2013 Western Mensurationists Meeting Simulating Small Tree Height and Diameter Growth of Catalpa bungei Mingzhuo Hao Contents Introduction of Catalpa bungei Research objectives Simulation model framework Analysis of site types Analysis of climate zones Testing of different Catalpa bungei clones Running the model Additional questions & possible future studies Introduction Catalpa bungei is a deciduous broad-leaf tree species in China that is of considerable importance for cultural, ornamental, and wood products purposes. It was called “king of wood-production tree" in China It had been cultivated more than 2000 years North American species is Catalpa bignonioides Walt. Distribution Map of Catalpa bungei Some individual trees with high wood properties Some stands Totally left 232 old trees in China 1000 years old 1300 years old Flower and Pod Good adaptability Seedlings grow very fast High afforestation survival rate Used in urban silviculture projects Research Objectives For my test sites, how many site types can be recognized? For each site type height and diameter growth curves for small trees are required. Based on my data and reference literature, how many climate zones of Catalpa bungei should be recognized in China? What's the growth difference between different zones? Different clones grow differently. Comparing clones in terms of height and diameter can be used to predict future yields. Build a simulation model for growth & yield of Catalpa bungei. Simulation model framework STELLA 3 Dimensions model Testing Location for Site & Clones China Nanjing Shanghai 10 ha 14 plots Experimental stand of Catalpa bungei Analysis of site types Legend Code of site Small trees Location of soil samples N-S sectional view C ADF BEG Bird's-eye view W-E sectional view Soil properties of different site 含水量 (%) 25 20 15 10 5 0 A B C D E F 1.8 1.6 1.4 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 G 140 120 100 速效钾含量 (g/kg) 土壤A层 土壤B层 全氮含量 (g/kg) 30 A B C 不同典型样地及土壤取样土层 D E F 80 60 40 20 0 G A 不同典型样地 B C D E F G 不同典型样地 Soil water Nitrogen 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 A B C D E 不同典型样地及土壤取样土层 Soil weight F G 1.8 1.6 1.4 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 8 7 PH值 土壤A层 土壤B层 速效磷含量 (mg/kg) 土壤容重(g/cm3) 2.5 Kalium A B C D E 不同典型样地 Phosphor F G 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 A B C D E 不同典型样地 pH value F G Growth status of different Site types Yuqiu1 Nanyang 6.0 6.0 5.0 5.0 4.0 DBH (cm) Height (m) Yuqiu1 Nanyang 7.0 3.0 2.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 A B C D E Sites Height F G A B C D Sites DBH E F G Site types cluster analysis Cluster Analysis: 5 types, Very good to very poor Analysis of climate zone Based on 11 meteorological elements Meteorological Data collected annual average site barometric pressure annual mean maximum temperature annual mean minimum temperature 树高 hieght /m annual average temperature annual extreme maximum temperature 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 安徽 北京 甘肃 贵州 河北 河南 湖北 湖南 江苏 山东 山西 陕西 云南 分布省区 Province annual rainfall annual average wind speed maximum wind speed 围径 Stem circumference /cm annual extreme minimum temperature annual average relative humidity A 1200 B 1000 800 600 400 200 0 安徽 北京 甘肃 贵州 河北 河南 湖北 湖南 江苏 山东 山西 陕西 云南 annual sunshine time 分布省区 Province Meteorological Data of the sites Cluster Analysis: 4 types Trend surface map of mature Catalpa bungei trees in different areas Height Diameter Growth equations of mature Catalpa bungei trees in different areas 趋势面分析多元回归方程 Multiple regression equation 拟合 度 C/% 1: Y=31.1961+0.0603X1-0.5930X2 2: Y=-70.1442+3.5388X1-6.4668X2+0.0813X1X2-0.027X12-0.0507X22 19.0 20.5 围径 Stem circumference 1:Y=1605.162-17.982X1+21.525X2 2: Y=4521.435-129.231X1+231.473X2+0.965X1X2+0.627X121.512X22 24.2 28.0 冠幅 Crown length 1: Y=26.1135-0.1692X1+0.1395X2 2: Y=-45.7592+0.8956X1+1.0199X2+0.0229X1X2-0.0082X120.0526X22 2.4 5.0 1: Y=6.3803+0.0571X1-0.2678X2 2: Y=-97.4092+3.2689X1-5.0905X2+0.0312X1X20.0185X12+0.0182X22 24.8 37.3 1: Y=2085.703-26.018X1+36.321X2 2: Y=-19775.633+153.538X1+803.96X2-6.29X1X2+0.052X12-0.807X22 19.0 29.2 生长性状 Attributes 树高 Height 枝下高 Clear bole height 树龄 Age of tree F值 F Value 13.86 5.91 18.85 8.93 1.32 1.08 10.41 7.13 13.85 9.48 P值 Pr>F <0.01 <0.01 <0.01 <0.01 0.27 0.38 <0.01 <0.01 <0.01 <0.01 Gowth status of Catalpa bungei small trees Gowth status of Catalpa bungei small trees Growth curves of 7 clones of Catalpa bungei 7.00 12.00 11.00 6.00 10.00 9.00 7.00 DBH (cm) Height (m) 8.00 6.00 5.00 4.00 3.00 2.00 5.00Yuqiu1 Yuqiu2 4.00Zhouqiu2 Zhouqiu3 3.00Guangyeqiu Jinsiqiu Nanyangqiu 2.00 Yuqiu1 Yuqiu2 Zhouqiu2 Zhouqiu3 Guangyeqiu Jinsiqiu Nanyangqiu 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 1 2 3 4 Tree age 6 Height 8 1 2 3 4 Tree age 6 DBH 8 DBH (m) Gowth curves of Catalpa bungei trees 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 DBH = 4.1905Age - 2.0321 R 2 = 0.9991 4 8 12 16 20 24 28 30 Tree age Height (m) 20 15 Height = 7.1116Ln(Age) + 3.3356 R 2 = 0.9754 10 5 0 4 8 12 16 20 Tree age 24 28 30 Guo Congjian (1991), Henan Province Jinsiqiu Demonstration of running model Questions & Future Studies The interplay between genetic makeup and environment Relationships between young and mature trees Influence of treatment & density Smart and powerful simulation models for Catalpa bungei need more experimental data and possibly interact with other spatial databases in a GIS environment THANKS FOR YOUR ATTENTION ! My E-mail: mingzhuohao@gmail.com Supervisor: Peter Marshall