regional pilot studies

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FACCE-JPI

Joint Programming Initiative

— ERAnet Coordination and Support Action

• fundingfor JPI governingboard, scretariat, scientificadvisoryboard, JPI meetings

Assessing and raisingbiological resource use efficiency

Food

Security

Responding to a globally increasedfooddemand

Building resilience in agricultural systems adaptation

FACCE JPI

Agrimitigation

Climate culture Change

Operating within GHG, energy & contaminants limits

FACCE-JPI structure

Governing Board

(21 countries) elects

Scientific Advisory Board

(12 members)

Knowledge Hubs

Stakeholder Advisory

Board

Stakeholder Consultation

Scientific Research

Agenda

Core Research Themes

1.

Integrated assessment of food security

2.

Sustainable intensification

3.

Tradeoffs with ecosystem services

4.

Adaptation to climate change

5.

GHG mitigation

FACCE JPI Secretariat supports GB &

SAB

Implementation

FACCE-JPI core themes

FACCE-JPI Knowledge Hub

1. Integrated assessment of food security

2. Sustainable intensification

3. Tradeoffs with ecosystem services

4. Adaptation to climate change

5. GHG mitigation

FACCE Knowledge Hubs

• An instrument building on the concept of

“Networks of excellence”

• Brings together research groups that already have funding in an thematic area

• The support given can be coordination costs, travel expenses and thematic workshops. Countries may choose to support research and/or mobility

.

FACCE MACSUR expectations

MACSUR — Modelling European AgriculturewithClimate Change for Food Security

• Detailed climate change risk assessment for

European agriculture: how will climate variability and change affect regional farming systems in near and far future?

• What are the risks and the opportunities for

European agriculture and food security?

• An ensemble of crop and livestock models will be benchmarked, inter-compared and coupled to both climatic and economic models in collaboration with the international project AgMIP.

FACCE MACSUR

16 countries

•Austria

•Belgium

•Czech Rep.

•Denmark

•Estonia

•Finland

•France

•Germany

•Israel

•Italy

•The Netherlands

•Norway

•Poland

•Romania

•Spain

•Sweden

•UK

© EuroGeographics for the administrative boundaries

FACCE MACSUR

• Project started 1 June, 2012; runs 3 yrs

• individual partners start June–August 2012

• Kickoff-Workshop

— 15/16 October 2012, Berlin

FACCE MACSUR

• Coordination & Cross-cutting (Hub)

— Martin Banse (vTI), Richard Tiffin (U Reading)

• Crop modelling (CropM)

— Frank Ewert (U Bonn), Raimund Rötter (MTT)

• Socio-economic modelling (TradeM)

— Floor Brouwer (U Wageningen), Franz Sinabell (WIFO)

• Livestock modelling (LiveM)

— Michael Abberton (Aberystwyth U), JAC Me ij s (U Wageningen)

FACCE MACSUR structure

Coordination of Knowledge Hub

CropM

TradeM

LiveM

Cross-cutting activities

Science excellence

Network activity

Capacity building

FACCE MACSUR structure

Coordination of Knowledge Hub

CropM

TradeM

LiveM

Cross-cutting activities

Science excellence

Network activity

Capacity building

FACCE MACSUR structure

Coordination of Knowledge Hub

CropM

TradeM

LiveM

Cross-cutting activities

Science excellence

Network activity

Capacity building

FACCE MACSUR structure

Coordination of Knowledge Hub

CropM

TradeM

LiveM

Cross-cutting activities

Science excellence

Network activity

Capacity building

MACSUR–CropM

WP1 Model intercomparison (develop protocols; extend sites, crops)

WP2 Model improvements through generating and compiling data

WP3 Scaling methods and model linking

WP4 Scenario development and impact uncertainty analysis

WP5 Capacity building

WP6 Case studies on impact assessment (cross cutting theme)

Christian Kersebaum (DE)

Marco Bindi (IT)

JørgenOlesen (DK)

MirekTrnka (CZ)

Frank Ewert (DE),Sander

Janssen (NL),Martin van

Ittersum (NL)

Reimund Rötter (FI), Daniel

Wallach (FR), M Semenov (UK),

Mike Rivington (UK)

John R Porter (DK)

Jan Verhagen (NL)

Derek Stewart (UK)

MACSUR–TradeM

WP1 Existing tools, data, and models Waldemar Bojar (PL)

WP2 Improved tools, data, and models ØyvindHoveid (NO)

Gabriele Dono (IT) WP3 Cross-cutting issues in regional pilot studies

WP4 Capacity building Katharina Helming (DE)

MACSUR–LiveM

WP1 Building and exploring datasets and climate models on climate change in relation to livestock and grassland

WP2 Modelintercomparisonon climatechange in relation to livestock and grassland

WP3 Improvingtheassessment of climatechangeimpact on livestock and grassland at farmlevel

WP4 Contribution to crosscuttingactivitieswithintegratedst udies at regional level

Jacqui Matthews (UK)

Gianni Bellocchi (FR)

Nicholas Hutchings (UK)

Tommy Dalgaard (DK)

MACSUR–Hub

WP1 Facilitation of regional pilot studies

WP2 Capacity building across models and themes

WP3 Coordination of research agenda and international collaboration

Richard Tiffin (UK)

Martin Banse (DE)

Martin Banse (DE)

MACSUR approach

CropM

1

2

2

3

2

LiveM

1

0 Scenarios defining boundary conditions for all themes

• climate change, land use, CAP strategies

• level of uncertainty acceptable to stakeholders

TradeM

1

0

1 Inventory of data sets and models; benchmarking and improvement of models; ensemble model runs

2 Advancement across two themes tested on methodological case studies

3 Questions of impact answered by regional pilot studies (linked to stakeholders) across three themes

MACSUR questions

• How does European agriculture adapt to climate change and what are its impacts on food security?

• How does CAP contribute to increasing food security?

• What are the effects of competing demands of land use on food security?

MACSUR emphasis

• crop rotations

• integration across themes

• micro (plot) to macro (market) levels

• diversity in soil, climate, and systems

• training of integrative modellers

• knowledge exchange & international collaboration

AgMIP

MultiSward

AgTrials

FoodSecure CCAFS

AnimalChange

Different scales ~ different models

• farm-level models, diverse approaches

— FAMOS, MODAM, mathematical farm investment models

• regional and national models

— optimization of investment, resource use, or food security

• international and global models

— international trade and policies

• sector models (farm-EU-global)

MACSUR answers

CropM

1

2

2

3

TradeM

1

2

LiveM

1

1 Each theme advances existing methodology by benchmarking and improvement of models using common data sets and scenarios.

2 Advancement across two themes is tested on methodological case studies.

3 Advancement across three themes is achieved by regional pilot

studies (linked to stakeholders) to answer questions of impact.

Integrated assessment

• build on good modules of existing models

• increase number of farm types

• use stochastic methods to reflect food production and climate

• bottom-up variability

• top-down boundary conditions

• no detailed all-purpose model possible

MACSUR int’l cooperation

Sharing of scenarios, protocols, and data

— AgMIP

— AgTrials

— FoodSecure

— AnimalChange

— MultiSward

— CCAFS

MACSUR emphasizes

• crop rotations

• integration across themes

• micro and macro levels

• European diversity in soil, climate, and systems.

• knowledge exchange & collaboration

• training of integrative modellers

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