TELECOM-THE INDIAN
GROWTH ENGINE
Keynote Presentation
By
NK Goyal, President CMAI
Chairman Emeritus, TEMA
Vice Chairman ITU APT; Chairman, ITPS Dubai
Member, Governing Board Telecom Equipment and Services
Export Promotion Council (Govt. of India)
Communique-International Telecom Seminar
SITM Pune, September 23rd 2011
www.nkgoyals.com, www.cmai.asia, +91 98 111 29879
http://in.linkedin.com/in/nkgoyals,
http://www.facebook.com/cmai.nkgoyal
CES, 2009 being inaugurated and ribbon cutting at Las Vegas on 8th January, 2009 by NK Goyal with Sir
Howard Stringer, Chairman & CEO of Sony Corporation, Mr. Tom Hanks, the American movie star,
Mr.Gary Yacoubian, Chairman CEA & President of Myer-Emco AudioVideo, Mr. Gary Saprio, Vice
President of CEA, Ms. Qu., Presixdent, CECC China, Mr. Patrick Lavelle, President and CEO of Audiovox,
Mr. Peter Lesser, President and CEO of X-10 (USA) Inc, Mr. Loyd Ivey, Chairman and CEO of MiTek
Electronics and Communications, Mr. Jay McLellan, President and CEO of Home Automation, Inc. (HAI),
Mr. Mike Mohr, President of Celluphone, Mr.Grant Russell, President of Kleen Concepts
Telecom in Asia
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Asia is a region of superlatives in the ICT arena with
over two billion telephones, including 1.4 billion
mobile subscribers, and 42 per cent of the world’s
Internet users
Telco TV service revenue in the Asia-Pacific region is
expected to reach US$ 8bn by the end of 2014,
representing a CAGR of 45.5% between 2009 and
2014
Asia is also the world’s largest broadband market
with a 39 per cent share of the world’s total
Advantage India
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At $ 1.15 Tr India is the third largest consumer on PPP basis.
India ranks better than China and Vietnam on the Index of
Economic Freedom although it is lower than the world average as
awarded by The Heritage Foundation and WALL STREET JOURNAL.
India scores higher than China and Vietnam on “World Rankings
property rights”, which describes the protection of property and
intellectual property rights
India has a score of 38 on “economic measure of income
inequality” better than China (47) US (45) Japan(38) but poorer to
UK (34). Shows equal distribution of wealth.
The annual supply of science and engineering graduates is higher
than China and other developed countries
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Over 2.3 million graduates and 0.7 million post-graduates each year
2nd largest pool of scientists/ engineers in the world
Highest number of qualified engineers, second on trained doctors
389 universities, 14,169 colleges, 1,500 research institutions
India’s Electronics Potential
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Current India Electronic Hardware market size about US $ 34 Bn.
out of which production $16.1 Bn. Ranked 26th in the world in sales,
29th in production
Demand growing 25% CAGR, from 4% of GDP to 12% by 2015 ie.
320 Bn. Total production may go up to $ 150 Bn. And exports $ 21
Bn. with employment potential of 21 Mn.
Consumer Electronics (CE) is the largest segment of the Electronics
sector. It contributes 33% to the Electronics production in the
Country.
Nationwide TV broadcast to be digital by 2015, significant
opportunity for STB consumption & manufacturing
PC sales, ITES/Software Exports, Internet, Broadband all set to grow
India’s e-Governance Plan- Giving
birth to an entire web-based economy
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The size of Indian IT industry estimated as $76 Bn.
National e-Governance Plan (NeGP) announced in May 2006 by
Government of India envisages massive countrywide infrastructure
reaching down to the remotest of villages and large-scale digitization
of records. It comprises of 27 Mission Mode Projects and eight
components.
Government`s own State Wide Area Network (SWAN) project already
in place for intra-government connectivity under which every block
level government office in the country across 27 states is connected.
The speed is planned to be upgraded to 2 Mbps.
Projects are upcoming for computerization including public sector
banks & insurance co. with estimated cost Rs 20,000 Cr
In the next couple of years the industry is expected to grow by 22-25
percent.
Infrastructure Investments
of India
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Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee
allocated 12.14 trillion to be spent on
infrastructure for 2011-12 in the annual
budget, a 23.3 percent increase over
the current fiscal year, and projected a
40.99 trillion investment for
infrastructure development during the
12th Plan.
BELL’S TELEPHONE
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Alexander Graham Bell, keenly interested in the
education of deaf people, invented the microphone
and in 1876 his "electrical speech machine," ie
today’s telephone. Bell set up the first telephone
exchange in New Haven, Connecticut in 1878. By
1884, long distance connections were made between
Boston, Massachusetts and New York City.
Since his death in 1922, the telecommunication
industry has undergone an amazing revolution.
Today, non-hearing people are able to use a special
display telephone to communicate.
Bell's "electrical speech machine" paved the way for
the Information Superhighway. Fiber Optics are
improving the quality and speed of data
transmission.
Convergence
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Tremendous convergence of the Information
Technology is happening now a days. There was a
time when handsets were used to make phone calls
and talk to the people and desktops and laptops were
used to surf the net. Now, the handset is being used
via 3G technology, to do video conferencing, to talk
to each other, to have night chats on handsets and
we are using mobile to surf the net.
There are more opportunities, now, for youth to find
new and dynamic ideas, to be more creative, to
participate in this ever changing dynamic sector.
Indian Telecom
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World’s highest monthly additions – 15-18 Million plus subscriber
Second largest in the world after China
892.55 Mn. subscribers
281 state-of-the art Networks (GSM+CDMA)
24 National Long Distance & 19 ILD Licensees
Lowest tariff but highest profitability.
Lowest Call Rates in the World
India ranks highest in Mobile monthly Minutes of Usages per
subscriber in Asia Pacific Region and second to USA in the world….500
minutes per month
Innovative approach of doing business at lowest operation costs.
Innovative value added concepts…missed calls, rural applications,
lowest prepaid charge
India Telecom Investment
Opportunities
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Indian Telecom sector to witness huge investments to the tune of $
110 Bn. during 2012-2017
Telecom Subscribers to cross 1.5 billion by 2015 and 5 billion by 2020.
About 25 per cent ( Appx. 300 million) would be 3G/4G subscribers,
which would require scaling up the infrastructure.
About $ 70 Bn. is estimated to be invested in rolling out green field
2G, 3G/4G and WiMax networks, while $ 25 Bn. would be required to
set up an extra 200,000-odd telecom towers across the country.
The total investment in the pan-India broadband rollout is expected to
be $ 20 Bn, while another $ 20 Bn. will be invested in augmenting the
transmission network.
CONTINUED WIRELESS
GROWTH EXPECTED DUE TO
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Booming economy, rising income, increasing available
disposable surplus
Continued big demand, rural potential
New Operators bringing in competition, spread and cheaper
tariffs
Introduction of 3G, Wimax technologies
Operators allowed intra service roaming
Mobile Handsets costs substantially reduced
FDI 74% in operations and 100% for manufacturing
Rural Telecom, Broadband, VAS market
New Innovative services, Mobile payments, location based
services
Broadband Global Status
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Universal broadband service has become a priority
for all Countries.
578 million worldwide broadband subscribers as of
December, 2010
Consumer enthusiasm for broadband service. By
2013 the number of global broadband subscribers will
surpass 1 billion.
The growing popularity of bandwidth-intensive
applications, such as watching online video, using IPbased telephony services, and downloading music
files, is spurring global demand for broadband
Internet connections.
India Broadband Status
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12.50 Mn. Broadband subscribers( 256 Kbps) as on
March, 2011.
10% increase in broadband penetration increases
GDP of a developing Country by 1.38%.(World Bank)
The penetration would also generate 20 million jobs
Targeting a whopping 14-fold increase in the
broadband from 1.1 Crore Subscribers during 2010 to
7.5 Crore by 2012 and 16 Crore by 2014.
National Optical Fiber
Network ( NOFN)
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NOFON envisages to connect 5,00,000 villages with the internet
broadband services in the next two years.
This was in response to TRAI, Indian Telecom Regulator
proposal to create National Broadband Backbone with around Rs
17,000 Crore laying fiber cables from Universal Services
Obligations (USO) funds
The optical fibre network would help various service providers
and users get broadband through a variety of wired and
wireless solutions.
Opportunities for Green
Technologies
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In spite of having low greenhouse gas emissions per capita, India
has already become the 3th largest emitter in the world, according to
the International Energy Association. That means immense
international pressure to respond.
As per Greenpeace the Indian telecom sector requires 14 billion units
of energy and it ends up consuming around 2 billion liters of diesel.
Energy requirement projected to reach 26 billion units by 2012
TRAI, Indian telecom regulator proposed 50 per cent of all towers in
the rural areas are powered by hybrid renewable sources by the year
2015. Total towers estimated 4,00,000.
Hence large opportunity to develop and cooperate in alternate
energy for telecom sector.
Solar Energy Potential
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Solar energy potential in India is estimated about 70GW by 2022 with Over
$42 Bn. investment
India gets 300 sunny days a year that can help generate estimated 5 trillion
MW of energy
Govt. Committed to support the solar energy scale-up while also reducing
solar costs. Over 1,600 MW of Power Purchase Agreements(PPAs) have
already been signed.
Capital costs for solar projects have dropped from INR 15-16 Crore/MW to
INR 12-13 Crore/MW.
Renewable Purchase Obligation (RPO) is being implemented across the
country. Under this Distribution companies and captive consumers will have
to source 5% to 15% over ten years of their energy from renewable
sources. Within this, there is a solar-specific RPO of 0.25%, slated to grow
to 3% over the same time frame. The RPOs will be implemented through
Renewable Energy Certificates (RECs)
Indian UID Project
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India Govt. has started first of its kind project in the world
Unique Identification Authority of India (UIDAI)
Over 10 $ Bn. projected investment in National ID and E
Governance.
Under this unique identity number will be issued to 600 Mn. of
Indian population by 2014.
Single identity paradigm would facilitate giving identity to
citizens, enable tracking of end to end service delivery,
subscription to new services, help tracking people related with
security concerns.
This project offers tremendous opportunities for technology and
products.
Indian VAS Market
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SMS continues as world over highest revenue generator
Ring tones and SMS account for large portion of VAS market.
About 8,00,000 ring tones downloaded daily
In India Revenue from VAS presently is 10-14% of total
revenue, expected to grow 30% within next 5-7 years.
VAS core component of operators revenue
 High end users....video on demand, user generated content
ie. interface between web and mobile
 Long tail users, who focus on contents subsidized by ads.
Good scope for utility based services eg. Location information,
M commerce etc.
Gaming coming up in big way. 30% of games download in
Category B/C towns.
Mobile advertisement picking up. Global revenue from mobile
advertisement expected to grow $ 10-20 Mill by 2011
The Indian mobile VAS) expected to reach US$ 5.8 Bn. by
2013, from US$ 2.0 Bn. in 2009. Currently,
Smart Grid Opportunities
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India will continue to experience insatiable energy demand growth
over the next several years, giving rise to perfect storm.
India offers $400 billion opportunity in building energy
infrastructure. From current installed base of 170 GW, India will
build up to 316 GW by 2020. Additionally, the National Solar Mission
is going to add 20,000 MW of solar energy in next 10 years.
In the same time-frame, the demand gap will grow from 19GW to
103GW, an increase of five times.
In this scenario, all types of energy have opportunitiesconventional, nuclear, and renewable including Smart Grid
applications.
SOCIAL NETWORKING
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India currently has 50 Mn. mobile web users. The growing popularity
of mobile social networking can also be attributed to youth. Youth
being mobile savvy as well as enthusiastic users of social networking
sites are setting the trend, attributing to the rise of social networking
through mobiles.
Approximately 10 Mn. urban Indians used their mobile phones for
engaging in social networking during quarter ending August, 2009, a
reach of 3.3% among urban Indian mobile phone user. It also
overtook China to take the 3rd place in the global mobile internet
industry.
7 out of top 20 sites Indian internet users are visiting are in the arena
of social media. 4 out of top 20 most visited sites in India are social
networking sites. More than 70% people who are online are engaging
with social media on some or the other platform.
Mobile Commerce and
Social Commerce
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About 7 per cent of the overall internet users in India are
active on line shoppers. This is likely to grow to 25% in
next three years with more mobile users and growing
mobile commerce applications on use.
Social commerce is also expected to grow substantially as
it could prove to be a key revenue model for social sites.
This can be achieved either by creating a universal social
currency or through social apps that will either help
people transact or provide consumer feedback about a
specific product or brand.
Content Distribution
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One of the key digital milestones in 2010 was the streaming of IPL
matches on YouTube. This triggered many TV channels into
creating their respective channels on YouTube to use them as
delivery mechanisms and retain user engagement. Large production
houses like Balaji Telefilms as well as startups like CoolDose.com
began creating exclusive videos for the web.
Entertainment might take a whole new meaning as more channels
are expected to create and produce content specifically for the web.
TV sets may transform into internet devices with the ability to
navigate and access on demand content.
Telecom Equipments
Manufacturing
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India import 40 to 50 Bn $ of electronic hardware
presently.
Demand for telecom equipment in 2009-10 was pegged
at Rs 547.65 Bn. or about 5.5 per cent of the total
global demand. This is projected to grow to Rs 965.14
billion by 2015 and Rs 1,700.91 billion by 2020.
TRAI, Indian telecom regulator proposed telecom firms
to source 80 per cent of their network equipment and
other related infrastructure from domestic
manufacturers in a phased manner.
Global Mobile Handset
Market
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Over 2 Bn. people worldwide will own at least one smart phone in
2015, with unit sales growing over 175% from 2010. (Parks
Associates )
Global mobile handset industry valued at appx $133bn in 2009
likely to grow at CAGR of 17.1% during 2009–14 to reach $293bn
by 2014.
India and China largely driving growth of smart phones in Asia
Pacific, which constituted 47% of total of 112 Mn. shipments during
2009. Likely to grow more than 50% by 2014 with total shipment
forecasted 712 Mn.
Smart phones contributed 79 % of profits during 2009 even though
market share was hardly 17%.
Diesel in Telecom
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Global NGO Greenpeace says diesel consumed by telecom
companies for providing power at telecom towers is causing an
estimated loss of Rs 2,600 crore annually to the government in
form of subsidy.
the sector require 26 Bn Kw. of electricity and 3 Bn. Litres of
diesel by 2012 which will enhance carbon emission from the
country to significant level.
Subsidy of Rs 7 to Rs 11 per litre on diesel reduces the cost of
the fuel by around 21 per cent
sector consumption of diesel grown to 300 crore litres by FY11end
telecom sector spend Rs 12,600 crore annually on diesel fuel
and on removing subsidy of 21 per cent from diesel cost of
diesel fuel for telecom sector would go to Rs 15,200 crore
annually.
Mobile Entertainment
Opportunities
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Asia Pacific has more than 57% share in global mobile
entertainment industry.
Global Mobile Entertainment industry expected to grow
at CAGR of 19 % from 19 $ Bn. In 2008 to $54bn by
2014.
Mobile music, the largest contributor, expected to grow
at CAGR of 13 % from $10bn in 2008 to $21bn by 2014.
Mobile video, the second largest revenue generator,
expected to grow 36 % CAGR, from $2bn in 2008 to
$14bn 2014.
Growing Data Traffic
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Mobile data traffic is expected to double every year
through 2013.This boost in traffic is eating up bandwidth
and providing a threat to everyone's user experience.
Apple's iPhone, and the G1 Google phone, mobile video
are creating a dramatic increase in mobile Internet
traffic. This increased mobile data usage could
eventually suffocate network bandwidth and clog
wireless networks.
Increased usage of internet-centric phones, more
multimedia rich applications, and the increase in sharing
of data using mobile devices provides a threat to
existing capacity and operator profitability.
Global IPTV Market
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Subscriptions from IPTV-based companies
including telco companies will almost double
in three years to 70 million from 30 million at
the end of 2010
IPTV Revenues to grow $27 Bn. by2014 from
12.9 Bn $ in 2010
Within India also demand for IPTV is rising
and offers vast opportunities.
Opportunities in Cloud
Computing
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The cloud computing market in India is expected to grow at
a CAGR of 40 per cent by 2015 to Rs 11,200 Crores ( $3 Bn.)
from an estimated $66.7 million in 2009, $ 500 Mn. In 2011
driven by cost and performance efficiencies
During the same period, the global revenues from cloud
services will grow from $29 Bn. to over $70 Bn.
Some well know cloud services today are Google's search,
Apple's iTunes, Amazon Web Services, Microsoft's Azure..
As compute loads grow 10 times, 100 times and even 1,000
times, there is need for new architectures for IT systems.
Telecom Challenges
Worldwide
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Health and environmental concerns resulting in several law suits, myths
and alarms.
Consumer concerns on quality, tariff and after sale service issues.
Use of telecom network by terrorists, ant social activities
Technology misuse in all sorts of crime ranging from credit card fraud
to data theft to simple defamation. Regulatory means for this and also
to avoid unsecured wireless networks.
Increasing awareness of restrictions sought for use of mobiles in
schools, public areas, while driving, offices etc. For ex.
New York banning cell phones in schools and Indian Parliament
Committee examining need for reasonable restrictions in use of mobile.
Technology Battles
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Telecom is characterized by Hype and Technology debates.
At any given time there must be a live technology debate in
telecom era.
The question for network operators is no longer which
technology is best--WiMAX or LTE--but which application will
compel consumers and enterprises to upgrade to 4G. Will it be
video? Or will it just be more bandwidth for the always-on,
always-available wireless broadband connection that consumers
have come to expect?
Hype v/s reality
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Internet speed….India Govt. says 256 Kbps, vendors
talk of 2 Mbps….as per TRAI no body even gets 256
Kbps.
We hear faster speed…but what and under what
conditions…no body declares
There is no one in the world who knows for sure
where we are heading or how we will get there.
Hype: LTE will provide about 50 Mbps data services.
Fact: Only in a lab where there is a 20 MHz wide LTE
system and there is only one user.
Everybody wants everything
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Nokia-Microsoft tie-up( announced August, 2009) for
Office software- v/s Blackberry RIM
Nokia offerings cost less than those from RIM, and
require less investment.
Nokia backs Symbian, an operating system that
competes directly with Microsoft's Windows Mobile
platform.
Google bringing enterprise-focused additions to their
Android platform,
Apple has long been pushing its iPhone into the
Corporate space.
Goggle becoming telecom
company
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Google, search giant & an online advertising company inching toward disrupting
the telecommunications industry
In 2006 Wi Fi launched free citywide in Mountain View, California, Goggle
Headquarters.
In 2008 was interest to acquire spectrum but dropped plans
Launched Android operating system and Nexus one phone
Launched Google Voice, the universal telephone number and voice mail system.
A new Goggle number manages all different lines. Call to Google Voice number
sets the account to have all your phones ring. The call is converted into IP.
Voicemails can also be transcribed and sent as email or sms to mobile.
By giving a new number that’s not attached to a provider, Google decouples
phone number from a carrier in the same way that your email address is no
longer attached to your Internet provider. Hence it weakens dependence on any
particular telecom provider.
So question is Is Google an Internet company that offers voice service, or a
voice company whose calls originate over the Internet?
Recognition of Fixed
Broadband
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Google during February, 2010 announced
plans to build and test ultra high-speed upto
1 GBps broadband networks in a small
number of trial locations across the United
States to serve 50,000 to 500,000
subscribers. It will be on principles of net
neutrality.
Goggle aims to try out new ways to build and
operate fiber networks and share what they
learn with the world.
Arc Rivals coming together
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AT&T earlier only allowed WiFi connections and
prevented VoIP iPhone application from running on
its 3G network. Now they have allowed Skype's
iPhone app to transmit low-cost calls across its
AT&T's cellular network
Verizon in October announced a partnership with
longtime rival Google. This has produced several
Verizon-powered Android phones. Verizon also said
it would support Google Voice.
Skype has been challenged telecom operators over
closed network mentality. In February, 2010 Verizon
and Skype jointly addressed Press Conference at
Barcelona and announced
Beyond imagination
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Fixed phone to Mobile
Cable & Wireless & RIM are to allow businesses to route a fixed
call to a Black Berry phone. The technology also allows a mobile
to act as a landline when the user is inside the office,
transferring traffic to the fixed voice network, at the same cost
as a landline call. Meanwhile, when the user is outside the
building, they will roam onto a mobile network.
O2’s provides ‘Mobile Landline’ or ‘fixed number anywhere’ to
dealers as an add-on for customers.
This allows small businesses to take incoming landline calls
directly on mobile phone. Upto 5 fixed numbers can be port to
one mobile AND one fixed number can be ported upto 10
mobiles.
New Innovations costing
others and now self?
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Almost every week a new application is announced which also aims to
take additional revenue from existing others. And slowly it has started
affecting the industry itself.
And it also comes back to operators:
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Mobile VoIP is moving beyond its initial function as a new
mechanism to get inexpensive international/local calls.
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MVNOs and 3G operators without legacy networks using Mobile
VoIP to more cost effectively add voice to data offerings.
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While Mobile VoIP still poses a direct threat to operator voice
revenue, it also represents a dynamic new capability that promises
numerous applications.
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Skype and Vonage have influenced users to think of voice as a data
application.
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As user habits are being shaped by rich on-line communication
experiences, mobile carriers control over devices and data
applications is waning.
By 2013 Mobile VoIP applications will generate annual revenues of
$32.2 billion, driven by over 278 million registered users worldwide.( In
stat)
Security Threats
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India offers big market for security related technologies for
networks, customers.
The speed with which criminals are capitalizing on world events,
growing collaboration among cybercriminals and a growing
threat from disgruntled former employees.
Less than 24 hours after the news of Michael Jackson’s death
first broke, spammers had sent more than 5 billion spam emails,
reaching a peak of more than 5% of global spam
The creators of the Conficker worm, which infected an
estimated 9 million computers starting late last year, had
established an agreement with the makers of the spambot,
Waledac, to help monetize eachother’s efforts in a partnership
of product and distribution.
Technological innovations are required to address these issues.
RIM makers of blackberry says UAE Etisalat issued update
during July, 2009 for increasing performance was actually spay
ware. It could allow unauthorized access to private information
and emails and it reduces drastically battery life.
We talk of Speed in Telecom?
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JOHANNESBURG South Africa 11-month-old pigeon
took one hour and eight minutes to fly the 50 miles
from Unlimited IT's offices near Pietermaritzburg to
the coastal city of Durban with a data card strapped
to its leg.
Including downloading, the transfer took two hours,
six minutes and 57 seconds — the time it took for
only four percent of the data to be transferred using
a line provided by Telkom.
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/32772500/ns/world_
news-weird_news/ September, 2009
LTE SPEED
http://www.fiercebroadbandwireless.com/story/vodafone-no-lteeurope-2010/2009-07-09?utm_medium=nl&utm_source=internal
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Ericsson UK's CTO John Cunliffe,
"The technical guys know that advertising those big speeds is
damaging, but they're the numbers the marketing guys want to push,"
"It's difficult, if one company is advertising the maximum speed, for
another to then turn around and advertise the likely speed. It's going
to need everybody to be honest."
While the technology is theoretically capable of hitting 150 Mbps,
Ericsson admits they are unlikely to be replicated in the real world. A
company spokesman suggested users could see an improvement of
around "10 times over their current experience on a 3.6 Mbps mobile
broadband connection."
Cunliffe said Ericsson's road map will see the vendor moving from 150
Mbps to 300 Mbps and then 600 Mbps during the initial phase of LTE.
Advanced versions of the technology will exceed 1 Gbps, but that
capability is a ways off.
Operators fined for
charging what was stated free
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June, 2009 Verizon paid $ 1.5 Mill. to Florida
State as settlement for third-party charges
that appeared on consumers' bills. The
customers were charged for ring tones,
wallpapers and other mobile content that had
been marketed as free
February,2009 AT&T Mobility refunded
thousands of Florida consumers for the same
problem. AT&T agreed to pay Florida $2.5
million and contribute $500,000 toward
consumer education on safe Internet use.
CMAI ICOMM 2012
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7TH CMAI India International Communications
Fair 2012
Mobiles Tablets Consumer Electronics
14-15 September, 2012
NSIC Expo Grounds | New Delhi | India
The Biggest Buyer Sourcing Platform-One to One
Business Meetings
Best Partner for Market Expansion, Lead
Generation in India’s Mobile Handset and
Electronics Industry
Priorities for World
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Global Poverty & inequality
Inspite of quite phenomenal growth during last decade
Almost half of the world’s population lives below the poverty line
The lower 50% possess less than 1% of the world’s wealth
Over a billion people suffer from chronic malnutrition
Three billion do not have access to clean water or proper sanitation
Along with poverty, inequality has risen dramatically and dangerously
The Millennium Development Goals (MDGs), adopted in 2000, were
meant to solve these issues by 2015. Not much hope to achieve that.
Climate Change… A SERIOUS ISSUE
While climate change has been described as the greatest challenge
(and threat) mankind has ever had to face, it could also be the
greatest opportunity. It will ultimately stand out as the test of whether
humanity can engage in collaborative survival or is doomed to
conflictual destruction.
Sustainable and inclusive development is possible. Are we ready to
work for it?
Protectionism by Countries
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World leaders pledged to resist protectionism and support free trade in
order to speed the economic recovery and avoid the mistakes of the
1930s as the centre piece of the London G20 summit in April, 2009
Governments around the world have continued to push up trade
barriers in spite of above
World Trade Organization report in July, 2009
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There is surge in anti-dumping complaints as crisis-stricken companies
take action against foreign competitors they might have tolerated in
better times. Anti-dumping investigations increased 28 per cent last
year compared with 2007.
As per WTO, most affected have been agricultural products –
particularly dairy – iron and steel, autos, chemicals and plastics, and
textiles and clothing.
Various Governments introduced programmes to support automakers,
pulp and paper producers and others. A total of 19 governments
reported moves to support financial institutions.
Buy American Broadband
policy
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The American Recovery and Re-investment Act, 2009 includes a ‘Buy
America Provisions’ requiring that all iron, steel and manufactured
goods used in public works projects financed under the Bill should be
made in the US. It is reasonable to believe that apart from iron and
steel products, lack of access to stimulus funded project had adversely
impacted other manufactured products as well.
National Telecommunications and Information Administration (NTIA) is
distributing $4.7 billion of the $7.2 billion earmarked for broadband
deployments in un served and underserved areas
It provides BUY American condition for optic cables, coaxial cables, cell
towers and other facilities that are in abundance in the United States
It granted a limited waiver for switching, access, transport, routing,
customer premise and billing equipment as well as end user devices
The Rural Utilities Service (RUS) program in the U.S. Department of
Agriculture, is in charge of giving out $2.5 billion of the stimulus
money.
Congress said funds provided under the law passed in February
generally can't be used for iron, steel and factory goods not produced
in the U.S.
Hackers
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4chan.org, Founded in 2003 by 15-year-old Christopher Poole,
the online hangout for millions of young people…… On
December 8 they shut down MasterCard for 37 hours, Visa
down for 12 hours, after they shut off any donations to
WikiLeaks.
Anonymous—the loosely affiliated organization of hackers whom
the media has variously called “domestic terrorists,” “an
Internet hate machine,” and “the dark heart of the Web”… They
shut down the sites of a Swiss bank, Senator Joe Lieberman
(after he prodded Amazon to kick WikiLeaks off its system), and
the Swedish prosecutor investigating Assange’s alleged sex
crimes.
Anonymous also worked on taking down the Web sites of the
Governments of Tunisia, Iran, and Egypt.
How Anonymous did it?
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Spreading the word to other computer geeks to
activate a loic, or “low-orbit ion cannon,” which
sounds like some sort of Star Wars fantasy but in
reality is merely a piece of software that, once
downloaded, allows Anonymous to take over control
of your computer.
The computer is then turned into a volunteer zombie,
making requests for access to Web sites, like
MasterCard.com, that can’t handle the amount of
incoming traffic and consequently get knocked offline
(that’s called a DDoS attack, a distributed denial of
service).
Hacking High Profile Accounts
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The International Monetary Fund (IMF) during June, 2010 was probing
an attempt to access its data and some security experts suspect a
nation state.
Google revealed it has discovered sophisticated attacks on hundreds of
users of its email service, Gmail, aimed at stealing their passwords and
monitoring their email. The Google intrusion was traced back to China
and the hundreds of users targeted included officials from the US
departments of State and Defence as well as the US Defence
Intelligence Agency.
A rising number of major companies -- including Sony, Lockheed Martin
and Citigroup have also suffered high-profile hacking attempts.
Some have been tentatively traced to China. Others appear linked to
western antiestablishment hackers such as Anonymous.
Chinese officials also says they are also victims of hacking.
Gnosis hacked Gawker
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A high-level attack was also directed toward the demimonde
gossip site Gawker, which experienced one of the worst hacks
ever perpetrated on a media company. Hackers stole the
passwords to Gawker’s employees’ e-mail accounts, along with
200,000 unencrypted commenter passwords, their source code,
internal e-mails, and chat logs—then dumped this information
on the Pirate Bay (the Internet’s biggest aggregator site for
downloading TV shows and movies for free).
“Your empire has been compromised, your servers, your
databases, online accounts and source code have all been
ripped to shreds!” wrote the group, calling themselves “Gnosis,”
in a note to Gawker. “Fuck you Gawker, how’s this for script
kids?”
Lockheed Martin Hacked
in spite of Secure IDs
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Hackers have broken during March, 2011 into the security
networks of Lockheed Martin Corp and several other US military
contractors, by creating duplicates to "SecurID" electronic keys
from EMC Corp's RSA security division.
The SecurID generates new strings of digits on a minute-byminute basis that the user must enter along with a secret PIN
before they can access the network. If the user fails to enter
the string before it expires, then access is denied.
Latest companies to be breached through sophisticated attacks
that have pierced the defenses of huge corporations including
Sony , Google Inc and EMC Corp. Security experts say that it is
virtually impossible for any company or Government agency to
build a security network that hackers will be unable to pierce.
Australian Banks Credit
Card attacked
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During May, 2011 Australian banks,
Commonwealth Bank, Westpac, St
George, and National Australia Bank
have cancelled thousands of credit
cards following a security breach
involving the credit card facilities of a
local merchant.
Top Phishing Countries
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IBM's annual ‘X-Force 2010 Trend and
Risk Report' says India was the top
country for phishing email origination in
2010 at 15.5 per cent, followed by
Russia at 10.4 per cent.
US, India, Brazil, and Vietnam were the
top four spam-sending countries,
accounting for nearly one-third of
worldwide spam.
Phishing Emails
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India was the top country for phishing email
origination in 2010 at 15.5 percent, followed
by Russia at 10.4 percent. (IBM)
Globally almost all spam sales worldwide are
handled by just three banks:
• DnB NOR (a Norwegian bank)
• St. Kitts-Nevis-Anguilla National Bank
(in the Caribbean)
• Azerigazbank (from Azerbaijan)
U.S. Underwrites
Internet Detour Around Censors
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USA is leading a global effort to deploy “shadow”
Internet and mobile phone systems that dissidents
can use to undermine repressive governments that
seek to silence them by censoring or shutting down
telecommunications networks, called “Internet in a
suitcase.”
Financed with a $2 million State Department grant,
the suitcase could be secreted across a border and
quickly set up to allow wireless communication over a
wide area with a link to the global Internet.
Pentagon's advanced
research arm tackles cyberspace
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The Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency( DARP budget 250
Mn $), is building a virtual firing range in cyberspace – to test
capability to thwart attempts to disrupt U.S. information networks
Called the National Cyber Range ( to be ready by mid 2012)
The cyber range envisages to be collection of "testbeds" that can
carry out independent drills or be woven into one or more larger
pieces. Some programmes:
CRASH - Clean-slate design of Resilient, Adaptive, Secure Hosts, seeks
to design computer systems that evolve over time, making them harder
for an attacker to target
CINDER- Cyber Insider Threat program, to help monitor military
networks for threats from within by improving detection of threatening
behavior from people authorized to use them.
Cyber Genome- for automating the discovery, identification and
characterization of malicious code, which could help figure out who was
behind a cyber strike.
Technology as Jobs killer
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Travel Agents getting diminished due to on line portals
Steno/PA getting obsolete
Several products/industries getting killed..Radio Paging, medium
level cameras, video player, answering machines, music
gadgets, record players, tape players,
iPad as a job killerI Pad used to read books rather than buy them from
bookstores.
journalists closing jobs as people get their news electronically,
publishers are using less paper and selling fewer physical books,
and brick-and-mortar retailers are losing employees.
iPad primarily creating Job opportunities and benefiting
Countries manufacturing iPads and that is predominantly China.
About CMAI
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CMAI prime Integrated Association of India representing all verticals of
ICE, telecom sector of India in India having more than 34 MOUs with
International organizations, with branch offices in Japan, Korea,
Singapore, Taiwan, China and Malaysia.
It offers one window service for information dissemination, guidance
on setting up businesses in India.
It connects you to Industries, Government, Trade and business
It is involved in policy formulations with Government and other stake
holders for Technology Innovations, Indigenous manufacturing
It is developing scientific knowledge and practical means for protecting
human ecology and environment from the harmful effects of
environmental hazards like e waste, radiation etc.
It assists manufacturers to maximize competitiveness in the domestic
and international markets.
It also offers consultancy services on turn key basis through its
member companies
About CMAI
With CMAI membership, you gain access, authority, and
intelligence designed to help you to:
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Protect interests when standards and policies are being
formulated
Engage peers regularly about market challenges or
business opportunities
Access timely news, information, and market intelligence
Expand business to overseas markets efficiently and
effectively
Gain a competitive advantage through convergence
Take the Lead on green initiatives in the ICTE Industry
Participate in Indian and global Exhibitions, Seminars,
Workshops
Where is my cell phone mama..
I want to SMS to God that I have reached safely!
THANKS….
www.cmai.asia, www.nkgoyals.com
+91 98 111 29879
http://in.linkedin.com/in/nkgoyals,
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