130/30 Funds – The Operational Complexities of OTC Derivatives Dr Christopher Sier Director Alpha Financial Markets Consulting Chris.sier@alphafmc.com +44 7976 887 642 © Alpha Financial Markets Consulting Limited 2008 Content Introduction Physical Shorting Synthetic Shorting and the Use of Derivatives Derivative Operating Model Options Position Substitution for Exchange-Traded Derivatives Build / Buy / Internalise Partial Outsourcing – The Use of Collateral Management – Intermediation Full Outsourcing – The Costs 2 There is evidence to suggest that the ‘Alternative’ and ‘Traditional’ fund manager spaces are starting to merge 50% 450 45% 400 Proportion of Assets within Equity Funds Alternative Funds, 2000 = 100 40% Proportion of Total AUM in Dublin 350 300 250 200 150 Equity Funds, 2000 = 100 100 50 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% Proportion of Assets within Alternative Funds 10% 5% 0% 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2000 2007 Growth of Alternative Funds and Equity Funds in Dublin, based on number of new registrations. Source: Fitzrovia 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 The decrease in the proportion of assets within equity funds and accelerating growth of alternatives. Source: Fitzrovia Legislation such as UCITS III has allowed Traditional managers to enter the asset management space occupied by Hedge Funds, and visa versa It may be that Hedge Funds are catching on quicker as they seek revenues from Retail Investors I will concentrate on the regulated space and focus on the operational issues involved with: Synthetic short-selling The wider use of derivatives I will mention the issues involved with Covered Physical Shorting 3 Gearing options Gearing Option Physical Long Physical Short Uncovered Shorting Physical Long Synthetic Short Synthetic Long Synthetic Short Other OTC intensive Strategies Covered Shorting US Model Predominant Location Dublin Model Luxembourg Model Instrument Choices •Equity Swaps •CFDs •Single Stock Futures •Total Return Swaps •Equity Swaps •CFDs •Single Stock Futures •Total Return Swaps •CDS (single name, basket, index...etc) •IRS •INS •Cross Currency Swaps •...etc 4 Content Introduction Physical Shorting Synthetic Shorting and the Use of Derivatives Derivative Operating Model Options Position Substitution for Exchange-Traded Derivatives Build / Buy / Internalise Partial Outsourcing – The Use of Collateral Management – Intermediation Full Outsourcing – The Costs 5 The issues with Physical Shorting Uncovered (‘naked’) vs Covered Short Selling Uncovered – An uncovered short sale is where the investor has no right to the security at the time of agreeing to the sale. The investor will then seek to purchase the security before delivery is required Covered - Short positions are covered through stock borrowing arrangements Uncovered Short Selling is definitely not permitted in Europe (Regulation 72 of UCITS Regulations 2003) NOTE: There is an ongoing debate in the US that Uncovered Short Selling is socially valuable as it facilitates competition in the market for securities lending as opposed to introducing excess volatility into stock prices (Source: Regulation Magazine, Spring 2008, “The Economics of Naked Short Selling”) Covered Short Selling was briefly permitted until recently in Europe (Dublin), but even this has been suspended (from 25 th April 2008) pending an EU investigation and is unlikely to be re-instated Covered Short Selling requires Asset Managers to deal with several thorny issues: Accounting: The leverage generated, as measured by global exposure, must be monitored to check it falls within permitted limits. However, compliance and accounting systems are often unable to cope with short positions Need to account for Dividends as these still belong to the broker from which you are borrowing Accounting for ‘excess borrow’ can be a real problem in situations where anticipated shorting has not met expectations and the underlying has been borrowed up-front to excess Risk Management: Some UCITS III funds require VaR calculations and some (older) risk management systems cannot cope Stress testing when using short positions can be complex Financing: The lender can re-call the stock at short notice, or require an increase to the financing cost of the loan (e.g. if the stock goes ‘special’) without notice 6 Content Introduction Physical Shorting Synthetic Shorting and the Use of Derivatives Derivative Operating Model Options Position Substitution for Exchange-Traded Derivatives Build / Buy / Internalise Partial Outsourcing – The Use of Collateral Management – Intermediation Full Outsourcing – The Costs 7 NOTE - Strategies other than 130/30 also drive the use of complex instruments Strategy Derivative Instruments Typically Used Market Neutral Securities Borrowing, Forwards Managed Futures ETDs, Options Emerging Markets IRS’, CDS’ Convertible Arbitrage Convertible Bonds, Securities Borrowing, Equity Swaps, ETDs, Options Fixed Income Arbitrage CDOs, Mortgage-backed Securities Credit Hedge CDS’, IRS’, Cross Currency Swaps, INS Distressed Debt/High Yield High Yield Bonds, Securities Borrowing, CDS’ Global Macro Securities Borrowing, Currency Forwards Structured Products Leveraged Loans, Total Return Swaps Fund of Funds Hedge Funds, Collective Instruments, Private Equity/VC, Real Estate, Currency Forwards 130/30 Equity Swaps, CFDs, Futures, Total Return Swaps Source: Derivatives Module from Annual Alpha FMC Investment Operations Benchmark 8 OTCs require new processes, many of which are unfamiliar and risky to carry out for most (vanilla) Asset Manager Operations PROCESS ISSUE facing Investment Manager CONCLUSION •Gathering data can be difficult and expensive •Each new instrument type requires bespoke set-up / new data feeds...etc NEW and DIFFICULT •ISDA and CSA creation and management is a tricky and manual business NEW and DIFFICULT •There are short-form STP solutions available, but long-form confirmations require specific skill-sets and are highly manual NEW and DIFFICULT •Again, this will require expansion of extant operational and systemic capabilities Extension of process •Compliance rules will need to be examined closely to ensure that, for example, the correct counterparty is being assessed for aggregate exposure Extension of process •Another new set of skills to acquire NEW and DIFFICULT •New skills, systems and data sources need NEW and DIFFICULT Valuation / Accounting •Current crop of accounting systems struggle and shoe-horning may be necessary Extension of process Collateral Management •Again, new skills, systems and data required NEW and DIFFICULT •Cash movements will increase markedly, not just as part of the life-cycle process of some instruments, but also as a result of collateral calls Extension of process •Reconciliations will be more frequent and more complicated Extension of process •New skills and systems needed to generate meaningful analysis NEW and DIFFICULT Trade Capture / Instrument Set Up Document Management Confirmations Position Management Compliance Event / Life Cycle Management Model-Based Pricing Cash Movement Instruction Reconciliations Performance and Reporting 9 Unless you have very sophisticated operations, each new instrument presents a fresh set of challenges Physical Long Synthetic Short Synthetic Gearing Option Required Operational Processes Synthetic Long Synthetic Short Other OTC intensive Strategies Trade Capture / Instrument Set Up Document Management Confirmations Position Management Compliance In effect, EVERY operational box must be filled with something Event / Life Cycle Management Model-Based Pricing Valuation / Accounting Collateral Management Cash Movement Instruction Reconciliations Performance and Reporting Instrument Choices 10 Many Managers struggle with these new process Confirmation times Average time to fully confirm (days) 40 35 30 25 20 2006 15 2007 10 5 0 Swaps Swaps Swaps - CDS Index OTC Swaps Equity Commodity Inflation Options Currency (Puts/Calls) Swaps Total Return Swaption CDS Single Swaps - CDS Basket Name Interest Rate Average confirmation times fell in 2007 but some instruments remain unconfirmed for long periods (in some cases over 60 days) *Source: Derivatives Module from Annual Alpha FMC Investment Operations Benchmark 11 Reliance on counterparty CF/Eq CFD: Margin/Collatral CF/Eq CFD: Valuations CF/Eq CFD: Exposure Reporting 2006 OTC F/O: Margin/Collatral OTC F/O: Valuations OTC F/O: Exposure Reporting CDS: Margin/Collatral CDS: Valuations CDS: Exposure Reporting Primarily reliant on counterparty Partially reliant on counterparty Simple Swaps: Margin/Collatral Simple Swaps: Valuations Simple Swaps: Exposure Reporting No reliance on counterparty N/A Complex Swaps: #Margin/Collatral Complex Swaps: Valuations Complex Swaps: Exposure Reporting CDO: Margin/Collatral CDO: Valuations CDO: Exposure Reporting 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% CF/Eq CFD: Margin/Collatral CF/Eq CFD: Valuations CF/Eq CFD: Exposure Reporting 2007 OTC F/O: Margin/Collatral OTC F/O: Valuations OTC F/O: Exposure Reporting CDS: Margin/Collatral CDS: Valuations CDS: Exposure Reporting Primarily reliant on counterparty Partially reliant on counterparty Simple Swaps: Margin/Collatral Simple Swaps: Valuations Simple Swaps: Exposure Reporting No reliance on counterparty N/A Complex Swaps: #Margin/Collatral Complex Swaps: Valuations Complex Swaps: Exposure Reporting CDO: Margin/Collatral CDO: Valuations CDO: Exposure Reporting 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% The extent to which participants relied on their counterparties for valuations, margining and exposure reporting fell in 2007 (i.e. A greater proportion of ‘green’ above) but is still considerable *Source: Derivatives Module from Annual Alpha FMC Investment Operations Benchmark 12 Collateralisation Degree of collateralisation (average across group) 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 2006 30% 2007 20% 10% 0% Swaps Equity Swaps Commodity Swaps Inflation CDS Index OTC Options Swaps Swaps Swaption Currency Total Return CDS Single Name Swaps Interest Rate The degree of collateralisation increased from 2006 to 2007, which is good. However, it was still not 100% which was the result of the tactical use of uncollateralised positions, which is a very risky approach, especially in the current markets *Source: Derivatives Module from Annual Alpha FMC Investment Operations Benchmark 13 Not all derivatives are equally complex to manage operationally...and the bad news is that Total Return Swaps are particularly difficult 2007 Alpha Operational Benchmarking Study - Consensus Derivatives Complexity Model Ongoing Management and Administering Complexity Rating 250 CDO 200 Sw aps Total Return CDS Index 150 Sw aps - Inflation CDS Single Name; Sw aps - Currency; Sw aps Commodity Sw aps - Equity; Sw aption Sw aps - IR OTC Futures; OTC Options 100 ET Options; Warrants 50 ET Futures Currency Forw ard Equity CFDs OTC Forw ard / Non Deliverable Forw ard 0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 Trade, Confirm, Initial Settle & Close-Out Complexity Rating This information was derived by holding meetings with the heads of derivative processing for each participant in the Alpha FMC Derivatives Benchmark*, forming a consensus view *Source: Derivatives Module from Annual Alpha FMC Investment Operations Benchmark 14 45 Aside - Other data collected as part of Alpha’s Derivatives Benchmark Demographics data to allow segmentation of client base – sample size currently 19 Investment Managers. The goal is to significantly expand the size of the study Volumes of each derivative instrument type traded and held Strategies used Operating model description, including systems used All costs, both direct and indirect, relating specifically to derivatives Degree of STP Size and frequency of cash breaks Planned developments, often showing the disconnect between front office and operational strategies All this data year on year to show progression, in many cases at the individual client level as well as at the ‘industry’ level One significant derived finding, based upon the empirical data collected, is that there is a strong inverse correlation between volumes of derivatives used and the unit cost of operationally managing derivatives...but more on this later 15 All these new operational requirements take time to build and learn, and that means risk and opportunity cost, especially when volumes grow (as they most definitely will) Operational Capabilities Target Current Time Opportunity Cost 3. Additional opportunity cost The additional opportunity cost historically has been a function of: 1. Lack of adequate skills in the buy-side 2. Poor strategic platform coverage Poor capabilities of the outsource provider community, coupled with the complexity of working with a provider that might object to you going elsewhere for best-ofbreed derivatives processing But the market is changing 16 Content Introduction Physical Shorting Synthetic Shorting and the Use of Derivatives Derivative Operating Model Options Position Substitution for Exchange-Traded Derivatives Build / Buy / Internalise Partial Outsourcing – The Use of Collateral Management – Intermediation Full Outsourcing – The Costs 17 Position substitution from OTC to Exchange Traded Derivatives It is my belief that, in some cases, Managers use OTC Derivatives unnecessarily, given the ‘fully loaded’ risk and cost of execution and management In other words, if the full OPERATIONAL RISK and COST are considered Managers might, if correctly informed, seek alternative ways of achieving similar financial engineering and exposure objectives Interestingly, one upshot of the increasing awareness of the extremes of operational risk involved in using OTC Derivatives has given Operations a say in vetoing or delaying new and more complex instrument types. Fund Managers are therefore, in some cases, being constrained in their desires to use new instrument types and this is seen as a risk (and therefore driver for operational sophistication) by some Asset Managers, who fear an exodus of key Fund Managers if they are not allowed to ‘play’ Is it possible, in some instances, to substitute Exchange Traded Derivatives for OTCs? What are the advantages of ETDs? Move from single counterparty risk to central counterparty risk Exchanges also offer large operational advantages: No expensive and difficult-to-find independent valuations required that may, or may not, reflect the price someone is prepared to pay No (manual) confirmation process required No (manual) broker reconciliations required No collateral calculations required – margin posted automatically In the future, the key may be to migrate OTCs onto exchange and CCP as and when the technology becomes available. Unfortunately, there may be systemic reasons why this doesn't happen quickly Who will help you? Your broker won’t be interested in ETD business when high margin OTC contracts are much more profitable Brokers will need to AGREE and build the exchange and the OTC market will need to standardise (contract terms...etc) before this will happen Collateral disputes and a single agreed source of valuations may blow the whole idea out of the water 18 Content Introduction Physical Shorting Synthetic Shorting and the Use of Derivatives Derivative Operating Model Options Position Substitution for Exchange-Traded Derivatives Build / Buy / Internalise Partial Outsourcing – The Use of Collateral Management – Intermediation Full Outsourcing – The Costs 19 Full in-source solution – train / build / buy In-source Solution PROS Total control over your Operating Model Can develop team from trusted internal resources IT: BUILD platform: Can build bespoke and flexible IT solution to meet current/future requirements BUY platform: Priority over system /service developments CONS Small reduction on additional opportunity cost PEOPLE and PROCESS: Training can take a long time and requires commitment Once trained, key resources may leave Buying staff in can also be expensive (salaries for people with OTC experience are often £100k+) IT BUILD: Complexity and lack of appropriate resource leads to difficulties segmenting requirements and defining processes Maintenance costs Fixed costs 100% of market risk in-house IT BUY: Capital outlay – could be £millions Current lack of end-to-end solution that is both buy-side specific and affordable THE GOOD NEWS Vendors are working on: Tailoring their solutions to the buy-side and providing more affordable asp solutions (e.g. Summit ASP, Calypso ASP) Building buy-side specific platforms that fit IMs needs more closely (e.g. DSTi ‘Investment Control’) 20 Content Introduction Physical Shorting Synthetic Shorting and the Use of Derivatives Derivative Operating Model Options Position Substitution for Exchange-Traded Derivatives Build / Buy / Internalise Partial Outsourcing – The Use of Collateral Management – Intermediation Full Outsourcing – The Costs 21 Blended solution - partial in-/out-source (reducing internal build) PROS Gain the flexibility to pick-and-mix components from different outsource providers according to cost and service levels Blended Solution CONS Tricky to implement Requires robust links/multiple interfaces to be built between each supplier Potential delays to NAV timelines Potentially more expensive – currently no scaling of costs Multiple SLAs and contracts to manage Increased reduction on additional opportunity cost THE PRACTICALITIES The trick is to: Know what you want and NEED Compile a prioritised list of wins Understand the comparative strengths and weaknesses of each provider and know their development plans Careful thought needs to go into picking what you want to outsource and what you want to keep Two models I have seen are: Outsource collateral management (e.g. JPMorgan DCM) as this can cover off some of the tougher processes: – Model-based pricing – By default and to a great extent Event / Lifecycle Management, Position Management and Reconciliations – An internal team will need to be built around the residual processes like confirmations Use intermediation by a Prime Broker (e.g. any that will do it at a reasonable price point) which will: – Reduce the amount of manual work around processes like confirmations by reducing the number of counterparties – Requires building an internal collateral team and finding an alternative source of valuations 22 Intermediation Prime broker acts as single counterparty facing the Asset Manager through ‘give-up’ arrangements with other counterparties. Asset Manager still free to trade with other brokers Advantages: Reduces number of counterparties (and CSAs) dramatically, especially if the Asset Manager has a complex set of underlying legal entities Reduced operational complexity as only one set of confirmations / reconciliations...etc Disadvantages: Exposed to single counterparty risks: – Broker could get to know Asset Manager’s book – Re-rating risk could impact financing costs – Potentially EXPENSIVE. Give-up fees can take the costs into £millions for an Asset Manager active in the OTC space – Minimum fees and monthly rolling contracts often apply You will still need to build a collateral management operation (or outsource). Building an internal collateral operation is now less complex because of the greatly reduced numbers of counterparty relationships. However, the key issues will remain: – Little or no internal experience or expertise and so finding or training staff is necessary – Large amounts of complex data required for OTC valuations and often a spreadsheet-managed process might lead to an overdependence on the counterparty prices – Stock availability may be compromised as the complexity of internal process and poor communication may mean front office is not aware that a security has been posted as collateral – How can the cost of cash collateral be mitigated, especially if rates prescribed in the CSAs cannot be matched? – Rehypothecation? There are other intermediation models with key differentiators: Use the supplier as the registered entity from a sophisticated UCITS III perspective. This will allow you to run 130/30 strategies without jumping through the arduous regulatory hoops required for sophisticated registration; off-balance sheet 23 Collateral Management plus independent valuations Advantages of outsourcing Access to experienced operations and staff Cash collateral rates more likely to be met Wide range of eligible collateral assets Efficient tracking of collateral improving liquidity through long-box management Efficient CSA management Reduced capital outlay (to buy a CM system could cost up to £1mn inc implementation) and zero maintenance costs If you choose the right provider: – STP into the cash and securities settlement systems – Independent valuations – Rehypothecation By default, you get a second order reconciliations, confirmations and life-cycle management process Three principle players in the outsource field: JPMorgan DCM BNY Mellon (Colline) Northern Trust (Colline) The costs are often based around three components: Per CSA fee BPs charge for collateral assets under custody Rehypothecation charge Asset Managers will still need an internal operation to deal with: Reconciliations Confirmations Valuations (full, or random selection for compliance purposes) Collateral dispute management Collateral Management is NOT a panacea for counterparty risk 24 Content Introduction Physical Shorting Synthetic Shorting and the Use of Derivatives Derivative Operating Model Options Position Substitution for Exchange-Traded Derivatives Build / Buy / Internalise Partial Outsourcing – The Use of Collateral Management – Intermediation Full Outsourcing – The Costs 25 Full derivatives out-source, end-to-end (minimising internal build) Outsource Solution PROS Potential access to a wider group of services and a bundled offering may lead to reduced rates High capital and fixed costs moving to variable costs Ultimately, saving money by: Exploiting the economics of scale of the outsource provider (see Conclusion) Undertaking financial engineering in order to structure costs to suit the business Exploit scope and expertise of outsource provider CURRENLTY most likely maximum reduction on additional opportunity cost Sharing risk of service with other outsourcees CONS Most providers up to now have had some key weaknesses, or no capability at all: Trade Capture / Instrument Set Up - Onboarding of new instruments will be prioritised on a key client basis Document Management - Most Service Providers are not interested Confirmations - Long-form / Paper confirmations are usually not supported Event / Life Cycle Management - If you go into exotics (inflation, mortality,…) then event data may be lacking Model-Based Pricing - Models may be inconsistent so you may end up seeking alternative pricing sources Collateral Management - Best-in-breed is a stand-alone service in its own right Reconciliations - Many Service Providers are reluctant to deal with counterparties on your behalf THE GOOD NEWS There is emergent capability amongst the Service Providers (e.g. Societe Generale Security Services, GlobeOp,...) There is extant STP capability amongst the Investment Banks, but convincing them to act as a Service Provider could be tough (non-core, expose book to market maker, good Chinese wall needed, no requirement for balance sheet/leverage) However, each of the providers has both strengths and weaknesses – but each has DIFFERENT strengths and weaknesses! The trick is to understand the comparative strengths and weaknesses of each provider and know their development plans 26 And even if you outsource everything, you will still need to have some internalised operations Relationship / vendor management Gathering KPI data Managing the SLAs (including service credits, where applicable) Driving change programmes with the Service Provider Tariff renegotiation Vendor management is a thankless task if the provider is rubbish (you get hit from both sides of the fence) Dispute resolution Counterparty valuation disputes Collateral disputes Compliance and risk management: Random OTC valuation checking at a minimum Consistent checking (or blanket checking) is known – involves complete replication of the prices on a daily basis Ultimately, a thin middle office will still be needed Data from the Alpha FMC Benchmark shows that this required internal capability will equal, at a minimum, approximately 20% of the total fully-loaded annual derivatives budget 27 Content Introduction Physical Shorting Synthetic Shorting and the Use of Derivatives Derivative Operating Model Options Position Substitution for Exchange-Traded Derivatives Build / Buy / Internalise Partial Outsourcing – The Use of Collateral Management – Intermediation Full Outsourcing – The Costs 28 There are considerable economies of scale to be found at higher derivative volumes Zone A – Highly manual environment resulting in a high cost per derivative unit Zone B – Asset Managers face the decision on how best to process increasing derivative volumes. As volumes increase, managers will be unable to operate in a manual environment and so will need to adopt an operating model to automate trading Zone C – Cost per trade decreases as back offices are able to push through more volume with low marginal cost How can an Asset Manager achieve economies of scale in derivative processing? Outsource (37% cheaper) Blend In-House Build Large Yes Yes Yes Mid-Size Yes Maybe No Small / New Entrant Yes No No Asset Manager Size Source: Derivatives Module from Annual Alpha FMC Investment Operations Benchmark 29 Derivative complexity and the impact on FTE costs Relationship Between Number of Derivative FTE’s and Total weighted Complexity Units Relationship Between Cost of Derivative FTE and Total Weighted Complexity Units 18 140 16 120 Internal Direct Cost per FTE (£000s) # derivative administration FTEs 14 12 10 8 6 100 80 60 40 4 20 2 ■ Insourced ■ Outsourced 0 ■ Insourced ■ Outsourced 0 0 500 1000 1500 # weighted complexity units (000s) 2000 2500 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 # weighted complexity units (000s) The scale curves above show that both the volume of FTEs required and the cost of the FTEs increases as the volume and complexity of instruments increases There is a noticeable scale economy in required headcount (shown by the indicative trend line) for both insourced STP operations and outsourced operations as volume increases. This partly explains the scale curve for processing costs All data taken from the Alpha FMC annual Investment Operations benchmark Questions?