Shishir Priyadarshi Director of the WTO Development Division Trade is a powerful development tool Many developing countries, particularly LDCs, lack the capacity to compete effectively in expanding regional and global markets The Aid for Trade Initiative, launched in 2005 at the Hong Kong WTO Ministerial Conference, aims to make aid help trade The Initiative has established a comprehensive framework for tackling these trade-related bottlenecks 50000 45000 in US$ million 40000 35000 30000 25000 20000 15000 10000 5000 0 Total Aid for Trade Commitmments Aid for trade flows have grown from the baseline average of 2002-05 Partners mainstream and prioritise trade in development strategies Donors respond through Aid for Trade projects and programmes This can be measured in four main thrust areas: Trade policy & regulation; Building productive capacity; Economic infrastructure; and Trade-related adjustment Aid for Trade by category Commitments, US$ billion (2010 constant) 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 2002-05 avg. 2006-2009 avg. Trade Policy & Regulations Economic Infrastructure 2010 2011 Building Productive Capacity Trade-related Adjustment Aid for Trade by Region Commitments, USD billion (2010 constant) 20 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 Africa America 2002-05 avg. Asia 2006-09 avg. Europe 2010 Oceania 2011 The WTO, along with partners, assess the effectiveness of Aid for Trade through a monitoring framework that culminates into the biennial Global Review on Aid for Trade Since inception in 2007, the Global Review of Aid for Trade has established itself as the preeminent multilateral forum exploring trade and development issues. Past Global Reviews have examined how developing, and in particular LDCs, are seeking to integrate into the global economy, how development partners are supporting this process and the efficacy of this assistance The 4th Global Review on Aid for Trade to be held at the WTO on 5-7 July this year takes its theme: “Connecting to Value Chains” But why ‘Value Chains’? Global trade is increasingly characterized by transactions within complex value chains, or nodes of activities that adds value to a final product or service, offering new opportunities for many developing countries Value chains are not only among north-south firms, but increasingly characterised by complex regional and south-south trade The aim of the 4th Global Review of Aid for Trade is to examine strategies to connect developing country and LDC firms to value chains In the context of South-South partnerships, India-Africa trade and investment ties have grown phenomenally This private sector-led development has been encouraging for African private sector to enter the international value chains Since the 1st India-Africa Conclave in 2005, bilateral trade has been growing annually at 32.4%, even faster than China-Africa trade that grew at 27% India-Africa trade has reached US$ 63 billion in 2011, up from US$ 5.3 billion in 2001 If annualised exports growth rates of India and Africa between 2001 and 2011 hold, bilateral trade could reach US$ 176 billion by 2015 India-Africa trade: growth projections in US$ billion 140 120 121.5 100 80 60 39.8 54.5 40 20 0 3 2.4 23 2001 2005 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012f 2013f 2014f 2015f Indian Exports to Africa African Exports to India Growing Indian investments and economic cooperation with many African countries Africa has emerged as a major commodity exporter to India, particularly oil, in the last decade has overshadowed the strides it has made in increasing its value-added exports Total technology exports from Africa to India increased from US$ 1.8 billion to US$ 9.8 billion in the past decade, growing annually 19%. India-Africa Trade: Emerging trends 2001 Share in 2011 Share in (US$ total (US$ total million) exports million) exports High Technology (pharmaceuticals, 16 0.7 65 0.2 electrical and optical equipment, aircraft) Medium High Technology 643 27.0 2,569 6.6 (chemicals, machinery and equipments, automobiles) Medium Low Technology (refined 1,037 43.5 6,845 17.6 petroleum, basic metals, mineral products) Low Technology (food products, 68 2.9 352 0.9 textiles and apparel) Africa’s Exports of; Total Technology exports (TTE) 1,764 74.0 9,831 25.3 Agriculture and related products 400 16.8 1,670 4.3 Mining and quarrying, incl. crude oil and gas Total Exports 219 9.2 27,428 70.5 2,384 100 38,929 100 Nigeria Angola* South Africa Algeria Morocco Egypt Cameroon Libya Ethiopia* Ghana Somalia* Djibouti* Mozambique* Mauritius Tanzania* 4,000 2,000 0 (2,000) (4,000) (6,000) (8,000) (10,000) (12,000) Kenya in US$ million India’s Trade Balance, 2011 Overall trade deficit, but India runs a trade surplus with 40 out of the 54 African countries The increased South-South partnership between Africa and India, led by the private sector, has many success stories as well as lessons to make the partnership stronger Monitoring and evaluation of global trade is an important component of the Global Review, and the 4th Global Review will examine strategies on how to better integrate private sector within the global South With this in view, the CII, in collaboration with the WTO, sought to identify the barriers to greater bilateral trade and investments through a private sector survey The aim of the survey exercise was threefold: Identify obstacles to expanding India-Africa trade and investments; Survey how to overcome these barriers; and Examine on-going activities to tackle the barriers and their effectiveness Survey went to private sector in India and a pilot group of 7 African countries (Kenya, Nigeria, South Africa, Tanzania, Uganda and Zambia). Some preliminary findings are presented here Response Response Count Share (%) African Business or Business Association 29 46.0 Indian Business or Business Association 34 54.0 Total 63 100 Out of the African respondents, 9 were business associations mostly at the apex level. The Indian respondents were mostly from businesses with2 sector associations participating in the survey. Firm/company's turnover in 2011 Do not wish to disclose US$ 0 - less than US$ 0.5 million US$ 0.5 - less than US$ 2 million US$ 2 - less than US$ 10 million US$ 50 - less than US$ 250 million US$ 250 - less than US$ 500 million US$ 500 million - less than 1 billion More than US$ 1 billion Total Response Count Response Share (%) 11 5 6 7 7 3 5 8 52 The business respondents from India and Africa were a representative sample across different scales of operations, starting from the small and medium enterprises (SMEs) sector to multinational companies (MNCs). 21.2 9.6 11.5 13.5 13.5 5.8 9.6 15.4 100 25 20 15 8 5 8 10 5 12 6 6 10 7 8 5 0 Access to Access to trade Business Transport and Informal controls buyers/exporters finance environment logistics costs and corrupt practices Africa's difficulties exporting goods to India India's difficulties importing goods from Africa 30 25 20 15 15 13 10 16 14 10 5 9 11 10 6 4 0 Transport and Access to Business logistics costs buyers/exporters environment Access to trade Informal controls finance and corrupt practices Africa's difficulties importing goods from India India's difficulties exporting goods to Africa Most pressing issues not market access or tariff issues infrastructure bottlenecks, underdeveloped capital markets, trade facilitation issues and information asymmetries are the major hurdles Non-tariff barriers like informal controls and corrupt practices, customs delays and paperwork are some direct trade-related concerns that were raised 60 50 40 30 26 20 10 22 0 A central role 6 3 1 9 6 5 Of increasing A peripheral role to A peripheral role to importance as commercial interests that of existing donors assistance from and other South-South traditional donors partners declines AFRICAN BUSINESS OR BUSINESS ASSOCIATION INDIAN BUSINESS OR BUSINESS ASSOCIATION Business views on India’s role in providing assistance to Africa 45 40 35 30 23 25 20 20 15 12 10 Trade Finance Education Vocational skills services development 15 10 19 5 12 13 15 13 0 ICT Building infrastructure projects INDIAN BUSINESS OR BUSINESS ASSOCIATION AFRICAN BUSINESS OR BUSINESS ASSOCIATION Business views on India’s areas of comparative advantage as an assistance provider 62% of the businesses in India and Africa view India’s assistance to be central in Africa’s trade and development. Another 20% felt that India will have an increasing role even as assistance from traditional donors decline. Businesses see India's development assistance to have a comparative advantage in many services sectors, including, ICT, education, vocational skills development, health and financial services. It asserts India's rise as a global services power that could have development benefits for African South-South partners. The survey that forms part of a CII-WTO Report on enhancing India-Africa Trade and Investment will be presented at the 4th Global Review on Aid for Trade. It will be showcased under the theme: South-South private sector cooperation. The report is work-in-progress and has benefitted immensely from the deliberations here at the 9th India-India Africa Conclave. The survey available for greater participation from Indian and African firms. This will strengthen the final findings that will inform discussions and key recommendations to be presented during the 4th Global Review. CII and WTO are surveying Indian and African businesses to examine how trading ties can be further deepened. Responses received will be used to draft recommendations on how to expand the already vibrant India-Africa trade partnership. Recommendations will examine how to expand the coverage of India-Africa trade and investment, in terms of the goods and services traded, and the number of businesses engaged and investments made. Results will be profiled by CII at the 4th Global Review of Aid for Trade, which will focus on "Connecting to Value Chains“, on 8-10 July 2013. Deadline for completion of online survey submissions is Friday 5 April 2013. Complete the survey at: https://www.research.net/s/INDIA_AFRICA_SURVEY