Research Design How to do a research project! Research designs can be very simple: Or…. quite complicated! Or… something in between! A good design will not compensate for bad fundamentals! Research Design A formal written set of specifications and procedures for There are many ways to set up a Research Design So we will look at a generic plan. Research Design A formal written set of specifications and procedures for Conducting and Controlling a business research project DESIGN controls for: Time DESIGN controls for: Time Money DESIGN controls for: Time Money People A good DESIGN ensures: 1.The study will be relevant 2.That is will use economic procedures Problem: The Law of the Instrument Types of Designs 1.Exploratory Research to gain insight and ideas… It is for understanding… not for analysis Types of Designs 1.Exploratory Flexible… good for: a. Diagnosing a situation b. Screening alternatives c. Increase research’s familiarity with problem d. Discovery of new ideas Types of Designs Be careful: Gas lights: Types of Designs Be careful: IBM study in 1947: “On a humorous note, the principal designer of the Mark I, Howard Aiken of Harvard, estimated in 1947 that six electronic digital computers would be sufficient to satisfy the computing needs of the entire United States. IBM had commissioned this study to determine whether it should bother developing this new invention into one of its standard products (up until then computers were one-of-akind items built by special arrangement). Aiken's prediction wasn't actually so bad as there were very few institutions (principally, the government and military) that could afford the cost of what was called a computer in 1947. Types of Designs 1.Exploratory Flexible… good for: a. Diagnosing a situation b. Screening alternatives c. Increase research’s familiarity with problem d. Discovery of new ideas e. Gathering background info Types of Designs 1.Exploratory Methods: a. Situational analysis Type of Designs 1.Exploratory Methods: a. Situational analysis b.Expert Opinion survey Types of Designs 1.Exploratory Methods: a. Situational analysis b. Expert opinion survey c. Literature search d. Pilot study e. Focus groups Types of Designs 1.Exploratory 2.Descriptive a. To describe characteristics of a sample Type of Designs 1.Exploratory 2.Descriptive a. To describe characteristics of a sample b. To estimate proportions Type of Designs 1.Exploratory 2.Descriptive Cross-Sectional Types of Designs 1.Exploratory 2.Descriptive Longitudinal http://www.people-press.org/2013/01/31/trust-in-government-interactive/ Types of Designs 1.Exploratory 2.Descriptive Longitudinal Omnibus Types of Designs 1.Exploratory 2.Descriptive Longitudinal Panels Types of Designs 1.Exploratory 2.Descriptive Longitudinal Panels Problems: Lack of representation They become experts Type of Designs 1.Exploratory 2.Descriptive 3.Associational What goes with what? S&P 500 Types of Designs 1.Exploratory 2.Descriptive 3.Associational 4.Casual (Experiments) Types of Designs Casual (Experiments) Concept of Causality • Concomitant variation • Time order (casual order) • Elimination of alternative explanations Types of Designs Casual (Experiments) Key is: Control Types of Designs Casual (Experiments) Terms: Types of Designs Casual (Experiments) Terms: Variable Types of Designs Casual (Experiments) Terms: Constant Types of Designs Casual (Experiments) Terms: IV Independent Variable: treatment exogenous Types of Designs Casual (Experiments) Terms: DV Dependent Variable: measurement endogenous Types of Designs Casual (Experiments) Terms: Secondary Variables Something to be controlled that could cause the DV to change… Extraneous Types of Designs Casual (Experiments) Terms: Secondary Variables • • • • • Eliminate them Make them constant Turn them into IVs Randomization Statistical control Types of Designs Casual (Experiments) Terms: Field Experiment Split-plot Types of Designs Casual (Experiments) Terms: Laboratory Experiment Validity Issues Validity Issues Internal Validity The effect is due to IV and Not to other variables Validity Issues External Validity The effect can be generalized To the real world Validity Issues Internal Validity 1. History (Retroactive) 2. Proactive History 3. Maturation 4. Testing Effects Pre-testing… Post-testing… Interactive effects Reactive measures Validity Issues Internal Validity 1. History (Retroactive) 2. Proactive History 3. Maturation 4. Testing Effects 5. Experimental Mortality Validity Issues Internal Validity 1. History (Retroactive) 2. Proactive History 3. Maturation 4. Testing Effects 5. Experimental Mortality 6. Bias Selection… Interpretation… Etc. Validity Issues Internal Validity 1. History (Retroactive) 2. Proactive History 3. Maturation 4. Testing Effects 5. Experimental Mortality 6. Bias 7. Statistical Regression A highly unlikely event is… highly unlikely! Genetics Is this statistical regression… or something else? Validity Issues Internal Validity 1. History (Retroactive) 2. Proactive History 3. Maturation 4. Testing Effects 5. Experimental Mortality 6. Bias 7. Statistical Regression 8. Instrumentation 9. Luck Validity Issues External Validity 1. Hawthorne Effect http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hawthorne_effect Validity Issues External Validity 1. Hawthorne Effect 2. Demand Effects http://allpsych.com/researchmethods/experimentalvalidity.html Validity Issues External Validity 1. Hawthorne Effect 2. Demand Effects Validity Issues External Validity 1. Hawthorne Effect 2. Demand Effects 3. Selection Bias Why? Why? Rasmussen used “likely voters