Development and Economic Growth Econ 403: Development Economics Sonoma State University Professor Carlos A. Benito ECON 403 Countries by Income Groups Countries Low Income Middle Income High Income World Ratio High/Low Income Population, Million 2,495 2,742 965 6,201 GNP per capita, $, 2000 PPP GNP per capita, $, 2000 430 1,840 26,310 5,080 2,040 5,630 27,590 7,570 61 14 Development along a continuum GNI Comparability PPP Development Patterns Historical Patterns by Regions Growth patterns Growth rates and income levels Growth & Catching Up Countries GNP per capita, % growth, 2002-2003 Low Income Middle Income High Income World 2.30% 2.20% 0.80% 2.02% Growth Years to rate to catch up catch up in income of one century 315 442 367 7.25% Development Question What explain differences between production and consumption possibilities among low income and high income countries? What can be done to reduce such differences? How to think about these questions? Development Notions Progressive Development Human Development Basic Needs Fairness Resource Sustainability Economic Development Structural Changes GNP per capita Growth Process ~ Graphic Differential Equation Flow of Goods & Representation Services of a Consumption Flow of Goods & Services Accumulation Stock Growth and Development Economic growth – How savings, technology and organization affect net investment and thereby the stock of capital: physical, human and social capital Economic development – What institutional and cultural changes induce: » Increases in savings rates, » Allocation of savings into investment projects that optimize economic growth and human development Economic Development Level Development Indicator ($) GNP per Capita = GNP/Population y’ = Y/ N Over Time Comparisons Real GNP per Capita = GNP per Capita/Price Level yt = y’t/Pt Across Country Comparisons Adjusted GNP per Capita = GNP per Capita/PPP yi = y’i/PPPi Human Development Level Definition: Possibility of – A long and healthy life, – With knowledge, & – A decent standard of living Indicator: Human Development Index – HDI = a1*Life Expectance Index + a2*Education Index+ a3*GDP Index Economic Development Process Indicator: Economic Growth Rate (%) Growth Rate = (Real GNP per Capita this year – Real GNP per Capita last year)/Real GNP per Capita last year gt = (yt – yt-1)/yt-1 Development Goals The Indian Congress Consensus – India, 1948-1970s – Economic development results from the economic growth of a nation. The dominate goal is to grow. The Washington Consensus – USA, 1984 to now – The purposes of development policies are » to assist countries pay back their international debts--the goal being to sustain private financial markets. » To adjust developing countries into globalization process The Millennium Development Goals – UNDP, 2000 – Satisfying basic needs. The goals is Human Development – http://hdr.undp.org/reports/global/2003/ Is Economic Development Possible? Before World War II and in Reference to European colonies – Economic Development was not possible in traditional societies. – Their peoples were happy with their living styles. – Backward bending labor supply A view sustained by some cultural anthropologists Implicit Assumption about Market Structures of Cultural Determinism Wage Rate/Day $ Backward bending supply of labor 1.30 6.50/week 0.80 4.80/week 5 6 Quantity of Labor Is Economic Development Possible? Again After 1930 in reference to Latin America After World War II in reference to ex- European colonies – Yes, Economic Development is possible in traditional societies. – The view of most economists and engineers How? – Three development paradigms Vocabulary In studying development, we will encounter the following terms: Economic Development – Development Level » GNP per Capita – Economic Growth » Growth Rate of Real GNP per Capita Human Development Institutional Development Cultural Development Development paradigms Linear Stages of Growth Structuralism Neo-Marxism Modeling growth processes Stocks Flows Changes/Accumulation Development Paradigms Linear Stages of Growth (view from 1st. World) Structuralism (view from 3rd. World) Neo-Marxism (view from the 2nd. World) Development theme Population Millions 2000 Congo Democratic Republic Norway Ratio Norway/Congo D. Rep. GNP per capita $2000 PPP GNP per capita $2000 54 90 580 5 37,850 35,840 421 62