WLA – Emissions Insert the title of your database presentation here Presented by Name Here Presented J Barrett Job Title by - Date WLA AQCG, 22 March 2010 Contents 1 Background 2 Modelling overview 3 Examples of software functionality 4 Recent projects 5 Future Development Page 2 Insert the title of your 1. Background presentation here Presented by Name Here Job Title - Date West London Alliance (WLA) - Emissions database? A tool for estimating the impacts of transport policies and measures on emissions at different spatial scales across West london. Characteristics of a fully-functioning WLA EDB: - Contains geo-referenced data (GIS), with spatially resolved emission estimates (e.g. 1 km x 1 km grid). - Uses bottom-up calculations. - Is applicable to various regional scales (e.g. West London, borough, town etc.). - Is flexible and adaptable to the needs of different users. - Uses ‘new’ technologies to provide actual activity data rather than statistics (ideally involves some degree of automatic data collection). Potential applications Air quality management. Transport planning: Environmental zones. Vehicle-specific restrictions. Modal shift. Route changes. Changes in driver behaviour. Road pricing, tolls. Land use planning. Carbon footprinting. Analysis of trends. Verification & improvement of topdown calculations. Indicators. Support to national inventories. Prediction of air quality: ‘nowcasts’, ‘forecasts. Research (e.g. source apportionment studies). Impact assessment (EIA, SEA, HIA). Policy assessment. Input data to noise models. New data sources The prototype has been created to allow easy incorporation and use of new types of input data. The model could be linked to other models, or to on-line or realtime traffic data. Potential sources: - Freight /haulage companies. - Traffic models & censuses. - Environment zone toll systems (e.g. London, Stockholm). - Automatic vehicle count and classification (e.g. MIDAS, UK). - UTMC (e.g. SCOOT). - On-board equipment, such as GPS, telematics/ITS (C2C, C2I, EVI). - Web-based tools. - Video cameras and ANPR. - Specific projects/models (e.g. ISHTAR, MESSAGE, TREMOVE, DGENV Fleets). - Remote sensing and satellite imagery. - Insurance companies. % change with scenario 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Scenario 12 NOx 2. Modelling overview PM CO2 Content Modes Road transport (using the WLA Transport and Enhanced Emissions Model – TEEM). Rail transport (TRL’s rail model). Pollutants NOx, PM10 and CO2 (+ others) Time frame At present 2007, but would be able to handle historic data and projections. Geographical extent West London, which can be used for high-resolution local traffic studies. LAEI (GLA 2009) modelled road network as the minmum the baseline. Content West London road network (approximately 22,000 links) Key Road N WLA EDB Structure Fleet structure 3. Examples of software functionality Functionality: scenario testing examples* No. 1 Policy Vehicle scrappage schemes 2 Description HGVs, including rigid and articulated trucks, up to and including Euro II, are replaced by vehicles meeting the Euro V standard (and fitted with diesel particulate filter - DPF) All diesel cars up to and including Euro 2 are replaced with Euro 5 (again with DPF). 3 Measures that influence traffic composition Reduce the number of rigid HGVs by 12% and increase number of artic HGVs by 4%. 4 Replace Euro III buses with Euro V (no DPF). 5 Bus replacement programme Access restrictions 6 Dedicated bus lanes Number of buses increased by 10% on affected roads and number of cars reduced by 5%. Number of HGVs reduced by 1%. Buses assumed to be travelling at the speed limit, with a 15% reduction in the speed of all other traffic. 7 Shifting a % of freight from road to rail Road: 2% reduction in number of HGVs. Rail: Increase in the weight of existing trains. 8 Shifting a % of passengers from road to rail. (a)Rail: 1% of car passengers on route shifted to rail with increase in train occupancy (i.e. increased weight per train). Chislehurst Road with an AADT of 8500 becomes pedestrianised between 10am and 2pm (i.e. no through traffic). Displacement of traffic not considered. (b)1% of car passengers on route shifted to rail with no increase in occupancy (i.e. more trains). *Currently by direct modification of emission functions and activity data (no module, but some functionality in user interface of road program). ‘scenario’ Scenario 6 (dedicated bus lanes) Introducing a dedicated bus lane. Constraining road space for other road users. Bus timetables Roadside surveys Scenario 6 (dedicated bus lanes) Roads included: Crofton Lane, Towncourt Lane NOx Emission (tonnes/year) PM CO2 Baseline 6.41 0.17 1407.26 Scenario 6 6.59 0.17 1411.01 Percentage change from baseline 3.0 2.5 % Change 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 NOx PM CO2 Insert theprojects title of your 4. Recent presentation here Presented by Name Here Job Title - Date Applications Completed - Application of the Transport and Enhanced Emissions Model (TEEM) in West London and Harrow - Description: Study to compare TEEM outputs with those of the London Atmospheric Emissions Inventory road activity dataset. The study examined emissions at the West London scale and in more detail for London Borough of Harrow. - Client: Harrow on behalf of the WLA AQCG - Consultants: TRL - The Transport and Enhanced Emissions Model (TEEM) modelling transport measures - Description: Six scenarios suggested by the AQCG were developed further by TRL. These included a ‘Wembley to Park Royal ‘Fastbus’ scheme. The outcome in each case considered the impact of each scenario in terms of nitrogen oxides (NOX), particulate matter (PM) and carbon dioxide (CO2). - Client: Hounslow on behalf of the WLA AQCG - Consultants: TRL Applications Completed – - Leicester revision of the air quality action plan - Description: A study to re-consider those measures included in the existing air quality action plan and to re-evaluate alternatives including a city centre environment zone and freight expressway. TEEM was applied for the emissions modelling. - Client: Leicester City Council - Consultants: TRL Geographical specific emission inventories across Europe - Description: A study to pilot a methodology for standardising emission estimates across the EU based on geographically specific data sources. - The road transport component was estimated using a version of TEEM applied to a road corridor between London and Paris. - Client: European Environment Agency - Consultants - TRL Insert thedevelopment title of your 5. Future presentation here Presented by Name Here Job Title - Date Insert the title of your Summary presentation here Presented by Name Here Job Title - Date Summary •TEEM enables operators to estimate the environmental impacts of specific scenarios for example, changes in modal shift, emissions gains traffic flow changes – LOCALLY •TEEM = Lots of capacity - no limit to the size of network TEEM can process. The GIS output assists visualisation. •Outputs in easy read format •TEEM = flexibility of the tool distinct advantage over most other models •use on micro scale and macro scale •Can accept variety of data from different sources •User-friendly interface •Fast processing speed •Bespoke a tool for local needs with opportunities to extend the functionality to include air transport, freight emissions and GHG for the future Contact Details WLAQCG contacts: - Rob Gibson (Chair) – LB Hounslow - Val Beale (Secretary) – LB Hillingdon - Paul Hargreaves – LB Harrow - Paul Baker – LB Hammersmith & Fulham - Richard Ward – LB Ealing - John Coates – LB Richmond-upon-Thames - Jennifer Barrett – LB Brent: Tel - 020 8937 5284 Transport Research Labs (TRL) contact: Kevin Turpin: Tel - 01344 770336 For details of other projects undertaken by the WLAQCG visit our website - www.westlondonairquality.org.uk