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Nordic Business Breakfast

10 th December 2014

ELECTRICIDADE DE MOÇAMBIQUE, E.P.

1 com energia construimos futuro

Table of Content

1. Macro economic indicators

2. Electricity Sector Industry

3. Present and future challenges

4. Natural Energy Resources

5. Generation Expansion Plan

6. Conclusion

ELECTRICIDADE DE MOÇAMBIQUE, E.P.

2 com energia construimos futuro

MOZAMBIQUE

o Population: 23.760 mil o GDP (Nominal): USD

15.355 billion o Per capita: USD 630 o GDP Growth Rate : 7.5%

(2013) o Exchange Rate USD/MT:

30.50

ELECTRICIDADE DE MOÇAMBIQUE, E.P.

com energia construimos futuro

3

MACRO-ECONOMIC INDICATORS

INTERNATIONAL CONTEXT

World Economy GDP growth Rate (%)

• Euro Zone

• Asia (China e Índia)

• Sub-Saharan Africa

• Mozambique

World Inflation Rate (%)

• Euro Zone

• Sub-Saharan Africa

• Mozambique

2010

5.3

1.9

9.5

5.7

7.1

3.7

1.6

7.5

12.7

ELECTRICIDADE DE MOÇAMBIQUE, E.P.

4

2011

3.8

2.0

7.8

5.2

7.3

4.8

2.7

9.3

10.4

2012

3.3

-0.7

6.7

4.5

7.3

4.0

2.5

9.0

2.1

com energia construimos futuro

2013

3.0

-0.4

6.5

5.1

7.5

3.8

1.5

6.9

4.2

10 MAIN FDI SOURCES IN 2013

ELECTRICIDADE DE MOÇAMBIQUE, E.P.

5 com energia construimos futuro

Table of Content

1. Macro economic indicators

2. Electricity Sector Industry

3. Present and future challenges

4. Natural Energy Resources

5. Generation Expansion Plan

6. Conclusion

ELECTRICIDADE DE MOÇAMBIQUE, E.P.

6 com energia construimos futuro

Energy Outlook for Mozambique

Electricity Supply Industry

ELECTRICIDADE DE MOÇAMBIQUE, E.P.

Electricidade de Moçambique (EDM): The national power utility wholly owned by the state responsible for the generation, transmission, distribution and

commercialization of electricity throughout the country.

Hidroeléctrica de Cahora Bassa (HCB): Owned by

Moçambique Government (92,5%) and REN /

Portugal (7,5%) is the Independent Power Producer

(IPP) responsible for the generation of electricity in

Cahora Bassa (2075 MW)

Mozambique Transmission Company (MOTRACO):

Independent Transmission Company (ITC) , Owned

33.3% by EDM, 33.3% ESKOM and 33.3% SEB with the responsibility to supply electricity to MOZAL and wheel power to EDM and SEB of Swaziland

7 com energia construimos futuro

1977

Outlook Of Mozambique Power Sector electrification and coverage

2004 2006 2007

15 Districts

Electrified

15 Districts

Electrified

2008 2009 2010

ELECTRICIDADE DE MOÇAMBIQUE, E.P.

8

2014

121 Districts

Electrified com energia construimos futuro

Outlook Of Mozambique Power Sector

Access to electricity

on grid

ELECTRICIDADE DE MOÇAMBIQUE, E.P.

9 com energia construimos futuro

Outlook Of Mozambique Power Sector

Customer base and new connection

Moçambique is after South Africa the highest new connection rate per Year in SADC with an average of 140 000 new connection in the last 3 years

ELECTRICIDADE DE MOÇAMBIQUE, E.P.

10 com energia construimos futuro

Outlook Of Mozambique Power Sector

Transmission National Grid Expansion

Past Present Future

2020

All capital provinces connected to the national

Grid

ELECTRICIDADE DE MOÇAMBIQUE, E.P.

Novas centrais e linhas de transporte para responder a demanda

11 com energia construimos futuro

Outlook Of Mozambique Power Sector

Historic power balance

Cahora Bassa contributes with 94% of the power balance

ELECTRICIDADE DE MOÇAMBIQUE, E.P.

12 com energia construimos futuro

Outlook Of Mozambique Power Sector

National demand

ELECTRICIDADE DE MOÇAMBIQUE, E.P.

13 com energia construimos futuro

Outlook Of Mozambique Power Sector

regional demand

90000

80000

70000

60000

50000

40000

30000

20000

10000

0

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Peak Demand Capacity Planned

Planned Capacity will exceed peak demand by 2016.

ELECTRICIDADE DE MOÇAMBIQUE, E.P.

com energia construimos futuro

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Table of Content

1. Macro economic indicators

2. Electricity Sector Industry

3. Present and future challenges

4. Natural Energy Resources

5. Generation Expansion Plan

6. Conclusion

ELECTRICIDADE DE MOÇAMBIQUE, E.P.

15 com energia construimos futuro

Outlook Of Mozambique Power Sector

EDM Organisation

ELECTRICIDADE DE MOÇAMBIQUE, E.P.

16 com energia construimos futuro

Government and Regulator

Donnors and

Financiers

Outlook Of Mozambique Power Sector

The new paradigms….

Before

• Extend the access to electricity to the population

• Promote “cheap energy” for economic development

• Institutional development and

regulation of the electricty sector

Finance de development of the electricity system in the Country

• Funding predominant under

Concessional Scheme

Regulated tariff system

Present & Future

• Ensure medium and long term energy needs and access to natural resources

Competitiveness of the energy sector in the

Country

• Promote private initiative

• Operational management efficiency

• Economic and Financial viability on the investment (PPP)

Cost reflective Tariff and or Cost recovery mechanism

Governance, transparency,

Clients / market

• Access to basic energy services and low tariffs

Surplus capacity of infrastructure in transmission

Excess of energia

ELECTRICIDADE DE MOÇAMBIQUE, E.P.

‹#›

• Availability / Service / Quality of Supply /

Industrialization

Transmission Capacity on the Limit / constrains

Déficit of power and new generation plants com energia construimos futuro

Table of Content

1. Macro economic indicators

2. Electricity Sector Industry

3. Present and future challenges

4. Natural Energy Resources

5. Generation Expansion Plan

6. Conclusion

ELECTRICIDADE DE MOÇAMBIQUE, E.P.

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The Mozambique natural resources and the least cost options

Mozambique Natural Resources: Hydro

ELECTRICIDADE DE MOÇAMBIQUE, E.P.

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Outlook Of Mozambique Power Sector

Hydro natural resources

• Mozambique is the second country in

Southern Africa with the biggest hydro potential

• The potential in Zambezi river is beyond 8 000 MW and only 2075 MW is in operation at Cahora Bassa South

Bank

• The total unexplored hydro potential in Mozambique is close to 12 000

MW out of which in Tete province

ELECTRICIDADE DE MOÇAMBIQUE, E.P.

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Outlook Of Mozambique Power Sector

Coal natural resources

 Mozambique Coal reserves are believed to be amongst the world’s largest , and a strong investment currently being made in the sector, particular in the Tete Province

 Moatize Coal basin poised to become the

World’s newest major export coal basin

 2 large scale projects already in mining activity (20 to 50 Mtpa)

 Additional large scale coal projects in exploration (Ncondezi, Jindal, Rio Tinto,

Zambeze, Revuboe, etc..)

 Potential + 50 Mtpa of export coal by 2025

The coal proven reserves can produce more than 8 000 MW, base load power for 30 years

ELECTRICIDADE DE MOÇAMBIQUE, E.P.

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Outlook Of Mozambique Power Sector gás

natural resources

 The only gas fields currently in production in the country are located in Temane, in

Inhambane province

 The gas is exported and transported by pipeline to South Africa by SASOL, a South

Africa Company

 27 MGJ are allocated for power generation

 > 100 MGJ is for export to South Africa

 Currently, EDM, SASOL, Investec, Aggreko,

Gigawatt and MGC are developing generation power projects

 Around 350 MW will be Installed until 2016 in Ressano Garcia (Border with South

Africa)

ELECTRICIDADE DE MOÇAMBIQUE, E.P.

com energia construimos futuro

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Outlook Of Mozambique Power Sector

Gás

natural resources

 2011 and the first months of 2012 saw the announcement of successive large finds of natural gas in Mozambique offshore.

 Such potential of natural gas identified is corresponding to 150 to 200 trillion cubit feet.

 The size of the natural gas finds in the

Rovuma basin could turn Mozambique into Africa’s second large exporter of natural gas in 2019/20

 Medium and large scale power generation plant could be installed in the north of

Mozambique (> 2000 MW)

 Possibility of large scale development of a liquefied natural gas (LNG) project

ELECTRICIDADE DE MOÇAMBIQUE, E.P.

com energia construimos futuro

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Table of Content

1. Macro economic indicators

2. Electricity Sector Industry

3. Present and future challenges

4. Natural Energy Resources

5. Generation Expansion Plan

6. Conclusion

ELECTRICIDADE DE MOÇAMBIQUE, E.P.

24 com energia construimos futuro

Outlook Of Mozambique Power Sector regulatory framework

 EDM created in 1977 with monopoly for GX, TX & DX (except for HCB)

 Law for Public Enterprise approved in 1991 (Lei Nº. 17/91)

 EDM transformed into a Public Enterprise in 1995

 Electricity Act approved in 1997 (Lei Nº. 21/97)

 Electricity Regulation Decree approved in 2000 (Decreto 08/2000)

 Tariff System Decree 29/2003

 EDM designated Manager of the National Transmission Grid and System

Operator in 2005 (43/2005)

 Private Partnership

Law for Infrastructure (Decree nº 15/2011)

ELECTRICIDADE DE MOÇAMBIQUE, E.P.

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Outlook Of Mozambique Power Sector

comparative advantages

 Natural Resources

 Proven Gas reserves

 Proven Coal Reserves

 Proven firm Hydro Renewable

Reserves

 Financing

 Corporate balance

 Possible to refinance after COD

 Hydro Base

 No FSA

 Long Term PPA

 Thermo Base (Coal)

 Coal as a waste product from mining

ELECTRICIDADE DE MOÇAMBIQUE, E.P.

com energia construimos futuro

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Generation Expansion Plan 2012 - 2020

Ncondezi

(300 MW)

Cahora Bassa

Norte (1245MW)

Benga

(300 MW)

Palma (ENI)

(75 MW)

Lúrio

(120 MW)

Alto-Malema

(60 MW)

Mphanda

Nkuwa

(1500 MW)

Moatize

(300 MW)

Mavuzi 2 & 3

(60 MW)

Massingir

(25 MW)

Kuvaninga

(40 MW)

CTRG

(175 MW)

ELECTROTEC

(30 MW) CTM

(100 MW)

ELECTRICIDADE DE MOÇAMBIQUE, E.P.

27

Boroma

(200 MW)

Lupata

(600 MW)

Temane

(400 MW)

Gigawatt

(100 MW)

2012 - 2014

2015 - 2017

2018 - 2020

> 2020

Aggreko

(222 MW) com energia construimos futuro

Power Balance and energy Mix

ELECTRICIDADE DE MOÇAMBIQUE, E.P.

28 com energia construimos futuro

100%

90%

80%

70%

60%

50%

40%

30%

20%

10%

0%

Power Balance and energy Mix

(Short and Medium term)

Carvão [MW]

Gas [MW]

Hidrica [MW]

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Hidrica [MW]

Gas [MW]

Carvão [MW]

2015

78%

22%

0%

ELECTRICIDADE DE MOÇAMBIQUE, E.P.

2016

73%

27%

0%

2017

62%

38%

0%

29

2018

55%

38%

7%

2019

37%

44%

19%

2020

37%

44%

19% com energia construimos futuro

Power Balance and energy Mix

(Medium and long term)

ELECTRICIDADE DE MOÇAMBIQUE, E.P.

30 com energia construimos futuro

Power Balance and energy Mix

(Medium and long term)

Until 2020 Gás will contribute with 42% of energy

ELECTRICIDADE DE MOÇAMBIQUE, E.P.

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Road map of EDM equity financial participation

Corporate loan facilities secured on cashflows from realisation of cluster investments

Future corporate loans

Potential concessionary finance

EDM Investments

(EDMI)

Future project rights and opportunities

Future generation investment opportunities

Future transmission investment opportunities

Power trading

Concessionary finance secured on basis that EDMI becomes a core business and vehicle for future economic and social development

Cluster dividends, project refinancing cashflows, selldown of stakes

Hydro cluster

Transmission cluster

Large scale thermal cluster

Small scale generation cluster

ELECTRICIDADE DE MOÇAMBIQUE, E.P.

com energia construimos futuro

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Project development tracking matrix

PROJECTS

Development / Regulatory ESIA

MoU JDA FWA SHA CA EPDA ESIA

Feasibility Studies

Aprovação ambiental

GEOTÉCNI

CO

ENGENHARI

A BASICA

ENGENHARI

A

DETALHADA

EPC

VIABILIDA

DE

ECONÓMIC

MODELAGE

M

FINANCEIRA

Legal and Financial Structuring

FSA ToS PPA

PACOT

E

FISCAL

ACORDO DE

FINANCIAMEN

TO

FECHO

FINANCEIR

O

Start

Construction

Ano

MOZAMBIQUE

TRANSMISSION BACKBONE

[STE] x x x

MPHANDA NKUWA [HMNK -

1500 MW]

CAHORA BASSA NORTH [CBN

- 1245 MW) x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x

NA x x x x x x x x x

NA NA NA

NA STE

NA NA x x

2017

2017

2016

MASSINGIR [27 MW] x x x x x NA NA 2015

NA NA 2016 ALTO MALEMA [60 MW] x x x x

BENGA [450 MW]

MOATIZE [ 300 MW]

NCONDEZI [300 MW] x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x

CENTRAL TÉRMICA MAPUTO

(CTM - 100 MW)

NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

RESSANO GARCIA [CTRG - 175

MW] x x x x x x x x x x x x

NA x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x

NA x NA x x

NA

CSY x x NA x x x x x

2016

2014

2016

2015

X

MGTP (Temane - 400 MW) x x x x 2016

BOROMA [200 MW] x x x x x x x x x

Palma [ENI - 75 MW ]

GIGAWATT [109 MW]

ELECTROTEC [ 80 MW]

AGGREKO [222 MW] x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x

ELECTRICIDADE DE MOÇAMBIQUE, E.P.

KUVANINGA [40 MW] x x x x x x x x x x x x x

X x x x x x x x

33 x x x x x x x x x x x x x NA NA

NA x x x NA x x x STE x NA x x x x x x x

2016

2015

2015

2015

X

2014

COD

Ano

2020

2021

2021

2018

2020

2019

2018

2019

2018

October

2018

2021

2017

2016

2017

Operação

2016

Table of Content

1. Macro economic indicators

2. Electricity Sector Industry

3. Present and future challenges

4. Natural Energy Resources

5. Generation Expansion Plan

6. Conclusion

ELECTRICIDADE DE MOÇAMBIQUE, E.P.

34 com energia construimos futuro

Outlook Of Mozambique Power Sector

conclusions

1.

The Electricity Sector will required more than 3 bUSD in the next 5 years to sustain energy demands

2.

Concessional, Commercial and Private equity funding will be required

3.

GoM will play a determinant role to Develop the ESI, including but not limited to project promotion

4.

There is in place adequate regulatory framework and conducive for Independent

Power Producers of electricity (IPPs)

5.

Gás will be a Game changer on ESI and determinant for Gás to Power initiatives

6.

EDM is going to a process of complex initiatives that needs special kills, competence and good Governance

7.

Cost reflective tariffs will be fundamental to sustain the Investment required

ELECTRICIDADE DE MOÇAMBIQUE, E.P.

com energia construimos futuro

35

Thank You

ELECTRICIDADE DE MOÇAMBIQUE, E.P.

36 com energia construimos futuro

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