What is Science? Psyc 362 Research Methods in Psychology Chapter 2 James A. Van Slyke S Historical Roots S 1920’s Logical Positivism and the Vienna Circle S Attempting to distinguish between science and metaphysics (problem of demarcation) S Attempting to reconstruct all scientific knowledge from experience – empiricism – ‘bottom-up’ Philosophical Roots S Karl Popper (1902-1994) S Scientific theories are those theories that are falsifiable S Scientific theories should continually be in competition S Those theories that withstand continued experimentation are vindicated Philosophical Roots S Carl Hempel (1905-1997) S “hypothetico-deductive” method in science S A hypothesis is accepted or rejected according to its ability to explain data S Hypothesis are never proven is a straight-forward manner, dependent upon how much later research supports or rejects it The Scientific Method Theory Hypothesis Data Theory A scientific theory explains through an integrated set of principles that organizes and predicts behaviors or events The Scientific Method Theory Hypothesis Hypothesis Identifying a testable prediction based on the theory Data The Scientific Method Theory Hypothesis Data Testing Doing the actual research by application of the hypothesis Using statistics to infer characterizations The Scientific Method Theory Hypothesis All three interconnected Separate, yet inform each other Method moves in a circle Data Progress in Science S Imre Lakatos (1922-1974) S Science progresses through competing research programs S Composed of theories, hypotheses and data S Research programs progress by explaining data over time S Explain data better than a competing programs The Logic of Scientific Discovery S Law S Theory S Hypothesis The Logic of Scientific Discovery S Law- universal statement about the nature of things that allows reliable predictions of future events S The most significant laws in science are the laws of conservation S Energy- total amount of energy in an isolated system remains constant S Momentum- tendency of an object to continue to move in its direction of travel unless acted upon by an outside force The Logic of Scientific Discovery S Theory- a general statement about the causal relation between two or more variables S Must adhere to the canons of science S Theory of evolution S Theory of classical conditioning S Principle of equifinality- the same behavior is often produced by many different causes The Logic of Scientific Discovery S Hypothesis- prediction about a specific event derived from one or more theories S If the prediction does not prove true, what does this mean in regards to the theory? The Science of Observation S Induction vs Deduction The Science of Observation S Induction- reasoning from specific instances to general principles S Method of Induction- making many observations under controlled conditions and arriving at a general statement S Francis Bacon The Science of Observation S Problem of Induction- How do you know when you’ve made enough observations to be sure that a theory can be labeled a law, i.e. that it will always be true. S David Hume- it is always possible that the very next observation could violate previous conclusions regardless of the number of observations that you make. The Science of Observation S Deduction- reasoning from general principles to specific instances S Deduction in science- when theories are used to develop hypotheses that are then tested against observations. Three Approaches to Hypothesis Testing S Validation S Falsification S Qualification Three Approaches to Hypothesis Testing S 2-4-6 task If a card has a vowel on one side, it must have an even number on the other side. 96% of participants give wrong answers on this problem Three Approaches to Hypothesis Testing S Positive Test Bias (Confirmation Bias)- tendency for people who are evaluating hypotheses to attempt to confirm rather than disconfirm these hypotheses. S Behavioral Confirmation- tendency for social perceivers to elicit behaviors from a person that are consistent with their initial expectancies of the person. If a person is drinking an alcoholic beverage then they must be over 21 years of age. Three Approaches to Hypothesis Testing S Validation- researchers attempt to gather evidence that supports or confirms a theory or hypothesis S Falsification- researchers attempt to gather evidence that invalidates or disconfirms a theory or hypothesis S Qualification- researchers attempt to identify the boundary conditions under which a theory or hypothesis is and is not true The Art of Scientific Discovery S Inductive Techniques for Developing Ideas (reasoning from the specific to the general) S Case studies S Paradoxical incidents S Analyzing the practitioner’s rule of thumb S Serendipity The Art of Scientific Discovery S Deductive Techniques for Developing Ideas (reasoning from the general to the specific) S Reasoning by analogy S Applying a functional or adaptive analysis S Hypothetico-deductive method S Accounting for conflicting results S Accounting for exceptions