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The River, the Pond, and the Future of the Research Collection

Rick Anderson

Acting Dean

The Recent Past: a Quick Review

 1990s: The Gutenberg Terror comes to an end

Stage 1: Journals

Stage 2: Books – piecemeal (NetLibrary, etc.)

Stage 3: Books – wholesale (Google, Hathi Trust)

 2000s: Gutenberg is tamed and domesticated

 Print on demand

J. Willard Marriott Library

The Recent Past: a Quick Review

 Library hegemony comes to an end

Massive drop in unit price of information

Radical increase in ease of finding

Ready reference becomes a social exercise

Full-text searching obviates the proxy record

Access (for many) becomes virtually ubiquitous

Meanwhile, librarians working busily to undermine their own role as brokers (OA)

J. Willard Marriott Library

The Current Reality

 The collection is a bad guess at patron needs

 Massive budget cuts make collecting hard to defend

 Reference service is bypassed and unscalable

 The OPAC is completely eclipsed as a discovery tool

(even with WorldCat)

J. Willard Marriott Library

J. Willard Marriott Library

J. Willard Marriott Library

The Current Reality

 The collection is a bad guess at patron needs

 Massive budget cuts make collecting hard to defend

 Reference service is bypassed and unscalable

 The OPAC is completely eclipsed as a discovery tool

(even with WorldCat)

 Circulation is down dramatically

 Gate counts are up, but the stacks are deserted

J. Willard Marriott Library

Circ Trends at the University of Utah

Initial Circs Per Enrolled Student

16

14

12

10

8

6

4

2

0

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001

J. Willard Marriott Library

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

New Models

Online  just-in-time (both e and p)

Online  breakdown of collection walls

Higher prices/less budget  less speculation

Higher prices/less budget  less archival purchasing

Less circulation  strong e-only momentum

Online + better data + higher prices + less budget  the end of the Big Deal and of the Medium Deal (title-level journal subscriptions) in favor of the Tiny Deal

Bottom line: Less collecting (ponds), more real-time brokerage

(access to the river)

J. Willard Marriott Library

What We Are Doing at UU

Formalised stance: e-first/patron-first

PDA pilot programs: MyiLibrary, ebrary, NetLibrary, EBL

Espresso Book Machine

No more bibliographers/subject specialists

Instead, College & Interdisciplinary Teams

SHEM (Science, Health, Engineering, Mines)

SEBS (Social Sciences, Education, Business, Social Work)

FAAPH (Fine Arts, Architecture/Planning, Humanities)

DOCMAPS (Documents, Maps)

MEDIA (Multimedia)

INTERINTER (International/Interdisciplinary)

J. Willard Marriott Library

Predictions

 The future of the library will not look much like a library

Small, focused local collections of books

Access to enormous public collections (Hathi, Google)

Few subscriptions, if any

No packages

A need for consolidated brokerage service at article level, not title level

 Journals are going the way of the record album

 We ’ re headed back to a “ song ” economy

 Journal publishers are going the way of the record label

 You can ’ t make as much on a 99-cent song as you can on a

$15 album

J. Willard Marriott Library

Stumbling Blocks

Sclerotic librarians

Fainthearted library leaders

(Legacy accreditation structures)

(Legacy RPT structures)

(Justifiably) fainthearted publishers

Customer-focused competitors

J. Willard Marriott Library

Discuss!

Contact:

Rick Anderson rick.anderson@utah.edu

J. Willard Marriott Library

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