SOER 2015 State and Outlook Environment Report EEA Adriana Gheorghe SOER 2015 The path from SOER 2010 to SOER 2015 • SOER 2015 Project Plan (Q1) • SOER 2015 Implementation Plan (Q2) • START WORK (Q3) 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 SOER […] publish a report on the state of, trends in and prospects for the environment every five years 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 ... - report (151 pp) + summary SOER 1995 - addresses 5 EAP targets - focus on sectoral integration - big report (446 pp) + summary SOER 1999 - addresses environmental trends - focus on DPSIR, link between issues - bigger report (569 pp, Part A, B & C) SOER 2005 - addresses air, water, land - focus on DPSIR, core set of indicators - several reports (Parts A, B, C + Synthesis) SOER 2010 - addresses 6EAP priority areas - focus on systemic challenges EEA SOER process • • • • • Confirmed by EEA founding regulation Produced every 5 years Includes State and Outlook aspects; Covers 33 EEA members and 6 cooperating countries Supports EU policies (EAP)- development and implementation • It is an analysis against targets and objectives using DPSIR framework • Ii is a partnership process (Eionet fully involved) • It is based on EEA products (CSI, EEA thematic assessments) as well as on EIONET national SOERs SOER 2015 A suite of product(s): short briefs + up-to-date indicators A B C Synthesis & Derivatives Global Megatrends (Europe in global context) Thematic SOE information Country-level SOE information Synthesis report GMT fiches thematic fiches country fiches & cross-country comparison fiches FLIS indicators EEA indicators EEA & country indicators 3 indicator reports & stakeholder workshop ? ? Signals 2015 and other derivatives GEMET ROD SERIS SENSE 2014 IMS 2013 FLIS Related (flanking) activities 2012 SOER 2015 Online SOER 2015 In Print SYN CDR Reportnet ETDS SENSE SENSE SENSE SENSE Data Centres AoA SOE online IMS EyeonEarth Discomap GMES GCI SDI SOER 2015 Synthesis • Focus: A synthesis across different SOER 2015 parts to provide a strategic integrated and cross-thematic assessment • Format: 200 pages report, A5 format (mulitple languages); in addition we will explore scope for more interactive, derivative publications • Basis: Key conclusions from the other SOER 2015 parts; reflections based on flanking activities; and dedicated stakeholder workshops • Eionet: Formal Eionet consultation (May/June 2014); dedicated EEA Management Board seminar in March 2014 SOER 2015 Synthesis Possible chapter structure of the SOER 2015 Synthesis report focus on summary of state of environment and current environmental policy context, systemic challenges, risks, … 1 The state of environment in Europe today 2 The European environment in a global focus on global megatrends and global change, planetary boundaries and safe operating space, interdependencies, … context 3 Protecting, conserving and enhancing natural capital focus on 7EAP objective 1, and thematic information related to air, climate, water, marine, biodiversity, land, … 4 Resource-efficient and low-carbon economy focus on 7EAP objective 2, and thematic information related to emissions, resources, consumption, waste, … 5 Safeguarding from environmental risks to focus on 7EAP objective 3, and thematic information related to air emissions, noise, climate impacts, urban, … health 6 Living well, within the limits of our planet focus on European well-being needs , e.g. food, energy, transport, built environment, and a healthy environment, … 7 Transitions to meet environmental visions – some reflections focus on enabling factors and obstacles that shape or hinder transitions needed to meet long-term policy ambitions, … SOER 2015 Part A – Global Megatrends • Focus: An updated assessment of global megatrends (GMT), i.e. focussing on the same issues presented in SOER 2010 GMT fiches FLIS indicators • Format: 11 GMT fiches, 4 pages each; complemented by showing indicators used in GMT fiches within SOER 2015 Online • Basis: 8 non-environmental GMT primarly based on non-EEA sources, 3 environmental GMT building also on thematic EEA information • Eionet: Eionet consultation on GMT fiches (May/June 2014); discussion with NRC-FLIS network on underpinning analysis SOER 2015 Part A – 11 four-page global megatrends fiches A Focus of 11 Global Megatrends (as published in 2010) Planned publication of the update 1. Increasing global divergence in population trends March 2014 2. Living in an urban world: spreading cities and spiralling consumption March 2014 3. Changing patterns of global disease burdens and the risk of new pandemics March 2014 4. Accelerating technological change: racing into the unknown March 2014 5. Continued economic growth? Published 6. Global power shifts – from a uni-polar to a multi-polar world Published 7. Intensified global competition for resources Published 8. Decreasing stocks of natural resources Published 9. Increasing severity of the consequences of climate change To be determined 10. Increasing unsustainable environmental pollution load March 2014 11. Environmental regulation and governance : increasing fragmentation and convergence To be determined SOER 2015 Part B – Thematic SOE information • Focus: A series of brief summaries of state and trend in key environmental themes, guide through EEA knowledge base thematic fiches EEA indicators • Format: 20-30 thematic fiches, 4 pages; complemented by an online presentation to integrate fiches with EEA thematic indicators • Basis: Part B will primarily build on and guide to regular EEA reporting, indicators and assessment work within the respective thematic areas • Eionet: Eionet feedback on structure and topics (Oct 2014); Eionet consultation on fiches (Mar/Apr 2014); regular data flows SOER 2015 B Part B – 25 four-page thematic fiches Environmental themes cluster Socio-economic dimensions cluster Systemic perspectives cluster Air (*) Agriculture Green economy Biodiversity (*) Consumption Climate change adaptation, impacts and vulnerability Energy (*) Natural capital and ecosystem services Forests Freshwater (*) Soil Marine and coastal environment Mitigating climate change (*) Industry Maritime activities Tourism Transport (*) Land System Hydrological systems The air and climate system Urban systems Health and the environment Resource efficiency (*) Noise Waste (*) Note: (*) indicates that topic corresponds to a topic for cross-country comparison fiche (Part C). SOER 2015 Part C – Cross-country comparisons (2) • Focus: A series of indicator-based country comparisons for 8-10 selected themes based on existing EEA indicators omparison fiches EEA & country indicators • Format: 8 to 10 cross-country comparison fiches, 4 pages each; each based on one established EEA indicator; in SOER 2015 online scope to link this national intepretation of same indicator via SENSE • Basis: Drafted by EEA; cross-country comparisons based on EEA (CSI) indicators with country information; supplemented by SENSE • Eionet: Eionet feedback on indicator selection and method (Sep 2013); Eionet consultation on cross-country comparison fiches (Mar/Apr 2014); plus (voluntary) contributions to SENSE SOER 2015 Part C – 9 four-page cross-country comparison fiches Ca Topics Indicators Air CSI ‘Emissions of main air pollutants’ Agriculture Eurostat indicator on ‘Area under organic farming’ Biodiversity CSI008 ‘Designated areas’ Freshwater CSI020 ‘Nutrients in Freshwater‘ Mitigating climate change CSI ‘EU and national total GHG emission trends and projections’ Waste CSI016 ‘Municipal waste generation’ Energy CSI029 ‘Primary energy consumption by fuel’ Transport CSI035 ‘Passenger transport demand’ Resource efficiency Eurostat indicator on ‘Resource productivity (GDP/DMC)’ SOER 2015 Part C – Country level SOE information (1) • Focus: A series of summaries of national state of environment assessments, to show key environmental issues at country level country fiches • Format: One country fiche per country, 4 pages each (based on a template and guidance by EEA to ensure some level of comparability) • Basis: Drafted by countries; country fiches should largely be based on – or provide summaries of – existing national SOE reports • Eionet: Eionet gives feedback on template and guidance (Sep 2013), based on this NFP and/or NRC-SOE draft country fiches and update SERIS (estimated average workload: 10 to 15 days per country) SOER 2015 SOER 2015 Online = NOT the same as SOE Online • Focus: An internet based representation of all SOER 2015 thematic fiches country fiches FLIS indic ators EEA indicator s EEA & country indicator s • Format: A stand-web-based ‘SOER 2015 Online‘ platform – linked with EEA website; scope also to add a related mobile application (app) • Basis: The fiches drafted in Parts A, B, C; the Synthesis report; related EEA indicators set (and national indicators via SENSE) – link to broader ‘SOE online‘ (i.e. EOE, PDF, IMS, etc.) as appropiate • Eionet: Eionet contributes to drafting and quality assurance of all SOER 2015 parts; Eionet feeds SOE online with existing information flows SOER 2015 Online components, allowing interconnectivity between parts GMT fiches SOER 2015 SOER 2015 Online SOER 2015 ONLINE • Focus: An internet based representation of all SOER 2015 components, allowing interconnectivity between parts • Progress: Developed and tested a Fiche Management System; initiated discussions about SOER 2015 Online design. • Next steps: Populate the Fiche Management System with all fiches for consultation; finalise and implement SOER 2015 Online design. • Next for Eionet: Use Fiche Management System to submit comments on draft fiches during consultation. SOER 2015 SOER 2015 Online SOER 2015 ONLINE SOER 2015 Timeline from Planning to Publication Focus Indicative timing Project Plan and Implementation Plan Agree on a shared Implementation Plan (i.e. this document), to guide and structure strands of SOER 2015 work. until July 2013 Phase 1 – Final Outline Develop outlines and guidance for all parts, include feedback loop with Eionet; SOER 2015 Online concept. until Nov/Dec 2013 (all Parts) Phase 2 – First Draft Prepare a full draft of all fiches and the Synthesis; develop a fully functional test version of SOER 2015 Online. Jan to Mar 2014 (Parts B & C) Jan to May 2014 (Other Parts) Phase 3 – Quality Assurance Review includes 2 weeks EEA-internal and 6 weeks Eionet and Scientific Committee consultation. Mar & Apr 2014 (Parts B & C) May & Jun 2014 (Other Parts) Phase 4 – Final Draft Finalise drafts, based on consultation process; prepare a beta-testing version of SOER 2015 Online. until Jul 2014 (Parts A,B, C) until Sep 2014 (Synthesis) Phase 5 – Publication Process Final consistency checks, lay-out, translate, print fiches and Synthesis; and finalise SOER 2015 Online. until Jan 2015 (all Parts) (data update in Nov 2014) Phase 6 – Dissemination Launch SOER 2015, disseminate to respective audiences. all of 2015