BRIEF ON SAPP POWER PROJECTS
by
Eng. Musara Beta
Chief Market Analyst
SAPP Coordination Centre
Zimbabwe Mining Indaba, Harare,
ZIMBABWE
24-26 SEPTEMBER 2013
1
SOUTHERN AFRICAN POWER POOL
KEY ISSUES
1.
SAPP demand and supply situation
2.
Short Term Generation Projects
3.
Short Term Transmission Projects
2
SOUTHERN AFRICAN POWER POOL
Demand and Supply Situation
No.
Country
Utility
1
Angola
ENE
1,793
2
Botswana
BPC
352
3
DRC
SNEL
2,442
4
Lesotho
LEC
5
Malawi
6
Suppressed
Demand &
Forecast
Demand
1,480
1341
322
604
1,170
1398
72
72
138
ESCOM
287
287
412
Mozambique
EDM /HCB
2308
2,279
636
7
Namibia
NamPower
393
360
635
8
South Africa
Eskom
44,170
41,074
42416
9
Swaziland
SEC
70
70
255
10
Tanzania
TANESCO
1380
1,143
1444
11
Zambia
ZESCO / CEC/LHPC
1,870
1,845
2287
#REF!
Zimbabwe
ZESA
2,045
1,600
2267
TOTAL SAPP
Total Interconnected SAPP
3
Installed Available
Capacity Capacity
[MW] As at
[MW]
Jan 2013 Jan 2013
Capacity
Shortfall Calculated
including Reserve
reserves, Margin, %
MW
57,182
51,702
53,833
(7,709)
-4.1%
53,722
48,792
50,636
(7,079)
-3.8%
SOUTHERN AFRICAN POWER POOL
Reserve Margins as at March 2013
Capacity Shortfall / Surplus, MW
5000
4000
3000
2000
1000
0
-1000
-2000
-3000
-4000
-5000
-6000
-7000
-8000
-9000
3662
1268
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
-1997
-5393
Projects need to go
through screening to
assess readiness
-7996
Capacity Shortfall / Surplus, MW
SAPP OPERATING MEMEBRS ONLY
4000
3059
3000
2000
1001
1000
0
-1000
2013
2014
-115
2015
2016
2017
-2000
-2418
-3000
-4000
-5000
4
-4284
SOUTHERN AFRICAN POWER POOL
SAPP Planned & Required Capacity
MW
Planned Capacity vs Forecast , MW
All SAPP Members
90000
80000
70000
60000
50000
40000
30000
20000
10000
0
Comparison of March 2013 &
Sept 2013
 Delays are evident due to
various reasons
2012
2013
2014
Forecast
2015
2016
2017
2018
Capacity Planned
MW
Planned Capacity vs Forecast , MW
All SAPP Members (As at Sept 2013)
 Capacity balance by 2017
but energy balance by 2019
90000
80000
70000
60000
50000
40000
30000
20000
10000
0
 This is due to low load
factor
plants
being
commissioned.
2012
5
 Projects shifting dates due
to preparedness
2013
2014
Forecast
2015
2016
2017
2018
Capacity Planned
SOUTHERN AFRICAN POWER POOL
Projects Commissioned in 2012
GENERATION PROJECTS
Capacity
6
No
Utility
Country
Name
Type
[MW]
1
ENE
Angola
Lobito
Thermal
30
2
ENE
Angola
Gove
Hydro
60
3
ENE
Angola
Futila
Thermal
70
4
ENE
Angola
Mabubas
Hydro
25
5
ENE
Angola
New CFL
Thermal
125
6
DRC
SNEL
Inga 1
Hydro
55
7
DRC
SNEL
Nseke
Hydro
65
8
Namibia
NamPower
Ruacana
Hydro
92
9
Mozambique
EDM
Ressano Gacia
Gas
100
10
Tanzania
TANESCO
Ubungo
Gas
100
11
12
LHPC
Eskom
Zambia
South Africa
Hydro
Komati
Hydro
Coal
6
303
TOTAL
1031
SOUTHERN AFRICAN POWER POOL
Committed Generation Projects – as of March 2013
No
Country
1
Angola
2
Botswana
3
DRC
4
NEW GENERATION CAPACITY, MW
2013
2014
2015
2016
TOTAL
0
645
550
2415
3,610
600
-
-
300
900
55
-
580
-
635
Lesotho
-
25
300
-
325
5
Malawi
64
-
-
-
64
6
Mozambique
-
150
300
300
750
7
Namibia
60
-
-
-
60
8
RSA
923
3,105
2,543
1,322
7,893
9
Swaziland
-
-
-
-
10
Tanzania
60
160
500
1,110
1,830
11
Zambia
230
315
600
164
12
Zimbabwe
TOTAL
-
300
690
900
1,309
1,890
1,992
4,700
6,063
6,511
19,266
-
3 % is Renewable Energy (Wind and Solar) from 2013 to 2016
7
SOUTHERN AFRICAN POWER POOL
Planned Projects for 2013 - as of Sept. 2013
GENERATION PROJECTS -2013 TARGET
Capacity
No
Utility
Country
Name
Type
[MW]
1
BPC
Botswana
Morupule B
Coal
600
Commissioning
2
IPP
Zambia
Ndola Energy
HFO
50
Commissioning
3
SNEL
DRC
Inga 1
Hydro
55
Commissioned
4
IPP
Tanzania
South
Mwanza HFO
Gas
60
Under construction
5
Eskom
Africa
South
Komati
Thermal
101
Under construction
6
Eskom
Africa
Solar
Solar
100
Under construction
7
IPP
Malawi
Kapichira
Hydro
64
Under construction
8
ZESCO
Zambia
Kariba North
Hydro
180
Under construction
TOTAL
Funding / Status
1210
Some projects under commissioning
A number of delays have been encountered on some
projects. This is 800 MW short than initially reported
Some delays are beyond the utilities’ control.
8
SOUTHERN AFRICAN POWER POOL
TRANSMISSION PROJECTS STATUS

Mozambique - Malawi





12

Utility
Project
Teams
communication protocol set.
formed
and
Mozambique Backbone – STE
4 Reports concluded and to be discussed by the
shareholders in Oct 2013.
Roadmap to be done in consultation with
generation project integration (Mpanda Nkuwa)
Kafue Livingstone Upgrade
Completed
SOUTHERN AFRICAN POWER POOL
TRANSMISSION PROJECTS STATUS

Zambia - Tanzania – Kenya (4 Segments)
 Funding
being sought by TANESCO
 Preliminary meeting held with EAPP on Grid Code
Interconnection requirements
 SAPP to initiate dialogue with EAPP to do joint
studies to assess impacts

DRC - Zambia 220kV Interconnector

13
Work was completed on DRC side and is
expected to be competed in 2014 by CEC
SOUTHERN AFRICAN POWER POOL
TRANSMISSION PROJECTS STATUS

ZIZABONA




14
EOI for 3 packages received & detailed RFPs to
be submitted by 6 companies on each
component.
1. Transaction
and
Technical
Advisory
Services,
2. Environmental
and
Social
Impact
assessment (ESIA) for line in Zambia
3. Project Coordination and Supervision
SPV to be set in Namibia
Eskom and CEC invited to participate in project.
Eskom technical due diligence process still
underway
SOUTHERN AFRICAN POWER POOL
TRANSMISSION PROJECTS STATUS

CTC Project Status





Tender awarded for most project components
Transaction Advisory Services to be developed
ZESA and Eskom Joint Technical Committees
meeting regularly
SAPP CC to be invited to participate in the
project
Mozambique – Tanzania Interconnector

15
Study to be done with World Bank financing
SOUTHERN AFRICAN POWER POOL
THANK YOU
16
SOUTHERN AFRICAN POWER POOL