The Hotel market A Sector Review Robert Berrisford Tom Cherry Sally Wetherall Ailsa Gentles UK hotel market – past five years – current standing Hotel market In 1990’s Future of hotel market? Relevant Analytical tools • • • • • • Boston Matrix Porters 5 Forces PEST SWOT Stakeholder analysis Directional Policy Matrix UK Hotel market UK hotel Industry 1996-2000 12,000.00 10,000.00 8,000.00 6,000.00 1996-2000 4,000.00 2,000.00 0.00 1 2 3 4 5 Market Overview 60 Public and Private Expand through acquisitions Growing International brands Franchised brands and budget hotels Major investment by big chains UK Hotel market UK hotel Market 2000 Granada Group plc Whitbread plc Hilton Group Bass plc Thistle Hotels plc Queens Moat Houses Ltd other Share of market Granada (9%) • Forte, UK’s largest Hotel chain • Posthouse, Travelodge Whitbread Hotel company (6%) • Marriott uk • Travel Inn Six Continents (5%) • Holiday Inn • Intercontinental Boston Matrix MARKET SHARE HIGH Granada Group plc 9% share, 3.9% growth LOW Thistle Hotels plc 4.5% share, 0.1% growth Whitbread plc 6.6% share,-0.7% growth Hilton Group 6.0% share,-8.1% growth Porters 5 Forces Potential entrants. Expensive to compete against the main players. Long time needed to establish a respectable name and build up customer loyalty Suppliers Many suppliers for hotels so quality and price are key factors for hotels to consider when purchasing. Supplier power is low in the hotel industry as the hotels are able to pick and choose from a large number of suppliers Competitive rivalry: 4 main players Granada Group Whitbread plc Hilton Group Thistle Hotels Substitutes Many hotels so there can be a lot of product-for-product substitution. Doing without also a form of substitution. Invest in video conferencing saving on air fares and time Buyers Large amount of buyers so price and quality has to be competitive to be attractive Changes Increased demand for Budget hotels • Increased small hotels Middle sized (51-199 rooms) Maintained Large increase in over 200 rooms • Overseas • Conference Whitbread PLC Whitbread plc profit 1996-2000 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 Whitbread plc Y2000 Turnover £3.0 Billion + 0.3% on 1999 profit £256 Million - 15% Bought Swallow £578 Million Granada Granada Group Profits 1996-2000 1200 1000 800 600 Series1 400 200 0 1 2 3 4 5 Granada 1999 turnover £4.3 Billion • +6% on 1998 Profit £881 million • +14% on 1998 Largest branded chain Under Forte • Le Meridien, Posthouse, travelodge and Heritage. Interests In UK TV among others Hotels + Restaurants 2/3 of revenue PEST Analysis for hotels Political/Legal • Monopolies Employment law Economic Factors • Life cycles Recession Disposable income Sociocultural Factors • Lifestyle changes Population demographics Attitudes Technological • New developments Rates of obsolescence Stakeholder analysis Infrequent Customers Casual/seasonal staff Career staff Suppliers Contractors Regular Customers Government Shareholders (PLC) Board of Directors Business Customers (airlines) Directional policy matrix Strong Average Weak Strengths The current UK market size is worth £10.3 billion. Huge growth in large hotels doubling in Value between 1996 and 2000 (now worth £289.2 million) Small hotels with less than 50 rooms form 92% of the market in terms of value. Weaknesses Future market uncertain after the events of September the 11th. Business restricting travel expenses to cut costs Technology advances in video conferencing Opportunities Population uncertainty about air travel encourages more UK holiday makers to holiday internally. Increasing demand for budget style hotels. Increasing demand for short break offers. Threats Numbers of foreign visitors have fallen dramatically causing severe financial worries particularly for London business orientated hotels. Uncertain future Global economic slowdown will hit hospitality hardest. Business travelers all but disappeared. Forecast Forecast to grow by 16% to £12 Billion by 2005 Economic slowdown • little conferencing • more short breaks Reduced International Travel • affect large hotels 1996-2000 V 2000-2004 UK hotel Industry 1996-2000 V 2000-2004 14,000.00 12,000.00 10,000.00 8,000.00 1996-2000 6,000.00 2000-2004 4,000.00 2,000.00 0.00 1 2 3 4 5 Competitive Strategies In 90’s Frequent Flier Programs Cost containment, price discounting, niche marketing revenue maximization databases for customer tracking Future of UK Hotel Industry Economic slowdown • large hotels • conferencing Decreased air travel • Large hotels Foot and Mouth • Small rural hotels Really That Peachy? Hotel forecast 2000-2013 70,000.00 60,000.00 50,000.00 40,000.00 Series2 30,000.00 20,000.00 10,000.00 0.00 Future of UK Hotel Industry End Of hotel Industry? Consolidate for next three years Specialized conferencing Not a good time to enter market