KENYA’S COMPETITIVENESS IN BUSINESS BY JULIUS KIPNGETICH MANAGING DIRECTOR INVESTMENT PROMOTION CENTRE AFRICA AT A GLANCE • The continent’s size is to equivalent to • • • • • • USA China India Argentina Western Europe New Zealand Has a population of 740 million Is endowed with vast natural resources Has a huge debt Has a small GDP size 2/3 of the population is young and dynamic Its violent and turbulent past is coming to an end Kenya at a glance Has a GDP of $11 billion Population is 31.5 million Per capita of $350 16% of the GDP is savings 75% of employment is in agriculture, 24% of GDP Tourism earns Kshs. 24 billion, 12% of GDP Manufacturing accounts for 14%, largest base in COMESA ICT is the fastest growing sector in the economy Financial & diplomatic capital of the region Aviation hub of the region courtesy of Kenya Airways Busiest port of the region at Kilindini Best educated workforce in Sub-sahara Highest concentration of Olympians in the world Kenya’s investment priority areas Agriculture and agro-processing Tourism Manufacturing Professional services ICT Financial & Banking Medical Trade Knowledge-based industries Privatisation of state enterprises Mainly infrastructure parastatals Main Types of FDI Resource seeking FDI in natural resources FDI seeking low cost or specialised labour Market seeking FDI into markets previously served by exports or closed FDI by supplier companies following customers overseas FDI aims to adopt products to local tastes or use resources Efficiency seeking Rationalized or integrated operations leading to cross-border specialization Strategic asset seeking Acquisitions and alliances Determinants of FDI inflows Political stability and predictability Labour conditions Legal environment Size of the market Openness of the economy Infrastructure and other support services Incentives Degree of globalisation DISTRIBUTION OF FDI INFLOWS2001 European Union USA Asia/Pacific Latin America/ Caribbean Africa Japan Others 44% 17% 14% 12% 02% 01% 10% Africa’s top 10 FDI destinations South Africa Morocco Algeria Angola Nigeria Sudan Egypt Tunisia Ivory Coast Mozambique ($ billions) - 2001 7 3 1.2 1.1 1.1 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.25 0.25 Inward FDI flows for Kenya, Uganda, Tanzania & S. Africa ($ million) Year 1998 Kenya 42 Uganda 210 Tanzania 172 S. Africa 561 1999 42 222 517 1,502 2000 127 254 463 888 2001 50 229 327 6,789 2002 50 275 240 754 Outward FDI flows for Kenya, Uganda, Tanzania & S. Africa ($ million) Year 1998 Kenya 14 1999 30 2000 Uganda 20 Tanzania - S. Africa 1,779 -8 - 1,580 29 - 28 1 271 2001 50 -5 - - 3,180 2002 76 -14 - - 401 KENYA’S COMPETITIVENESS AS A PREFERRED FDI DESTINATION ( 1 ) denotes negative perception and ( 4 ) denotes no impact on deciding investment destination Kenya’s competitiveness as a preferred FDI destination 3 2.5 Corruption 2 Inadequate infrastructure Crime 1.5 1 0.5 0 Kenya Uganda Tanzania Kenya’s competitiveness as a preferred FDI destination Contd. 2.5 Political instability 2 1.5 Financing 1 Tax regulations/high rates 0.5 0 Kenya Uganda Tanzania Kenya’s competitiveness as a preferred FDI destination Contd. 3 2.5 Inflation 2 Regulations for starting business 1.5 1 Uncertainity on costs of regulations 0.5 0 Kenya Uganda Tanzania Kenya’s competitiveness as a preferred FDI destination Contd. 4 3.5 3 Inadequate education levels Tribal conflicts 2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 Kenya Uganda Tanzania Kenya’s competitiveness as a preferred FDI destination Contd. 3.5 3 2.5 Public health concerns Transfer costs in exporting capital Work ethics in labour force 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 Kenya Uganda Tanzania Kenya’s competitiveness as a preferred FDI destination Contd. 3.5 3 Labour regulations 2.5 2 Foreign currency regulations Regulations on foreign trade 1.5 1 0.5 0 Kenya Uganda Tanzania Kenya’s competitiveness as a preferred FDI destination Contd. 3.2 3.1 Safety or environmental regulations Price controls 3 2.9 2.8 2.7 2.6 Geographical location of the firm 2.5 2.4 2.3 Kenya Uganda Tanzania Average Score in competitiveness 2.7 2.6 2.5 KENYA UGANDA TANZANIA 2.4 2.3 2.2 2.1 COMPETITIVENESS CORPORATE TAX RATES (%) Kenya China Indonesia Malaysia Philippines Thailand Vietnam 30 30 30 28 32 30 25 TELECOMMUNICATIONS KENYA SELECTED COUNTRIES US$/minute to US Private landphone (Local calls 0-60 km) US$ 0.02 per minute Trunk calls US$ 0.08 – 0.25 per minute International calls - US US$ 1.25 per minute Indonesia Malaysia Philippines Thailand China Vietnam 1.00 0.24 0.30 0.56 0.25 1.30 WATER RATES KENYA SELECTED ASIAN COUNTRIES Water (US$/m³) 0-10,000 litres US$ 0.16 per 1,000 litres 10,000 – 30,000 litres US$ 0.24 per 1,000 litres 30,000 – 60,000 litres US$ 0.36 per 1,000 litres Over 60,000 litres US$ 0.45 per 1,000 litres China Indonesia Malaysia Philippines Thailand Vietnam 0.21 0.59 0.51 0.21 0.31 0.25 REASONS FOR KENYA’S LOSS OF FDI COMPETITIVENESS Turbulent political environment in the last decade Stand-off with development partners especially IMF Low economic growth Corruption and insecurity Inadequate infrastructure supply Inefficient public service Low quality of life Lack of political will to change in the past Lack of enabling legal frame work Poor perception of Africa as a whole Achievements since the Government took over Smooth transition of power in 2002 Emerging positive image of Kenya worldwide Restoration of relations with development partners Increased confidence of the population and general optimism about the future Major review of govt policies in many sectors Facing the excesses of the past & zero tolerance for corruption Widening of the democratic space Conclusion of the constitutional talks Inclusion in NEPAD group of 4 Increased interest in Kenya as a trade, investment and tourism destination What remains to be done Reorientation of the entire public service Retooling & separation E-governance Process thinking Investment code Privatisation bill Electricity, oil & gas Roads, railways & ports Telecommunications Security & safety Passing of 2 crucial bills Reduction of the cost of doing business Privatisation of state enterprises Widening & deepening of the fight against corruption Debt restructuring & forgiveness Positioning Kenya as the premier black Africa nation