SEE 2020 Monitoring
Presentation by OECD Investment Compact for
South East Europe
Salzburg, Austria
October 10, 2013
The OECD Investment Compact for SEE contributes to both
monitoring and implementation of the SEE2020 strategy
SEE 2020
i. Increase regional GDP PPP per capita from 38% to 46% of the EU-27 average
ii. Grow the region’s total value of trade in goods and services by more than 130%
iii. Reduce the region’s trade deficit from 14.1 to 11.6 percent of regional GDP
Pillar
Integrated growth
Pillar iv. Increase intra-regional
targets trade in goods by more
than 230%
v. Increase overall FDI
inflows to the region by at
leas t 120%
Smart growth
Sustainable growth Inclusive
growth
vi . Increase GDP per person
employed by 33%;
vii. Add 300,000 highly educated
people to the region's workforce
vii. Increase the rate
of enterprise creation
by 20%
ix. Increase exports of
goods&services per
capita from the region
by 130%
x. Increase the
xi . Increase government
overall
effectivenes s by 20% by
employment from 2020
40.2% to 45.2%
Pillar Free Competiti Integrati Human R&D and Digital Culture Resource Competiti Employ Health
on into Capital Innovatio Society and
efficiency veness
ment
dimen Trade ve
Develop n
Creative
sions Area Economic the
Environm Global
ment
ent
Economy
Governance for growth
Effective AntiJustice
public
corrupti
services on
Sectors
SEE 2020 Monitoring
Sector
competitiveness
2
The monitoring component builds on a tradition of assessment of
investment climate in SEE
2005
2006
4th SEE
ministerial in
Sofia, Bulgaria,
10 June
5th SEE
ministerial in
Vienna, Austria
on 27 June
Ministers agree
on the need for a
regional
framework for
investment
consistent with
EU principles and
inspired by the
OECD Policy
Framework for
Investment.
Ministers
endorse a
“Regional
framework on
Investment”
Completion of
first
Investment
Reform Index
2010
2nd
Investment
Reform
Index
released
2011
2012
2013
6th SEE
Ministerial
7th SEE
Ministerial
8th SEE
Ministerial
SEE 2020
Endorsement
Endorsement
Vision based
of SEE 2020
of SEE 2020
on five pillars
headline
Strategy
(integrated,
targets
smart, Greater time and staff commitment
sustainable,
inclusive and
governance
for growth
3
Monitoring structure
Follow the SEE
2020 Strategy,
including its
pillars and
dimensions
Assess policies used to
implement the SEE 2020
Strategy, based on tools
developed by the OECD
• Regional Framework for
Investment (IRI)
• Product-Market Regulation,
• Labour Market Regulation,
• Services Trade Restrictiveness
Index,
• Government at a Glance,
• Education at a Glance,
• Innovation Strategy
Track progress on
the achievement of
overall progress on
the Strategy,
including but not
limited to the
headline targets
Implementation of monitoring through a tripartite assessment
Regional
organisations
Government
selfassessment
Private Sector
Independent
experts
5
Monitoring framework (illustrative)
Pillars
Integrated
Smart
Sustainable
Indicators
Dimensions
D. Human Capital
Development
1. Quality, qualifications
and mobility
2. Inclusiveness and
lifelong learning
Inclusive
3. Entrepreneurial learning
Governance
for growth
E. R&D and innovation
F. Digital Society
G. Culture & Creative
sectors
Policy
Impact/
Outcome
Qualitative
Quantitative
National policy
approach to
widen
participation in
higher
education
Participation in
education and
training by
educational
level and
gender
Development
and
implementation
of work-related
system of
continuing
education and
training
6
Educational
attainment by
educational
level
Drop-out rates
by educational
institution
Monitoring framework (illustrative)
Pillars
Integrated
Smart
Sustainable
Indicators
Dimensions
D. Human Capital
Development
1. Quality, qualifications
and mobility
2. Inclusiveness and
lifelong learning
Inclusive
3. Entrepreneurial learning
Governance
for growth
E. R&D and innovation
F. Digital Society
G. Culture & Creative
sectors
Policy
Impact/
Outcome
1. No CET strategy exists.
Qualitative
National policy
approach to
widen
participation in
higher education
Development
and
implementation
of work-related
system of
continuing
education and
training
Quantitative
2. A CET Strategy is being drafted.
Participation in
Reduce early
3.
CET
strategy
adopted,
basedfrom
on input
education and
leavers
from relevant public and private sector
training (25-64
education and
institutions and civil society. The
year
olds)
training
strategy
includes indicators
of success,
an action plan, allocated budgets and
Increase
resources to monitor the
strategy’s
implementation.
tertiary
educational
4. Level 3 + Evidence ofattainment
strategy as
implementation, with targeted support
% of
measures, linkages to the national
population
qualification framework,
and wide
dissemination of information on CET
programmes.
5. Level 4+ Strategy implementation
occurs with a high quality of programme
delivery. Information gathered is used to
7 Regular private sector
improve policy.
consultation.
Next Generation Competitiveness Initiative:
Monitoring component output (example from IRI 2010)
Human capital development
5
4
Score
3
2
1
0
ALB
BIH
BG
HRV
XK
Dimension average (weighted) : human capital development
MK
MD
MNE
Continuing education and training
Vocational education and training
8
Source: OECD Investment Reform Index 2010
RO
SRB
Next Generation Competitiveness Initiative:
Monitoring component output (example from IRI 2010)
Workforce skills strategy: design
and evidence
ALB BIH
BG HRV
XK
MK
MD MNE RO SRB
1.00 1.00 4.00 3.00 1.00 4.00 3.00 4.00 4.00 3.00
The inclusiveness of strategy
formulation
3.00
2.00
4.00
3.00
2.00
3.50
3.00
4.00
5.00
4.00
Subdimension average: strategy
formulation
2.00
1.50
4.00
3.00
1.50
3.75
3.00
4.00
4.50
3.50
Teacher recruitment and retention
3.50
2.00
3.00
2.50
3.00
3.50
3.00
1.00
3.00
2.00
Development of the teacher
4.00
2.00
4.00
3.00
3.00
4.00
2.50
3.00
4.00
4.00
Subdimension average: inputs
to initial education
3.75
2.00
3.50
2.75
3.00
3.75
2.75
2.00
3.50
3.00
Development of the VET system
3.50
3.00
3.50
3.00
3.00
4.00
4.00
3.00
5.00
3.00
Consultative processes in the VET
3.00
3.00
4.00
4.00
3.00
4.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
3.00
3.25
3.00
3.75
3.50
3.00
4.00
3.50
3.50
5.00
3.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
3.00
1.00
2.50
3.00
3.00
4.00
2.00
Dimension average (simple): human captial development
2.50
2.13
3.56
3.06
2.13
3.50
3.06
3.13
4.25
2.88
Dimension average (weighted) : human capital
development
2.68
2.17
3.51
3.03
2.28
3.50
3.03
2.91
4.14
2.83
Strategy formulation
Inputs to initial education workforce
Vocational education and system
training
Subdimension average:
vocational education and
training
Extent of development of workContinuing education and related system of continuing
training
education and training
9
Source: OECD Investment Reform Index 2010
SEE2020 Strategy Monitoring: Timeline
2013 Q3
Jan: Consult
grid with
contact points
from reg.
org’s
2014
May: Missions
to working
meetings of
reg. org’s
completed
2015
Sept.: Grid
distributed
to reg. org’s
Jan: Filled grids
received from
contact points of
reg. org’s
2016 Q2
Sept: 1st
analysis
completed
June:
Release of
“SEE
Outlook”
SEE
ministerial
Nov-Dec: In-house
feedback on grid
July: OECD
work on grids
starts
June: Feedback
on grids from
governments
received
Febr-Mar: Grids
filled by local
independent experts
and private sector
representatives
Oct: Review
meetings with
reg. org’s, their
country
contact points
and local
experts (4
meetings)
Jan: Final review
meetings with reg.
org’s and their
country contact
points (4 meetings)
Thank you for your attention.
Alan Paic
Head
OECD Investment Compact for SEE
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)
11