Optimum sampling strategy for National Households In Abu Dhabi (The Household Master Sample 2012) Authors : Mohammed Al Rifai (Ph.D.) Mariam Al Qemzi 10/ October/2014 www.scad.ae Contents Introduction Problem Identification The Structure of Abu Dhabi Sampling Frame Master Sampling Frame and Stratification Stratification by Ratios of National Households Master Sample Size and Allocation Modified Allocation Criteria By Nationality Strata Conclusion 2 www.scad.ae Introduction The Emirate of Abu Dhabi • Almost 43 years since the formation of the UAE. • UAE comprises Abu Dhabi plus six other Emirates. • Abu Dhabi accounts for over 80 per cent of UAE land mass. • Abu Dhabi contains around one third of UAE population. • Emirati citizens make up around 20 per cent of Abu Dhabi population. • Abu Dhabi oil represents around 10 per cent of global reserves. 3 www.scad.ae Introduction Statistics Centre – Abu Dhabi • SCAD is the official source of statistical data for Abu Dhabi. • Our Mission: 1. Develop and organize a statistical system in the Emirate. 2. Provide relevant and reliable official statistics serving policy makers, the business community and the public. • Celebrated five years of operation in April 2014. • Operates in accordance with international best practice to provide range of statistics. 3 www.scad.ae Problem Identification Households Type Shared 18% National 22% Non National 60% How to improve the sample strategy for national households, to ensure precise and highly accurate estimates. 5 www.scad.ae The Structure Of Abu Dhabi Sampling Frame Abu Dhabi three regions: 6 www.scad.ae The Structure Of Abu Dhabi Sampling Frame Abu Dhabi Emirate Regions (3) Districts (117) Sectors (1000) EA (1883) 7 www.scad.ae The Structure Of Abu Dhabi Sampling Frame Total No. EAs % All Households % National Households % Non National Households % Shared Households 1,215 64.4 58 70.2 52.8 Al Ain 551 29.2 37 23.6 38.4 Al Gharbia 117 6.4 5 6.2 8.7 1,883 100 100 100 100 Region Abu Dhabi Total 8 www.scad.ae Master Sample Frame and Stratification In 2012 Master sample: • Key Domains of Analysis: – – • Region Citizenship Levels of stratification of EAs: Level 1 • Geographic domains which Level 2 • Concentration of National are the three regions of Abu households within each Dhabi Emirate region 9 www.scad.ae Stratification by Ratios of National Households The nationality strata are as follows: Total No. of EAs % National Households for the stratum % All Households 0 to 24.9% 1,315 7.3 69.9 2 25 to 49.9% 255 35.8 13.1 3 50 to 74.9% 199 61.7 11.1 4 75% or more 114 83.7 5.9 1,883 21.5 100 Stratum Concentration of National Households 1 Total 10 www.scad.ae Master Sample Size and Allocation Master Sample size: Number of PSUs in the master sample should be sufficiently large to provide sample households for: • Household surveys that are currently planned. • Future Surveys – may require larger samples • 4 Replicates. Result - A sample of 560 EAs. This represents nearly 30% of all EAs used in Census 2011. 11 www.scad.ae Master Sample Size and Allocation Master sample allocation: Allocation by region based on: – previous sampling errors for key estimates of households surveys . – 4 Replicates EA allocation: Region EA count Abu Dhabi 320 Al Ain 160 Al Gharbia Total 80 560 12 www.scad.ae Modified Allocation Criteria By Nationality Strata Proportional allocation adjusted by K h as an adjustment factor ; 1 Kh 4 • ; h 1,...,4 The modified allocation criteria can be expressed as follows: nh n K h Wh 4 K h 1 h Wh Where: nh = n = Wh = Nh = N = number of sample EAs allocated to stratum h. total number of sample EAs 𝑁 weight assigned to nationality stratum h ; 𝑊ℎ = ℎ 𝑁 total number of households in nationality stratum h total number of households in frame 13 www.scad.ae Modified Allocation Criteria By Nationality Strata Stratum EAs by National groups % of All households 2 3 4 0 – 24.5% 25 - 49.9% 50 - 74.9% 75 – 100% 69.9% 13.1% 11.1% 5.9% 7.3% 35.8% 61.7% 83.7% 1 2 3 4 W h % National households Adjustment factor 1 K R h h 4 p h 1 K h Wh Rh 4 K h Wh h 1 𝑝 ∶ The expected ratio of the national household in the sample 𝑅ℎ : Percentage of national households in the stratum (h) 𝑁 Wh : weight assigned to nationality stratum h ; 𝑊ℎ = ℎ 𝑁 K h : Adjustment factor, h 1,...,4 14 www.scad.ae Conclusion Sample EAs by Region and Nationality Strata Total 1 2 3 4 Estimated % National Households in Sample Abu Dhabi Al Ain Al Gharbia 320 160 80 155 65 39 58 23 22 67 39 10 40 33 9 33.3% 40.6% 29.9% Total 560 259 103 116 82 35.6% Nationality Stratum Region • % National Households using proportional Allocation: 21.5% • % National Households using Modified Allocation: 35.6% • Implementation: high level of precision in LFS2012 15 www.scad.ae Contact • • • For more information please read the paper. Website: www.scad.ae Authors: 16 www.scad.ae 15 www.scad.ae