From Sand Hill to Signal Hill The Startup Climate in 2014 Chris Howard VP, Distinguished Analyst Chief of Research @chrishoward88 © 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. or its affiliates. This publication may not be reproduced or distributed in any form without Gartner's prior written permission. If you are authorized to access this publication, your use of it is subject to the Usage Guidelines for Gartner Services posted on gartner.com. The information contained in this publication has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Gartner di sclaims all warranties as to the accuracy, completeness or adequacy of such information and shall have no liability for errors, omissions or inadequacies in such information. This publication consists of the opinions of Gartner's research organization and should not be construed as statements of fact. The opinions expressed herein are subject to change without notice. Although Gartner research may include a discussion of related legal issues, Gartner does not provide legal advice or services and its research should not be construed or used as such. Gartner is a public company, and its shareholders may include firms and funds that have financial interests in entities covered in Gartner research. Gartner's Board of Directors may include senior managers of these firms or funds. Gartner research is produced independently by its research organization without input or influence from these firms, funds or their managers. For further information on the independence and integrity of Gartner research, see "Guiding Principles on Independence and Objectivity." Torrential Changes and a Confidence Crisis Will Reshape the Service Provider Landscape "My business and its IT organization are being engulfed by a torrent of digital opportunities. We cannot respond in a timely fashion, and this threatens the success of the business and the credibility of the IT organization." 51% Agree n = 2,339 Note: Excerpt from "Taming the Digital Dragon: The 2014 CIO Agenda" (G261080). © 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 70% CIOs will change their technology and sourcing relationships in the next 2 to 3 years for a variety of reasons. 46% Need to work with new categories of partners, e.g., Mobility Big Data Cloud Digital Agency Analytics Social CEO © 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 2 CEO 3 CEO 4 CIO 2014 CIO Spending Priorities (new $) © 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 5 CIOs' Top Technology Priorities in 2014 Continue to Bridge Old and New Worlds Ranking Based on How Many CIOs Cited Each as a Top-Three New Spending Priority for 2014 BI/Analytics Infrastructure and Data Center Mobile ERP Cloud Networking, Voice and Data Comms. Digitalization/Digital Marketing Security Industry-Specific Applications CRM Legacy Modernization Collaboration n = 2,339 Note: Excerpt from "Taming the Digital Dragon: The 2014 CIO Agenda" (G261080). © 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 © 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Your Cloud Use is Growing, but by 2016, It Will Become the Bulk of New IT Spend From Then to Now: Cloud Services in Use (by Organization Size) 90% 86% 87% 86% SaaS PaaS 86% 77% 43% 72% 40% 38% 35% 76% 40% Today 2012 500 to 999 Today 2012 47% 43% 41% 88% 34% 122013 Months 82% 27% 78% 38% 31% 122013 Months 1,000 to 2,499 © 2014 Gartner,Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Source: Future of IT Survey, November 2012 Today 2012 76% 122013 Months 2,499 to 4,999 Today 2012 122013 Months 5,000 or more IaaS Reviewing Your Potential Route(s) to the Cloud and Beyond 2014 and Beyond ? ? ? Replace Multienterprise Rebuild Relink/ Recode SaaS BPaaS PaaS Rehost IaaS © 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Reimagine Security & Brokerage … And Embrace Intermediaries: Become or Leverage a CSB (Cloud Services Brokerage) Aggregation Brokerage Three Primary Roles 100% 75% Definition: CSB is composed of three primary roles in which an intermediary adds value to one or more cloud services on behalf of consumers of those services. 50% 25% Integration Brokerage See "Cloud Services Brokerage Is Dominated by Three Primary Roles," G00226509 © 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Customization Brokerage Providers of CSB compete on the relative strengths of the three CSB roles • Are a brokerage You • Enable brokerage Either • Leverage brokerage Philadelphia patient-centered solutions: Health IT, mobile health processes Boston Life Sciences, Health, IT, Green IT NYC: Digital Media © 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 11 Government Perspectives © 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 12 Gov’t: Strategic Planning Assumptions • By 2017, as many as 35% of government shared-service organizations will be managed by private-sector companies. • By 2017, public cloud offerings will grow to account for more than 25% of government business services in domains other than national defense and security. • By 2017, more than 60% of government organizations with a CIO and a chief digital officer will eliminate one of those roles. • By 2017, more than 60% of government open data programs that do not effectively use open data internally will be downscaled or discontinued. • By 2016, at least 25% of government software development positions will be eliminated to fund the hiring of business intelligence and data analysts. © 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 13 © 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 14 Government: Cloud © 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 15 The Internet of Things: When Objects Anticipate and Negotiate The Internet of things is already here: • Connections 2020: >230 billion permanent and intermittent • Dropping costs: Audio, video, GPR, Wi-Fi Connected devices everywhere: • Cameras and microphones widely deployed • Remote sensing of objects and environment • Building and infrastructure management More and more applications: • Crime detection and prevention • Public services via connected products Smart Public Health Clinics Smart Cities M I Smart Emergency Response C © 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Digital Differences E-government Digital government Service centric Data centric Give staff more tools Give citizens the tools Optimize internal processes Redesign customer centric processes All services included equally High-value add services first Challenged to integrate front and back-office Change management and governance challenges © 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. IT Services Strategies © 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 18 Key Issues Shaping IT Services Strategies • In the face of digital business transformation, where is the IT services market headed? • What are the essential factors for building winning service portfolios in: - Business process services? - Application services? - Infrastructure services? • How can IT services providers achieve sustainable and profitable growth? © 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. IT Services Market, 2014 and Beyond: Keys to Thriving During Unprecedented Change Industrialized Outcome-based Consumption Capabilities Access New World Social Mobile Information Cloud Contracted for Effort Old World Labor-Based © 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Dedicated Assets The IT services market will be reshaped by the consumerization and digital business transformation opportunities. Winning providers will find unexpected sources of growth helping clients exploit such opportunities, enabled by the Nexus of Forces. Read the full research document: "Agenda Overview for the IT Services Market, 2014" (G00259488) Who’s the buyer? © 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 21 Service Providers Must Expand Their Sphere of Influence and Impact 38% of IT Spending Is Decentralized; 62% Is Centralized Legal/Regulatory/ Other 9% Compliance, 1% Customer Service and Experience, 3% Human Resources, 3% Supply Chain/Logistics, 3% Sales, 3% Marketing and Communications, 4% CFO/Finance, 4% Centrally Managed IT Spending 62% Chief Operating Officer/Operations 8% Note: Excerpt from "IT Metrics: A Critical Evaluation of Decentralized IT Spending and Digital Enterprise Readiness" (G00252797). © 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. © 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 23 Cloud Privacy and Security Awareness Cognitive Automation Anti-Globalization Policies and Protectionism IoT Gen Y Leaders Analytics Economic Fluctuations and Rise of Emerged Emerging Markets Mobile Social Portfolio Rationalization Business Buying Center Shift Just-In-Time Service Supply Chain Ecosystems Crowd Sourcing Consumerization Digital Business Transformation Reducing Labor Arbitrage Advantage Magnitude of impact Business OutcomeBased Value and Pricing Models Re-Insourcing © 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Disruptive New Competitor Types Top Three Recommendations for IT Services Market Participants IT Budget Digital Business Differentiated Value Nexus of Forces IT Services Market Opportunity Need for Speed Innovation Crisis Competitive Industrialization Rivalry Substitutes Driver Constraint 1. Target new buying centers through the audacity of visionary thinking. 2. Articulate value in terms of business outcomes and KPI attainment. 3. Industrialize and productize, but don't lose sight of service value. © 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. IT Services Research Road Map • "Competitive Landscape: Cloud-Related Consulting, Implementation and Management Services" (G00248611) • "Vendor Survey Analysis: Profitability Will Be Essential for IT Services Provider Survival Through 2015" (G00258524) • "How Mobility Impacts and Challenges IT Services Providers to Create Innovative Business Models" (G00248608) • "Information Scale Drives Market Opportunity for IT Services Providers" (G00248605) © 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. • Exploring the Digital Business Transformation Service Provider Competitive Landscape • Identifying How to Enhance Business Buying Center Coverage • Accelerating Business Outcomes in Service Value Articulation • Learning How Aggressive Public Cloud Services Adopters are Different from Everyone Else, and What it Means to You • Developing Services Pricing Models of the Future Business Process Services, 2014 Industry Specialization, Process Automation and Analytics Digital Enterprise Analytics Cloud Services DESTINATION Business Outcomes Client Organizational Efficiency and Effectiveness Via better, faster, less expensive strategies and operations Customized Service Immature and mature clients Industrialized Service Automation Software Assets Read the full research document: "Agenda Overview for Business Process Services, 2014" (G00248926) © 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Technology Platform Market Analysis for Business Process Services Market Drivers Market Inhibitors Business buyers drive new approaches to designing and supporting business process including buying BPaaS Analytics and knowledge insight are Continued industrialization and commoditization of delivery Limited availability of business process expertise at an optimal price for skill embedded in services Providers drive for high margins results in low Digital business and the IoT activities risk and limited investments Blending remote delivery with automation and assets Market Opportunities Market Threats Platforms and solutions for selected market segments Alternative providers/new entrants Service commoditization Increased market from new business services Shortage of critical skills supporting the digital economy and the IoT Insufficient investment funds for new services Vertical specific offerings or potential differentiation Regulation and risk management services Increasing Impact © 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Decreasing Impact Continuing Impact Artificial Intelligence Analytics Digital Forensic Investigation Corporate Social Responsibility Self-Service Smart Cities Risk Management Digitalization Asset-Based Consulting Anti-Industrialization Inertia Mobile Process Enhancement Technologies and Services Dashboards Green and Sustainability Social Regulations Robots Generations X, Y and Z Platform BPO Demand for Cost Savings Better Process Improvement Verticalization BPaaS Strategic Partnerships Total Cost of Process Consumerization of Business Process Increased Competition Provider Consolidation Hybrid SharedService Centers © 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Business Outcome Pricing Novice and Advanced Buyers Industrialization StalkingHorse Entrants Key Business Process Service Predictions "By 2017, cognitive artificial intelligence technology will integrate into business processes and will replace 30% of business consulting resources." Access "By 2017, 75% of BPO deals will combine software as a service and business process as a service elements." Note: Excerpts from "Predicts 2014: Talent and Technology Will Drive Business Process Consulting and Outsourcing Services " (G00248937). © 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Top Three Recommendations for Business Process Service Providers Processes Modernization Digital Change and Regulatory compliance Commoditization of Labor Arbitrage PETS and Automation Business Process Service Provider Success Analytical Insights End-to-End Process Redesign Sustainability of Differentiation Verticalized Solutions Driver Constraint 1. Instill confidence with prospects via excellent vertical insights. 2. Leverage process enhancement technologies and services, and assets: Put together a dedicated team to build and promote repeatable tools. 3. Exploit and include analytics in every existing BPS client and new BPS deal. © 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Business Process Service Research Road Map • "SWOT: Accenture, Business Consulting, Worldwide" (G00248936) • "Market Trends: Demonstrating Significant Process Improvements Is Now the Key Imperative in BPO" (G00248921) • "Competitive Landscape: Strategic Sourcing and Procurement BPO Heat Up" (G00248919) © 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. • Market Trends: Business Consulting • Exploiting Best Practices to Build Strong BPO Sales Presentations • Developing BPO Maturity Models in Customer Management, Finance and Accounting and Human Resources • Forecasting BPO and Consulting Market Growth • Investigating Convergence of BPO and ITO Sales Models Application Services: Business Buying Centers and Solutions Drive Profits and Growth Shifting Buying Centers IT Buyer Business Buyer Strategize LaborCentric Delivery © 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Application Modernization New Applications Manage Implement Shifting Delivery Models Application Solutions Industrialized Delivery Assets Adaptable Components and Accelerators Integrated Platforms Market Analysis for Application Services Market Drivers Market Inhibitors Business buyer demand for speed, agility, innovation and impact Limited availability of business and process expertise Shift from labor to solutions and platforms that are specific to business buyer needs Continued industrialization and competitive price pressure Buyers expecting analytics and mobility to be Providers' drive for high margins results in embedded within all applications low risk and limited investments Market Opportunities Market Threats Platforms and solutions for selected sectors Alternative providers/new entrants Increased wallet share from full life cycle services and portfolio rationalization Service commoditization Onshore and nearshore delivery for agile based business solutions Digital business enablement integrating Cannibalizing transition to IP-based solutions and "as a service" models Insufficient investment funds for new services or potential differentiation processes, technology and analytics Increasing Impact © 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Decreasing Impact Continuing Impact Digital Enterprise Regulatory Requirements SaaS/BPaaS Coalesce Machine to Machine, Social and Sensors European Recovery Crowdsourcing Cloud-Based Testing Globally Connected Enterprise Millennial Users Analytics IT Skills Gap Application Modernization Analytic and Big Data Services Margin and Growth Pressures Full Life Cycle Services Approach Software/IP Expansion by Service Providers Onshore Delivery Provider Growth Through Acquisitions Magnitude of impact © 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Agile Development Business Buyer Funds Applications Business Solutions Key Application Service Predictions By 2018, 20% of spending on new technologies will be on fully integrated as-a-service platform solutions offered by IT services providers. Through 2017, buyers' utilization of U.S. onshore low-cost delivery for application services will increase by 20%. Note: Excerpts from "Predicts 2014: Application Services' Alignment With Business Drivers Remains a Future Priority" (G00248708). © 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Top Three Recommendations for Application Service Providers Cost-Focused Buyer Behavior Modernization Commoditization Mobility and Analytics Application Service Provider Success Business Buyers Limited Budgets Hypercompetition Digital Transformation Driver 1. Invest in industrialized assets, vertical solutions and platforms Constraint to enhance profitability. 2. Grow relationships with business buyers to expand in existing accounts. 3. Invest in new capabilities required to capitalize on the emerging digital business opportunities. © 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Application Service Research Road Map • "Market Insight: Integrated Platform Solutions Are the Next Frontier for IT Services Providers" (G00253679) • Prescriptive Analytics Embedded Within Solutions as a Competitive Differentiator • Market Opportunity Size and Growth for Enterprise Application Services • "Market Trends: How to Successfully Navigate Intense Competition in Application • Identifying How Small Application Service Testing Services" (G00252620) Providers Can Penetrate Mature Markets • "Market Insight: Vertical-Specific Solutions • Exploring the Customer Services Shift Profitability of Application Service Application Implementation Provider Providers" (G00248719) Landscape • "Nexus of Forces: How Mobility Impacts • Analysis of How Providers Adapt and and Challenges IT Services Providers to Organize to Address Digital Create Innovative Business Models" Transformation (G00248608) © 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Infrastructure Services, 2014: Promote Your Value; Prevent Their Pain; Productize Your Portfolio! Commoditization is driving the need for differentiation Value promotion and prevention-based services are critical success factors. There are challenges but also significant opportunities Read the full research document: "Agenda Overview for Infrastructure Services, 2014" (G00259677) © 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Market Analysis for Infrastructure Services Market Drivers Market Inhibitors Transition to "as-a-service" models Poor service marketing and messaging IoT-related hype Overly reactive/passive portfolios Demand for consumer-grade experiences within the enterprise Relationships confined to technical ranks with customer organizations Big data explosion and related analytics Low level of service innovation increasing computing requirement Large capital investment requirement Market Opportunities Market Threats Prevention-based services Advances in analytics/automation Service advocacy initiatives Differentiation via their pricing model Redefining the TCO calculation to include full life cycle operational costs Increasing Impact © 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Service commoditization Increasing customer expectations Alternative providers/new entrants Insufficient investment funds Reducing service lock-in potency Spiraling delivery costs Decreasing Impact Continuing Impact Hardware Reliability Improvements Green Communities and Forums Artificial Intelligence Real-Time Telemetry Automation Generation Y Predictive Analytics PreventionBased Services Big Data Closed Systems IoT Diversity Initiatives Mobile Virtualization Data Residency Regulations Globalization Increased Competition Changing IoT Hype Differentibuying modes Cloud ation Adoption Is Difficult Multisourcing Shorter Provider Contracts Consolidation Different Buyers Magnitude of impact BYOD © 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Buzzword Fatigue Demographic Time Bomb Demand for Cost Savings Lock-in Fear Generation Y + 1 Governmental Austerity Consumerization "Good Enough" Is Good Enough Lower Barriers to Trade Expanding CSP Portfolios Service Lines Are Blurring Strategic Partnerships Cloud Service Brokerage Portfolio Multisourcing Rationalization Service Integrators "StalkingHorse" Entrants Key Infrastructure Service Predictions "By 2017, at least 25% of all infrastructure management service decisions will be made explicitly to optimize the total cost of running a business process." "By 2016, failure to complete a portfolio rationalization plan will force 50% of infrastructure outsourcing service players to divest at least one key/core service line." Note: Excerpts from "Predicts 2014: Infrastructure Services Must Productize or Die" (G00259418) © 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Top Three Recommendations for Infrastructure Service Providers Crippling Cost Base Inability to Articulate Value Proprietary Lockin/ Barriers to Customer Churn Customer Adoption and Acceptance of "As-aService" models Infrastructure Service Provider Success Price Pressure AutomationDriven Efficiency Portfolio Stagnation New Entrants/ Alternative Providers Driver Constraint 1. Describe activity in terms of benefits. Translate benefits into tangible business value. Reinforce with customer references. 2. Rationalize your portfolio. If it's not growing, then it's holding you back. 3. Deploy automation and analytics to industrialize delivery. © 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Infrastructure Service Research Road Map • "Predicts 2014: Infrastructure Services Must Productize or Die" (G00259418) • "Best Practices for IT Services Reporting and Analytics: Report Design, Presentation and Usage" (G00255231) • "Introducing the Key Ingredients for a Next-Generation Industrialized Managed Infrastructure Service Offering" (G00248791) • "Emerging Technology Analysis: Video Chat Will Redefine the Enterprise Support Experience" (G00247559) © 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. • Developing an End-User Services Maturity Scale • Unlocking Service Value Articulation Best Practices • Exploring Strategic Options for Service Pricing • Discovering Service Portfolio Design Best Practices • Identifying Implications of Key Market Trends for Infrastructure Service Lines • Building Value Articulation Best Practice Toolkits