increasing returns? – Fishing out ideas –increase R&D cost – Takes increasingly long time to learn accumulated knowledge – Specialization –”Death of renaissance man” – Teamwork & management Increased R&D spending Global R&D spending by top 25 corporations: 2006 Company (country) R&D rank R&D expense ($million s) Sales ($million s) R&D/sales ratio (%) 2006 2005 2006 2006 2006 Toyota Motor (Japan) 1 4 7,486 201,254 3.7 Pfizer (United States) 2 2 7,423 48,201 15.4 Ford Motor (United States) 3 1 7,200 160,123 4.5 Johnson & Johnson (United States) 4 8 7,125 53,194 13.4 Microsoft (United States) 5 7 7,121 51,122 13.9 DaimlerChrysler (Germany) 6 3 7,007 199,246 3.5 GlaxoSmithKline (United Kingdom) 7 9 6,611 45,263 14.6 Siemens (Germany) 8 5 6,604 114,779 5.8 General Motors (United States) 9 6 6,600 207,349 3.2 Volkswagen (Germany) 10 12 6,030 137,846 4.4 Samsung Electronics (South Korea) 11 10 5,943 91,038 6.5 Intel (United States) 12 14 5,873 35,382 16.6 Sanofi-Aventis (France) 13 13 5,823 37,293 15.6 International Business Machines (US) 14 11 5,682 91,424 6.2 Roche Holding (Switzerland) 15 17 5,359 34,192 15.7 Novartis (Switzerland) 16 18 5,349 36,031 14.8 Nokia (Finland) 17 15 5,122 54,049 9.5 Matsushita Electric (Japan) 18 16 4,858 76,543 6.3 Honda Motor (Japan) 19 20 4,638 93,174 5.0 Innovation systems What is a system? Innovation systems What is a system? Macroeconomic and regulatory context International networks Education and training system Science system Cluster of industries Firms and innovations Product markets Communication and infrastructure Supporting institutions Factor markets Innovation systems Stemcells 2001 Laws History Macroeconomic and regulatory context International networks Education and training system Science system Cluster of industries Firms and innovations Product markets Communication and infrastructure Supporting institutions Factor markets Innovation systems • Regional Marshall,1890 ...and again in the 70ties – Industrial districts Innovation systems Clusters • Traded • Non-traded Diamond model; M. Porter (The competitive advantage of nations) Innovation systems • Technological – Generation – Diffusion – Utilization CASE 1 What to do? • Answer the questions: 3 pages, New Times Roman 12 • Prepare slides/presentations (~20 min) • Send text and slides no later than 18.00 Tuesday 14/9 • There are two groups per company – Only one group will present, the other will lead the discussion (ask questions, and complement with their ideas) • Use all sources of info such as the web, papers.. Questions • Describe the development and the potential future of the firm in terms of PLC • Describe the development and the potential future of the firm in terms of TLC • How does the Innovation system look like? • Are there any barriers limiting the diffusion of this product? What do they look like? • What would you advice the firm to do in order to increase sales (product diffusion) in; – The short run? – The long run? Case firm Groups Neonode: neonode.com (Mobile industry) Group One Group A Group B Group gg The 6 Stooges The Swedes & the Mexican Tesla: Teslamotors.com (Automotive industry) Ocean Harvesting: oceanharvesting.com (Environmental technologies) Some additional material Wave energy • http://www.oceanharvesting.com • http://www.iea-oceans.org/_fich/6/Annual_Report_2009_v2.pdf • http://ec.europa.eu/environment/etap/ Electric Car • http://www.Teslamotors.com • http://www.acea.be/ - Printed • http://www.innovateuk.org/ourstrategy/innovationplatforms/lowcarbonvehicle s.ashx Telecom • http://www.neonode.com/ • http://www.gsmarena.com/neonode-phones-22.php -Neonode old products • Ericsson Trends - Printed