National Press Foundation Washington, DC December 7, 2010 Ethics in Alzheimer's Disease: New diagnostic criteria, new biomarkers, new challenges Steven T. DeKosky, MD James Carroll Flippin Professor of Medical Science Vice President and Dean University of Virginia School of Medicine Charlottesville, VA USA Disclosures Consultant/Advisory Boards : Bristol Myers Squibb, Eisai, Lilly, Merck, Novartis, Pfizer, PsychoGenics Off-Label Discussion: – None Special acknowledgements: Stephen Post, Stony Brook University Robert Green, Boston University Categories of Ethics Questions in AD (and other late life dementias) • Moral, cultural and socio-political issues • Respect and autonomy – balance of responsibility to individual vs. society, e.g., driving privileges • End of Life Care – Comfort, feeding, withholding nutrition or water • Diagnosis and Truthtelling • The Role of Biomarkers – Confirmation of Diagnosis, Earlier Diagnosis, Risk Assessment in Normals Increasing Global Burden of AD: Cultures differ in their dealing with dementia Moral, Cultural, and Socio-Political Issues • Affirmation of and respect for people with AD and other disorders involving loss of self (e.g., “deeply forgetful”) – Example, South Korea efforts to honor people with dementia – Justice and protection • Whose responsibility are the Deeply Forgetful? Family? Society? Government? – South Korea’s view… all of them • Respite for family caregivers – Increased morbidity and mortality • Ethicists: Cultivate a ‘culture of acceptance’ – The glass is half full (celebrate what is still available to others, not continue to mourn for what is lost) Biomarkers • Diagnostic Confirmation • Increased Accuracy in MCI • Risk Assessment in Asymptomatic People • What are they? How should they be used? Research or general availability? Natural History of Neurodegenerative Disorders Preclinical Symptomatic Identify cases at earliest time possible Preclinical Detection: identify individuals for preventive therapy Monitor effect of therapy Time Model for the progression of loss of neuronal function in neurodegenerative disorders. There is a prolonged period during which loss of neuronal function has occurred but symptoms have not yet appeared. DeKosky ST, Marek K. Science. 2003;302:830-834. Clinical Ratings Neuronal Function Diagnosis Confirm or specify diagnosis Alzheimer’s Disease: Course, Prevention, Treatment Strategies Clinical State Normal Presymptomatic AD Mild Cognitive Impairment Disease Progression AD Linking Clinical Symptoms With Degree of Pathology Intervention Clinical State Brain Pathologic State Primary Prevention Presymptomatic AD Normal No Disease No Symptoms Early Brain Changes No Symptoms Secondary Prevention/ Early Tx Treatment Mild Cognitive Impairment AD AD Brain Changes Mild Symptoms Mild, Moderate, or Severe Impairment Disease Progression Types of Biomarkers • Genetic – "Risk alleles" e.g. ApoLiprotein E; APOE • Biochemical – CSF Beta amyloid, tau, phosph-tau • Neuroimaging – MRI, FDG-PET, amyloid imaging APOE and Alzheimer’s Disease ALLELE FREQUENCY: normal population: E2 E3 E4 7% 79% 14% in AD: 7% 40-50% 40-50% Potential mechanisms: Impaired removal of beta amyloid Diminished neural regeneration Allele frequency twice as high in Africans & African Americans as in Caucasians Genetic Biomarkers • APOE is the major risk gene in AD • REVEAL study, now 10 years on, has tracked individuals views and reactions to have genetic status “revealed.” • Results benign thus far • No other genes of near-equal power are likely to be discovered REVEAL Conclusions • Disclosure of APOE does not seem harmful – may actually reduce anxiety for some who find they are e4- • Persons alter their LTC insurance purchasing learning their APOE genotype – If widespread would have insurance industry implications • APOE4+ carriers – more likely to make changes (vitamins, exercise) even knowing such changes are not proven – Also more likely to purchase unregulated neutraceuticals • The impact is less than expected – people come into the study with a baseline perception of their own risk – seem to have a psychological inertia Structural and Biochemical Biomarkers • Biochemical: CSF Beta amyloid, tau, phosph-tau – Diagnostic as well as predictive value • Neuroimaging: MRI, FDG-PET, amyloid imaging – Used for diagnostic confirmation in a symptomatic person, for earlier definitive diagnosis in mild or uncertain symptoms (e.g., MCI), and for detection of AD pathology in asymptomatic individuals. 39 Evolution of Neuroimaging in AD • • • • • • • Computed Tomography MRI Volumetric MRI Co-registration of MRI Functional MRI FDG Glucose PET Amyloid Imaging Helmuth L. Science. 2002;297:1260-1262. www.loni.ucla.edu/~thompson/AD_4D/dynamic.html. Ethics Issues With Biomarkers • Diagnostic information • We can ascertain with high probability whether AD pathology is present in the brain • How much to tell research participants about unvalidated research results? Best markers across a broad range are MRI and FDG-PET Biomarkers for Earlier Diagnosis “They stipulate that there must also be at least one or more abnormal biomarkers among structural neuroimaging with MRI, molecular neuroimaging with PET, and cerebrospinal fluid analysis of amyloid β or tau proteins. “ Lancet Neurol 2007; 6: 734–46 CSF in Alzheimer’s Disease: Low Aβ and High Tau AD Patients Control Patients Concentration (pg/mL) 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 Aβ Sunderland T, et al. JAMA. 2003;289:2094-2103. Tau CSF in MCI has elevated tau, decreased βamyloid A combination of CSF T-tau and A42 at baseline yielded a sensitivity of 95% and a specificity of 83% for detection of incipient AD inpatients with MCI. The relative risk of progression to AD substantially increased in patients with MCI who had pathological concentrations of T-tau and A42 at baseline (hazard ratio 17·7, p0·0001). The association between pathological CSF and progression to Alzheimer’s disease was much stronger than, and independent of, established risk factors including age, sex, education, APOE genotype, and plasma homocysteine. Hansson et al.,2006 Imaging Amyloid in vivo in Humans • Amyloid Cascade Hypothesis: – Amyloid deposition begins years before clinical sympto • Ability to image brain amyloid will impact: – Diagnosis (sensitivity and specificity TBD) – Prognosis (different patterns of progression?) – Monitoring anti-amyloid therapeutic interventions – Efficiency of drug development • Current ligands, more in development: – PiB, AV-45, BF227, FDDNP. Bay compound • PiB: Now in use in over 40 centers around the world • F18-PiB in development at both GE and Pittsburgh – Just as accurate as C11-PiB PIB PET in AD and Control PIB Retention C-8 C-2 1.06 1.64 Distribution Volume Ratio (DVR) MCI-2 1.04 MCI-10 MCI-4 1.62 Frontal DVR 2.59 AD-2 2.48 Prediction of Outcome Utilizing PiB Imaging in MCI: PiB+ Cases Develop AD; PiB- Cases Do Not 23/26 patients have had follow-up ADRC evaluations Mean f/u: 24.0 months (6-57 months) 80% 60% 40% reverters stable converters 20% 0% 13 PiB positive (Mean f/u: 23.6 months) 10 PiB negative (Mean f/u: 24.5 months) Wolk, et al., 2009 -20% -40% PiB Positive PiB Negative Prevalence of Plaques Precede DAT Figure 4. Appearance of plaques and DAT 70.00 Amyloid Plaques (Braak & Braak) Proportion (%) 60.00 50.00 DAT - Average of Three Studies 40.00 30.00 20.00 10.00 0.00 46-50 51-55 56-60 61-65 66-70 71-75 Age (years) 76-80 81-85 86-90 Mean Cortical PIB Binding in Nondemented Controls and AD (N=41) 1.200 Controls AD 1.000 scBP 0.800 0.600 0.400 0.200 0.000 -0.200 20 22 23 49 49 51 56 57 58 58 59 59 59 60 60 60 61 61 62 64 64 66 71 72 72 74 75 75 75 76 77 77 77 79 80 81 83 83 84 85 86 86 72 73 73 79 79 81 84 85 86 Subject AGE Mintun et al, 2006, Neurology Longitudinal Change in PiB Retention in a Questionably Positive Control over Two Years 2 yrs PiB Binding (amyloid plaque density) in Cognitively Normal Elderly and AD Aizenstein et al., Arch. Neurol. 2008; 65: 1509-1517 Heterogeneity of Amyloid Binding in Asymptomatic Normal Elderly Courtesy of Reisa Sperling, Harvard Univ. How will disease-modifying medications affect the field? • Immediate pressure to identify subjects as early as possible • Amyloid scans beginning at age 50, repeated every 5 years, as for colon cancer • Public Health Message: “At 50, get evaluated head to tail! Have your colonoscopy and your PiB Scan.” Operational Research Criteria for Preclinical AD • Not intended as clinical diagnostic criteria • Prognostic utility of these biomarkers in individual subjects remains unclear • Not all individuals with neuroimaging evidence of AD changes will develop clinical symptoms during life – 30% of non-demented 80+ year olds have evidence of AD in the brain at autopsy