Central Asia Energy–Water Development Program (CAEWDP) uilding energy and water security B through regional cooperation January 2011 Cooperation changes development The consequences of doing nothing 1 1 Over $2 billion savings from increased energy 600 million m3 potential water shortages Potential benefits of intervention (Syr Darya) 2 2 million households experiencing winter heat and power shortages 3 2 1% loss in GDP per year from weather- $7m/yr savings in public expenditures from a 1% increase in water pumping efficiency in one country 90% less energy traded within Central Asia since 1990 4 trade, with environmental benefits in reduced greenhouse gas emissions 3 $200m/yr new revenues from energy experts to South Asia from initial phases of CASAREM project related disasters (in Tajikistan and Kyrgyz Republic) Major constraints to economic growth and political stability Accelerated investment, enhanced environmental quality and improved livelihoods Central Asia Energy–Water Development Program Regional challenges CAEWDP solution Expected benefits Why now, why the World Bank? What will be delivered, and when? Opportunities for donor collaboration CAEWDP builds on global lessons “Regional programs offer substantial potential to achieve results on development issues… regional projects have successfully built new assets and protected existing ones in ways expected to benefit all participating countries.” (Independent Evaluation Group (2007) Evaluation of World Bank Support of Multicountry Operations ) Successful programs: • Work with countries to build on national aspirations and priorities Danube River Basin Energy Community of South East Europe Turkey Power Interconnection Eastern China Power Markets • Nurture donor coordination South Asia Water Initiative Red Sea/Dead Sea Indus River Water conveyance Treaty India Senegal River Basin Power Eastern Nile Grid River Development West Africa Nile Equatorial Power Pool Lakes River Basin Mekong River Basin; NT2 Hydropower Zambezi River Basin Transboundary water management Regional energy markets • Address a package of three core issues: 1 Physical, intellectual and management hubs for regional cooperation 2 Objective analysis of the costs and benefits of cooperation to national interests 3 Investments to deliver infrastructure and strengthen livelihoods Central Asia Energy–Water Development Program Regional challenges CAEWDP solution Expected benefits Why now, why the World Bank? What will be delivered, and when? Opportunities for donor collaboration CAEWDP: An integrated program Energy Development Investment Preparation Regional Institutions Energy-Water Linkages Supported by • Global experience Water Productivity • International panel of advisors • Donor support Diagnostics and Analysis Central Asia Energy–Water Development Program Regional challenges CAEWDP solution Expected benefits Why now, why the World Bank? What will be delivered, and when? Opportunities for donor collaboration Partnerships are critical National Governments • Unique national interests and priorities • National technical experts National Governments Regional Organizations • ESCC Energy Action Plan (with ADB) • EC-IFAS Third Aral Sea Basin Management Program World Bank Regional Organizatons Donors • Strong portfolios in energy and water; Donors • World Bank fills a recognized gap in the energy-water nexus Joint activities are underway; Interest in new investment opportunities Central Asia Energy–Water Development Program Regional challenges CAEWDP solution Expected benefits Why now, why the World Bank? What will be delivered, and when? Opportunities for donor collaboration A comprehensive set of activities Energy Development ($9m) Energy-Water Linkages ($12M) Water Productivity ($12m) Energy Infrastructure Planning Regional Infrastructure Master Plan Energy-Water Modeling Diagnostic Study [ADB] Complete Plan [ADB] Planning capacity Completed Initiated Planned Winter energy Scoping Study Plan for Kyrgyz Rep and Tajik Underway Planned Regional Energy Trade Trade Diagnostic Completed Recommendations from diagnosticPlanned Regional Energy Markets Assistance [USAID] Initiated Capacity Strengthening Reg model architecture Reg Model Development Regional Hydrometeorology Underway Planned Initiated Ag Water Capacity Needs Assessment Capacity Strengthening Agricultural water expert forum Climate Vulnerability: Energy Underway Infrastructure and Management Opportunities Dialogue Rogun dialogue Energy-water experts forum Initiated Planned Planned Planned Planned IFAS/ARAL Sea Basin Package Initiated National Action Plans for Water Productivity Planned Rehabilitation of Energy and Water Infrastructure Planned Inter-Regional Energy Trade CASA 1000/UAP/NS Transmission Underway Energy Accountability Planned Program Foundations ($7M) Underway Regional institutions Expert Panel Coordination Institutional Development ESCC Dialogue/Expert Forum Initiated Initiated Underway Central Asia Energy–Water Development Program Regional challenges CAEWDP solution Expected benefits Why now, why the World Bank? What will be delivered, and when? Opportunities for donor collaboration A comprehensive set of activities Energy Development ($9m) Energy-Water Linkages ($12M) Water Productivity ($12m) Energy Infrastructure Planning Regional Infrastructure Master Plan Energy-Water Modeling Diagnostic Study [ADB] Complete Plan [ADB] Planning capacity Planned Completed Initiated Reg model architecture Reg Model Development Regional Hydrometeorology Climate Vulnerability: Energy Winter energy Scoping Study Plan for Kyrgyz Rep and Tajik Underway Planned Regional Energy Trade Trade Diagnostic Completed Recommendations from diagnosticPlanned Regional Energy Markets Assistance [USAID] Initiated Inter-Regional Energy Trade Capacity Strengthening Underway Planned Initiated Ag Water Capacity Needs Assessment Capacity Strengthening Establishment of Ag Water Specialists’ Platform Planned Planned Planned Underway Infrastructure and Management Opportunities Dialogue Rogun dialogue Energy-water experts forum Initiated Planned CASA 1000 and UAP (CASAREM) IFAS/ARAL Sea Basin Package Initiated National Action Plans for Water Productivity Planned Rehabilitation of Energy and Water Objective: Diversify Central Asia energyInfrastructure markets by connecting energy deficits in South Asia . CASA 1000/UAP/NS Transmission Underway Energy Accountability Planned Institutional Development ESCC Dialogue/Expert Forum Underway Activities: For CASA: Feasibility studies,Program Environmental and Social impact Foundations ($7M) assessment; Capacity building; Specialist support for all countries. Initiated For UAP: Feasibility assessment startedRegional institutions Expert Panel Coordination Budget: $3m Timeline: 2010 - 2013 Initiated Underway Central Asia Energy–Water Development Program Regional challenges CAEWDP solution Expected benefits Why now, why the World Bank? What will be delivered, and when? Opportunities for donor collaboration A comprehensive set of activities Energy Development ($9m) Energy-water Linkages ($12M) Water Productivity ($12m) Energy Infrastructure Planning Regional Infrastructure Master Plan Energy-Water Modeling Diagnostic Study [ADB] Complete Plan [ADB] Planning capacity Planned Completed Initiated Reg model architecture Reg Model Development Regional Hydrometeorology Climate Vulnerability: Energy Winter energy Scoping Study Underway Complete Plan for Kyrgyz and Tajik Planned Regional Energy Trade Trade Diagnostic Completed Recommendations from diagnosticPlanned Regional Energy Markets Assistance [USAID] Initiated Inter-Regional Energy Trade CASA 1000/UAP/NS Transmission Underway Energy Accountability Planned Institutional Development ESCC Dialogue/Expert Forum Capacity Strengthening Underway Planned Initiated Ag Water Capacity Needs Assessment Capacity Strengthening Establishment of Ag Water Specialists’ Platform Planned Planned Planned Underway Infrastructure and Management Opportunities Dialogue Rogun dialogue Energy-water experts forum Initiated Planned Energy-water modeling IFAS/ARAL Sea Basin Package Initiated National Action Plans for Water Productivity Planned Rehabilitation ofaccepted Energy andby Water Objective: Establish a common platform for analysis, and Infrastructure useful to all countries ; Support both collective and national dialogue on regionally significant initiatives. Program Support ($7M) Activities: National and regional workshops for model design, Model inventory and assessment, Model development and integration of existing Regional institutions Initiated tools ; Regional expert team supported Expert by international colleagues. Panel Initiated Coordination Underway Budget: $3m Underway Timeline: 2011-2013 Central Asia Energy–Water Development Program Regional challenges CAEWDP solution Expected benefits Why now, why the World Bank? What will be delivered, and when? Opportunities for donor collaboration A comprehensive set of activities Energy Development ($9m) Energy-Water Linkages ($12M) Water Productivity ($12m) Energy Infrastructure Planning Regional Infrastructure Master Plan Energy-Water Modeling Diagnostic Study [ADB] Complete Plan [ADB] Planning capacity Planned Completed Initiated Reg model architecture Reg Model Development Regional Hydrometeorology Climate Vulnerability: Energy Winter energy Scoping Study Plan for Kyrgyz Rep and Tajik Completed Planned Regional Energy Trade Trade Diagnostic Completed Recommendations from diagnosticPlanned Regional Energy Markets Assistance [USAID] Initiated Inter-Regional Energy Trade CASA 1000/UAP/NS Transmission Underway Energy Accountability Planned Institutional Development ESCC Dialogue/Expert Forum Underway Capacity Strengthening Underway Planned Initiated Ag Water Capacity Needs Assessment Capacity Strengthening Establishment of Ag Water Specialists’ Platform Planned Planned Planned Underway Infrastructure and Management Opportunities Dialogue Rogun dialogue Energy-water experts forum IFAS/ARAL Sea Basin Package Initiated Planned Regional Hydrometeorology National Action Plans for Water Productivity Program Initiated Planned Rehabilitation of Energy and Water Objective: Improve coordination and training between National Infrastructure Hydrometeorological Services of the Central Asian countries to strengthen data quality and quantity, and data sharing Program Support ($7M) Activities: Draft MOU and program of regional activities and investments (completed); Improve capacity of CA NMHSs, RegionalImproved institutions early warnings, Initiated Panel and professionalInitiated Systems integration, Regional system ofExpert training development. Coordination Budget: $5m Underway Timeline: 2011- 2014 Central Asia Energy–Water Development Program Regional challenges CAEWDP solution Expected benefits Why now, why the World Bank? What will be delivered, and when? Opportunities for donor collaboration A comprehensive set of activities Energy Development ($9m) Energy-Water Linkages ($12M) Water Productivity ($12m) Energy Infrastructure Planning Regional Infrastructure Master Plan Energy-Water Modeling Diagnostic Study [ADB] Complete Plan [ADB] Planning capacity Planned Completed Initiated Reg model architecture Reg Model Development Regional Hydrometeorology Climate Vulnerability: Energy Winter energy Scoping Study Plan for Kyrgyz Rep and Tajik Underway Planned Regional Energy Trade Capacity Strengthening Underway Planned Initiated Ag Water Capacity Needs Assessment Capacity Strengthening Establishment of Ag Water Specialists’ Platform Planned Planned Planned Underway Infrastructure and Management Opportunities Dialogue Rogun dialogue Energy-water experts forum Initiated Planned Trade Diagnostic Completed Recommendations from diagnosticPlanned Regional Energy Markets Assistance [USAID] Initiated Third Aral Sea Basin program Objective: Support range of proposals from Central Asian country experts to improve water management IFAS/ARAL Sea Basin Package Initiated National Action Plans for Water Productivity Planned Rehabilitation of Energy and Water Infrastructure Inter-Regional Energy Trade CASA 1000/UAP/NS Transmission Underway Activities: Assist in identifying Energy Accountability Planned strategic opportunities; Convene national experts; Fund specific initiatives focused on water productivity Institutional Development ESCC Dialogue/Expert Budget: $5-8mForum Underway Timeline: 2011 - 2014 Program Foundations ($7M) Regional institutions Expert Panel Coordination Initiated Initiated Underway Central Asia Energy–Water Development Program Regional challenges CAEWDP solution Expected benefits Why now, why the World Bank? What will be delivered, and when? Opportunities for donor collaboration A comprehensive set of activities Energy Development ($9m) Energy-Water Linkages ($12M) Water Productivity ($12m) Energy Infrastructure Planning Regional Infrastructure Master Plan Energy-Water Modeling Diagnostic Study [ADB] Complete Plan [ADB] Planning capacity Planned Completed Initiated Reg model architecture Reg Model Development Regional Hydrometeorology Climate Vulnerability: Energy Winter energy Scoping Study Plan for Kyrgyz Rep and Tajik Underway Planned Regional Energy Trade Capacity Strengthening Underway Planned Initiated Ag Water Capacity Needs Assessment Capacity Strengthening Establishment of Ag Water Specialists’ Platform Planned Planned Planned Underway Infrastructure and Management Opportunities Dialogue Rogun dialogue Energy-water experts forum Initiated Planned Trade Diagnostic Completed Recommendations from diagnosticPlanned Regional Energy Markets Assistance [USAID] Initiated International Panel of Advisors Objective: Provide independent advice and international state-of-the -art expertise CASA 1000/UAP/NS Transmission Underway IFAS/ARAL Sea Basin Package Initiated National Action Plans for Water Productivity Planned Rehabilitation of Energy and Water Infrastructure Inter-Regional Energy Trade Activities: IdentificationPlanned and funding of experts for specific stated Energy Accountability needs (e.g., program development, project assessment) Institutional Development ESCC Dialogue/Expert Forum Budget: $4m Underway Timeline: Program life Program Foundations ($7M) Regional institutions Expert Panel Coordination Initiated Initiated Underway Central Asia Energy–Water Development Program Regional challenges CAEWDP solution Expected benefits Why now, why the World Bank? What will be delivered, and when? Opportunities for donor collaboration World Bank Energy-Water Portfolio in Central Asia CAEWDP complements national initiatives Country Examples of Recent Projects Amount ($M) Status KGZ Emergency support 4 Approved TAJ Emergency winter shortage support 15 Approved UZB Energy Efficiency Fund for Industrial Enterprises 25 Approved KGZ Emergency recovery project (covering budget and energy sector) 70 Submitted to Board 78 Under process KAZ Alma Transmission Project KAZ Syr Darya Control & Northern Aral Sea Phase II Project 165 Under process UZB Ferghana Valley Water Resources Management Phase-I Project 65 Approved KGZ Second On-farm Irrigation Project 16 Approved TAJ Community Agriculture & Watershed Management Project 11 Approved Central Asia Energy–Water Development Program Regional challenges CAEWDP solution Expected benefits Why now, why the World Bank? What will be delivered, and when? Opportunities for donor collaboration Moving forward 1 Maintain momentum on work program implementation (complete current activities; initiate new ones) 2 Deepen dialogue with national governments 3 Secure financing and donor involvement Central Asia Energy–Water Development Program Regional challenges CAEWDP solution Expected benefits Why now, why the World Bank? What will be delivered, and when? Opportunities for donor collaboration Opportunities for donor involvement CAEWDP welcomes different avenues for cooperation Opportunity How? Example Exploit synergies Take advantage of common program objectives IFAS institutional support EU Central Asia Investment Facility Undertake joint activities Collaborate on methodologies or technical assistance activities USAID climate change ADB Energy Sector Coordinating Cttee Support multidonor trust fund Donor contributions to fund core program activities Swiss seed funds DFID Administrative Arrangement (in preparation) Central Asia Energy–Water Development Program Regional challenges CAEWDP solution Expected benefits Why now, why the World Bank? What will be delivered, and when? Opportunities for donor collaboration