Warsaw University of Life Sciences Poland Faculty of Economic Sciences Department of Economics and Organisation of Enterprises MARKET AND FINANCIAL ANALYSIS OF THE SELECTED MARKET SEGMENT: A CASE OF BEER MARKET IN POLAND, CZECH REPUBLIC AND OTHER EU MARKETS Katarzyna Boratyńska, PhD Agenda Introduction 1. Financial Analysis – Theoretical Approach; Applied Ratios and their Interpretation; Advantages and Limitations of Ratios Analysis (Discussion); 2. European Union Beer Market Analysis; 3. Beer markets (4V countries) and Financial Analysis – Case Studies of Capital Group Żywiec S.A. (team work); Summary. 2015-04-13 01:53 2 1. Financial Analysis – Theoretical Approach Financial Analysis – Theoretical Approach • Liquidity Ratios • Liquidity ratios measure a company’s ability to meet its short-term obligations. Calculating such liquidity ratios is important because failure to meet these obligations may lead to bankruptcy. 2015-04-13 01:53 4 Financial Analysis – Theoretical Approach • Liquidity Ratios • In general, it can be said that the higher the ratio is, the more is a company able to pay back its short-term obligations. • While bankers look at liquidity ratios to check whether to extend short-term credit or not, stockholders use them to see how a company has invested in assets. 2015-04-13 01:53 5 Financial Analysis – Theoretical Approach • Liquidity Ratios • Very high values may make stockholders wonder why not more resources have been invested in higher returning fixed assets instead of more liquid but lower returning current assets. • The two main ratios in this category are Current and Quick Ratio. 2015-04-13 01:53 6 Financial Analysis – Theoretical Approach • Liquidity Ratios • The current ratio compares all the current assets (cash and other assets that can quickly and easily be converted into cash) with all the company’s current liabilities (liabilities that must be paid soon). 2015-04-13 01:53 7 Financial Analysis – Theoretical Approach • Liquidity Ratios Current Assets Current Ratio = Current Liabilities (1) 2015-04-13 01:53 8 Financial Analysis – Theoretical Approach • Liquidity Ratios • The Quick Ratio is similar, however, also more conservative as it excludes inventory from current assets. To calculate it, inventory is subtracted from current assets. The remaining value is then divided by current liabilities. 2015-04-13 01:53 9 Financial Analysis – Theoretical Approach • Liquidity Ratios Current Assets − Inventory Quick Ratio = Current Liabilities (2) 2015-04-13 01:53 10 Financial Analysis – Theoretical Approach • Asset Activity Ratios • Asset activity ratios give information on how efficiently a company uses its assets. • Thereby, the Working Capital Turnover Ratio measures how efficiently working capital is used. It is found by dividing cost of sales by net working capital. • Net working capital is thereby found by subtracting total current liabilities from total current assets. 2015-04-13 01:53 11 Financial Analysis – Theoretical Approach • Asset Activity Ratios Cost of Sales Working CapitalTurnover = NetWorkingCapital (3) 2015-04-13 01:53 12 Financial Analysis – Theoretical Approach • Asset Activity Ratios • An efficient use of working capital has a direct effect on a company’s profitability. • Thereby, a high ratio indicates efficient use of working capital and quick turnover of current assets. • However, a very high working capital turnover ratio may also indicate lack of sufficient working capital. In that case, the working capital employed is too little for the scale of operations (Jain, 2004). Contrariwise, a low ratio indicates under-utilization of working capital. 2015-04-13 01:53 13 Financial Analysis – Theoretical Approach • Asset Activity Ratios • The Inventory Turnover Ratio tells us how efficiently a company converts inventory into sales. • If the company has inventory for which there is high demand, the ratio value will be high. • If demand is low, also the ratio will be low. • The inventory turnover is calculated by dividing sales by inventory. A result of 1.5 for example would mean that the company turned its inventory into sales 1.5 times during the year 2015-04-13 01:53 14 Financial Analysis – Theoretical Approach • Asset Activity Ratios Sales Inventory Turnover = Inventory (4) 2015-04-13 01:53 15 Financial Analysis – Theoretical Approach • Debt Ratios • Debt ratios measure the size of a firm’s debt and its ability to pay off the debt. • Two primary debt ratios are Debt to Assets and Debt to Equity. • When a company’s debt increases significantly, bondholder as well as lender risk increases because more parties compete for the firm’s resources in times of financial difficulties. Stockholders are also concerned since bondholders are paid before stockholders. • A healthy debt ratio depends on the industry. Generally, a stable industry can handle higher debt ratios. 2015-04-13 01:53 16 Financial Analysis – Theoretical Approach • Asset Activity Ratios • Debt to Total Assets measures the percentage of a firm’s assets that is financed with debt. It is calculated by dividing total debt by total assets (Gallagher & Andrew, 2007). Total Debt Debt / Assets Ratio = Total Assets (5) 2015-04-13 01:53 17 Financial Analysis – Theoretical Approach • Asset Activity Ratios • The Debt to Equity Ratio indicates debt the company has for every dollar/euro of equity (Brigham and Erhardt, 2011) Total Debt Debt /Equity Ratio = Total Equity (6) 2015-04-13 01:53 18 Financial Analysis – Theoretical Approach • Leverage or Long-term Solvency Ratio • The equity ratio indicates the long term or future solvency position of the business. • It contains the same information as the Debt to Equity ratio, but presents it slightly different. • The ratio divides shareholder’s funds by total assets. 2015-04-13 01:53 19 Financial Analysis – Theoretical Approach • Leverage or Long-term Solvency Ratio • A ratio of 60 percent indicates that 60 Cents of each dollar/euro is shareholder contribution, while the remaining 40 cent equal creditor contribution. • Therefore, it indicates how much of financing is in form of liabilities (Brigham and Erhardt, 2011). 2015-04-13 01:53 20 Financial Analysis – Theoretical Approach • Leverage or Long-term Solvency Ratio Shareholder Funds Equity Ratio = Total Assets (7) 2015-04-13 01:53 21 Financial Analysis – Theoretical Approach • Profitability Ratios • Profitability ratios measure how much revenue is eaten up by expenses, respectively, how much is earned compared to sales generated and the amount earned compared to the firms assets and equity. • Stockholders in particular are interested in profitability ratios as profit leads to cash flow which is a primary source of value for the firm (Gallagher and Andrew, 2007). 2015-04-13 01:53 22 Financial Analysis – Theoretical Approach • Profitability Ratios • Five important profitability ratios are Gross Profit Margin, Net Profit Margin, Return on Equity, Return on Assets and Return on Sales. • The Gross Profit Margin measures how much profit remains out of each sales dollar after the cost of goods sold is subtracted. 2015-04-13 01:53 23 Financial Analysis – Theoretical Approach • Profitability Ratios • The higher the ratio is, the better are costs controlled. The resulting percentage indicates how much of a profit dollar/euro the company can use for other purposes (Gallagher and Andrew, 2007). Gross Profit Gross Profit Margin = Sales 2015-04-13 01:53 (8) 24 Financial Analysis – Theoretical Approach • Profitability Ratios • The Net Profit Margin measures how much profit remains out of each sales dollar after all expenses are subtracted. Expenses in this case are operating expenses as well as interest and income tax expense (Gallagher and Andrew, 2007). Net Income Net Profit Margin = Sales 2015-04-13 01:53 (9) 25 Financial Analysis – Theoretical Approach • Profitability Ratios • Return on Equity (ROE) equals net profit divided by equity. The resulting figure indicates how many dollars/euro of income were generated for each dollar invested by common stockholders (Gallagher and Andrew, 2007). Net Income Return on Equity = CommonStockholder' s Equity (10) 2015-04-13 01:53 26 Financial Analysis – Theoretical Approach • Profitability Ratios • The Return on Assets (ROA) shows whether assets are used effectively. It indicates how much income each dollar of assets equals on average. Therefore, net income is divided by total assets (Gallagher and Andrew, 2007). Net Income Return on Assets = Total Assets 2015-04-13 01:53 (11) 27 Financial Analysis – Theoretical Approach • Profitability Ratios • Return on Sales (ROS) is defined as ratio of net profit and net revenue. The ratio measures how efficient a company is in converting one sales dollar into a profit dollar. ROS depends very much on the industry the company is operating in (Tyson and Schell, 2012). Net Profit Return on Sales = Net Revenue (12) 2015-04-13 01:53 28 Advantages and Limitations of Ratios Analysis Discussion Advantages of Ratios Analysis • Simplifies financial statements • It simplifies the comprehension of financial statements. Ratios tell the whole story of changes in the financial condition of the business. 2015-04-13 01:53 30 Advantages of Ratios Analysis • Facilitates inter-firm comparison • It provides data for inter-firm comparison. Ratios highlight the factors associated with successful and unsuccessful company. • They also reveal strong firms and weak firms, overvalued and undervalued enterprises. 2015-04-13 01:53 31 Advantages of Ratios Analysis • Helps in planning • It helps in planning and forecasting. Ratios can assist management, in its basic functions of forecasting. Planning, co-ordination, control and communications. 2015-04-13 01:53 32 Advantages of Ratios Analysis • Makes inter-firm comparison possible • Ratios analysis also makes possible comparison of the performance of different divisions of the company. The ratios are helpful in deciding about their efficiency or otherwise in the past and likely performance in the future. • Help in investment decisions • It helps in investment decisions in the case of investors and lending decisions in the case of bankers etc. 2015-04-13 01:53 33 Limitations of Ratios Analysis • Limitations of financial statements • Ratios are based only on the information which has been recorded in the financial statements. • Financial statements themselves are subject to several limitations. For example, non-financial changes though important for the business are not relevant by the financial statements. • Personal judgment plays a great part in determining the figures for financial statements. 2015-04-13 01:53 34 Limitations of Ratios Analysis • Comparative study required • Ratios are useful in judging the efficiency of the business only when they are compared with past results of the business. • However, such a comparison only provide glimpse of the past performance and forecasts for future may not prove correct since several other factors like market conditions, management policies, etc. may affect the future operations. 2015-04-13 01:53 35 Limitations of Ratios Analysis • Ratios alone are not adequate • Ratios are only indicators, they cannot be taken as final regarding good or bad financial position of the business. Other things have also to be seen. 2015-04-13 01:53 36 Limitations of Ratios Analysis • Problems of price level changes • A change in a price level can affect the validity of ratios calculated for different time periods. In such a case the ratio analysis may not clearly indicate the trend in solvency and profitability of the company. • The financial statements, therefore, be adjusted keeping in view the price level changes if a meaningful comparison is to be made through accounting ratios. 2015-04-13 01:53 37 Limitations of Ratios Analysis • Lack of adequate standard • No fixed standard can be laid down for ideal ratios. There are no well accepted standards or rule of thumb for all ratios which can be accepted as norm. It renders interpretation of the ratios difficult. 2015-04-13 01:53 38 Limitations of Ratios Analysis • Limited use of single ratios • A single ratio, usually, does not convey much of a sense. To make a better interpretation, a number of ratios have to be calculated which is likely to confuse the analyst than help him in making any good decision. 2015-04-13 01:53 39 Limitations of Ratios Analysis • Personal bias • Ratios are only means of financial analysis and not an end in itself. Ratios have to interpreted and different people may interpret the same ratio in a different way. 2015-04-13 01:53 40 Limitations of Ratios Analysis • Incomparable • Not only industries differ in their nature, but also the firms of the similar business widely differ in their size and accounting procedures etc. It makes comparison of ratios difficult and misleading. 2015-04-13 01:53 41 2.European Union Beer Market Analysis 2015-04-13 01:53 42 Table 1. Beer production in selected EU countries Germany United Kingdom Poland Spain Netherlands Czech Republic Belgium 2011 2010 2009 Romania France Italy Hungary Slovakia Cyprus Luxembourg Malta 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 mln hl 2015-04-13 01:53 Źródło: The Brewers of Europe, Beer Statistics. 2012 edition, p.4. 43 Table 2. Beer consumption per capita in selected EU countries (litres) 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 Czech Republic Germany Austria Poland Slovenia 2009 Lithuania 2010 Belgium 2011 Netherlands Hungary Portugal Cyprus Spain France Źródło:01:53 The 2015-04-13 Brewers of Europe, Beer Statistics. 2012 edition, p.8. 44 3. Beer markets (4V countries) and Financial Analysis – Case Studies of Capital Group Żywiec S.A. (team work) Summary Thank You for Your Attention 2015-04-13 01:53 47