GUVERNUL ROMANIEI
Project DACEA:
„DAnube Cross-border system for Earthquakes Alert”
Prof. Gh. Marmureanu - Project Manager
The Sustainable Innovation, Romania, November 29,2012
Project title
Lead partner
DAnube Cross-border system for Earthquakes Alert
(PL). National Institute of Research and Development for Earth Physics
Priority axis no.
2. Environment
Key Area of
Intervention
2. Development of joint infrastructure and services to prevent the
impact of natural and man-made crises, including joint emergency
response services
Partners:
2. Geophysical Institute of Bulgarian Academy of Sciences
3. OLTENIA” DOLJ COUNTY INSPECTORATE FOR EMERGENCY SITUATIONS
4. Association of the Danube River Municipalities “Danube”
5. The Foundation for Democracy, Culture and Liberty, Calarasi Branch
The innovative aspects of this early warning system is that it can
make a substantial contribution to overall risk reduction objectives by
enabling vulnerable groups to take timely action to mitigate loss and
damage in advance of an impending hazard event. Integration of early
warning system into real-time information systems turns out to be a crucial
step and essential tool to mitigate the impact of strong earthquakes on
urban environment in this part of World.
COMMISSION OF THE EUROPEAN COMMUNITIES
Brussels,23.2.2009
COM(2009) 82 final
A Community approach on the prevention of natural and man-made disasters
Section 3.2.4 : Reinforcing early warning tools
The ability of citizens and policy makers to mitigate disasters
depends, to a great extent, on access to reliable early warning
tools by:
● Reducing alert times of early warning systems;
●Continuing the cooperation with the southern Mediterranean countries
that aims at improving the access of existing early warning systems to
real time information;
COMMISSION OF THE EUROPEAN COMMUNITIES
Brussels,23.2.2009
COM(2009) 82 final
A Community approach on the prevention of natural and man-made disasters
Section 3.2.4 : Reinforcing early warning tools
The recent stress and strain pattern in the Central Mediterranean Area
Strain transfer from the active Adriatic, Aegean and Vrancea deformation
fronts throughout the ALCADI – Pannonian system
Vrancea
Adrian
Aegean
The strain transfer from the active Adriatic,Aegean and Vrancea
deformation fronts through the ALCADI-Pannonian System
Conditions for earthquake warning system
-High seismic activity
-Small epicenter area: 30 x 70 kmp
-Seismic information from long time
Vrancea seismicity !
Earthquakes in the Carpathian-Pannonian region are confined to the
crust, except the Vrancea zone, where earthquakes with focal depth down to
200 km occur. For example, the ruptured area migrated from 150 km to 180
km (Nov. 10,1940 Vrancea earthquake, Mw =7.7), from 90 to 110 km (March
4, 1977 earthquake, Mw =7.4),from 130 to 150 km (Aug. 30, 1986, Mw =
7.1) and from 70 to 90 km (May 30,1990, Mw =6.9) depth.The depth
interval between 110 km and 130 km remains not ruptured since 1802, Oct.
26, when it was the strongest earthquake occurred in this part of Central
Europe. The magnitude is assumed to be Mw =7.9 - 8.0 and this depth
interval is a natural candidate for the next strong Vrancea event. The strong
seismic events originating from Vrancea area can generate the most
destructive effects experienced in Romania and Bulgaria, and may seriously
affect high risk man-made structures such as nuclear power plants
(Cernavoda, Kozloduj etc.),chemical plants, large dams, and pipelines
located within a wide area from Central Europe to Moscow or to Rome.
More, Vrancea type of seismicity is nowhere else observed on earth [1].
The 1977, Mw=7.4 Vrancea earthquake,
h=95 km, IBUCHAREST= IX½ MSK; IRUSSE =IX MSK
High dynamic amplification at long periods, dangerous for high buildings,
that makes Bucharest the most dangerous capital city of Europe
In Romania: 1578 dead and 11,321 injured (90% of dead and injured 67% of Bucharest), 36
blocks in Bucharest, fell to the ground, 32,900 houses collapsed or severely damaged
35,000 families homeless, tens of thousands of buildings damaged, many other damage
and destruction in the industry and economy etc. On territory of Bulgaria: 285 dead and
injured, 8470 buildings partially destroyed and ruined etc.
What can be done?
Objectives :
█ Prevention of the natural disasters generated by earthquakes in crossborder area Romania-Bulgaria, developing the early warning integrated
communication network and capacity building at local level based on
results of research in this field;
█ Assessment of the seismic risk degree and the earthquakes effects in the
Romania – Bulgaria cross-border area, based on the updating of the
current database existed in the two countries specialized institutions and
on the geological, economical and social particularities;
█ To develop and implement an integrated seismic detection network with
IT&C facilities for risk assessment and risk scenarios;
█ Increase the capacity at local institutions/emergency intervention units
for joint response activities in the case of disasters based on a efficient
preparedness for citizens and local institutions – hospitals, schools,
businesses in cross-border area…
BUDGET :
Lead partner
TOTAL / partner
4,757,926.00
5,706,096.00
Partner 2
Partner 3
347,700.00
Partner 4
0.00
Partner 5
68,700.00
531,770.00
ESTIMATED ELIGIBLE EXPEDITURE CALENDAR :
Reimbursement
Total :
Approved
Accomplished
Reimbursement 1- 5
4,076,851
58,5051.81
Reimbursement 6-10
1,629,245
Total:
Obs. There have been delays in the tender for equipment…
Value for equipment = 3,673, 350 Euro
Estimate
5,121,044.19
5,706,096
TIME of Vrancea earthquake alert !
EWS is based on the difference between speed of S and P seismic waves and
data transmission speed. Usually it is a time period ranging from several
seconds to 1.00 minute.
Earthquakes at depths h=150 km, 29 sec. the warning time for Bucharest
Early Warning System for Deep Strong Vrancea Eartquakes (EWS) – NIEP
EWS for irradiator nuclear installation from Bucharest- Magurele
EWS and Shake Map Location
in seismic risk management, in
security of critical infrastructure
systems as a system of systems
in cross boder area !
FLOW DIAGRAM OF EARTHQUAKE DISASTER INFORMATION…
DANGEROUS
FACILITIES (SWITCH OFF)
EEWS
NIEP
NDC
Earthquake
parameters
LOCAL AUTHORITY
LOCAL GOVERNMENT
CIVIL PROTECTION
PUBLIC
- Alert
- Information
Warning using RDS-FM…
The NIEP command room from Bucharest
PLANUL NATIONAL DE CERCETARE,DEZVOLTARE SI INOVARE 2007-2013, PNII
Program PARTENERIATE
Subprogram “Proiecte Colaborative de Cercetare Aplicativa”
„Bridging the gap between seismology and earthquake
engineering. From the seismicity of Romania towards refined
implementation of seismic action of European Norm EN 1998-1
in earthquake resistant design of buildings ”
Project Director: Prof.Gh.Marmureanu
Contract nr.72/2012-2015 : 3.524.500 lei
1.Institutul National pentru Fizica Pamantului
2.Univ.Tehnica de Contructii Bucuresti
3.Urban -INCERC Bucuresti
4. AEDIFICIA CARPATI S.A.
●In the EU strategy ,the Commission and the Council of
the European Union have identified standardization as
a key instrument for improvement in order to foster
innovation (Brussels, 11.3.2008,COM(2008) 133 finalTowards an increased contribution from standardization
to innovation to Europe).
●A stronger role for standardization in support of
innovation is important for the Europe effort to
address economic, environmental and social
challenges.
●Refined implementation of seismic action of European
Norm EN 1998-1 in earthquake resistant design of
building in Romania area has a dimension of public
interest, in particular whenever issues of safety, health,
security and of the environment are at stake.
●In addition the standard-setting process needs to be in line
with EC 8 European competition provisions.
Innovative aspects of the project:
●The scientific WPs of the project pursue several objectives
which are innovative from a scientific and/or technological point of view. The general objective of the project is
to enhance the capability of…and real seismology to
mitigate the effects of the incoming destructive waves on
structures and the increase the efficiency of emergency
management. The objective requires research at the
frontier of seismology, nonlinear seismology etc.
●However, dynamic standardization in earthquake engineering by taking into consideration the last data and new
knowledge in seismology,earth physics and engineering
seismology fields is an important enabler of innovation
as follows:
(a)-New seismic hazard standards in Romania will express
the state of the art give innovators a level playing field
facilitating interoperability and competition between
new and already existing ones. New standards provide
designers with trust in the safety and performance of
new products;
(b)-The development of new seismic hazard standards in
Romania is also necessary to accompany the emergence
of new operators and corporations from Europe and the
introduction of complex design and construction systems
compatible with deep Vrancea earthquakes and crustal
ones from other countries ;
(c)-The use of new seismic hazard standards in Romania
will contribute to diffusing knowledges and facilitating
the application of technologies and this may then trigger
new innovations, in particular nontechnological
innovations in the management sector, new values-added
to European Community.
a).Acceleratia maxima a terenului PGA si acceleratia de
varf efectiva a terenului EPA:
EPA = SAmax / 2.5
b).Viteza maxima a terenului PGV si viteza de varf a
terenului EPV:
EPV = SVmax / 2.5
Spectral amplification factors (SAF). Damping ζ=5% .
Earthquake Comp. Sa(g)max Sa(g)max /amax ; Sv(m/s)max Sv(m/s)max/vmax
…………………………………………………………………………….
Aug.30,1986 N-S
0.193
3.74
24.10
5.56
MW=7.1;131 km Z
0.203
3.14
22.58
8.33
E-W 0.261
4.05
23.60
5.82
…………………………………………………………………………….
May 30,1990 N-S
0.398
3.65
31.77
3.23
MW=6.9; 90km Z
0.153
2.83
20.11
2.76
E-W 0.488
4.75
38.16
3.89
…………………………………………………………………………….
May 31,1990
N-S
0.173
3.41
12.43
2.15
MW=6.4;79km Z
0.050
3.43
12.51
9.55
E-W 0.293
5.75
23.35
8.11
The innovation is in fact the magnet ...
and the business is coming to innovation !
Thank you
for your attention !