CROWDFUNDING & THE JOBS ACT: THE IMPACT ON STARTUP VALUATIONS Emerging Enterprises Committee Monthly Webinar July 7, 2014 Efrat Kasznik, Founder & President Foresight Valuation Group, LLC Outline Startup Valuation Trends Factors Affecting Startup Valuations Startup Valuations and Crowdfunding Rewards-Based Campaigns Equity-Based Fundraising Foresight Valuation Group © 2014 2 What’s In a Billion Dollars? Foresight Valuation Group © 2014 3 Key Performance Indicators (KPI): The New Valuation Fundamentals KPI = Measurable Success Factors User Engagement - active users # of Installs Customer Acquisition Cost (CAC) Customer Lifetime Value (LTV) Average Revenue Per User (ARPU) Customer Attrition (Churn Rate) Conversion Rate (funnel) Foresight Valuation Group © 2014 4 High Startup Valuations in 2013 Raised $50M at ~$2B Valuation (Dec 2013) $123M raised to date 60M installs, 30M active users monthly 16.5M users and 350M photos shared daily $0 Revenues Raised $225M at $3.8B Valuation (Oct 2013) $338M raised to date 70M active users $0 Revenues Foresight Valuation Group © 2014 5 Factors Contributing to High Valuations More Exits In 2013 • • • 230 IPOs; $55B US 10k M&As deals; $100B US Active Secondary Market Nest Labs • • • • More Funding Options Angels VCs Private Equity Crowdfunding User Engagemen t $3.2B Valuation • • • Foresight Valuation Group © 2014 Healthcare Internet of Things Social Media High Growth Industries 6 • • • • # Active Users # Installs/Subscriptions Conversion Rate Churn Rate The Startup Valuation Timeline Crowdfunding Available Information High Low Seed Funding Foresight Valuation Group © 2014 Series A, B, C Stock Options 7 M&A IPO Reward v. Equity Based Crowdfunding: Valuation Considerations REWARDS EQUITY Business Model Validation Creates Early Stage Comparables Foresight Valuation Group © 2014 8 Rewards Based Crowdfunding: Key Assumptions Validation Customers Team Production Profit Foresight Valuation Group © 2014 Fulfillment 9 Equity-Based Crowdfunding: Startups Valuations Revealed Public Financial Database Seed Funding Valuations 409A Valuations Employee Stock Options Financial Statements Valuation Business Plan Foresight Valuation Group © 2014 10 Seed/Angel Funding: Median/Mean Round Size Source: Halo Report 2013 Foresight Valuation Group © 2014 11 Seed/Angel Funding: Pre-Money Valuation Range Source: Halo Report 2013 Foresight Valuation Group © 2014 12 More Transparency Leads to Higher Prices? Ratio of Common Stock to Preferred Stock Prices ?? 25-30% 10% Pre-2005 Foresight Valuation Group © 2014 Post 409A (1/1/2005) 13 Post JOBS Act (End of 2014?) THANK YOU! Efrat Kasznik President, Foresight Valuation Group ekasznik@foresightvaluation.com Office: 650-561-3374 www.foresightvaluation.com