REGULATORY FRAMEWORKS AND ECONOMIC DIVERSIFICATION Laws, Institutions and Likely Effects Gape KABOYAKGOSI & Masedi MOTSWAPONG 27/08/2014 INTRODUCTION Regulation IS a tool of government-growing in use! From government ownership to ‘arms-length’ regulation (globalisation, marketisation, & privatisation) NOT studying (social regulation: the control of the effects of capitalism on people) Institutions do matter (NIE) conception. What limits on government power? Law Organisation Culture OBJECTIVES Review the implications of regulatory arrangements on diversification Develop a framework to predict the likely effects of regulatory instruments on economic regulation Name of Regulator BOCRA Civil Aviation Authority Law Society of Botswana Architects Reg Council* Sector Telecommunications Air Transport The Legal Fraternity Architects Year 1996 2004 1996 2009 Type of Regulatory Institution Independent Regulator Independent Regulator Self regulator Self regulatory Botswana Inst of Accountants* Botswana Stock Exchange Botswana Examinations Council Botswana Bureau of Standards Botswana Training Authority Financial Intelligence Agency Botswana Press Council Botswana Health Profs Council Engineers Registration Board Accountants The Stock Exchange Examinations standards Various Education Financial Print media The health professions Engineering Profession 2010 1985 2007 1995 2002 2009 2002 2001 1998 Self-regulatory Independent Regulator Independent regulator Standards Authority Independent regulator Semi autonomous government Dpt Self regulatory authority Self-regulatory Self regulatory agency Botswana Examinations Council Dept of Environmental Affairs Schools examinations Environment 2002 Independent regulator 2005 Government department National Broadcasting Board** Botswana Training Authority Tertiary Education Council NBFIRA Bank of Botswana The media Telecommunications Tertiary education NBFI Monetary policy 1999 2002 2002 2008 1975 Independent regulator Independent Regulator Independent regulator Independent regulator Independent regulator JUSTIFICATION i. The limits of the ‘good governance’ metaphor i. Many regulatory agencies coming up to manage policy i. A signal of commitment to external players ii. Instrument to ‘capture’ certain activities i. Regulation imposes costs [RIA] [FIAS/BIDPA i. Interact with external business regimes APPROACH Review of laws and organisations # non mining industries Laws are enforceable and policies are not Note that the EDD Strategy falls firmly in the latter THEORY & INSTITUTIONALISM Economic theory Principal Agent Public interest Types of Regulatory Entity Social v Economic Regulation METHODOLOGY Use of past BIDPA studies Desk Review Legal Review Review of Official Documents POLICY APPLICATIONS Advocacy for regulatory reform Development of framework. Contestability (highly competitive? High product/service differentiation?] Ownership type (majority government? Private?] Credibility (role of the minister? How predictable? Competitive neutrality?] Entry/exit rules RESULTS: AIR TRANSPORT Air Transport: Loss making airliner/protected from competition BASA and protectionism Domestic entirely protected RESULTS: BMC BMC Poor performing monopoly Domestically entry is allowed Exports are disallowed-what’s a small economy to do? RESULTS: TELECOMMUNICATIONS Telecommunications Three players in Mobile Highly competitive for price Highly diversified for products SMS + VoIP + Money Transmission etc Model to copy? RESULTS: ELECTRICITY Legal monopoly # ESA Very poorly performing state owned utility Electricity needed for economy to thrive Minister may approve competitor RESULTS:COMPETITION REGULATION Ought to enable entry and diversity Ought to ensure discipline and fair-play Has exemptions that ‘kill’ competitive neutrality REGIONAL INTEGRATION Botswana member of SACU; WTO; UNCTAD etc Some laws restrict capacity to innovate/grow/diversify CONCLUSIONS Laws too restrictive for ‘things’ that allow diversification Diversification efforts too ‘govt-centric’ Credibility needs consideration SOLUTIONS SET? Separate political influence from economic decision making Set up mechanisms to restrict the discretion of regulators Build more robust acocuntability Take government out of business/increase competition