Comparisons between polarimetric radar observations and convective-scale simulations of HyMeX first special observing period IODA-MED / HyMeX ST WV Meeting 16 May 2014 Clotilde Augros PhD student under the supervision of Olivier Caumont (CNRM/GMME/MICADO), Véronique Ducrocq (CNRM/GMME), Pierre Tabary (DSO/CMR) and Nicolas Gaussiat (DSO/CMR/DEP) 2 Polarimetric radar data Principle and French radar network Dual polarization Simultaneous emission of 2 waves with horizontal and vertical polarization Ø4 Ø 3.68 Ø 2.9 Big drops are more oblate Ø 2.65 Ø 1.75 Ø 1.35 13 operational polarimetric radars 11 C-band 2 S-band 3 X-band polarimetric radars « RHYTMME » + data from Mont Vial radar All new/upgraded radars will be polarimetric 3 Polarimetric data What new information do they provide? 26/10/2012 4 Polarimetric data and convective-scale NWP models Convective-scale NWP models operating at a horizontal kilometric resolution, with explicit description of convection, rich microphysics, enhanced data assimilation capabilities Polarimetric radars the new standard for operational weather radars (S / C / X) in the world Dual-pol radars provide additional variables (ZDR, DP, KDP, HV, …) which help unveiling the cold & warm microphysics inside precipitation systems (e.g. the French NWP system AROME) Objectives of the study: • Develop a forward polarimetric radar observation operator: direct comparisons between radar and model • Evaluate the potential of polarimetric data for assimilation in Arome 5 Plan Description of the polarimetric radar forward operator Radar/model subjective comparisons • Montclar C-band radar, IOP6 HyMeX: 24/09/2012 • Nîmes S-band radar, IOP6 HyMeX: 24/09/2012 Radar/model comparisons : membership functions Radar/model comparisons : CFAD Conclusions and outlook 6 Description of the polarimetric radar forward operator From the radar simulator from Caumont et al 2006 in Meso-NH research model Input : model prognostic variables (T°, qv, qr, qs, qg, qc, qi …) Parameters fixed by the microphysics scheme ICE3 : PSD (gamma laws), density of snow/graupel/ice « Free » parameters: dielectric constant, hydrometeor shape, orientation => Defined after a sensitivity study Output : model and radar variables (reflectivity and radial velocity) interpolated in the radar projection (PPI) + polarimetric radar variables (Zhh, Zdr, hv, dp , Kdp …) Simulates beam propagation and backscattering Simulates Signal-to-Noise Ratio (SNR) diagnosis of extinct areas (important at X-band) 7 Radar/model subjective comparisons C band 24/09/2012 (IOP 6 HyMeX) 8 Radar/model subjective comparisons C band 24/09/2012 (IOP 6 HyMeX) 9 Radar/model subjective comparisons C band 24/09/2012 (IOP 6 HyMeX) 10 Radar/model subjective comparisons S band 24/09/2012 (IOP 6 HyMeX) 11 Radar/model subjective comparisons S band 24/09/2012 (IOP 6 HyMeX) 12 Radar/model subjective comparisons S band 24/09/2012 (IOP 6 HyMeX) 13 Radar/model subjective comparisons S band 24/09/2012 (IOP 6 HyMeX) 14 Radar/model subjective comparisons S band 24/09/2012 (IOP 6 HyMeX) 15 Radar/model comparisons : membership functions Distribution of Zdr as a function of Zhh Rain Snow 24/09/2012 C-band Montclar Sband Nimes 16 Radar/model comparisons : membership functions Distribution of Kdp as a function of Zhh Rain Snow 24/09/2012 C-band Montclar Sband Nimes 17 Radar/model comparisons : CFAD Montclar (C-band) – 24/09/2012 Distribution of Zhh, Zdr and Kdp as a function of temperature in convective areas Radar Model Zhh Zdr Kdp 18 Radar/model comparisons : CFAD Nîmes (S-band) – 24/09/2012 Distribution of Zhh, Zdr and Kdp as a function of temperature in convective areas Radar Model Zhh Zdr Kdp 19 Conclusions and outlook Main conclusions of radar/model comparisons for 24/09/2012 and 26/10/2012 • • Membership functions : good consistency between median Zdr and Kdp radar/model for a given Zhh. But high dispersion in radar data (natural variability of PSD + noise) CFAD of Zhh, Kdp and Zdr rather good consistency but varying with the case/radar • Overestimation of snow/ice/graupel contents in some cases by the model?Underestimation of the maximum Zhh/Kdp in low levels (rain) • Sharp transition between rain and snow in model • But : uncertainties due to the methodology : all radar scans are not simultaneous => can impact vertical profiles + comparison of convective cells that do not necessarily have the same temporal evolution Paper in preparation for HyMeX special issue in QJRMS + presentation of results at ERAD and HyMeX conferences (September 2014) Outlook : toward the assimilation of polarimetric variables in Arome • • • Literature review of the use of dual-pol variables for assimilation in NWP models Design of a methodology for the selection of polarimetric observations « useful » for assimilation Development of a new assimilation methodology using polarimetric data: to be defined this summer Merci ! Vos questions sont bienvenues !