Housing and Older People in Australia: Now and the Coming Decades

advertisement

Housing and Older People in

Australia:

Now and the Coming Decades

Presentation to Resthaven

Andrew Beer

University of Adelaide

Andrew.Beer@adelaide.edu.au

Agenda

• The changing relationship between housing and the life course in Australia

• Housing and older Australians

• Where to next?

Housing Careers

• The sequence of housing you occupy through your life course. Measured in terms of the ‘household’.

• More recently, David Clapham’s (2002; 2004; 2005) perspectives on housing pathways – a greater focus on the meaning of home.

• Conventionally

– Leave home

– Marry and enter home ownership, soon followed by arrival of first child

– Stay in the family home – maybe with one move

– Move to a retirement village or die at home

Housing Careers

The Housing Career ‘Ladder”

'Down' moves

'Up' moves

Mortgage paid

Two incomes

High wages

Savings

Subsidy

Moderate income

First job

Outright owner

Second-time buyer

First-time buyer

Public tenant

Private tenant

Living with parents

Unemployment

Divorce

Personal problems

SOUTHERN RESEARCH CENTRE

From Housing Careers to Housing

Transitions

• Idea that no longer a purposeful ‘ladder’ of housing to ascend

• Greater level of movement to more or less advantageous positions

• Great deal of lateral movement

Generations

• The Austerity Generation

– 1931-45

• The Baby Boomers

– 1946-1960

• Generation X

– 1961-1976

• Generation Y

– 1976-1991

Generation at the 2001 Census

Generation Label

The Austerity Generation

Baby Boomers

Generation X

Generation Y

Year of Birth Age

Before 1931 more than 74 years

1931-1946

1946-1960

1961-1976

55 to 74 years

40 to 54 years

25 to 39 years

1977-1991 10 to 24 years post 1991 under 10 years of age

Persons

1,710,291

2,420,329

4,004,987

4,154,821

3,902,926

2,575,895

18,769,249

Per Cent

9.1

12.9

21.3

22.1

20.8

13.7

100

What can life course perspectives on housing tell us?

• Demand for housing for older people will grow

• Many of those in older age will be different households compared with the past

– Not all outright owners

• 11% private tenants

• At significant risk in the private market, including homelessness

– Impact of divorce and repartnering

– Some with greater levels of wealth through housing

– Significant but unequal impact of superannuation

What can life course perspectives on housing tell us?

• Impact of disability

– Declining rates of mortality amongst the aged, but rising rates of morbidity

• The ‘old old’ fastest growing population group in

Australia

– Providing care for others

– Desire to remain in the family home and age in place

• Many female headed households worse off

– Gendered impact of divorce

What can life course perspectives on housing tell us?

• Changing social values:

– Willingness to consume wealth in own lifetime

– Proximity to family members a more complex issue

– More willing to move within older age

• Seachange/treechange migration often leads to churn

– May need to provide accommodation for own children/grandchildren into advanced age

• Affects the type of housing will accept

Current Supply

• Most remain in the family home, even though it may be inappropriate

• Retirement village industry remains small

– Current business models too confronting for many

– Costs are too high for many

– Limited non-private options

• Some older people assume access to public/social housing that will simply not eventuate

Where to Next?

• The demographic imperatives cant be denied

– By 2050 the aged population will double to 25% of the

Australian population

– The ageing of the population will be responsible for half of new housing construction over the coming decades

– Mainstream planning will need to focus on the needs of the aged – eg TODs

– Supply of purpose built aged housing will increase, but it will not be sufficient to match demand

– Women and those on low incomes will be the most vulnerable

Where to Next?

• Housing needs of the aged population will also bring other needs:

– Impact of social isolation

– Need for transport and other services

– Demand for financial planning

– Staffing

Download