Growth strategy in Mexico Tokyo Japan, May 2014 1 Contents Introduction TFP and contribution to growth according to the model KLEMS México Total Economy By Economic Activity Economic Growth Contribution of capital and labor services Highlight issues National Development Plan 2013-2018 Program to democratize productivity (PDP) 2013-2018 Objectives and strategies of the program Growth Diagnostic According to the PDP Conclusions Introduction The document presents the results of TFP indicators and growth contributions under the KLEMS model, obtained by INEGI for the period 1990-2011. It describes the plans for the Mexican economy growth under the objectives and goals of the Program to Democratize Productivity (PDP), within the National Development Plan 2013 – 2018 of the Mexican Federal Government. It is worth to mention that regarding the results obtained, INEGI does not make judgments, analysis or issues opinions on the subject. The results of the PTF are articulated directly to the evaluation and monitoring of the objectives of the PDP Introduction National Development Plan 2013-2018 Federal Government Program to Democratize Productivity Growth Strategy in Mexico 4 Total Factor Productivity TFPActivities by economic activity of Mexican economy (average rates 1991-2011) Mass media information Financial and insurance services Real estate services and tangible and intangible goods rental and leasing Manufacturing Electric power generation, transmission and distribution, water and gas… Transportation, postal services and warehousing Secondary Sector Total Economy Primary Sector Tertiary Sector Commerce Temporary accommodation services and food and beverage preparation … Construction Legislative, governmental and justice administration activities, and … Other services, except government activities Mining Educational services Business support services, waste management and remediation services Cultural and sporting recreation services and other recreational services Health care and social assistance services Professional, scientific and technical services -5 2.71 1.54 0.24 -4.58 -4 -0.01 -0.02 -0.25 -0.35 -0.39 -0.39 -0.61 -0.63 -0.80 -0.90 -1.10 -1.25 -1.71 -1.75 -1.80 -2.11 -2.62 -3 -2 -1 Highest TFP observed in mass media with 2.71% Total Economy TFP is -0.39% Lowest TFP is observed in Professional Services with -4.58% 0 1 2 3 5 4 Contribution of capital services Contribution of Capital Services Total economy and industrial activities (average rates 1991-2011) Financial and insurance services 3.84 Professional, scientific and technical services 3.38 Tertiary Sector 2.30 Mining 2.29 Mass media information 2.22 Health care and social assistance services 2.21 Commerce 2.10 Real estate services and tangible and intangible goods rental and … 1.95 Other services, except government activities Highest contribution is Financial Services with 3.84% 1.69 Educational services 1.63 Total Economy 1.58 Temporary accommodation services and food and beverage … 1.52 Business support services, waste management and remediation … 1.51 Cultural and sporting recreation services and other recreational … Total Economy contribution is 1.58% 1.38 Electric power generation, transmission and distribution, water … 1.13 Secondary Sector Lowest Contribution is Legislative Activities with 0.09% 1.10 Construction 1.03 Primary Sector 1.02 Transportation, postal services and warehousing 1.01 Manufacturing 0.83 Legislative, governmental and justice administration activities, and … 0 0.09 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 Contribution of Labor Services Contribution of industrial Labor Services Total economy and Activities (Average rates 1991-2011) Business support services, waste management and remediation … 2.31 Professional, scientific and technical services 2.03 Health care and social assistance services 1.39 Legislative, governmental and justice administration activities, and … 1.39 Educational services 0.95 Other services, except government activities 0.94 Construction 0.90 Commerce 0.87 Transportation, postal services and warehousing 0.78 Mass media information Highest contribution is Support Services to Business with 2.31% 0.75 Tertiary Sector 0.68 Financial and insurance services Contribution to Total Economy is 0.43% 0.52 Electric power generation, transmission and distribution, water … 0.45 Cultural and sporting recreation services and other recreational … 0.44 Total Economy 0.43 Secondary Sector 0.24 Temporary accommodation services and food and beverage … Mining Lowest contribution is Manufacturing with 0.09% 0.21 0.20 Real estate services and tangible and intangible goods rental and … Primary Sector 0.17 0.14 0.09 Manufacturing 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 7 2.5 Highlight Issues For period 1990-2011 TFP of the Mexican economy is negative (-0.39%). The activity with the highest TFP "Information in Mass Media" (2.71%),to which the contribution of capital is 2.22% and of labor 0.75%. The activity with the lowest TFP "Professional Services" (-4.58%), to which the contribution of capital is 3.38% and of labor 2.03% Thus the importance of these results in the monitoring of the objectives and goals of the programs to increase productivity of the Government of Mexico. 8 National Development Plan 2013 – 2018 General Objective National Goals Moving Mexico towards its full potential 1.Mexico in Peace 2. Inclusive Mexico 4.Prosperous Mexico 5.Mexico with Global Responsibility. 1. Democratize Productivity Transversal strategies 2. Closer and Modern Government 3. Gender perspective. 9 Program to Democratize Productivity (PDP) It defines objectives, strategies and courses of action to democratize productivity It was published on August 30th 2013. 5 Objectives, 19 strategies y 115 courses of action. It involves 20 agencies and entities of the Public Federal Administration (PFA). It should be reflected in the making of sector and special Programs of the PFA. Program to Democratize Productivity Objectives and strategies of the PDP Objective 1. Promoting efficient use and allocation of production factors STRATEGIES • Strengthening labor markets by promoting formal employment. • Promoting capital flows towards productive endeavors. • Promoting efficient use of the National territory. • Efficient handling of natural capital and environment protection. • Augmenting investments in human capital. Program to Democratize Productivity Objectives and strategies of the PDP Objective 2. Rising productivity of workers, enterprises and producers. STRATEGIES • Strengthening labor training activities • Promoting entrepreneurship and productive diversification (micro, small and medium enterprises). • Rising productivity of small rural producers. • Rising public Investment and promote private investment in Science, Technology and Innovation (STI) Program to Democratize Productivity Objectives and strategies of the PDP 3. Strengthening business environment for enterprises and producers. STRATEGIES • Promoting a business environment to create formal enterprises. • Legal Certainty for economic agents and reducing levels of insecurity in the productive sector. • Rising efficiency of producers of key inputs to reduce costs. • Promoting investments in infrastructure. • Taking advantage of Mexico’s integration into the world economy. Program to Democratize Productivity Objectives and strategies of the PDP 4. Establishing public policies that raise productivity across economic sectors. STRATEGIES • Promoting an organized structural change. • Strengthening the institutional set up to promote public policies aimed to raise and democratize productivity. • Orientate programs and public outlays towards the objective of rising and democratize productivity. Program to Democratize Productivity Objectives and strategies of the PDP • 5. Strengthening design and evaluation of public policies to democratize productivity STRATEGIES • Implementing an agenda to articulate several programs. • Active Involvement of society: workers, producers • Business community, local governments and academic Institutions. • Consolidating the institutional framework to promote productivity policies at federal, state and municipal. Installation of: National Productivity Committee Business Council for Growth Active Involvement of society in productivity policies. Growth Diagnostic according to the PDP Which factors influence productivity? Inefficient use and allocation of factors of production Weaknesses in the business and investment environment Inhibiting productivity of enterprises and individuals Sector Gaps Conclusions The TPF represents an statistical tool used by decision makers in designing of economic and industrial policy of the country. It is included in the Program to Democratize Productivity of the NDP, as part of its cross-sectoral axis. Mexico is the first country in Latin America to have a TPF indicator under the KLEMS model, which was released through INEGI Mexico joins the group of 30 nations which have a KLEMS database, as it was released on August 12th, 2013 Conociendo México 01 800 111 46 34 www.inegi.org.mx atencion.usuarios@inegi.org.mx @inegi_informa INEGI Informa