FPSO Lease Business The Opportunities, Issues and Challenges Zahar Mohd Hashim bin Zainuddin 26th October 2011 All rights reserved. Distribution to third parties requires prior written consent from GMOS Sdn Bhd (810996-D) Presentation Structure 1 Introduction 2 FPSO FPSO 3 Outlook Issues & 4 Challenges Concluding 5 Remarks GMOS. Who we are and what we do Descriptions and Applications Opportunities in the FPSO Market Project Finance, Project Management and capability, AIM All rights reserved. Distribution to third parties requires prior written consent from GMOS Sdn Bhd (810996-D) • Established in early 2010 •Provide Management Consulting & Technical Services specializing in Offshore Marine Services •Principals and Associates with various expertises •Services cover High Level Business Strategy & Management Consulting to the Management of Detailed Execution Services •Clients include International Engineering Companies, PSC Operators, Construction Yards, Offshore Vessel Owners, FPSO Operators, FPSO Owners All rights reserved. Distribution to third parties requires prior written consent from GMOS Sdn Bhd (810996-D) Experiences & Services FPSO Development project • Provision of the preliminary design concept of an FPSO for an oilfield development. • Provision of selection criteria and evaluation of candidate FPSO/vessels selection. • Provision of the contracting strategy and business model for the FPSO. • Provision of budget estimate for FPSO development. • Provision of bid proposal for FPSO project. • Provision of Project Execution Plan for FPSO project All rights reserved. Distribution to third parties requires prior written consent from GMOS Sdn Bhd (810996-D) Experiences & Services Offshore Project Management • Provide key advice in the design of offshore oil & gas project management team • Provide key inputs to the development of capability elements for offshore oil & gas project management team. •Provide key advice to clients for the human capital development in FPSO and offshore projects. All rights reserved. Distribution to third parties requires prior written consent from GMOS Sdn Bhd (810996-D) Experiences & Services Offshore Marine Equipment Sales • Develop Equipment Sales Strategy in FPSO market for client in specific segment. • Provide key advice to clients in Sales for various FPSO and Offshore Marine Equipment All rights reserved. Distribution to third parties requires prior written consent from GMOS Sdn Bhd (810996-D) Experiences & Services Offshore Floating Warehouse • Conduct preliminary due diligence for offshore floating warehouse • Conduct feasibility studies for Offshore Floating Warehouse. • Conduct Technical Evaluation and Business Risk Assessment for Offshore Floating Warehouse. • Conduct Commercial Negotiation for Offshore Floating Warehouse Acquisition. All rights reserved. Distribution to third parties requires prior written consent from GMOS Sdn Bhd (810996-D) Experiences & Services Offshore Clean Energy • Develop preliminary feasibility studies for harvesting wind energy for offshore facilities. • Develop concept proposal for the conversion of hydrocarbon power generating units to wind energy for offshore facilities. • Provide key advice to clients for developing offshore wind energy, utilizing offshore marine facilities. All rights reserved. Distribution to third parties requires prior written consent from GMOS Sdn Bhd (810996-D) Presentation Structure 1 Introduction 2 FPSO FPSO 3 Outlook Issues & 4 Challenges Concluding 5 Remarks GMOS. Who we are and what we do Descriptions and Applications Opportunities in the FPSO Market Project Finance, Project Management and capability, AIM All rights reserved. Distribution to third parties requires prior written consent from GMOS Sdn Bhd (810996-D) Floating Production, Storage and Offloading An overview •Typically deployed to produce hydrocarbons from subsea wells using process plants to boost and filter received fluids •Cargo tanks onboard are used for storage of product •Product exported by shuttle tankers to shore Kikeh Source: PraGlobal •Vast majority are vessel based (oil tankers) conversions, though new builds and non-tanker based designs are also used All rights reserved. Distribution to third parties requires prior written consent from GMOS Sdn Bhd (810996-D) Floating Production, Storage and Offloading Key components and processes WHP Hull: Provides storage and buoyancy, primarily constructed with steel plates PLEM Risers: provides connection from subsea manifolds to FPSO Turret or Riser Balcony Mooring: Turret, Spread or DP Kikeh Source: PraGlobal Topsides: process plants on deck based on reservoir characteristics and environmental factors Topsides Offloading System: normally undertaken through flexible hoses to shuttle tanker Cargo Tanks Shuttle Tanker All rights reserved. Distribution to third parties requires prior written consent from GMOS Sdn Bhd (810996-D) Applications Driving FPSO Developments Deepwater Developments: EWT/EPS: •Fixed Structures become uneconomical and non viable •Extended Well Testing for fast tracking smaller developments •Remote from pipe grids and main infrastructure •Early Production System can involve more than one well, and for early monetisation and proofing Stranded Gas fields: Marginal & Isolated Fields: •Early gas monetisation •LPG extractions •Floaters can be redeployed for cluster developments with regional development plan •Lower cost solutions •Lower cost solutions •Smaller facilities offshore than onshore All rights reserved. Distribution to third parties requires prior written consent from GMOS Sdn Bhd (810996-D) Presentation Structure 1 Introduction 2 FPSO FPSO 3 Outlook Issues & 4 Challenges Concluding 5 Remarks GMOS. Who we are and what we do Descriptions and Applications Opportunities in the FPSO Market Project Finance, Project Management and capability, AIM All rights reserved. Distribution to third parties requires prior written consent from GMOS Sdn Bhd (810996-D) Opportunities in FPSO Move towards Deepwater Continuing expansion in use of Subsea Production Emphasis on fast track developments: Early Production Systems Why FPSO? Kikeh Source: PraGlobal Exploitation of marginal fields & isolated fields Stranded Gas Monetisation Development Hubs LNG FPSOs All rights reserved. Distribution to third parties requires prior written consent from GMOS Sdn Bhd (810996-D) Floaters Operation Worldwide Bunga kertas Currently in Operating and Outlook Globally Floaters 256 floaters in service worldwide 62% FPSOs, 17% semi sub, 9% TLP, 7% Spars & 5 % FSRU or production barges Ruby 196 discovery or planned development projects in bidding, design or planning stages 53 in bidding stages with contract award in next 12-18 months All rights reserved. Distribution to third parties requires prior written consent from GMOS Sdn Bhd (810996-D) FPSO Operations Worldwide Bunga kertasCurrently in Operating Globally FPSO’s Ruby More than 155 FPSOs currently operating 30 FPSO project prospects in the next 3-4 years All rights reserved. Distribution to third parties requires prior written consent from GMOS Sdn Bhd (810996-D) FPSO Asia Pacific China – 16 FPSO <40 Operational FPSO’s Asia Pacific Deepwater Developments Asia Pacific is the third Largest FPSO market globally after Latin America and Africa 15 Operational in South East Asia Another 20 FPSO’s more than 12 prospected for Asia in the next 3 years All rights reserved. Distribution to third parties requires prior written consent from GMOS Sdn Bhd (810996-D) Global FPSO Market Indicative Supply & Demand Outlook for FPSOs Contract Awards Ruby Kikeh Source: PraGlobal More than 100 prospected FPSO installation the next 3-4 years 7 FPSO At least 3 more FPSO projects in Malaysia in the next 2-3 years More than 70 FPSOs installed the last five years More than 140 FPSOs currently in operation All rights reserved. Distribution to third parties requires prior written consent from GMOS Sdn Bhd (810996-D) Deepwater Demand in floaters likely to increase as we venture deeper Bunga kertas As shallow water opportunities become increasingly scarce, the development of deepwater reserves will accelerate Kikeh Source: PraGlobal Deepwater Production to breach 9million barrels per day by next year Deepwater production to primarily come from GoM, West Africa and Brazil Active deepwater exploration in SEA, Sabah as Malaysia’s deepwater hub Ruby Floating Production System the development method of Choice Fixed platforms not technically and/or economically feasible All rights reserved. Distribution to third parties requires prior written consent from GMOS Sdn Bhd (810996-D) Presentation Structure 1 Introduction 2 FPSO FPSO 3 Outlook Issues & 4 Challenges Concluding 5 Remarks GMOS. Who we are and what we do Descriptions and Applications Opportunities in the FPSO Market Project Finance, Project Management and capability, AIM All rights reserved. Distribution to third parties requires prior written consent from GMOS Sdn Bhd (810996-D) Issues & Challenges Key Risks in FPS market Cyclical downturn in crude oil price which may lead to project cancellation or deferment New builds coming on stream-the number of speculative builds tends to rise with the increase in crude oil prices. However, due to the long cycle time (1.5- 2years) to bring in new FPSO to the market, the shortage is unlikely to be alleviated in the short term Long gestation periods. FPSO has long gestation periods and are mostly tied to specific oil and gas fields. Kikeh Source: PraGlobal FPSO owners and operators are exposed to cost escalations, deviations in functional specifications and other project risks stemming from fluctuation in crude oil price All rights reserved. Distribution to third parties requires prior written consent from GMOS Sdn Bhd (810996-D) Issues & Challenges Technical Hurdles Deeper you go, the more obstacles you encounter. A need to invest in R&D to secure and safely extract our resources. Human resource capacity and capability Lack of expertise in SEA Kikeh Politics Source: PraGlobal All rights reserved. Distribution to third parties requires prior written consent from GMOS Sdn Bhd (810996-D) Issues & Challenges Financial Hurdles Subject to steel price, and new build viability Project finance becoming difficult and more expensive. Banks putting closer scrutiny on risk. A number of deals are failing due to risks that would have previously been considered minor Kikeh Source: PraGlobal Recent financial crisis has delayed new orders and a number of lease contractors have run into difficulties. A number of FPSO/FSO laid up All rights reserved. Distribution to third parties requires prior written consent from GMOS Sdn Bhd (810996-D) Key Issues & Challenges in FPSO Operations Design Challenges Candidate Vessel Selection Integrating Different Systems Asset Integrity Assurance Standards and Regulations Risk Assessment Crewing Offshore O&G vs Marine All rights reserved. Distribution to third parties requires prior written consent from GMOS Sdn Bhd (810996-D) Key Issues & Challenges in FPSO Operations Bunga kertas Design Challenges FPSO Conversion/ Construction Crewing Misapplication of some major equipment Poor operational efficiency & equipment selection Equipment and systems selection driven by cost, not operability Operations and field requirements should drive vessel selection Long term operability/repair philosophy and strategy Shipbuilding versus FPSO construction/ conversion Retention Competency Safety Culture All rights reserved. Distribution to third parties requires prior written consent from GMOS Sdn Bhd (810996-D) Key Issues & Challenges in FPSO Operations Bunga kertas Integrating Different Systems Standards and Regulations Offshore Vs Marine Good Interface management is key to seamless operations (Turret, Marine, Process, SURF) Many suppliers – differing standards and integration issues Standards/philosophies vary by region Varying standards and working culture between Offshore and Marine practices HSE awareness and appreciation All rights reserved. Distribution to third parties requires prior written consent from GMOS Sdn Bhd (810996-D) Issues & Challenges Drivers Capex Capacity Oil price Deeper water Stranded and Marginal Fields Development costs Geopolitical Design Procurement Construction Construction Yards Engineering Capacities Steel & Materials Vessels & Logistics Asset Integrity Capability Financing Understanding Asset Life Life Cycle Cost Designing Asset Integrity Abandonment Cost Experience manpower resource Project Management Management enablers Increasing Capex Leasing options Redeployment Managing Cash Flows Neutral Cash Flows for contractors Liquidity available Risk Profiling All rights reserved. Distribution to third parties requires prior written consent from GMOS Sdn Bhd (810996-D) Presentation Structure 1 Introduction 2 FPSO FPSO 3 Outlook Issues & 4 Challenges Concluding 5 Remarks GMOS. Who we are and what we do Descriptions and Applications Opportunities in the FPSO Market Project Finance, Project Management and capability, AIM All rights reserved. Distribution to third parties requires prior written consent from GMOS Sdn Bhd (810996-D) Concluding Remarks FPSO will continue to be the preferred solution for the offshore oil & gas facility. Risks are getting larger and more complex. FPSO offered on a lease and operate basis more adaptable for marginal, deepwater field, stranded gas field and EWT/EPS in terms of cost and design advantage. Kikeh Source: PraGlobal Growing opportunities. Risks need to be managed with investment in technical knowledge, human capability and engineering capacity. All rights reserved. Distribution to third parties requires prior written consent from GMOS Sdn Bhd (810996-D) Questions GlobalMariner Offshore Services Sdn Bhd Tel: +603- 22825280 Fax: +603- 2282 5258 A-16-9 Menara UOA Jalan Kemuja, Bangsar 59200 Kuala Lumpur Malaysia