Development of Myanmar National
Electrification Plan Toward Universal Access
Xiaoping Wang
Senior Energy Specialist
The World Bank
Nay Pyi Taw
March 20, 2014
A BRIDGE TO UNIVERSAL ENERGY ACCESS
1
Key Messages from the May 2013 Workshop
Access to modern energy service has direct bearing on poverty
reduction and rural development. Globally, 70% of the poor and 85% of
those without access to electricity live in rural areas
Universal access to electricity by 2030 is achievable and affordable – as
proven in other countries, the goal can be achieved with sustained
government’s commitment, targeted sector policies, and significant financial
support from donors
 The National Electrification Plan (NEP) should chart out a path towards
universal access designed specifically for Myanmar, embrace both grid and
off-grid solutions, and include appropriate policy and technical innovation to
lower cost, improve reliability, and provide timely service to all households
 The World Bank Group will support NEP Development. Both financial
support for investments, and technical assistance for institutional
development will be available to Myanmar for the implementation of NEP
A BRIDGE TO UNIVERSAL ENERGY ACCESS
2
Key Messages from the November 2013 Workshop
Comprehensive sector planning to address both long term and short
term challenges and align individual projects against
Broad stakeholder engagements in process and nationwide geographic
coverage of NEP
Holistic approach to tackle supply shortage, high system losses, and
expansion of energy services
Consider all financing options to bridge funding gaps, including donor
grants, concessional loans, private sector investment, and cross-subsidies,
given tremendous investment needs.
 Is fundamental to define clear roles and responsibilities of key
institutions at the national and regional/state levels, including planning,
implementation, monitoring, and evaluation functions
A BRIDGE TO UNIVERSAL ENERGY ACCESS
3
Myanmar National Electrification Plan (NEP) 2014-2030
•
NEP is envisaged to be a comprehensive action plan for developing,
financing, and implementing electricity access scale-up program nationwide,
with the target of achieving universal access by 2030.
•
NEP aims to align support from different stakeholders with the
implementation program for achieving national access targets and syndicates
financing on a timely, ongoing and programmatic basis.
Key Elements:
1.
Geospatial Least Cost Electrification Rollout plan (grid and off-grid)
2.
Road Map and Investment Prospectus
A BRIDGE TO UNIVERSAL ENERGY ACCESS
4
Geospatial Least Cost Electrification Rollout Plan
A high level geospatial rollout plan
comprising:
•
•
Systematic grid network rollout
connection plan
Complementary spatial plans for
mini-grids and individual systems
A BRIDGE TO UNIVERSAL ENERGY ACCESS
5
Scope of Work
1
Project electricity demand and connections at a disaggregated level
2
Compare different technologies and electricity supply options, and estimate
total costs of electrification at each sub-location
3
Create GIS-based spatial least-cost electrification planning platform with georeferenced data layers that cover both grid extension and off-grid applications
4
Gather data to support the spatial planning platform
5
Examine the sensitivity of select outputs of the least cost plan to key policy
variables
A BRIDGE TO UNIVERSAL ENERGY ACCESS
6
Road Map and Investment Prospectus
• Long-term and intermediate targets for 2014-2030
• Investment financing framework for the first 5 years
• Action plan to address enabling policy and institutional framework
• Capacity strengthening initiatives for key institutions and agencies
2030
2025
2014
2015
2020
2020
?
100%
?
?
?
29%
A BRIDGE TO UNIVERSAL ENERGY ACCESS
7
Scope of Work
1
Establish institutional framework for NEP implementation
2
Carry out funding gap analysis and investment needs for the
first 5 years
3
Elaborate road map and investment financing prospectus
A BRIDGE TO UNIVERSAL ENERGY ACCESS
8
Implementation Arrangements
• MOEP and MLFRD jointly lead the NEP preparation with
participation from other member agencies of NEMC and REPWSC
and assistance from the World Bank.
• MOEP and MLFRD co-manage consultants together with World
Bank. This includes strategic guidance to data collection, review of
key deliverables, organization of workshops and study tours.
• Consultants work closely with the government teams throughout
the NEP preparation process
• Close coordination with ADB, JICA and other DPs on respective,
related initiatives.
A BRIDGE TO UNIVERSAL ENERGY ACCESS
9
Consultant Teams
Two consulting firms were competitively selected to assist in
NEP development:
•Columbia University
— Geospatial least cost electrification rollout
plan, with experience in Indonesia, Kenya,
Nigeria, Tanzania, etc.
•Castalia
– Roadmap and Investment Prospectus, with
experience in Indonesia, Rwanda, Kenya, Vanuatu
A BRIDGE TO UNIVERSAL ENERGY ACCESS
10
Key Milestones and Deliverables
First Mission/
Workshop
May 2013
Second Mission/
Workshop
November 2013
Activities
- Establish dialogue
with government and
other stakeholders
- Share international
experience
-Discuss methodology
and work plan
-Continue dialogue
with stakeholders
Outputs
-Agree on the need of
an NEP and key work
areas
- Agree on
methodology,
milestones, and
working arrangements
Follow-on
Work
-Develop scope of work
-Hire consultants
-Dev methodology and
work plan
- Continue data
collection
- Interim results for
Kayin and Chin States
Third Mission/
Workshop
March 2014
Fourth Mission/
Workshop
August 2014
-Present and discuss
interim results
-Present draft NEP
- Present investment
opportunities
-Agree on institutional
framework options
- Feedback on
geospatial plan and IP
-Agree on main revisions
-Link potential financiers
with investment
opportunities
- Complete draft NEP
- Finalize NEP
- Transfer data and
training
- Adopt NEP by
government
A BRIDGE TO UNIVERSAL ENERGY ACCESS
11