Low Carbon Energy International Parliamentary Conference on Climate Change Professor Jim Skea Research Director, UK Energy Research Centre Park Plaza, Westminster Bridge, London 15 July 2010 Decarbonisation: the big picture Power sector Transport Bringing it all together The decarbonisation story… Reducing power sector emissions: Renewables (Wind, solar, tidal and marine, biomass), nuclear, CCS Application of power to transport and heat Reducing transport emissions: • Fuel efficiency • Electric/plug-in hybrids • Sustainable Bio fuels Source: Committee on Climate Change Reducing heat emissions: • Energy efficiency • Behaviour change • Electric heat (e.g. heat pumps, storage heating) • Biomass boilers • CCS in industry Therefore we need to significantly decarbonise electricity generation by 2030 600 600 500 500 400 400 300 300 200 200 100 100 0 0 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 Carbon-intensity Source: Committee on Climate Change Total generation Total electricity generation (TWh) The electrification of other sectors will see demand increase in 2020s and 2030s Carbon-intensity of electricity (gCO2/kWh) Decarbonising power Generic options for reducing CO2 behaviour bio-energy fossil fuels with carbon capture and storage renewables efficiency nuclear Renewables Global wind capacity Source: Global Wind Energy Council Costs of generating power Source: ExxonMobil Integrating low carbon power We built our grids, markets and regulatory systems for coal and gas generation Need arrangements for low carbon energy that has: high capital costs low running costs We need to cope with intermittent renewable energy CO2 emissions – new UK cars Source: SMMT Incremental transport improvements Source: ExxonMobil Electrification of transport… mild hybrid battery electric full hybrid plug-in hybrid And don’t forget…….. biofuels the hydrogen economy The smart grid Source: Wang Technology’s contribution to a 2OC world Source: IEA UK Energy Research Centre +44 (0)20 7594 1574 www.ukerc.ac.uk