METR112- Global Climate Change: Urban Climate System Professor Menglin Jin San Jose State University Outline: Urban observations Urban heat island effect Urban aerosol Urban rainfall Through this lecture, you need to know: Urban Heat Island Effect Urban aerosol effect on rainfall Spatial temperatures in the same region SF, 2008 Surface temperature Urban Heat Island Effect (UHI): Urban surface is hotter than that of surrounding non-urban regions We need to understand why and what are UHI effects Review: how surface Temperature is measured Video: Urban Heat Island Effect (UHI) http://www.met.sjsu.edu/metr112videos/MET%20112%20Video%20LibraryMP4/urban%20system/ Urban Heat Island.mp4 reasons for UHI how to reduce UHI Mechanisms for UHI • 1. Dark surface leads to more solar radiation absorbed at the surface and thus increases surface temperature • 2. Vegetation cover is reduced and thus evaporation is reduced • 3. Water proof urban surface has no soil moisture, leading to more heat to warm up the surface • 4. Building walls extend the effective urban surfaces Video: Urban Rainfall Effect http://www.met.sjsu.edu/metr112videos/MET%20112%20Video%20LibraryMP4/urban%20system / Urban Rainfall Effect.mp4 Mechanisms for urban effects on rainfall • 1. UHI leads to stronger convection and thus clouds formation and rainfall • 2. Buildings lift air to form clouds and thus rainfall • Air pollution serve as CCN to form clouds and rainfall Video • Observe urban system effect http://www.met.sjsu.edu/metr112videos/MET%20112%20Video%20LibraryMP4/urban%20system/ Animation of Atlanta Tornado Why do we need to Study Urban regions? •Urban is an extreme case of human-change natural land cover. •Urban regions has strong pollution, greenhouse emission. •60% people in USA live in cities •Urban has unique water and heat cycles what directly affect human life Related Publications Jin, M, 2012; Development of UHI index. J. of Climate Jin, M., J. M. Shepherd, M. D. King, 2005: Urban aerosols and their interaction with clouds and rainfall: A case study for New York and Houston. J. Geophysical Research, 110, D10S20, doi:10.1029/2004JD005081. Jin, M, R. E. Dickinson, and D-L. Zhang, 2005: The footprint of urban areas on global climate as characterized by MODIS. Journal of Climate, vol. 18, No. 10, pages 1551-1565 Jin, M. and J. M. Shepherd, 2005: On including urban landscape in land surface model – How can satellite data help? Bull. AMS, vol 86, No. 5, 681-689. Jin, M. J. M. Shepherd, and Christa Peters-Lidard, 2007: Development of A Parameterization For Simulating the Urban Temperature Hazard Using Satellite Observations In Climate Model in press by Natural Hazards. Jin, M. and M. J. Shepherd, 2007: Aerosol effects on clouds and rainfall: urban vs. ocean. Revised for JGR 43% of Land Area Dominated by Agriculture % of Land Area Built-up 3 - 6% 43% of Land Area Dominated by Agriculture % of Land Area Built-up 3 - 6% 1. Satellite remote sensing on urban regions MODIS land cover Night Light of Tokyo Night Light of Paris pictures made by U.S. Defense Meteorological Satellites Program (DMSP) Satellite observations retrieve urban system: Land surface properties: surface temperature, surface albedo, emissivity, soil moisture, vegetation cover Atmosphere conditions: aerosol, clouds, and rainfall It shows that urbanization significantly changes weather and climate Urban Heat Island Effect (UHI) This phenomenon describes urban and suburban temperatures that are 2 to 10°F (1 to 6°C) hotter than nearby rural areas. UHI impacts: Elevated temperatures can impact communities by increasing peak energy demand, air conditioning costs, air pollution levels, and heat-related illness and mortality High temperature also enhances surface convection, and causes more clouds and rainfall Surface temperature Urban Heat Island Effect (UHI): Urban surface is hotter than that of surrounding non-urban regions We need to understand why and what are UHI effects Urbanization Effects Land Surface Energy Budget: (1-α)Sd +LWd-εσTskin4 +SH+LE + G= 0 Dr. Menglin Jin San Jose State University Urbanization Effects Land Surface Energy Budget: (1-α)Sd +LWd-εσTskin4 +SH+LE + G= 0 Urbanization changes: Albedo (black surface) Vegetation ocverage (EP, roughness length) Sd, LWd (by aerosols, clouds) Tskin, SH/LE/G Dr. Menglin Jin San Jose State University What Can be Done ? to reduce negative Urban heat island effects? Education : a key component of many heat island reduction effort Cool Roofs: Over 90% of the roofs in the United States are dark-colored. These low-reflectance surfaces reach temperatures of 150 to 190°F (66 to 88°C) Trees and Vegetation Cool Pavements Cool Roofs Cool roof systems with high reflectance and emittance stay up to 70°F (39°C) cooler than traditional materials during peak summer weather. The Utah Olympic Oval uses cool roof technology. What Is a "Cool Roof"? Cool roof materials have two important surface properties: •a high solar reflectance – or albedo •a high thermal emittance Solar reflectance is the percentage of solar energy that is reflected by a surface. Thermal emittance is defined as the percentage of energy a material can radiate away after it is absorbed. 3. Urban Aerosols and Their Direct Effects on Clouds, Surface Insolation, and Surface Temperature Video • Urban aerosol effect on rainfall http://www.met.sjsu.edu/metr112videos/MET%20112%20Video%20LibraryMP4/urban%20system/ Summer Precip w-Pollution.mp4 Winter Precip w-Pollution.mp4 NASA MODIS observed Aerosol Distribution July 2005 Urban Pollution Sources Traffic Aerosols are solid/liquid particles pending in atmosphere Size -0.01-100μm Industry Indoor warming Residence time – hours-days Aerosol Direct Effect: Scattering Indirect Effect: serve as CCN Absorb 0o C surface Black carbon heats atmosphere and surface Most aerosols cool surface Cloud drop Rain drop Ice crystal Ice precipitation More aerosol ->small cloud effective radius-> high cloud albedo->cooling (Kaufmann and Koren 2006) More aerosol->reduce rainfall (Rosenfeld 2000) Aerosol decreases surface insolation Total solar radiation decreased by aerosol= 20Wm-2 Based on NASA GMAO radiative transfer model (Jin, Shepherd, and King, 2005, JGR) 6-year averaged AERONET measurements par AOT 0.9 0.8 Beijing 0.7 0.6 0.5 Beijing New York 0.4 0.3 New York City 0.2 0.1 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 month 6-year daily averaged aerosol optical thickness (AOT) show •significant differences between Beijing and New York City •seasonal variation of urban aerosol Reduction of surface insolation, Beijing Beijing Ftotal 0 0 1 2 4 3 5 6 7 -20 -40 change in flux -60 6am/6pm 7am/5pm 8am/4pm -80 9am/3pm 10am/2pm 11am/1pm 12pm -100 -120 -140 -160 month Urban Effects on Climate: An Analogue Urban Effects on Radiative Forcing Known, but Effects on Water Cycle Processes (e.g. Precipitation Variability) Less Understood (IPCC, 2007) Professor Marshall Shepherd of The University of Georgia found: Human Activities In Arid Urban Environments Can Affect Rainfall And Water Cycle http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2006/06/060619222554.htm a 12-14 percent increase (which scientists call an anomaly) in rainfall in the northeast suburbs of Phoenix from the pre-urban (1895-1949) to post-urban (1950-2003) periods. Extra Credit Activity (1) (a): Read this link and (b) write a 1-page summary Urban Heat Island Effect (UHI) Is it a • day time phenomenon only • night time phenomenon only • both day+night phenomenon How to deal with UHI? Watch video: http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=endscreen&NR=1&v=t-sXHl3l-rM A case for San Jose-SF Bay Area, China 5/9/2011, 8 PM 3 Km WRF 1km 5/5/2011 5 PM 6 PM, 5/5/2011 7 PM, 5/5/2011 5 PM, 5/6/2011 7 PM, 5/6/2011 9 PM, 5/6/2011 11 PM, 5/6/2011 1 AM, 5/7/2011 3 AM, 5/7/2011 5 AM, 5/7/2011 8 AM, 5/7/2011 10 AM, 5/7/2011 Urban Extreme Weather • Flood • Heat wave • coldwave • 2003 European heat wave – One of the deadliest heat waves in European history. – Many regions were as much as 18 degrees F above average!!! – Affected Western and Central Europe. – Over 40,000 Europeans died!!!! – Similar event in Russia, 2010 • The Shutdown of the Thermohaline Conveyor would cause abrupt cooling, especially in Europe. • This change could occur in as little as ten years after the shutdown (not a few days like The Day After Tomorrow) • Suddenly, many northern countries would almost become uninhabitable. – Major political implications – Wars Understand 7/21/2012 Urban Rainfall Extremes from Space Menglin Jin, Yu Li, Zhaohui Li, San Jose State University Marshall J. Shepherd, University of Georgia 42oN 30' 41oN 30' 40oN 30' 39oN o 115 E 30' 116oE 30' 117oE 30' 118oE Beijing 42oN 1: Yan Qing 2: Huai Rou 3: Mi Yun 4: Chang Ping 5: Shun Yi 6: Ping Gu 7: Men Tougou 8: Hai Dian 9: Shi Jingshan 10: Feng Tai 11: Chao Yang 12: Tong Zhou 13: Fang Shan 14: Da Xing 30' 41oN 2 1 30' 3 4 5 o 7 40 N 6 8 11 9 10 12 13 14 30' 39oN o 115 E 30' 116oE 30' 117oE 30' 118oE July 21, 2012, Beijing • the heaviest rainfall in 61 years fell on the Chinese capital city of Beijing on July 21, 2012. The state news agency Xinhua at first said that 37 people had been killed by floods during and after the downpour, but today (July 26, 2012) the official death toll was raised to 77 • Extreme to 200mm • Affect 1.9million people, 10 billons $ damage News from Media 从10时开始的强降雨给北京造成不小的困扰,多个区县的降雨量超过历史极值,房山河北 镇的降雨甚至达到了460毫米。截至目前,降雨共造成10人死亡,数条路段被淹,仍未通行。 昨天10时开始,从北京西南地区开始,自西向东出现强降雨。截至今天06时,北京大 部地区出现大暴雨,部分地区出现特大暴雨。监测显示,昨天10时至今天06时,全市平均 雨量为170毫米,城区平均为215毫米,模式口为328毫米,西南平均为213毫米,最大降雨 出现在房山河北镇,降雨量达到460毫米;最强降雨出现在平谷挂甲峪,昨天20时至21时一 小时降雨量达到100.3毫米。 今天早上8时左右,降雨过程已经基本结束。北京市气象局首席预报员郭金兰介绍: “此次降水过程雨量大、降水急、范围广。从监测资料分析来看,海淀、密云、门头沟、 房山等多个站点测得的降雨量,均为这些监测站建站以来的最大值。” “这场降雨威力如此之大,有水汽、地形、热岛效应三个主要原因。持续几天的闷热 给京城积蓄了充沛的水汽,昨天北京以南的水汽又源源不断地输入,将空气湿度送至饱和。 而城市热岛效应,使城区气温难以回落,水汽无法流失。北京西部、北部环山的特殊地形, 则使被堵截的气流更加勤奋地做抬升运动。这种情形下,一遇到冷空气活动,对流云团就 即刻得到强烈发展。”北京市气象台专家乔林分析道,“冷暖空气的交汇点恰好处于北京 上空,因此持续时间长,雨强较大,还伴有雷电。” “The rainfall extreme is due to water vapor, geographic, and urban heat island effect” • 全市平均降雨量170毫米,城区平均降雨 量225毫米,为新中国成立以来北京市最 大的一次降雨过程,降雨量在100毫米以 上的面积占全市的86%以上;降 雨历时 之长历史罕见,强降雨一直持续近16个 小时;局部雨强之大历史罕见,全市最 大降雨点房山区河北镇为 460毫米,接近 500年一遇;局部洪水之巨历史罕见,拒 马河最大流量达每秒2500立方米,北运 河最大流量达每秒1700立方米。 “…Continuously pour 16 hours…” A car moves on the rain-inundated road in the Daxing District of Beijing, capital of China, July 21, 2012. Mechanisms for extreme rainfall over BJ: Why Beijing? Urban landscape enhance rainfall via three processes: • Aerosol-cloud interactions • UHI • Canyon effect Identified from satellite remote sensing Class participation: Climate Game! City A City B City C City D City E City F City G Climate Game Names Match the city with the corresponding climatology by indicating the appropriate letter Sacramento, California (38°N) Phoenix, Arizona (33°N) Denver, Colorado (40°N) Iquitos, Peru (4°S) Mobile, Alabama (30°N) Winnipeg, Canada (50°N) Fairbanks, Alaska (65°N) _____________ _____________ _____________ _____________ _____________ _____________ _____________