AGRICULTURE Issues on the table • Public stockholding for food security purposes and food aid • General services • TRQ administration • Export competition Structure of the Agreement on Agriculture Market Access Domestic Support Export Competition Tariffs Green Box Export subsidies Tariff rate quotas Blue Box Anti-circumvention Article 6.2 – Development Programmes Export prohibitions and restrictions Special safeguards Amber Box Food purchased by governments from farmers at supported/government-set not market prices counts towards “Amber Box”. Amber Box is limited, subject to reduction commitments. Developing countries are allowed an amount that is conceptually minimal - up to 10% of VOP – so called “de minimis” Amend the Agriculture Agreement so that price support (administered prices) in developing countries to benefit low-income farmers/those that lack resources not count as AMS, but be considered as “Green Box” Expand the list of “general services” under the Green Box to include more programmes that are relevant to developing countries Public stockholding for food security is the most suitable policy instrument for them to address food security Policy tool allows addressing two elements of food security: availability & access to food Policy space has been eroded by increasing market prices and therefore higher administered prices Several developing countries are in danger of reaching/exceeding their permitted limits Methodology for calculation of support makes it difficult to stay within permitted limits AMS calculation is not based on actual expenditure; instead price support takes external reference prices (1986-88) and sees how much higher are a government’s current administered prices Inflation & rising commodity prices have forced up the administered prices, and with them the AMS calculation Lack of in-built policy constraints & adequate targeting to limit potential trade distortiveness Procurement might continue even if stocks enough for stated objective Procurement might not benefit only low income but also larger producers potential trade distorting consequences different situations of different developing Members – one-sizefits all approach unlikely to address specific problems of individual Members Systemic impact of changing current rules, outside a wider negotiation Increasing clear that November 2012 proposal was unlikely to obtain consensus in time left Without prejudice to November 2012 proposal, but to allow for exploration of other avenues, some ideas by subset of G-33 members Four variables for clarification/modification De-minimis level External Reference Price eligible production administered prices Question One: Whether Members were willing to consider that the Bali Declaration recognises, subject to the requirement of the Green Box relating to no or minimally trade or production distorting, a wide range of general services policies in developing countries, along the lines suggested by G-33. All expressed willingness to work Make clear that chapeau to Green Box applied to these policies Need better understanding of G-33 policies, with view of finetuning list Question Two: Taking into account what the Ministerial Conference had said in the past, could Members use Bali and send a convergent political message that recognised the role played by public stockholding and similar policies in some developing countries? positive response at general level Message should bring some value added Need to ensure balanced message; acknowledgement of wider dimension of food security across all pillars; encourage further reform; and greater transparency Question Three: Whether Members were prepared in the lead up to Bali to agree on any amendment or interpretation of existing WTO AoA disciplines that might provide greater flexibility in the area of public stockholding that was currently the case. If so, what was this amendment/interpretation? If not, were Members prepared to consider further work on these issues in the post-Bali period and how would it be framed? Those that supported a general systemic solution through amendment/interpretation Those not convinced that amendment/interpretation was possible or desirable by Bali, but open to discussion of possibilities post-Bali Nuanced position: half way house: temporary remedy + ongoing work post-Bali Question Four: Whether Members were willing to consider a mechanism or process whereby any member with specific concerns that their PSH policies aimed at addressing food security objectives were at risk of breaching their WTO commitments could bring those concerns to the attention of members & seek additional flexibility on an interim basis, pending broader agreement to modify the disciplines in general. Openness to consider mechanism but… Time-limited; non-automatic; should create no or minimal trade or production distortions Flexibility should not be at expense of needed economic reforms Transparency important- timely notifications Other view: whatever the temporary solution – must be operational and not substitute for broader solution Three options to address G-33 concerns Option A: Option B: Agree that developing countries use of a three year rolling average to calculate contribution of food stockholding purchases to overall farm subsidy limit Agree on draft decision allowing Members to take into account excessive rates of inflation (higher than 4%) in calculating AMS Option C: Agree to a peace clause exempting these programmes from legal challenge As Bali approached, clearer that amending the AoA would on this point was too controversial to be agreed on time. Focus instead shifted to work on an interim solution – due restraint/”peace clause” Although not originally proposed by the G-33, they were willing to discuss it. Nature of the solution (political/legally binding) Its character (automatic/nonautomatic/hybrid) Its coverage Transparency & Reporting Safeguards to minimize distorting effects Other terms & conditions Duration & review Post-Bali work The final legal weight would depend on The Ministerial Decision is aLEGAL In Bali, Ministers agreed to The The G-33 discussions were clear pointed that they toMechanism a more wereIN legally the final binding, conditions, effective, safeguards, and certain and with effects. looking for a legal mechanism that was legalistic approach. NATURE, not political. terms agreed. CONDITIONS on Notification and Compliance of atodeveloping country Members are REFRAIN from the Once those conditions were fulfilled, IntheBali, Ministers agreed that provided Transparency, Pre-Bali, there seemed to Antibe convergence Meeting Conditions = Automatic Application of the Mechanism challenging Member with through its the WTO’s obligations Dispute or implementation of AMS the Mechanism would certain conditions that the Circumvention/Safeguard, Mechanism wouldare bemet, subject and to: Settlement debe minimis Mechanism obligations AUTOMATIC. Consultations Coverage of Mechanism There are NO LIMITS The Mechanism applies to existing These are primary agricultural products In relation toNUMERICAL support provided foror is Notified the COA that it is exceeding What areMinisters Traditional Food Crops? in accordance with theStaple relevant provisions from introducing programmes of public In pursuance of public stockholding In Bali, agreed that developing inbut the decision programmes the decision does not / that of are predominant staples in AMS the EXISTING as of the date of the decision traditional staple crops at risk exceeding either or both of the Agreement on Agriculture. stockholding for food security purposes, programmes for food security purposes country Members benefiting should have: preclude developing countries traditional of a developing Member de diet minimis obligations This decision shall not be used in a manner that results in an increase of the support subject to the Member’s Bound Total AMS or the de minimis limits provided under programmes other than those under paragraph 3.a. Notify the Committee on Agriculture that Additional relevant statistical Have provided fulfilledand and continue continue to provide fulfil itson InHave Bali, Ministers agreed that atodeveloping Any information updating or exceeding correcting it is exceeding or is at risk of What must abasis, Developing notify? information described inMember the Statistical country an annual benefitting from additional the Mechanism information, must What domestic information support must notification be provided? anyorinformation earlieror submitted either both AMS limits dethe minimis Appendix bysatisfy completing the template in annex the notification requirements requirements level The Any SCMdeveloping applies. These Member programmes seeking are Stocks Or adversely procured Do not affect under distort ENSURE the such Trade food programmes security In Bali, OfShall Members other Members agreed that shielded only against challenges on AoA. coverage In Bali, Members agreed to put in place In the INTERIM, a permanent Permanent Solution until will be applicable to an When interim will mechanism the Mechanism and to apply? negotiate solution is found ALL Developing Countries an agreement for a permanent solution. Which body is responsible for Committee on Agriculture monitoring the information submitted? the operation of itsMember Public AOn Developing Country Hold consultations other Members Shall upon with REQUEST Stockholding Program notified benefitting for the Decision The General Council shall report to MC10 With the aim of making With the aim ofofconcluding ita no Taking To on Members be evaluation into undertaken account agree to the in Members’existing establish the operation Committee Work oflater the on and recommendations for a permanent th than the future 11 and Ministerial Conference Decision the progress of the Programme Agriculture submissions solution Work Programme wanted to make the market price support in FN 5 Green Annex 2 Bali deal: the market price support remains Amber but will not be challenged 30 Decision recognizes the contribution of general services programmes to rural development, food security and poverty alleviation, particularly to developing countries Subject to Annex 2 of the AOA (Green Box- Chapeau), types of programmes in the decision could be considered as falling within the scope of the non-exhaustive list of general services programmes in Annex 2, paragraph 2 The programmes relate to land reform and rural livelihood in order to promote rural development & poverty alleviation. The monitoring activity of the Committee will depend on whether Members decide to use the Decision. Conversion on the WP has already started at the January CoA meeting Tariff Rate Quota Current Rules on TRQ Administration import duties are lower on quantities within the quotas and higher for quantities outside Art XIII GATT Import-licensing Agreement A number of methods employed for administration: Exporting countries: methods used for administration can become an additional trade barrier. Evidence - when parts or all of the quotas are not used (“under-filled”). Importing Countries: the under fill is caused by supply and demand in the market. Many TRQs have low fill rates Average annual fill rates (2002-2011) range from 59% to 66% in this period Absolute annual fill rates (2002-2011) range from 27% to 100% % of scheduled tariff quotas without notified imports also varies (from 33% to 77%) Two distinct elements: Transparency provisions An under fill mechanism The text was not new: it was taken from paragraphs 115–125 and Annex E of the 2008 draft “modalities” for the agriculture negotiations as a whole, and the version circulated in October 2012 was essentially identical. Refers to existing disciplines of the Import Licensing Agreement Highlights how ILA provisions are relevant to TRQ Administration including on: Timing of publication of information related to tariff quota opening Processing of tariff quota applications Obligation to notify to Agriculture Committee of tariff quota fill rates Identifies situations where Members do not notify TRQ fill rates or fill rate is below 65% Monitoring in the Committee on Agriculture with detailed consultative procedure Final stage –requirement to allocate TRQs using prescribed methods, with S&D for developing countries First Monitoring Year Third and Subsequent Monitoring Year Where If anyan the of importing the filltwo rateconditions is Member below 65 OR does notare notify the fill rate per present cent An Where interested these Member conditions makes are At The least data-based 12 percentage points For each of the Preceding No notification has points been For Where three the filldiscussions rate has years At least 8 consecutive percentage AND By annual increments of The fill rate has not increased awhen statement present in the Committee regarding the fill AND rate market equals or is Three Years submitted for that period remained below OR 65 per cent when the fill rate is more than on Agriculture, that it wishes circumstances less than 40 have pernot cent led to 40 per cent tothe initiate the final stageallof conclusion among the underfill mechanism interested parties these are in fact the reason for underfill Provide unencumbered access via one of the tariff quota administration methods Initiate Underfill Mechanism A Where Member the may fill rate request remains that OR no notification has been the below importing 65 per cent two take submitted forMember thatfor period SPECIFIC consecutive ACTION years RAISE A SPECIFIC CONCERN DISCUSS THE TRQ ADMINISTRATION WITH OTHER MEMBERS PROVIDE A SUMMARY OF ANY DOCUMENTATION SUBMITTED PROVIDE STATEMENT FOR FURTHER CONSIDERATION If The importing the matter Member remains shall unresolved discuss the administration of the tariff quota with all Members provide a clear interestedshall Members. statement of the reasons why The interested Member shall the requires further With matter the aim of understanding provide to the Committee on consideration the concerns raised Agriculture a summary A Member may ofraise a any submitted The documentation clearspecific statement is based concern regarding a Improving the Membership’s to Members oninterested thetariff discussions and quota in understanding of the commitment market the Committee documentations provided circumstances and ofon Agriculture the manner in which the tariff Such is documentation and quota administered information may also be Place this concern provided andelements considered in on a And The whether Member involved ofshall the register maintained the sametracking manner during the administration advise the Committee contribute on to by the Secretariat second and third stages of the Agriculture whether the underfill underfill mechanism, matter has been resolved as a means addressing andbasis This Interested shalloftake Members place on shall the fully of resolving concerns provision of objective and relevant consider Members’ all documentation data submitted by the importing Member The importing Member shall take either specific actions requested or such other actions it considers will effectively improve the fill rate of the tariff quota If the actions lead to a fill rate above 65 per cent or interested Members are otherwise satisfied If the fill rate remains below 65 per cent This will be marked as RESOLVED in the Secretariat Registry and will be no longer subject to monitoring A Member may continue to REQUEST additional modifications to the administration of the tariff quotas Choose Developing a tariff Country quota administration Members MAYmethod choose Automatic, An alternative tariff Provided that timely notifications for the TWO YEARS Aunconditional first-come, In taking a decision on which of these two options to It will be NOTED the Secretariat’s tracking register After The which method time, selected ifon the fill shall rate be has maintained increased by for TWOThe The method have choice selected been should submitted, shall be NOTIFIED be it maintained will be to the for aa quota the current implement, theMaintain importing Member will consult with licence on demand first-served and the concern marked CLOSED THIRDS MINIMUM of theOR annual TWO increments YEARS NOTED on minimum Committee the Secretariat’s ofof on TWO Agriculture Tracking YEARS Register administration method in place interested exporting Members system within the and the concern marked CLOSED method only basis tariff quota Extend/Modify Decision at 12th Ministerial Conference Absence of decision S&D provision lapses All Members comply Members voluntarily comply Annex B: Some Members reserve their rights not to apply The Committee on Agriculture is expected to review and monitor the implementation of the Understanding The monitoring to be conducted in the context of the Under Fill Mechanism will depend on Members' submissions Hong Kong Ministerial Decision Para 6: “We agree to ensure the parallel elimination of all forms of export subsidies and disciplines on all export measures with equivalent effect to be completed by the end of 2013. This will be achieved in a progressive and parallel manner, to be specified in the modalities, so that a substantial part is realized by the end of the first half of the implementation period”. 2008 Rev 4 text- Export Competition Pillar stabilized? Small package for Bali - Linkages Step forward in Bali: legal commitments to reduce subsidies, in keeping with HKD deadline Incremental approach for the progressive elimination of all forms of export subsidies Down payment: developed countries halve their ceilings on the money they spend on export subsidies by the end of 2013 envisaged setting a new limit on the quantities of subsidized exports, at the average actually exported with subsidies for 2003–2005. Developing countries to continue to benefit from Article 9.4 provisions for 5 years after the end-date for elimination Prohibition of export subsidies on cotton phasing in the repayment period for export credits . Committed to elimination, but conditions to modify the legally commitments by Bali, in their view not met That could only be done as part of an overall agricultural package within the Doha Round. Actual use decreased, therefore the proposed freezing of subsidies at current levels would penalize those that had undertaken reforms Another Group: proposal would have real impacts on their use, and not cut only “water” Proposal not balanced in terms of developing country commitments. Stopped short of making legal commitments. But it contains some of the strongest statements of intent that have ever been made on the subject. First, clear message recalling that export subsidies in all forms are a highly trade distorting form of support; Second, acknowledgement that export competition remains a key priority Third, a reaffirmation of the final objective on export competition “the parallel elimination of all forms of export subsidies and disciplines on all export measures with equivalent effect” Fourth, revised draft modalities (Rev 4, from December 2008) remains important basis for ambitious final outcome First, recognition of the decrease in recent years in use of export subsidies that are subject to reduction commitments; Second, acknowledgement that the reforms undertaken by some had contributed to this positive trend; Third, this is not a substitute for the final objective Fourth, emphasize importance of consolidating progress; importance of further engagement to achieve the final objective Encouragement to maintain & advance domestic reform processes. Encourage those who have not undertaken reforms to do so Shall “exercise utmost restraint” with regard to recourse to all forms of export subsidies To the end above will ensure that Progress towards parallel elimination is maintained Levels of export subsidies remain significantly below Members’ commitments A similar level of discipline is maintained on use of export measures with equivalent effect. Fulfilling the objective of parallel elimination as in the HKD remains a priority Agree to continue to work actively for further concrete progress in this area, as early as feasible Commitment to enhance transparency and monitoring of policy developments Agreement to hold dedicated discussions in the CoA on an annual basis to examine developments in the field of export competition Basis of examination process – timely notifications & information compiled by Secretariat on basis of questionnaire in Annex of Declaration Agree to a review of the situation in export competition within 2 years (10th Ministerial Conference) Declaration calls for dedicated discussions based on notifications & a questionnaire to be circulated by the Secretariat Annex: elements for enhanced transparency which will form basis of Secretariat’s questionnaire CoA agreed to hold the annual discussion at its June meeting. Similar timing could be appropriate for 2015 Secretariat to circulate questionnaire with view to circulating a summary of the results in advance of the June meeting.