The Economics of Jim Crow and Apartheid: A Comparative Analysis Gavin Wright World Economic History Congress Stellenbosch University 9-13 July 2012 Civil Rights Economics [according to Wright] • Southern business leaders saw no conflict between segregation and economic progress • Acquiescence in 1960s only in response to economic pressures • Black economic gains were large – not just for the middle class – not mainly at white southern expense • After the fact, desegregation was an economic boon to the region as a whole PER CAPITA INCOME (% of U.S.) 1880 - 2009 Per Capita Income (%US) 1 South Atlantic 0.8 West South Central East South Central 0.6 Source: Statistical Abstract of the United States 0.4 1880 1890 1900 1910 1920 1930 South Atlantic 1940 1950 East South Central 1960 1970 1980 West South Central 1990 2000 2010 Jim Crow South as PoliticalEconomic Equilibrium • Blacks excluded from vote, cities, industries • Separate and unequal schools • Politics dominated by black-belt planters – Chief beneficiaries of race discrimination • Economic progress for whites only Per Capita Spending ca. 1915 County Groups Counties under 10% Per Capita Per Capita White Black $7.96 $7.23 9.55 5.55 11.11 3.19 12.53 1.77 22.22 1.78 black Counties 10% to 25%black Counties 25% to 50% black Counties 50% to 75% black Counties 75% black and over Feedback: Labor Market to Schools • Rosenwald Fund expert (1930s): “If commercial courses were offered in the negro school there would no doubt be tremendous pressure to get into them and the only result would be keen disappointment for almost everyone.” • James Field at Union Bag in Savannah (1940s) : “When I filled my application out…I put ninth grade instead of twelfth, because I figured they didn’t want…no smart black man, in order to get hired. I was hired.” Survey of Alabama Employers Not a single case before 1960s where a firm “drawing on cost calculations, business norms, or abstract concept of justice chose to desegregate the work place or break down job discrimination…Even in retrospect, off the record, within the confines of their own offices, businessmen did not recall that the racial order created ‘impediments’ or ‘difficulties’ for enterprises” [Greenberg, Race and State (1980), 231, 233] South Carolina, 1918-1981 o f A ll T e x tile W o Black Share of Textile Workers 20% 15% S h a re 10% Male 5% Female 0% 1918 1923 1928 1933 1938 1943 1948 1953 1958 1963 1968 1973 1978 EEOC Flyer Unlearning Prejudice • “When I read this comment [that blacks were good workers], I was curious because, from all I have heard, the Negroes we are employing are shiftless, lazy, don’t want to work and leave as soon as they are hired.” • A systematic company study showed “no discernible difference in productivity.” • By 1969, “virtually all the large companies here have begun to preach a doctrine of equal, color-blind employment” Compulsion vs. Voluntarism • Plans for Progress 1961 – Troutman: “Compulsion is not the thing. I’m a lawyer. I can show you how to get around the Executive Order. It’s got to be voluntary.” • Major progress came only with compulsion – EEOC actions – Private lawsuits – Federal contract compliance • Greatest gains at large covered employers Quasi-Voluntarism & Learning “There is something about the threat of prosecution that makes voluntary programs work much better.” [Ray Marshall 1965] “By the 1980s, leading firms had troops on hand who were fighting for equal opportunity programs. They had internalized the civil rights movement.” [Dobbin, Inventing, p. 158] Gains were greatest in the South. EEOC Shares 20 BLACK OCCUPATIONAL SHARES BY REGION: EEOC Employers, 1966-2002 Percent of Total Employees 15 White Collar South White Collar Non-South Skilled Crafts South Skilled Crafts Non-South 10 5 0 1966 1972 1978 1984 1990 1996 2002 Black Male Income 27500 MW NE 20000 15000 SOUTH 10000 5000 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 Male Income Net Black Migration into South 1870-70 to 2005-10 Black Voter Registration Black Elected Officials % BEOs/% Population 2001 Alabama Mississippi County Commission 0.979 0.749 All Elected Officials 0.717 0.565 SOUTH 0.375 NON-SOUTH 0.095 Michigan 0.150 New York 0.079 Southern Senators by Party Southern Governors by Party Poverty by Region Infant Mortality by Race 1955-1975 Commonalities: U.S. South and South Africa • Cheap Black Labor for Farms and Mines • Coalition with White Working Class • Schooling to match segregation of labor – Black disfranchisement • Resistance to global trends 1940s-1960s – Economic modernization ≠> racial progress – “Highest Stage of White Supremacy” (Cell) • Post-Revolution Revisionism Segregation and Petty Apartheid Education for Segregation “The school must equip him [the Bantu pupil] to meet the demands which the economic life of South Africa will impose upon him…He must learn not to feel above his community…There is no place for him in the European community above the level of certain forms of labour…” [Hendrik Verwoerd 1954] Post-Revolution Revisionism When segregation ended, “you can’t find a single white person who remembers it.” [Quoted in Chafe, Remembering Jim Crow, 182] “It was practically impossible in 1995 to find anyone who would admit to having been a supporter of apartheid.” [Clark and Worger, South Africa: The Rise and Fall of Apartheid, p. 9] Contrasts (Partial List) • Demography: – SA 15%-20% White – South 20%-40% Black • Constitutional Structure: – Jim Crow South in defiance of U.S. law – Multiethnic politics, multiracial categories • Geography: Region vs. Nation • SA Job segregation legally imposed • Economic Structure (mining & parastatals) Did the Apartheid Economy Fail? • Declining growth mainly from deterioration of gold mining [Feinstein, 203-210] • Colour bar adjusted to labor market pressures, whites gained [Mariotti 2010] • White poverty abolished after 1948 • Major decline came only with political turmoil, sanctions, capital flight [Ramphale 2008] South Africa South Africa Income by Race Semi-Professional % by Race Routine White-Collar % by Race Commonalities despite Contrasts • Regime Change only under heavy pressure Crucial difference in timing • Outcome favorable for all major groups Inman-Rubinfeld: South African federalism as credible commitment • Deindustrialization undermines gains • Rising within-race inequality What are the long-run implications? Economic Legacies of Apartheid • Extreme Inequality – Poverty – Education – Health conditions • Protected, inefficient manufacturing sector – Decline of labor-intensive production [Rodrik] • High unemployment – Mismatch: economic structure and labor force