Culverhouse Investment Management Group Training Sessions – Fall 2014 Day 1 – Intro to Value Investing CIMG OVERVIEW 2 Background • CIMG – The University of Alabama’s first investment group • Student-run, student-led – Founded in fall of ‘08, initial investment fall of ‘09 • PURPOSE – Provide members experience in: • Valuation techniques • Value investing • Collaborative thinking • Organization participation • Personnel management • Program development 3 Structure/Operations • STRUCTURE – Board of Directors (BOD) • Consists of one president and four vice-presidents • Responsible for buy and sell decisions • COMMITTEES – Meet throughout the week • Majority of teaching via COMMITTEE HEADS • Identify potential investments YOUR ROLE • Monitor current holdings 4 Career Performance 5 VALUE INVESTING 6 Investing Philosophy • Value Investing – Top down vs. bottom up • We are bottom up – Absolute return • Buffett’s most important rules (1 & 2) – Long-term time horizon • 3-5 years – Limit your risk We hate risk!!!!! – No prescribed parameters • http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ii6BUlPdUpA 7 What is Value Investing? • Strategy of investing in securities trading at an appreciable discount from underlying value. • We find stocks trading at market prices that do not reflect the true value of the companies. • “All intelligent investing is value investingacquiring more than you are paying for. You must value the business in order to value the stock” – Charlie Munger Value Investing • “Better to buy a wonderful business at a fair price than a fair business at a wonderful price.” – Warren Buffet • What to look for in a business: 1. 2. 3. 4. • Business you understand Good long term economics Able/trustworthy managers Discount Economic moat is critical – – Low-cost producer or powerful world-wide brand We want companies with a sustainable moat 9 How Markets Work • Company X wants to raise capital – Debt • Loan, Bond: fixed payments – Equity • Ownership, stocks: Claim to future income • Always: • Assets = Debt + Equity • Debt/equity :::: IMPORTANT Inefficient Market • Value investing, initially used by Benjamin Graham and David Dodd, rests on three key characteristics of financial markets – The prices of financial securities are subject to significant and capricious movements (they change) – Despite gyrations there are securities which can be valued (using financial statements) – A value investing strategy is the only way to beat the market in the long term Mr. Market – The Drunk • Benjamin Graham on the stock market Xerox Stock Price 1990-2014 – “The beauty of stocks is that they sell at a variety of prices. The market is a psychotic drunk, and sometimes Mr. Market does very strange things. It’s built into the system that stocks get mispriced. Don’t behave like the psychotic drunk.” • Knocking on the door 12 STOCK RESEARCH 13 Important Websites • • • • • • • http://mycba.ua.edu/cimg http://seekingalpha.com/ http://library.morningstar.com/ http://www.mergersandinquisitions.com/ http://www.investopedia.com/ http://online.wsj.com/home-page http://www.sec.gov/edgar/searchedgar/comp anysearch.html 14 Identifying Opportunities • • • • Value Screens 52-Week Low Lists Value Blogs 13-F Filings – Warren Buffet- Berkshire Hathaway – Seth Klarman- Baupost Group – Mason Hawkins- Longleaf Partners – David Einhorn- Green Light Capital – Mario Gabelli- BAMCO Investors, Inc. 15 Evaluating a Company • Once you have found a company you need to do an initial evaluation • This includes: – Reading the 10-k to learn more about the industry and company as a whole – Looking for competitive advantages – Checking financial health 16 Conclusion • Next lecture date: 10/21 – Same time, same place • Between now and then… – Read about value investing – Berkshire Hathaway annual letters a good start • Please address any feedback to Matt Lambert at cimg.cba@gmail.com 17