Transitioning to Lower GWP Refrigerants: There’s No Quick, Easy Path Stephen Yurek President and CEO Air-Conditioning, Heating, and Refrigeration Institute We Must Get This Right: Refrigerants Are Vital Used in Air conditioning Massachusetts Institute of Technology Department of Economics Working Paper Series – Vital for personal health, comfort, and well-being Used in Refrigeration – Prolong life of perishable food – Keep life-saving medicines safe Improve health, productivity, and safety Saves lives Adapting to Climate Change: The Remarkable Decline in the U.S. Temperature-Mortality Relationship Over the 20th Century Alan Barreca Karen Clay Olivier Deschenes Michael Greenstone Joseph S. Shapiro Working Paper 12-29 December 20, 2012 Room E52-251 50 Memorial Drive Cambridge, MA 02142 This paper can be downloaded without charge from the Social Science Research Network Paper Collection at http://ssrn.com/abstract=2192245 Electronic copy available at: http://ssrn.com/abstract=2192245 We Are Not Waiting for Regulators We know that we need to transition from high-GWP to lower-GWP refrigerants We are taking action Challenges Ahead There is no “magic” replacement for high GWP HFCs – Choices and tradeoffs must be made U.S. National Institute of Standards and Technology – Conducted comprehensive study of over 100,000,000 compounds to evaluate use as refrigerant – Only 62 are worth further consideration after screening for GWP, toxicity, flammability, stability and critical temperature. – Found that based on current compression technology “All the candidates are on the table” GWP is Important, But Not the Only Consideration Maintaining refrigerant choice – Best refrigerant for each application Evaluating refrigerant characteristics for informed choices – – – – Balancing efficiency Cost Availability Safety There Are Limits and Tradeoffs Stability – Low-GWP candidates can be less stable (except HC, CO2, NH3) Some candidates contain chlorine – Impact below any current threshold Cost – More complex molecules will be more costly Most refrigerant candidates are at least mildly flammable – Safety codes are examining wider use of 2L refrigerants – Hydrocarbons, while widely used in small-charge systems, are not good candidates for larger systems – Refrigerant charge: • • • • General rule: 2.5 – 3lbs of refrigerant per ton Typical U.S. residential unit: 3 tons That means ~9lbs (4,000g) of refrigerant Current limit in U.S. for flammable refrigerants is 150g What is the Timeline? Commercial availability – Refrigerants – Components (e.g., compressors, valves, electronics) that are compatible with new refrigerants Research and Development – Time for equipment manufacturers to design and test equipment with new refrigerants and components – Time to retool manufacturing lines to produce new equipment Regulatory Approvals – Safety and energy efficiency standards Updates to standards and national and local codes to address the use of A2L and A3 refrigerants Research on Alternatives – AHRI Low-GWP AREP-Phase I 38 refrigerants were evaluated in Phase I testing Submitted Reports Approved Available to the Public 41 40 40 All Reports are available at: http://www.ahrinet.org/site/514/Resources/Research/AHRI-Low-GWPAlternative-Refrigerants-Evaluation Tests covered the following applications: – Air conditioners and heat pumps (air-source, water-source, VRF, unitary, mini-split) (11) – Chillers (screw (3), centrifugal(1)) – Refrigeration (commercial refrigerator (1), ice machine(2)) – Transport refrigeration (1) – Bus air conditioning (2) – Compressors (10) AHRI Low-GWP AREP-Phase II – Started 2014 23 new refrigerant candidates High Ambient Conditions Education and Training – Major Global Challenge Summary We understand and accept the need to phase-down use of high GWP refrigerants Adequate time needed to: – Properly research alternatives – Engineer products that can use alternatives safely – Develop capacity to manufacture, distribute, and sell We have a good record as an industry – We must continue to work with policy makers We must seize the opportunity to approach global issue in a global, not regional, fashion – These Roundtables are a good forum to do so