The Hume Workforce Development Committee Hume Regional Development Australia Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services Labour Market Snapshot Workforce Planning Australia | December 2012 Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services Industry Overview Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services is one of the smallest industries in Australia, employing 211,700 workers (or 1.8% of the total workforce) in 2012. Over the period from 2006-2010 employment fell by 1.3%. Employment is expected to increase by 6,700 (or 3.5%) over the next five years. New jobs are anticipated to be in Property Operators and Real Estate Services (up by 7,600). This rise may be partially offset by a fall in Rental and Hiring Services (except Real Estate), which covers activities like motor vehicle and bloodstock leasing. Half the workers in the industry are female, higher than the all industries average of 46%, and a slightly lower proportion of employment is part-time (26% compared with 30%). Around 40% of workers in the industry do not hold post-school qualifications, slightly higher than the all industries average (37%), but almost one in three holds a Certificate III or higher vocational education and training qualification (compared with 29% for all industries). Around one third of jobs (more than 64 000) in the Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services industry are in regional Australia. The industry’s share of local employment does not vary much across the regions. Source: Australian Jobs, 2012 2| Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Segments The Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services industry is divided into six key sectors: Real Estate Services Property Operators Other Goods and Equipment Rental and Hiring Motor Vehicle and Transport Equipment Rental and Hiring Non-Financial Intangible Assets Leasing Farm Animal and Bloodstock Leasing Source: DEEWR, Australian Jobs, 2011 3| National Industry Overview Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services Industry Employment • Arts and Recreation Services is the third smallest of 19 industries classified under ANZICS. In August 2012 approximately 218,000 people were employed in the industry. Industry Employment Level February 2012 Source: ABS Labour Force Survey (trend data) cat no 6291.0.55.003, DEEWR, Skills Info 2012 . 5| Historical Employment Growth Employment growth has been variable with significant fluctuations over the period 19942012. Total employment was 211,700 people in 2012. Employment is influenced by international economic and geopolitical factors, and is also sensitive to business profitability and investment in Australia. Figure: Employment Level (‘000)- 1994 to 2012 Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services - Employment Level ('000s) February 1994 to 2012 250 201.6 193.0 200 177.2 155.6 150 116.6 129.4 1998 1999 124.8 121.2 136.4 131.5 206.4 211.7 198.7 189.5 181.6 172.9 161.2 142.3 109.4 100 50 0 1994 1995 1996 1997 Source: ABS Labour Force Survey cat. no. 6291.0.55.003, (trend data) 6| 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Employment by Industry Sector • • • The largest industry sector is Real Estate Services accounting for 126,500 workers (69 % of employment at Feb 2012) Property Operators is the second largest sector employing 53,200 workers (25%) followed by Other Goods, Equipment RentalHiring (38,000 workers or 18%). Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services - Employment Level - Feb 2012 ('000s) Real Estate Services 126.5 Property Operators 53.2 Other Goods, Equipment Rental-Hiring 38.0 Motor Vehicle, Transport Equipment Rental-Hiring Less than 1% of workers are employed in Farm Animal and Bloodstock Leasing and in Non-Financial Intangible Assets Leasing. Source: ABS Labour Force Survey cat. no. 6291.0.55.003, (trend data 7| Figure: Employment levels by industry sector 2012 11.9 Non-Financial Intangible Assets Leasing 0.3 Farm Animal, Bloodstock Leasing 0.1 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 Projected Employment Growth by Industry Sector • • • Project employment growth is expected to vary across the six industry segments. Over the next 5 years growth is predicted to be strongest in Property Operators (1.1% p.a) followed by Real Estate Services (1% p.a) Segments predicted to decline include: Motor Vehicle, Transport Equipment Rental Hiring (-0.5%) Other Goods (-0.5%) Farm Animal, Bloodstock Leasing (0.3%) Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services - Projected Employment Growth (% pa) to 2016-17 ALL INDUSTRIES 1.4 Property Operators 1.1 Real Estate Services 1.0 Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services 0.7 Non-Financial Intangible Assets Leasing 0.2 Farm Animal, Bloodstock Leasing -0.3 Other Goods, Equipment Rental-Hiring -0.5 Motor Vehicle, Transport Equipment Rental-Hiring -0.5 -1.0 -0.5 Source: DEEWR, Finance and Insurance Services Employment Outlook 2012 (DEEWR Employment Projections to 2016-17) 8| 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 Employing Regions • The distribution of industry employment tends to correspond with national population distribution. Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services - Employment by Region ('000s) Year to February 2012 Sydney 42.1 Brisbane 39.9 Melbourne • Sydney has the highest employment (20% or 42 100 workers) followed by Brisbane (19% or 39 900 people) and Melbourne (18.3% or 38 800 people). 38.8 Perth 19.4 Central and North QLD 10.4 Adelaide 9.3 Hunter 7.7 Southern NSW (incl ACT) 7.1 Western Victoria 4.6 Greater WA 4.0 Northern NSW 3.9 Eastern Victoria 3.8 Southern QLD 3.7 Tasmania 2.9 Western NSW 2.4 Northern Territory 2.1 SA Country 1.8 0 Source: DEEWR, Finance and Insurance Services Employment Outlook 2012 9| 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 Top Employing Occupations • The industry offers a diverse range of career options. Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services - Top 20 Employing Occupations in 2012 ('000s) Real Estate Sales Agents 69.2 • In 2012 the largest employing Receptionists occupation in the industry was, General Clerks by far, Real Estate Sales Agents Other Sales Assistants and Salespersons Other Hospitality, Retail and Service… (69 200), followed by Office Sales Assistants (General) Managers (8000) and Land Economists and Valuers Receptionists (7800). Accounting Clerks Office Managers Accountants 7.8 6.5 5.7 5.4 5.2 5.1 4.6 3.7 Advertising and Sales Managers 3.5 Personal Assistants 3.2 Bookkeepers 3.2 Metal Fitters and Machinists 2.9 Secretaries 2.7 Retail Managers 2.4 Earthmoving Plant Operators 2.2 Commercial Cleaners 2.2 Inquiry Clerks 2.2 Contract, Program and Project Administrators 1.9 0 Source: DEEWR, Finance and Insurance Services Employment Outlook 2012 ( 10 | 8.0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Hume Overview Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services by LGA Total Industry 1,263 (2006) 1,240 (2011) 2% 2006 vs. 2011 Census Data Moira 109 (2006) 97 (2011) G Shepparton 238 (2006) 216 (2011) Indigo 56 (2006) 64 (2011) Wangaratta 98 (2006) 118 (2011) Murrindindi 79 (2006) 58 (2011) Source: ABS Census Data 2006 and ABS Census Data 2011 12 | Towong 17 (2006) 15 (2011) Benalla 70 (2006) 65 (2011) Strathbogie 26 (2006) 32 (2011) Mitchell 161 (2006) 188 (2011) Wodonga 199 (2006) 191 (2011) Mansfield 83 (2006) 76 (2011) Alpine 127 (2006) 120 (2011) Hume Region Boundary Sub-region Boundary Local Government Area (LGA) Boundary Property Operators and Real Estate Services by LGA Total Industry 828 (2006) 853 (2011) 3% 2006 vs. 2011 Census Data Moira 84 (2006) 75 (2011) G Shepparton 157 (2006) 158 (2011) Indigo 41 (2006) 50 (2011) Wangaratta 68 (2006) 83 (2011) Murrindindi 51 (2006) 46 (2011) Source: ABS Census Data 2006 and ABS Census Data 2011 13 | Towong 9(2006) 13 (2011) Benalla 42 (2006) 36 (2011) Strathbogie 19 (2006) 25 (2011) Mitchell 114 (2006) 136 (2011) Wodonga 138 (2006) 140 (2011) Mansfield 46 (2006) 39 (2011) Alpine 59 (2006) 52 (2011) Hume Region Boundary Sub-region Boundary Local Government Area (LGA) Boundary Employment growth Projection in Hume According to Monash projections employment is expected to decline steadily over the period to 2014-5 and level out over the 2015-6 period. Employment will recover slightly in 2016-7 but will not return to previous levels. 2.26 2.24 2.22 2.2 2.18 2.16 Business Services employment 2.14 2.12 2.1 2.08 2012-3 2013-4 2014-5 2015-6 2016-7 Usage is restricted to the Department of Education & Early Childhood Development and third parties undertaking work on behalf of Skills Victoria. Source: Monash Centre of Policy Studies, 2011 (Hume Employment: by ANZSCO occupation, '000 persons, 2010-1 to 2017-8) 14 | Occupational Employment Levels The top employing occupations employment levels in the region are as follows: Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services (Top 10 occupations by employment level Hume) ANZSCO ID Occupation Employment (2011-12) L Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services 2.11 612 Real Estate Sales Agents 0.804 621 Sales Assistants etc 0.208 542 Receptionists 0.102 149 Misc Hospitably Retail Managers 0.089 551 Acc Clerks & Bookkeepers 0.074 142 Retail Managers 0.064 512 Office/Practice Managers 0.061 521 Personal Assistants etc 0.053 531 General Clerks 0.051 811 Cleaners & Laundry Workers 0.035 Usage is restricted to the Department of Education & Early Childhood Development and third parties undertaking work on behalf of Skills Victoria . Source: Monash Centre of Policy Studies, 2011 (Hume Employment: by ANZSCO occupation, '000 persons, 2010-1 to 2017-8) 15 | Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services Occupational growth • Monash projections show variable rates of growth decline in Rental, Hiring and Real Estate occupations. • The largest occupation (Real Estate Agents) will decline significantly to 2016-7. Info & Organisation Profs Cleaners & Laundry Wrkrs General Clerks Personal Assistants etc Office/Practice Managers 2012-3 Retail Managers 2016-7 Acc Clerks & Bookkeepers Misc Hospty Retail Managers Receptionists Sales Assistants etc Real Estate Sales Agents 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 Usage is restricted to the Department of Education & Early Childhood Development and third parties undertaking work on behalf of Skills Victoria. Source: Monash Centre of Policy Studies, 2011 (Hume Employment: by ANZSCO occupation, '000 persons, 2010-1 to 2017-8) 16 | Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services VET Education Data Real Estate Agent Property Manager Industry VET Enrolments Age Profile • The Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services industry has experienced an increase in VET course enrolments across all age groups. • Significant growth has been experienced in those aged 20-24. 40 35 30 25 20 2008 15 2011 10 5 0 15 to 19 20 to 24 25 to 29 30 to 34 35 to 39 40 to 44 45 to 49 50 to 54 55 to 59 60 to 64 Source: Data prepared 9 March 2012, Market Analysis team, Skills Victoria. 18 | 65 and over Not stated Industry VET Course Level and Diversity 90 80 • • • • • • Growth in VET course enrolments is attributable to increased enrolments in the Certificate IV and III level qualifications. 70 The diploma level course has minor growth in enrolments. 30 The diversity of students enrolled in VET courses has declined. 10 There has been significant decrease in the proportion of disabled students 60 50 2008 40 2011 20 0 Certificate III Certificate IV Diploma 10% 9% The proportion of CALD students has also decreased slightly. 8% There is zero indigenous VET students in the industry in Hume. 5% 2008 4% 2011 7% 6% 3% 2% 1% 0% Source: Data prepared 9 March 2012, Market Analysis team, Skills Victoria. 19 | Disabled Indigenous CALD Real Estate Agent Real Estate Agent: VET Enrolments Age Profile • Real Estate Agents in Hume have experienced an increase in VET course enrolments across most age groups excluding those aged 45-49. • The strongest growth was experienced in those aged 20-24. 25 20 15 2008 10 2011 5 0 15 to 19 20 to 24 25 to 29 30 to 34 35 to 39 40 to 44 45 to 49 50 to 54 Source: Data prepared 9 March 2012, Market Analysis team, Skills Victoria. 21 | 55 to 59 60 to 64 65 and Not stated over Real Estate Agent: VET Course and Diversity 90 80 • • • • • Growth in VET course enrolments is attributable to increased enrolments in the Certificate IV level qualification in Property Services (Real Estate). 70 The Certificate III and IV level qualifications have experienced a decline in enrolments. 20 The diversity of students enrolled in VET courses has been variable. There has been a significant decrease in the proportion of disabled students enrolled in VET courses. The proportion of CALD students has increased. 60 50 40 2008 30 2011 10 0 Certificate III in Real Estate 10% Certificate IV in Property (Real Estate Agency Practice) Certificate IV in Property Services (Real Estate) 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 2008 4% 2011 3% 2% 1% 0% Disabled Source: Data prepared 9 March 2012, Market Analysis team, Skills Victoria. 22 | Indigenous CALD Property Manager Property Manager: VET Enrolments Age Profile • There is insufficient Hume occupational data to identify Property Manager enrolments in 2008. • The majority of students are in the 20-24 year old age group. 16 14 12 10 2008 8 2011 6 4 2 0 15 to 19 20 to 24 25 to 29 30 to 34 35 to 39 40 to 44 Source: Data prepared 9 March 2012, Market Analysis team, Skills Victoria. 24 | 45 to 49 50 to 54 55 to 59 60 to 64 Property Manager: VET Course and Diversity 60 50 • • The majority of Property Manager VET course enrolments are in the Certificate III in Property Services (Agency) qualification. 40 The Certificate IV and Diploma level courses have minimal students. 10 • There is a small proportion of CALD students. • There are no indigenous or disabled students in VET courses. 30 2008 20 2011 0 Certificate III in Property Services (Agency) Certificate IV in Property Services (Operations) Diploma of Property Services (Asset and Facility Management) 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2008 1% 2011 1% 0% 0% 0% Disabled Source: Data prepared 9 March 2012, Market Analysis team, Skills Victoria. 25 | Indigenous CALD Future direction What this means? Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services is one of the smallest industries in Australia, employing 211,700 workers (or 1.8% of the total workforce) in 2012. Over the period from 2006-2010 employment fell by 1.3%. Employment is expected to increase by 6,700 (or 3.5%) over the next five years. According to Monash projections employment is expected to decline steadily over the period to 2014-5 and level out over the 2015-6 period. Employment will recover slightly in 2016-7 but will not return to previous levels. Between 2006 and 2011 the number of people working as ‘Property Operators and Real Estate Services’ in the Hume Region increased from 828 to 853, a rise of around 3%. The industry in Hume has experienced an increase in VET course enrolments across all age groups. Significant growth has been experienced in those aged 20-24. Growth in VET course enrolments is attributable to increased enrolments in the Certificate IV and III level qualifications. The diversity of students enrolled in VET courses has declined. There has been a significant decrease in the proportion of disabled students. The proportion of CALD students has also decreased slightly. There is zero indigenous VET students in the industry in Hume. 27 | Data Quality and Limitations The data challenges included: 1. Different definitions of industries / occupations between ABS, Industry Skills Councils and Monash. 2. Different Time periods used by different sources 3. Old Data - ABS Census is now 6 years old. 2011 ABS Census data has been used where available. 4. Lack of HUME region industry data particularly for industries where employers are predominantly private sector (e.g. Retail, manufacturing and Transport and Logistics) 5. Lack of regional Skills Shortage Data – DEEWR lists are at the State level 6. Changes in name and level of VET qualifications (training packages) 7. Poor sourcing of data – The data source and date were unclear for some data sources. Limitation of Liability This Labour Market Snapshot has been compiled using data which, to the best of Workforce Planning Australia’s knowledge, was current and correct at the time of printing. WPA gives no warranty as to the accuracy of the information contained herein nor its applicability to any specific circumstances. It is intended as a guide only and Workforce Planning Australia will not be liable to any person as a result of any actual or perceived inaccuracy contained in this report.