Rio de Janeiro Doing Business in Brazil Felipe Hsieh Trade & Receivables Finance, UK October 2012 Quick facts about Brazil Brazil is Latin America’s largest economy ; among the 10 largest in the world (GDP in 2011: $2.5trn) Brazil is the world’s fifth-largest country by geographical area, 8.5 million km2 and fifth most-populous country, with 190 million inhabitants Brazil’s ‘investment grade’ economy is diverse and has large and developed agricultural, manufacturing, mining and services sectors Brazil Population: 190,732,694 (IBGE 2010) Total area: 8,511,965 sq km Capital: Brasilia Major language(s): Portuguese Time zone: GMT -3 (Brasilia) Currency: Real (BRL) Central bank: The Banco Central do Brasil (BCB) Gross domestic product: 2.5trn (2011) Inflation rate (consumer prices): 6.5% (2011) Agencies Notations Moody's Baa2 Northeast Region S&P BBB Central-west Region Fitch BBB R&I BBB Source: Ministerio da Fazenda North Region Southeast Region South Region The great transition Brazil’s growth story from 1995-2011: from short boom-and-bust cycles in the 1990s to more-sustained growth more recently The performance of the economy in the last 15 years can be divided into two main periods: Fernando Henrique Cardoso administration (1995 – 2002) and second, the Lula administration (2003 – 2010). Brazil GDP growth (%, annual) Source: IBGE, HSBC Growth, consumption and social mobility A structural shift in Brazil’s demographics - Strong job market - Government income distribution programs - Relatively stable inflation Brazil: Distribution of Economic Classes (millions of people) • Demographics and increasing household income are positive drivers for the next two decades • Middle Class is growing as poverty is reducing % • Per capita GDP is expected to more than double by 2030 Social Mobility impacting around 40m individuals over the next 4 years Source: Ministry of Finance Retail sales and industrial production - contrasting picture Consumption has been a compelling story in Brazil in the last few years The intensive migration of lower income Brazilians to the middle-income segments brought to the market 40 million potential consumers that have access to credit While retail sales have expanded more or less continuously since 2008, industrial production has been stagnant since 2Q2010 Demand-led growth; competitiveness still a challenge Gap between demand and supply (Jul 2008 = 100) Household ownership of durable goods % of Household Source: IBGE Source: PNAD Key Challenges • Infrastructure deficiencies • Complex Taxation System • Slow legal framework • Corruption Trade – Facts & Figures Exports are almost three times larger compared to ten years ago Brazilian Foreign Trade 200 198 173 56 55 -50 Source: MDIC 25.0 25.3 2008 2009 2007 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 -0.7 BALANCE 2006 US$ Billions 0 128 IMPORT 100 50 153 EXPORT 150 Trade – Facts & Figures EXPORTS (2009) IMPORTS (2009) China represents now 13% of Brazilian exports against 2% in 2000 China represents now 13% of Brazil’s imports against 2.2% in 2000 European Union US$ 34.0 bi 22% USA US$ 15.6 bi 10% 13% 34% Others US$ 52.0 bi Source: MDIC European Union US$ 29.2 Bi 23% China US$ 20.2 bi 21% Latin America US$ 31.2 bi USA US$ 20.0 Bi 16% 13% 31% Others US$ 40.2 Bi China US$ 15.9 Bi 17% Latin America US$ 22.2 Bi Trade – Facts & Figures Exports*: Brazil’s Rank and Market-Share Coffee 1st 32% Poultry 1st * Data from 2009 39% Orange Juice 1st 86% Soy Bean 2nd 39% Sugar 1st 45% Corn 2nd 13% Beef 1st 30% Pork 4th 12% UK – Brazil Trade Trade between Brazil and UK grew by 4 TIMES over the last 10 years Goods and services sold by UK institutions to Brazil grew by same rate 300 250 200 150 100 50 Exports Source: MDIC Imports 2010 2008 2006 2004 2002 2000 1998 1996 1994 1992 1990 Year 0 UK – Brazil Trade MAIN PRODUCTS SOLD TO BRAZIL MAIN PRODUCT BOUGHT FROM Fuel Products Iron ore Cars Soybean Grains & Byproducts Chemicals Meat & Byproducts Carbon Fibres Gold Bars Whiskey Minerals Pharmaceutical Goods Sugar Medical Equipments Paper Fibre Mechanical Parts Orange Juice Heavy Machinery Aircrafts Enriched Uranium Coffee Source: MDIC Trading with Brazil Since 1990 Brazil has made substantial progress in reducing border trade barriers (tariffs, import licensing, etc.) Moderate tariffs, especially on import taxes Import license required for certain products Free Ports, Zones Common Import Taxes: - Import Duty - Industrialised Product Tax (‘IPI’) - Merchandise and Service Circulation Tax (‘ICMS’) Business etiquette and culture… Most of companies have English-speakers, however using interpreters for 1st meeting can be a good idea…. Establishing personal relationships is essential to conducting business Like South-Europeans Brazilian use a lot of body language and contact DO NOT attempt to do business during CARNIVAL! HSBC in Brazil North Branches: 60 ATMs: 257 Mini-branches: 108 Key Figures Established: 1997 Branches: 897 Employees: 25,000 Customers: 5 million ATMs: 5,285 Retail Banking Trade Finance Payments & Cash-Mgmt Global Markets Corporate Banking North Northeast Middle-West Branches: 103 ATMs: 501 Mini-branches: 142 Northeast Branches: 47 ATMs: 351 Mini-branches: 124 Middle West Southeast South Southeast Branches: 445 ATMs: 2,654 Mini-branches: 675 South Branches: 242 ATMs: 1,522 Mini-branches: 523 Key Contacts l British Embassy, Brasília (Distrito Federal) press.brasilia@fco.gov.uk l British Consulate-General, São Paulo uktibrazil@fco.gov.uk l UK Trade & Investment - Enquiry Service enquiries@ukti.gsi.gov.uk l Export Finance Programme (Programa de Financiamento às Exportações—Proex) http://www.bb.com.br/. l Brazilian Association of Listed Companies (Associação Brasileira das Companhias Abertas— Abrasca http://www.abrasca.org.br (Portuguese only). l Brazilian Export Credit Insurer (Seguradora Brasileira de Crédito à Exportação—SBCE) http://www.sbce.com.br/ us/index.asp l Brazilian Foreign Trade Association (Associação de Comércio Exterior do Brasil—AEB), http://www.aeb.org.br/home.htm (Portuguese only). l Ministry of Development, Industry and Commerce (Ministério do Desenvolvimento Indústria e Comércio Exterior—MDIC) http://www.mdic.gov.br/ (Portuguese only). l São Paulo State Federation of Industry (Federação das Indústrias do Estado de São Paulo—FIESP), http://www.fiesp.com.br Q&A ENQ54844 Disclaimer This document is issued by HSBC Bank plc (“HSBC”). 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