The Bioeconomy of the Arctic Haraldur Hallgrímsson Sigrún Elsa Smáradóttir Torfi Jóhannesson Nice barley field Why are the mountains white? The harvest Growing conditions in EU and Iceland 250 2000 Good condtions 200 Severly limiting 1500 150 Very severly limiting 1000 100 500 50 0 0 Viðmið Ísland Day-degrees Viðmið Ísland Growth Days Why are we doing this? • Food security • Rural development • ... • And how do we do this? State support 1. To stimulate production • production based direct supprt 2. To secure agricultural land use • Hectare support 3. To increase productivity • Investment support 4. To facilitate sustainable production methods • Environmental payments Food security 1. Are the tomatoes fresh? 2. Are there any tomatoes? 3. Is there any food? Food security • Generally high levels of self-sufficiency in Iceland and the rest of Scandinavia due to high support level and import restrictions • Lower levels in Faroe Islands and Greenland • Different situation in Russia, Canada and Alaska The challenge is competitievness • How can barley production in Iceland become competitive with barley from the EU? Uniqueness Specialization and food security • Specialization does not provide food security but it gives the potential • ....and it gives positive rural development Population density 1,400.00 1,200.00 Inhabitants/km2 1,000.00 800.00 600.00 400.00 1/6 of Finland 200.00 0.00 MT NL BE UK DE IT LU CZ DK PL PT SK HU FR SI AT RO ES EL CY BG IE LT LV EE SE FI IS Agricultural communities Population development 2,331 Dalir – far from Reykjavík 1,246 Borgarfjörður- close to Reykjavík 2,882 2,716 1901 1950 3,572 3,533 1980 2011 1,194 684 1901 West Iceland 14,884 9,772 1950 1980 2011 15,379 9,975 Fishing communities Snæfellsnes - far from Reykjavík 4,356 1901 1950 1980 2011 2,993 Akranes - close to Reykjavík 7,240 3,922 5,762 2,848 3,165 1,566 1901 1950 1980 2011 1901 1950 1980 2011 Bottom line: • Bigger cities are the drivers of population development • Agriculture and fisheries alone cannot be the backbones of future population development Primary production has the general tendency to increase efficiency = reduce labor CAPITAL LABOR TIME When resources are fixed, employment is bound to go down CAPITAL LABOR TIME Solutions A. To find new resources B. To get larger share of the value chain Bioeconomy of the Arctic • Research project funded by the Nordic Council of Ministers • Will feed into the Icelandic Chairmanship of the Nordic Council in 2014. What is the Bioeconomy of the Arctic? fishing Semi-wild food and fur production Fresh water Animal husbandry Bioeconomy Main Elements of the Project • Mapping of renewable biological resources • Food Security: Mapping food production, food export and food import • Evaluation of utilization of biological resources and food security in the Arctic • High level conference Arctic Bio-economy: Status Framework for analysis of a bio-economy: 1. Identify and quantify the biological resources available. 2. Mapping of production, import and export of goods from biological resources. 3. Evaluate the utilization of biological resources with regard to economic factors as well as the society and the environment. •The goal is to evaluate to what extent this kind of analysis is possible for the arctic countries and to suggest metrics to use for the analysis. •The framework will make comparison between countries possible. Arctic bioeconomy For further information on the Artic Bioeconomy project please contact: Sveinn Margeirsson, CEO (sveinn.margeirsson@matis.is) Haraldur Hallgrímsson, division director (hari@matis.is) Sigrún Elsa Smáradóttir, research group leader (sigrun@matis.is)